메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 1, Issue 9, 2016, Pages

Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMMUNICABLE DISEASE; EPIDEMIC; FEMALE; HUMAN; PHYSIOLOGY; PREGNANCY; RISK; SEROEPIDEMIOLOGY; THEORETICAL MODEL; TRANSMISSION; VIROLOGY; WESTERN HEMISPHERE; ZIKA FEVER; ZIKA VIRUS;

EID: 84983608378     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20585276     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nmicrobiol.2016.126     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (112)

References (54)
  • 1
    • 84959283609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zika virus associated with microcephaly
    • Mlakar, J. et al. Zika virus associated with microcephaly. New Engl. J. Med. 374, 951-958 (2016).
    • (2016) New Engl. J. Med. , vol.374 , pp. 951-958
    • Mlakar, J.1
  • 2
    • 85005989501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zika virus infection in pregnant women in Rio de Janeiro-preliminary report
    • Brasil, P. et al. Zika virus infection in pregnant women in Rio de Janeiro-preliminary report. New Engl. J. Med. http://dx. doi. org/10. 1056/NEJMoa1602412 (2016).
    • (2016) New Engl. J. Med.
    • Brasil, P.1
  • 3
    • 84969756961 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus
    • Messina, J. P. et al. Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus. eLife 5, 15272 (2016).
    • (2016) ELife , vol.5 , pp. 15272
    • Messina, J.P.1
  • 4
    • 84961142182 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between Zika virus infection and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013-2015: A retrospective study
    • Cauchemez, S. et al. Association between Zika virus infection and microcephaly in French Polynesia, 2013-2015: a retrospective study. Lancet 387, 2125-2132 (2016).
    • (2016) Lancet , vol.387 , pp. 2125-2132
    • Cauchemez, S.1
  • 7
    • 84937064804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. Albopictus
    • Kraemer, M. U. G. et al. The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus. eLife 4, e08347 (2015).
    • (2015) ELife , vol.4 , pp. e08347
    • Kraemer, M.U.G.1
  • 8
    • 84983657898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pan American Health Organization
    • Zika-Epidemiological Update (Pan American Health Organization, 2016).
    • (2016) Zika-Epidemiological Update
  • 9
    • 84959294525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The emerging Zika pandemic: Enhancing preparedness
    • Lucey, D. R. & Gostin, L. O. The emerging Zika pandemic: enhancing preparedness. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 315, 865-866 (2016).
    • (2016) J. Am. Med. Assoc. , vol.315 , pp. 865-866
    • Lucey, D.R.1    Gostin, L.O.2
  • 10
    • 84956901059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The next steps on Zika
    • The next steps on Zika. Nature 530, 5 (2016).
    • (2016) Nature , vol.530 , pp. 5
  • 11
    • 73949141293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time
    • Elith, J. & Leathwick, J. Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. System. 40, 677-697 (2009).
    • (2009) Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. System. , vol.40 , pp. 677-697
    • Elith, J.1    Leathwick, J.2
  • 12
    • 0000998185 scopus 로고
    • A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics
    • Kermack, W. & McKendrick, A. A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proc. R. Soc. A 115, 700-721 (1927).
    • (1927) Proc. R. Soc. A , vol.115 , pp. 700-721
    • Kermack, W.1    McKendrick, A.2
  • 14
    • 84952780639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution gridded population datasets for Latin America and the Caribbean in 2010, 2015, and 2020
    • Sorichetta, A. et al. High-resolution gridded population datasets for Latin America and the Caribbean in 2010, 2015, and 2020. Sci. Data 2, 150045 (2015).
    • (2015) Sci. Data , vol.2 , pp. 150045
    • Sorichetta, A.1
  • 15
    • 41249091580 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seroprevalence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection on Lamu Island, Kenya, October 2004
    • Sergon, K. et al. Seroprevalence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection on Lamu Island, Kenya, October 2004. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 78, 333-337 (2008).
    • (2008) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.78 , pp. 333-337
    • Sergon, K.1
  • 16
    • 84861208630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ross MacDonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens
    • Smith, D. L. et al. Ross, Macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLOS Pathogens 8, e1002588 (2012).
    • (2012) PLOS Pathogens , vol.8 , pp. e1002588
    • Smith, D.L.1
  • 17
