메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 634, Issue , 2018, Pages 1540-1553

Hydroelectric production from Brazil's São Francisco River could cease due to climate change and inter-annual variability

Author keywords

Climate change; Drought; Hydroelectricity; Rainfall; Renewable energy; Streamflow

Indexed keywords

DROUGHT; GLOBAL WARMING; HYDROELECTRIC POWER; SOLAR ENERGY; STREAM FLOW; WIND POWER;

EID: 85045437033     PISSN: 00489697     EISSN: 18791026     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.256     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (90)

References (81)
  • 2
    • 85166800915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Available at (Accessed 26 February 2018)
    • ANEEL – Agência Nacional da Energia Elétrica/Brazilian National Electricity Agency, BIG – Banco de Informações de Geração/Information Bank of Generation, Available at http://www.aneel.gov.br/aplicacoes/capacidadebrasil/capacidadebrasil.asp, 2018. (Accessed 26 February 2018)
    • (2018)
  • 4
    • 84922329722 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Water-Energy Nexus: Challenges and Opportunities
    • U.S. Department of Energy Available at Accessed on 20/02/2018
    • Bauer, D., Philbrick, M., Vallario, B., The Water-Energy Nexus: Challenges and Opportunities. 2014, U.S. Department of Energy Available at https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2014/07/f17/Water%20Energy%20Nexus%20Full%20Report%20July%202014.pdf Accessed on 20/02/2018.
    • (2014)
    • Bauer, D.1    Philbrick, M.2    Vallario, B.3
  • 5
    • 85015215346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change vulnerability in the food, energy, and water nexus: concerns for agricultural production in Arizona and its urban export supply
    • Berardy, A., Chester, M.V., Climate change vulnerability in the food, energy, and water nexus: concerns for agricultural production in Arizona and its urban export supply. Environ. Res. Lett., 12(3), 2017, 035004.
    • (2017) Environ. Res. Lett. , vol.12 , Issue.3
    • Berardy, A.1    Chester, M.V.2
  • 6
    • 3142725628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plan B 2.0: rescuing a planet under stress and a civilization in trouble. Chapter 3
    • W. W. Norton Available at (Accessed 11 March 2016)
    • Brown, L.R., Plan B 2.0: rescuing a planet under stress and a civilization in trouble. Chapter 3. Emerging Water Shortages: Rivers Running Dry, 2006, W. W. Norton Available at http://www.earth-policy.org/?/mobile/books/pb2/pb2ch3_ss3/. (Accessed 11 March 2016)
    • (2006) Emerging Water Shortages: Rivers Running Dry
    • Brown, L.R.1
  • 8
    • 85045459416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resumo Executivo do Plano de Recursos Hídricos da Bacia Hidrográfica do rio São Francisco 2016–2025
    • CBHSF Alagoas Available at (Accessed 4 March 2017)
    • CBHSF – Comitê da Bacia Hidrográfica do rio São Francisco, Resumo Executivo do Plano de Recursos Hídricos da Bacia Hidrográfica do rio São Francisco 2016–2025. 2016, CBHSF, Alagoas Available at http://cbhsaofrancisco.org.br/planoderecursoshidricos/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/RF3_24jan17.pdf. (Accessed 4 March 2017)
    • (2016)
    • CBHSF – Comitê da Bacia Hidrográfica do rio São Francisco1
  • 10
    • 85166832787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sistemas de Geração – Sobradinho/Luiz Gonzaga
    • Available at (Accessed 2 March 2018)
    • CHESF – Companhia Hidreletrica do São Francisco, Sistemas de Geração – Sobradinho/Luiz Gonzaga. Available at https://www.chesf.gov.br/SistemaChesf/Pages/SistemaGeracao/SistemasGeracao.aspx, 2016. (Accessed 2 March 2018)
    • (2016)
    • CHESF – Companhia Hidreletrica do São Francisco1
  • 11
    • 85166802488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vazão do rio São Francisco é reduzida. Notícias, Sistema CHESF
    • Available at Accessed on 03/08/2017
    • CHESF – Companhia Hidreletrica do São Francisco, Vazão do rio São Francisco é reduzida. Notícias, Sistema CHESF. Available at https://www.chesf.gov.br/_layouts/15/Chesf_Noticias_Farm/Noticia.aspx?IDNoticia=183, 2017 Accessed on 03/08/2017.
