The risk of sustained sexual transmission of Zika is underestimated

PLoS Pathogens

Volumn 13, Issue 9, 2017, Pages

  Allard, Antoine ^a   Althouse, Benjamin M ^b,c,d   Hébert Dufresne, Laurent ^b,e,f   Scarpino, Samuel V ^g  

^a CENTRE DE RECERCA MATEMÀTICA   (Spain)

^b INSTITUTE FOR DISEASE MODELING   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^d NEW MEXICO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^e SANTA FE INSTITUTE   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT   (United States)

^g NORTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; FEMALE; HUMAN; MALE; NONHUMAN; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR; SEXUAL TRANSMISSION; SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASE; ZIKA FEVER; ZIKA VIRUS; EPIDEMIC; THEORETICAL MODEL; TRANSMISSION;

DISEASE OUTBREAKS; HUMANS; MODELS, THEORETICAL; ZIKA VIRUS; ZIKA VIRUS INFECTION;

EID: 85030478115     PISSN: 15537366     EISSN: 15537374     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1006633     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Moreira J, Peixoto TM, Siqueira AMd, Lamas CC, Sexually acquired Zika virus: a systematic review. Clinical Microbiology and Infection. 2017;23(5):296–305. doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2016.12.027 28062314
2. Hills SL, Transmission of Zika virus through sexual contact with travelers to areas of ongoing transmission—continental United States, 2016. MMWR Morbidity and mortality weekly report. 2016;65. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6508e2
3. Coelho FC, Durovni B, Saraceni V, Lemos C, Codeco CT, Camargo S, et al. Higher incidence of Zika in adult women than adult men in Rio de Janeiro suggests a significant contribution of sexual transmission from men to women. Int J Infect Dis. 2016;51:128–132. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2016.08.023 27664930
4. Deckard DT, Male-to-male sexual transmission of Zika virus—Texas, January 2016. MMWR Morbidity and mortality weekly report. 2016;65. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6514a3 27078057
5. Foy BD, Kobylinski KC, Foy JLC, Blitvich BJ, da Rosa AT, Haddow AD, et al. Probable non–vector-borne transmission of Zika virus, Colorado, USA. Emerging infectious diseases. 2011;17(5):880. doi: 10.3201/eid1705.101939 21529401
6. Paz-Bailey G, Rosenberg ES, Doyle K, Munoz-Jordan J, Santiago GA, Klein L, et al. Persistence of Zika virus in body fluids—Preliminary report. New England Journal of Medicine. 2017;. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1613108 28195756
7. Visseaux B, Mortier E, Houhou-Fidouh N, Brichler S, Collin G, Larrouy L, et al. Zika virus in the female genital tract. Lancet Infect Dis. 2016;16:1000–01. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30193-1
8. Nicastri E, Castilletti C, Liuzzi G, Iannetta M, Capobianchi MR, Ippolito G, Persistent detection of Zika virus RNA in semen for six months after symptom onset in a traveller returning from Haiti to Italy, February 2016. Eurosurveillance. 2016;21(32). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2016.21.32.30314 27541989
9. Duggal NK, Ritter JM, Pestorius SE, Zaki SR, Davis BS, Chang GJJ, et al. Frequent Zika Virus Sexual Transmission and Prolonged Viral RNA Shedding in an Immunodeficient Mouse Model. Cell Reports. 2017;18(7):1751–1760. doi: 10.1016/j.celrep.2017.01.056 28199846
10. Haddow AD, Nalca A, Rossi FD, Miller LJ, Wiley MR, Perez-Sautu U, et al. High Infection Rates for Adult Macaques after Intravaginal or Intrarectal Inoculation with Zika Virus. Emerg Infect Dis. 2017;23. doi: 10.3201/eid2308.170036 28548637
11. Martinez LE, Garcia G, Contreras D, Gong D, Sun R, Arumugaswami V. Pathogenesis of Zika Virus Infection via Rectal Route. bioRxiv. 2017; p. 128876.
12. Turmel JM, Abgueguen P, Hubert B, Vandamme YM, Maquart M, Le Guillou-Guillemette H, et al. Late sexual transmission of Zika virus related to persistence in the semen. The Lancet. 2016;387(10037):2501. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30775-9
13. Althaus CL, Low N, How Relevant Is Sexual Transmission of Zika Virus?PLOS Med. 2016;13:e1002157. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002157 27780196
14. Yakob L, Kucharski A, Hue S, Edmunds WJ, Low risk of a sexually-transmitted Zika virus outbreak. Lancet Infect Dis. 2016;16:1100–1102. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30324-3 27676337