    • (2017)
    • CHESF – Companhia Hidreletrica do São Francisco1
  • 12
    • 33746848916 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of rainfall elasticity of streamflow in Australia
    • Chiew, F.H., Estimation of rainfall elasticity of streamflow in Australia. Hydrol. Sci. J. 51:4 (2006), 613–625.
    • (2006) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 613-625
    • Chiew, F.H.1
  • 13
    • 85166861211 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atlas de Cenários Climáticos Futuros para o Brasil (Versão 1.0) Projeções climáticas (precipitação e temperatura) para o Brasil durante a segunda metade do Século XXI usando modelos regionais, nos cenários de baixas emissões (otimista IPCC-B2) e de altas emissões (pessimista IPCC-A2). MMA. Cachoeira Paulista, SP Fevereiro
    • Available at Accessed on 30/03/2017
    • CPTEC/INPE - Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Atlas de Cenários Climáticos Futuros para o Brasil (Versão 1.0) Projeções climáticas (precipitação e temperatura) para o Brasil durante a segunda metade do Século XXI usando modelos regionais, nos cenários de baixas emissões (otimista IPCC-B2) e de altas emissões (pessimista IPCC-A2). MMA. Cachoeira Paulista, SP Fevereiro. Available at http://mudancasclimaticas.cptec.inpe.br/~rmclima/pdfs/prod_probio/Atlas.pdf, 2007 Accessed on 30/03/2017.
    • (2007)
  • 14
    • 85166799236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolução de Precipitação - Bacia do São Francisco
    • Available at (Accessed 28 February 2018)
    • CPTEC/INPE - Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Evolução de Precipitação - Bacia do São Francisco. Available at http://energia1.cptec.inpe.br/bacias/pt#SFran, 2018. (Accessed 28 February 2018)
    • (2018)
  • 15
    • 84876114515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Solar and wind energy production in relation to the electricity load curve and hydroelectricity in the Northeast region of Brazil
    • de Jong, P., Sánchez, A.S., Esquerre, K., Kalid, R.A., Torres, E.A., Solar and wind energy production in relation to the electricity load curve and hydroelectricity in the Northeast region of Brazil. Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. 23 (2013), 526–535.
    • (2013) Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. , vol.23 , pp. 526-535
    • de Jong, P.1    Sánchez, A.S.2    Esquerre, K.3    Kalid, R.A.4    Torres, E.A.5
  • 16
    • 84939790828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic and environmental analysis of electricity generation technologies in Brazil
    • de Jong, P., Kiperstok, A., Torres, E.A., Economic and environmental analysis of electricity generation technologies in Brazil. Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. 52 (2015), 725–739.
    • (2015) Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. , vol.52 , pp. 725-739
    • de Jong, P.1    Kiperstok, A.2    Torres, E.A.3
  • 17
    • 84959098483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating large scale wind power into the electricity grid in the Northeast of Brazil
    • de Jong, P., Kiperstok, A., Sanchez, A.S., Dargaville, R., Torres, E.A., Integrating large scale wind power into the electricity grid in the Northeast of Brazil. Energy 100 (2016), 401–415.
    • (2016) Energy , vol.100 , pp. 401-415
    • de Jong, P.1    Kiperstok, A.2    Sanchez, A.S.3    Dargaville, R.4    Torres, E.A.5
  • 18
    • 85016030813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting high proportions of wind energy supplying the Brazilian Northeast electricity grid
    • de Jong, P., Dargaville, R., Silver, J., Utembe, S., Kiperstok, A., Torres, E.A., Forecasting high proportions of wind energy supplying the Brazilian Northeast electricity grid. Appl. Energy 195 (2017), 538–555.
    • (2017) Appl. Energy , vol.195 , pp. 538-555
    • de Jong, P.1    Dargaville, R.2    Silver, J.3    Utembe, S.4    Kiperstok, A.5    Torres, E.A.6
  • 20
    • 23644453661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years
    • Emanuel, K., Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436(7051), 2005, 686.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.436 , Issue.7051 , pp. 686
    • Emanuel, K.1
  • 21
    • 35348933854 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling
    • Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Tebaldi, C., Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. Int. J. Climatol. 27:12 (2007), 1547–1578.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.27 , Issue.12 , pp. 1547-1578
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Blenkinsop, S.2    Tebaldi, C.3
  • 22
    • 37549062988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow
    • Fu, G., Charles, S.P., Chiew, F.H., A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow. Water Resour. Res., 43(11), 2007.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Res. , vol.43 , Issue.11
    • Fu, G.1    Charles, S.P.2    Chiew, F.H.3
  • 23
    • 84961390923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Possible climate change/variability and human impacts, vulnerability of drought-prone regions, water resources and capacity building for Africa
    • Gan, T.Y., Ito, M., Hülsmann, S., Qin, X., Lu, X.X., Liong, S.Y., Rutschman, P., Disse, M., Koivusalo, H., Possible climate change/variability and human impacts, vulnerability of drought-prone regions, water resources and capacity building for Africa. Hydrol. Sci. J. 61:7 (2016), 1209–1226.
    • (2016) Hydrol. Sci. J. , vol.61 , Issue.7 , pp. 1209-1226
    • Gan, T.Y.1    Ito, M.2    Hülsmann, S.3    Qin, X.4    Lu, X.X.5    Liong, S.Y.6    Rutschman, P.7    Disse, M.8    Koivusalo, H.9
  • 24
    • 84873031543 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends and variability of climate and river flow in the region of Costa das Baleias, Brazil
    • Genz, F., Tanajura, C.A.S., Trends and variability of climate and river flow in the region of Costa das Baleias, Brazil. Water Sci. Technol. 67:1 (2012), 47–54.
    • (2012) Water Sci. Technol. , vol.67 , Issue.1 , pp. 47-54
    • Genz, F.1    Tanajura, C.A.S.2
  • 25
    • 85029779462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated spatial assessment of the water, energy and food dimensions of the sustainable development goals
    • Giupponi, C., Gain, A.K., Integrated spatial assessment of the water, energy and food dimensions of the sustainable development goals. Reg. Environ. Chang., 2016, 1–13.
    • (2016) Reg. Environ. Chang. , pp. 1-13
    • Giupponi, C.1    Gain, A.K.2
  • 26
    • 84948120067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding the Impact of Climate Change on Hydropower: the case of Cameroon - Climate Risk Assessment for hydropower generation in Cameroon
    • World Bank Group Washington DC Available at (Accessed 20 February 2018)
    • Grijsen, J.G., Understanding the Impact of Climate Change on Hydropower: the case of Cameroon - Climate Risk Assessment for hydropower generation in Cameroon. 2014, World Bank Group, Washington DC Available at https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/18243. (Accessed 20 February 2018)
    • (2014)
    • Grijsen, J.G.1
  • 28
    • 85166879426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate Risk Assessment of the Niger River Basin Sustainable Development Action Plan, Final Report
    • Niger Basin Authority (NBA) and the World Bank Available at (Accessed 20 February 2018)
    • Grijsen, J.G., Brown, C., Ghile, Y.B., Taner, Ü., Tarhule, A., Guero, A., Dessouassi, R.Y., Kone, S., Coulibaly, B., Climate Risk Assessment of the Niger River Basin Sustainable Development Action Plan, Final Report. Volumes 1–5, 2014, Niger Basin Authority (NBA) and the World Bank Available at http://www.abn.ne/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=233%3Aevaluation-des-risques-climatiques-du-plan-daction-de-developpement-durable-du-bassin-du-fleuve-niger-&catid=19%3Adregdebn&Itemid=18&lang=en. (Accessed 20 February 2018)
    • (2014) , vol.Volumes 1–5
    • Grijsen, J.G.1    Brown, C.2    Ghile, Y.B.3    Taner, Ü.4    Tarhule, A.5    Guero, A.6    Dessouassi, R.Y.7    Kone, S.8    Coulibaly, B.9
  • 29
    • 0030463491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual rainfall variability in North-east Brazil: observation and model simulation
    • Harzallah, A., Rocha de Aragao, J.O., Sadourny, R., Interannual rainfall variability in North-east Brazil: observation and model simulation. Int. J. Climatol. 16:8 (1996), 861–878.