15. Mansuy JM, Dutertre M, Mengelle C, Fourcade C, Marchou B, Delobel P, et al. Zika virus: high infectious viral load in semen, a new sexually transmitted pathogen. Lancet Infect Dis. 2016;16(4):405. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)00138-9 26949027
16. Patiño-Barbosa AM, Medina I, Gil-Restrepo AF, Rodriguez-Morales AJ, Zika: another sexually transmitted infection?Sex Transm Infect. 2015;91(5):359–359. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2015-052189 26113729
17. Maxian O, Neufeld A, Talis EJ, Childs LM, Blackwood JC, Zika virus dynamics: When does sexual transmission matter?Epidemics. 2017;. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.06.003 28688996
18. US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Sexual Transmission and Prevention. 2017. Atlanta, G.A.: CDC; 2017. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/zika/prevention/sexual-transmission-prevention.html.
19. Uraki R, Jurado KA, Hwang J, Szigeti-Buck K, Horvath TL, Iwasaki A, et al. Fetal Growth Restriction Caused by Sexual Transmission of Zika Virus in Mice. The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2017;215(11):1720–1724. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jix204 28472297
20. Duffy MR, Chen TH, Hancock WT, Powers AM, Kool JL, Lanciotti RS, et al. Zika virus outbreak on Yap Island, federated states of Micronesia. New England Journal of Medicine. 2009;360(24):2536–2543. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0805715 19516034
21. Grills A, Projected Zika virus importation and subsequent ongoing transmission after travel to the 2016 Olympic and Paralympic Games—country-specific assessment, July 2016. MMWR Morbidity and mortality weekly report. 2016;65. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6528e1 27442184
22. Teng Y, Bi D, Xie G, Jin Y, Huang Y, Lin B, et al. Model-informed risk assessment for Zika virus outbreaks in the Asia-Pacific regions. Journal of Infection. 2017;. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2017.01.015
23. Viennet E, Mincham G, Frentiu FD, Jansen CC, Montgomery BL, Harley D, et al. Epidemic Potential for Local Transmission of Zika Virus in 2015 and 2016 in Queensland, Australia. PLOS Currents Outbreaks. 2016;. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.73d82b08998c6d729c41ef6cdcc80176
24. Riou J, Poletto C, Boëlle PY, A comparative analysis of Chikungunya and Zika transmission. Epidemics. 2017;. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.001 28139388
25. Caminade C, Turner J, Metelmann S, Hesson JC, Blagrove MS, Solomon T, et al. Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2017;114(1):119–124. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1614303114
26. Ding C, Tao N, Zhu Y. A mathematical model of Zika virus and its optimal control. In: Control Conference (CCC), 2016 35th Chinese. IEEE; 2016. p. 2642–2645.
27. Perkins TA, Siraj AS, Ruktanonchai CW, Kraemer MU, Tatem AJ, Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas. Nature Microbiology. 2016;1:16126. doi: 10.1038/nmicrobiol.2016.126 27562260
28. Manore CA, Ostfeld RS, Agusto FB, Gaff H, LaDeau SL, Defining the risk of Zika and chikungunya virus transmission in human population centers of the eastern United States. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2017;11(1):e0005255. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005255 28095405
29. Kucharski AJ, Funk S, Eggo RM, Mallet HP, Edmunds WJ, Nilles EJ, Transmission dynamics of Zika virus in island populations: a modelling analysis of the 2013–14 French Polynesia outbreak. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016;10(5):e0004726. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004726 27186984
30. Zhang Q, Sun K, Chinazzi M, Pastore y Piontti A, Dean NE, Rojas DP, et al. Spread of Zika virus in the Americas. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2017; p. 201620161.
31. Gao D, Lou Y, He D, Porco TC, Kuang Y, Chowell G, et al. Prevention and control of Zika as a mosquito-borne and sexually transmitted disease: a mathematical modeling analysis. Scientific reports. 2016;6.
32. Allard A, Althouse BM, Scarpino SV, Hébert-Dufresne L, Asymmetric percolation drives a double transition in sexual contact networks. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2017;114:8969–8973. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1703073114 28790185
33. Miller JC, Mathematical models of SIR disease spread with combined non-sexual and sexual transmission routes. Infectious Disease Modelling. 2017;. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2016.12.003