    • (1996) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.16 , Issue.8 , pp. 861-878
    • Harzallah, A.1    Rocha de Aragao, J.O.2    Sadourny, R.3
  • 30
    • 84898633963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 8 Mighty Rivers Run Dry From Overuse
    • National Geographic Available at (Accessed 11 March 2016)
    • Howard, B.C., 8 Mighty Rivers Run Dry From Overuse. 2014, National Geographic Available at http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/photos/rivers-run-dry/. (Accessed 11 March 2016)
    • (2014)
    • Howard, B.C.1
  • 31
    • 85166815308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Depois de cinco anos de seca no Nordeste, a possibilidade de um colapso é significativa. Entrevista especial com David Ferran
    • Instituto Humanitas Unisinos – IHU Available at (Accessed 30 November 2016)
    • IHU On-line, Depois de cinco anos de seca no Nordeste, a possibilidade de um colapso é significativa. Entrevista especial com David Ferran. 2016, Instituto Humanitas Unisinos – IHU Available at http://www.ihu.unisinos.br/562171-depois-de-cinco-anos-de-seca-no-nordeste-a-possibilidade-de-um-colapso-e-significativa-entrevista-especial-com-david-ferran-versao-2. (Accessed 30 November 2016)
    • (2016)
    • IHU On-line1
  • 32
    • 34247370602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change 2013: the physical science basis
    • T.F. Stocker D. Qin G.-K. Plattner M. Tignor S.K. Allen J. Boschung A. Nauels Y. Xia V. Bex P.M. Midgley Cambridge University Press Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA
    • IPCC, Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S.K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P.M., (eds.) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
    • (2013) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • IPCC1
  • 33
    • 84941796382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Renewable Energy in the Water, Energy & Food Nexus
    • Available at (Accessed 18 May 2017)
    • IRENA, Renewable Energy in the Water, Energy & Food Nexus. Available at http://www.irena.org/menu/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&PriMenuID=36&CatID=141&SubcatID=496, 2015. (Accessed 18 May 2017)
    • (2015)
    • IRENA1
  • 34
    • 84939884708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the impact of climate change on drought regimes using the standardised precipitation index
    • Jenkins, K., Warren, R., Quantifying the impact of climate change on drought regimes using the standardised precipitation index. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 120 (2015), 41–54.
    • (2015) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.120 , pp. 41-54
    • Jenkins, K.1    Warren, R.2
  • 35
    • 85045467917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pesquisa aponta alto risco de desertificação na Bahia - Identificação de áreas vulneráveis em polos de produção agrícola serve de alerta para agricultores e representantes do poder público
    • Universidade Estadual de Campinas Available at (Accessed 25 February 2018)
    • Jornal da Unicamp, Pesquisa aponta alto risco de desertificação na Bahia - Identificação de áreas vulneráveis em polos de produção agrícola serve de alerta para agricultores e representantes do poder público. 2018, Universidade Estadual de Campinas Available at https://www.unicamp.br/unicamp/ju/noticias/2018/02/19/pesquisa-aponta-alto-risco-de-desertificacao-na-bahia. (Accessed 25 February 2018)
    • (2018)
    • Jornal da Unicamp1
  • 36
    • 12444334603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal variability of Northern Northeast Brazil rainfall and its relation to tropical sea surface temperature and global sea level pressure anomalies
    • Kayano, M.T., Andreoli, R.V., Decadal variability of Northern Northeast Brazil rainfall and its relation to tropical sea surface temperature and global sea level pressure anomalies. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 109(C11), 2004.
    • (2004) J. Geophys. Res. Oceans , vol.109 , Issue.C11
    • Kayano, M.T.1    Andreoli, R.V.2
  • 37
    • 33845638685 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate impacts of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation
    • Knight, J.R., Folland, C.K., Scaife, A.A., Climate impacts of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33(17), 2006.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33 , Issue.17
    • Knight, J.R.1    Folland, C.K.2    Scaife, A.A.3
  • 39
    • 84870504098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty assessment of hydrologic and climate forecast models in Northeastern Brazil
    • Kwon, H.H., Assis de Souza Filho, F., Block, P., Sun, L., Lall, U., Reis, D.S., Uncertainty assessment of hydrologic and climate forecast models in Northeastern Brazil. Hydrol. Process. 26:25 (2012), 3875–3885.
    • (2012) Hydrol. Process. , vol.26 , Issue.25 , pp. 3875-3885
    • Kwon, H.H.1    Assis de Souza Filho, F.2    Block, P.3    Sun, L.4    Lall, U.5    Reis, D.S.6
  • 41
    • 73549119463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The vulnerability of wind power to climate change in Brazil
    • Lucena, A.F.P., Szklo, A.S., Schaeffer, R., Dutra, R.M., The vulnerability of wind power to climate change in Brazil. Renew. Energy 35 (2010), 904–912.
    • (2010) Renew. Energy , vol.35 , pp. 904-912
    • Lucena, A.F.P.1    Szklo, A.S.2    Schaeffer, R.3    Dutra, R.M.4
  • 43
    • 34250628926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mudanças climáticas globais e seus efeitos sobre a biodiversidade: caracterização do clima atual e definição das alterações climáticas para o território brasileiro ao longo do século XXI/José A
    • 2a edição MMA - Ministério do Meio Ambiente Marengo – Brasília Available at (Accessed 30 March 2017)
    • Marengo, J.A., Mudanças climáticas globais e seus efeitos sobre a biodiversidade: caracterização do clima atual e definição das alterações climáticas para o território brasileiro ao longo do século XXI/José A. 2a edição, 2007, MMA - Ministério do Meio Ambiente, Marengo – Brasília Available at http://mudancasclimaticas.cptec.inpe.br/~rmclima/pdfs/prod_probio/Livro2_completo.pdf. (Accessed 30 March 2017)
    • (2007)
    • Marengo, J.A.1
  • 45
    • 84856956307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water and climate change
    • Marengo, J.A., Water and climate change. Estudos avançados, 22, 2008, 63.
    • (2008) Estudos avançados , vol.22 , pp. 63
    • Marengo, J.A.1
  • 46
    • 84925500692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional differences in aridity/drought conditions over Northeast Brazil: present state and future projections
    • Marengo, J.A., Bernasconi, M., Regional differences in aridity/drought conditions over Northeast Brazil: present state and future projections. Clim. Chang. 129 (2015), 103–115.
    • (2015) Clim. Chang. , vol.129 , pp. 103-115
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Bernasconi, M.2
  • 47
    • 34250628926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mudanças climáticas globais e seus efeitos sobre a biodiversidade: Caracterização do clima atual e definição das alterações climáticas para o território brasileiro ao longo do Século XXI, Sumário Técnico
    • MMA - Ministério do Meio Ambiente Available at (Accessed 30 March 2017)
    • Marengo, J.A., Nobre, C.A., Salati, E., Ambrizzi, T., Mudanças climáticas globais e seus efeitos sobre a biodiversidade: Caracterização do clima atual e definição das alterações climáticas para o território brasileiro ao longo do Século XXI, Sumário Técnico. 2007, MMA - Ministério do Meio Ambiente Available at http://mudancasclimaticas.cptec.inpe.br/~rmclima/pdfs/prod_probio/Sumario.pdf. (Accessed 30 March 2017)
    • (2007)
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Nobre, C.A.2    Salati, E.3    Ambrizzi, T.4
  • 48
    • 71449109811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system
    • Marengo, J.A., Jones, R., Alvesa, L.M., Valverde, M.C., Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from the PRECIS regional climate modeling system. Int. J. Climatol. 29 (2009), 2241–2255.