34. Agusto F, Bewick S, Fagan W, Mathematical model for Zika virus dynamics with sexual transmission route. Ecological Complexity. 2017;29:61–81. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2016.12.007
35. Brauer F, Castillo-Chavez C, Mubayi A, Towers S, Some models for epidemics of vector-transmitted diseases. Infectious Disease Modelling. 2016;1(1):79–87. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2016.08.001
36. Liljeros F, Edling CR, Amaral LAN, Stanley HE, Åberg Y, The web of human sexual contacts. Nature. 2001;411(6840):907–908. doi: 10.1038/35082140 11418846
37. Allard A, Noël PA, Dubé LJ, Pourbohloul B, Heterogeneous bond percolation on multitype networks with an application to epidemic dynamics. Phys Rev E. 2009;79:036113. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.79.036113
38. Chandra A, Copen CE, Mosher WD. Sexual behavior, sexual attraction, and sexual identity in the United States: Data from the 2006–2010 National Survey of Family Growth. In: International handbook on the demography of sexuality. Springer; 2013. p. 45–66.
39. Grulich AE, Visser RO, Smith A, Rissel CE, Richters J, Sex in Australia: homosexual experience and recent homosexual encounters. Australian and New Zealand journal of public health. 2003;27(2):155–163. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-842X.2003.tb00803.x 14696706
40. Baumle AK, Introduction: The Demography of Sexuality. In: International Handbook on the Demography of Sexuality. Springer; 2013. p. 3–9.
41. Feld SL, Why Your Friends Have More Friends Than You Do. Am J Sociol. 1991;96:1464–1477. doi: 10.1086/229693
42. Newman MEJ, Spread of epidemic disease on networks. Phys Rev E. 2002;66:016128. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.66.016128
43. Hethcote HW, Yorke JA, Gonorrhea Transmission Dynamics and Control. vol. 56 of Lecture Notes in Biomathematics. Berlin, Heidelberg: SpringerBerlin Heidelberg; 1984.
44. Lessler JT, Ott CT, Carcelen AC, Konikoff JM, Williamson J, Bi Q, et al. Times to key events in the course of Zika infection and their implications: a systematic review and pooled analysis. Bull World Health Organ. 2016;1.
45. U S Food & Drugs Administration. Biologics Guidances. 2017. Silver Spring, M.D.: US FDA; 2017. Available from: https://www.fda.gov/BiologicsBloodVaccines/GuidanceComplianceRegulatoryInformation/Guidances/default.htm.
46. Jimenez A, Shaz BH, Bloch EM, Zika Virus and the Blood Supply: What Do We Know?Transfusion Medicine Reviews. 2017;31(1):1–10. 27569055
47. Chevalier M, Biggerstaff B, Basavaraju S, Ocfemia M, Alsina J, Climent-Peris C, et al. Use of Blood Donor Screening Data to Estimate Zika Virus Incidence, Puerto Rico, April-August 2016. Emerging infectious diseases. 2017;23(5). doi: 10.3201/eid2305.161873 28263141
48. Vasquez AM, Sapiano MR, Basavaraju SV, Kuehnert MJ, Rivera-Garcia B, Survey of Blood Collection Centers and Implementation of Guidance for Prevention of Transfusion-Transmitted Zika Virus Infection—Puerto Rico, 2016. American Journal of Transplantation. 2016;16(8):2487–2490. doi: 10.1111/ajt.13941 27441778
49. Frieden TR, Schuchat A, Petersen LR, Zika virus 6 months later. Jama. 2016;316(14):1443–1444. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.11941 27532277
50. Anaya JM, Rodríguez Y, Monsalve DM, Vega D, Ojeda E, González-Bravo D, et al. A comprehensive analysis and immunobiology of autoimmune neurological syndromes during the Zika virus outbreak in Cúcuta, Colombia. Journal of Autoimmunity. 2017;. doi: 10.1016/j.jaut.2016.12.007
51. Vinhaes ES, Santos LA, Dias L, Andrade NA, Bezerra VH, de Carvalho AT, et al. Transient Hearing Loss in Adults Associated with Zika Virus Infection. Clinical Infectious Diseases. 2016; p. ciw770. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciw770
52. Govero J, Esakky P, Scheaffer SM, Fernandez E, Drury A, Platt DJ, et al. Zika virus infection damages the testes in mice. Nature. 2016;540(7633):438–442. doi: 10.1038/nature20556 27798603
53. Uraki R, Hwang J, Jurado KA, Householder S, Yockey LJ, Hastings AK, et al. Zika virus causes testicular atrophy. Science Advances. 2017;3(2):e1602899. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1602899 28261663
54. Folkers K, Caplan A, Igel L, Zika, sexual transmission and prudent public health policy. Public Health. 2017;148:66–68. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2017.02.018 28419888