    • (2009) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.29 , pp. 2241-2255
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Jones, R.2    Alvesa, L.M.3    Valverde, M.C.4
  • 49
    • 84860343606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins
    • Marengo, J.A., Chou, S.C., Kay, G., Alves, L.M., Pesquero, J.F., Soares, W.R., et al. Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Paraná River basins. Clim. Dyn. 38 (2012), 1829–1848.
    • (2012) Clim. Dyn. , vol.38 , pp. 1829-1848
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Chou, S.C.2    Kay, G.3    Alves, L.M.4    Pesquero, J.F.5    Soares, W.R.6
  • 50
    • 85025706948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought in Northeast Brazil—past, present, and future
    • Marengo, J.A., Torres, R.R., Alves, L.M., Drought in Northeast Brazil—past, present, and future. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 124(3–4), 2016.
    • (2016) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.124 , Issue.3-4
    • Marengo, J.A.1    Torres, R.R.2    Alves, L.M.3
  • 51
    • 84887563277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Economics of Climate Change in Brazil: Costs and Opportunities
    • FEA/USP São Paulo Available at (Accessed 25 February 2018)
    • Margulis, S., Dubeux, C.B.S., Marcovitch, J., The Economics of Climate Change in Brazil: Costs and Opportunities. 2011, FEA/USP, São Paulo Available at http://www.usp.br/mudarfuturo/PDF/Estudo_do_Clima-Ingles-14-04-2011.pdf. (Accessed 25 February 2018)
    • (2011)
    • Margulis, S.1    Dubeux, C.B.S.2    Marcovitch, J.3
  • 53
    • 85043844116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological processes and climate change in hydrographic regions of Brazil
    • Neto, A.R., da Paz, A.R., Marengo, J.A., Chou, S.C., Hydrological processes and climate change in hydrographic regions of Brazil. J. Water Resour. Prot. 8 (2016), 1103–1127.
    • (2016) J. Water Resour. Prot. , vol.8 , pp. 1103-1127
    • Neto, A.R.1    da Paz, A.R.2    Marengo, J.A.3    Chou, S.C.4
  • 55
    • 85045434634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaporações líquidas nas usinas hidrelétricas - RE 3/214/2004
    • Available at (Accessed 21 November 2016)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico, Evaporações líquidas nas usinas hidrelétricas - RE 3/214/2004. Available at http://www.ons.org.br/operacao/rel_evaporacao.aspx, 2004. (Accessed 21 November 2016)
    • (2004)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico1
  • 56
    • 85166854498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plano da Operação Energética – PEN 2012 VOL. I – Relatório executivo RE 3/0146/2012
    • Available at (Accessed 16 January 2016)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico, Plano da Operação Energética – PEN 2012 VOL. I – Relatório executivo RE 3/0146/2012. Available at http://www.ons.org.br/download/avaliacao_condicao/operacao_energetica/PEN%202012_VOL1_RELATORIO%20EXECUTIVO.pdf, 2011. (Accessed 16 January 2016)
    • (2011)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico1
  • 57
    • 85166854963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representação das defluências das usinas do Rio São Francisco nos estudos de planejamento e programação da operação. Notícias 01/11/2016
    • Available at (Accessed 21 November 2016)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico, Representação das defluências das usinas do Rio São Francisco nos estudos de planejamento e programação da operação. Notícias 01/11/2016. Available at http://www.ons.org.br/sala_imprensa/2016nov01-defluencia_saofrancisco.aspx, 2016. (Accessed 21 November 2016)
    • (2016)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico1
  • 58
    • 85166804831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Históricas da Operação - Geração de Energia
    • Available at (Accessed 3 October 2018)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico, Históricas da Operação - Geração de Energia. Available at http://www.ons.org.br/historico/geracao_energia.aspx, 2018. (Accessed 3 October 2018)
    • (2018)
    • ONS – Operador Nacional do Sistema Elétrico1
  • 60
    • 69949110273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atlas brasileiro de energia solar
    • 2 ed. INPE São José dos Campos Available at (Accessed 27 February 2018)
    • Pereira, E.B., Martins, F.R., Gonçalves, A.R., Costa, R.S., Lopes de Lima, F.J., Rüther, R., et al. Atlas brasileiro de energia solar. 2 ed., 2017, INPE, São José dos Campos Available at http://labren.ccst.inpe.br/atlas_2017.html. (Accessed 27 February 2018)
    • (2017)
    • Pereira, E.B.1    Martins, F.R.2    Gonçalves, A.R.3    Costa, R.S.4    Lopes de Lima, F.J.5    Rüther, R.6
  • 62
    • 77955571078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: application to flood risk
    • Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R.L., Crooks, S., Kay, A.L., Reynard, N.S., Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: application to flood risk. J. Hydrol. 390:3–4 (2010), 198–209.
    • (2010) J. Hydrol. , vol.390 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 198-209
    • Prudhomme, C.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Crooks, S.3    Kay, A.L.4    Reynard, N.S.5
  • 63
    • 85166826779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptação às mudanças climáticas no Brasil: cenários e alternativas - Energia
    • PPE/COPPE/UFRJ
    • PSR, Adaptação às mudanças climáticas no Brasil: cenários e alternativas - Energia. 2015, PPE/COPPE/UFRJ.
    • (2015)
    • PSR1
  • 64
    • 84955269865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design: The Decision Tree Framework
    • World Bank Publications
    • Ray, P.A., Brown, C.M., Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design: The Decision Tree Framework. 2015, World Bank Publications.
    • (2015)
    • Ray, P.A.1    Brown, C.M.2
  • 66
    • 85027936817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall-runoff relationship: an Australian perspective
    • Saft, M., Western, A.W., Zhang, L., Peel, M.C., Potter, N.J., The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall-runoff relationship: an Australian perspective. Water Resour. Res. 51:4 (2015), 2444–2463.
    • (2015) Water Resour. Res. , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 2444-2463
    • Saft, M.1    Western, A.W.2    Zhang, L.3    Peel, M.C.4    Potter, N.J.5
  • 68
    • 84882301084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GPCC Full Data Reanalysis Version 7.0 at 0.5°: Monthly Land-Surface Precipitation from Rain-gauges Built on GTS-based and Historic Data
    • Schneider, U., Becker, A., Finger, P., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Rudolf, B., Ziese, M., GPCC Full Data Reanalysis Version 7.0 at 0.5°: Monthly Land-Surface Precipitation from Rain-gauges Built on GTS-based and Historic Data. 2015, 10.5676/DWD_GPCC/FD_M_V7_050.
    • (2015)
    • Schneider, U.1    Becker, A.2    Finger, P.3    Meyer-Christoffer, A.4    Rudolf, B.5    Ziese, M.6
  • 69
    • 84857367789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economics of storage, transmission and drought: integrating variable wind power into spatially separated electricity grids
    • Scorah, H., Sopinka, A., Van Kooten, G.C., The economics of storage, transmission and drought: integrating variable wind power into spatially separated electricity grids. Energy Econ. 34 (2012), 536–541.
    • (2012) Energy Econ. , vol.34 , pp. 536-541
    • Scorah, H.1    Sopinka, A.2    Van Kooten, G.C.3
  • 70
    • 85033470171 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating uncertainty and its temporal variation related to global climate models in quantifying climate change impacts on hydrology
    • Shen, M., Chen, J., Zhuan, M., Chen, H., Xu, C.Y., Xiong, L., Estimating uncertainty and its temporal variation related to global climate models in quantifying climate change impacts on hydrology. J. Hydrol. 556 (2018), 10–24.
    • (2018) J. Hydrol. , vol.556 , pp. 10-24
    • Shen, M.1    Chen, J.2    Zhuan, M.3    Chen, H.4    Xu, C.Y.5    Xiong, L.6
  • 71
    • 84878120039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate
    • Sillmann, J., Kharin, V.V., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F.W., Bronaugh, D., Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118:4 (2013), 1716–1733.
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. , vol.118 , Issue.4 , pp. 1716-1733
    • Sillmann, J.1    Kharin, V.V.2    Zhang, X.3    Zwiers, F.W.4    Bronaugh, D.5
  • 72
    • 3042810216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On climate variability in Northeast of Brazil
    • Silva, V.P.R.da., On climate variability in Northeast of Brazil. J. Arid Environ. 58 (2004), 575–596.
    • (2004) J. Arid Environ. , vol.58 , pp. 575-596
    • Silva, V.P.R.P.1
  • 73
    • 85015300683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating downscaled CMIP5 data with a physically based hydrologic model to estimate potential climate change impacts on streamflow processes in a mixed-use watershed
    • Sunde, M.G., He, H.S., Hubbart, J.A., Urban, M.A., Integrating downscaled CMIP5 data with a physically based hydrologic model to estimate potential climate change impacts on streamflow processes in a mixed-use watershed. Hydrol. Process. 31:9 (2017), 1790–1803.
    • (2017) Hydrol. Process. , vol.31 , Issue.9 , pp. 1790-1803
    • Sunde, M.G.1    He, H.S.2    Hubbart, J.A.3    Urban, M.A.4
  • 75
    • 84877660005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mudanças climáticas e recursos hídricos na Bahia: validação da simulação do clima presente do HadRM3P e comparação com os cenários A2 e B2 para 2070-2100
    • Tanajura, C.A.S., Genz, F., Araujo, H., Mudanças climáticas e recursos hídricos na Bahia: validação da simulação do clima presente do HadRM3P e comparação com os cenários A2 e B2 para 2070-2100. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia ed. online, vol. 3, 2010, 345–358.
    • (2010) Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia ed. online , vol.3 , pp. 345-358
    • Tanajura, C.A.S.1    Genz, F.2    Araujo, H.3
  • 76
    • 85101122008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Low Hydrology Scenario for the Brazilian Power Sector (2016–2030): Impact of Climate on Greenhouse Gas Emissions
    • The World Bank Brasília (132p)
    • The World Bank, Low Hydrology Scenario for the Brazilian Power Sector (2016–2030): Impact of Climate on Greenhouse Gas Emissions. 2017, The World Bank, Brasília (132p).
    • (2017)
    • The World Bank1
  • 77
    • 84929619111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall and streamflows in the Greater Melbourne catchment area: variability and recent anomalies
    • Timbal, B., Griffiths, M., Tan, K.S., Rainfall and streamflows in the Greater Melbourne catchment area: variability and recent anomalies. Clim. Res. 63:3 (2015), 215–232.
    • (2015) Clim. Res. , vol.63 , Issue.3 , pp. 215-232
    • Timbal, B.1    Griffiths, M.2    Tan, K.S.3
  • 80
    • 33645749499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK
    • Wilby, R.L., Harris, I., A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK. Water Resour. Res., 42, 2006, W02419, 10.1029/2005WR004065.
    • (2006) Water Resour. Res. , vol.42 , pp. W02419
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Harris, I.2
  • 81
    • 69249108767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Responses of streamflow to climate and land surface change in the headwaters of the Yellow River basin
    • Zheng, H., Zhang, L., Zhu, R., Liu, C., Sato, Y., Fukushima, Y., Responses of streamflow to climate and land surface change in the headwaters of the Yellow River basin. Water Resour. Res., 45(7), 2009.
    • (2009) Water Resour. Res. , vol.45 , Issue.7
    • Zheng, H.1    Zhang, L.2    Zhu, R.3    Liu, C.4    Sato, Y.5    Fukushima, Y.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.