    • 84904530045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global temperature constraints on Aedes aegypti and Ae. Albopictus persistence and competence for dengue virus transmission
    • Brady, O. J. et al. Global temperature constraints on Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus persistence and competence for dengue virus transmission. Parasites Vector. 7, 338 (2014).
    • (2014) Parasites Vector. , vol.7 , pp. 338
    • Brady, O.J.1
  • 18
    • 84870585150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The incubation periods of dengue viruses
    • Chan, M. & Johansson, M. A. The incubation periods of dengue viruses. PLoS ONE 7, e50972 (2012).
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , pp. e50972
    • Chan, M.1    Johansson, M.A.2
  • 20
    • 0037240731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Texas lifestyle limits transmission of dengue virus
    • Reiter, P. et al. Texas lifestyle limits transmission of dengue virus. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 9, 86-89 (2003).
    • (2003) Emerg. Infect. Dis. , vol.9 , pp. 86-89
    • Reiter, P.1
  • 21
    • 80255127568 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The final size of an epidemic and its relation to the basic reproduction number
    • Andreasen, V. The final size of an epidemic and its relation to the basic reproduction number. Bull. Math. Biol. 73, 2305-2321 (2011).
    • (2011) Bull. Math. Biol. , vol.73 , pp. 2305-2321
    • Andreasen, V.1
  • 22
    • 84895767049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of heterogeneous blood feeding patterns by Aedes aegypti in Iquitos
    • Liebman, K. A. et al. Determinants of heterogeneous blood feeding patterns by Aedes aegypti in Iquitos, Peru. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 8, e2702 (2014).
    • (2014) Peru. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. , vol.8 , pp. e2702
    • Liebman, K.A.1
  • 23
    • 84876804736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global distribution and burden of dengue
    • Bhatt, S. et al. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 496, 504-507 (2013).
    • (2013) Nature , vol.496 , pp. 504-507
    • Bhatt, S.1
  • 26
    • 84880334486 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Millenium development health metrics: Where do Africa's children and women of childbearing age live?
    • Tatem, A. J. et al. Millenium development health metrics: where do Africa's children and women of childbearing age live? Popul. Health Metrics 11, 11 (2013).
    • (2013) Popul. Health Metrics , vol.11 , pp. 11
    • Tatem, A.J.1
  • 27
    • 29544443445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas
    • Hijmans, R. et al. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int. J. Climatol. 25, 1965-1978 (2005).
    • (2005) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.25 , pp. 1965-1978
    • Hijmans, R.1
  • 28
    • 33644859585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geography and macroeconomics: New data and new findings
    • Nordhaus, W. Geography and macroeconomics: new data and new findings. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 103, 3510-3517 (2006).
    • (2006) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.103 , pp. 3510-3517
    • Nordhaus, W.1
  • 30
    • 84962359530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease
    • Metcalf, C. J. E. et al. Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease. Lancet http://dx. doi. org/10. 1016/S0140-6736(16)30164-7 (2016).
    • (2016) Lancet
    • Metcalf, C.J.E.1
  • 31
    • 84891531297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping for maternal and newborn health: The distributions of women of childbearing age, pregnancies and births
    • Tatem, A. J. et al. Mapping for maternal and newborn health: the distributions of women of childbearing age, pregnancies and births. Int. J. Health Geogr. 13, 2 (2013).
    • (2013) Int. J. Health Geogr. , vol.13 , pp. 2
    • Tatem, A.J.1
  • 32
    • 84923279600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disaggregating census data for population mapping using random forests with remotely-sensed and ancillary data
    • Stevens, F. R. et al. Disaggregating census data for population mapping using random forests with remotely-sensed and ancillary data. PLoS ONE 10, e0107042 (2015).
    • (2015) PLoS ONE , vol.10 , pp. e0107042
    • Stevens, F.R.1
  • 34
    • 84910046463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An effective approach for gap-filling continental scale remotely sensed time-series
    • Weiss, D. et al. An effective approach for gap-filling continental scale remotely sensed time-series. ISPRS J. Photogr. Remote Sens. 98, 106-118 (2014).
    • (2014) ISPRS J. Photogr. Remote Sens. , vol.98 , pp. 106-118
    • Weiss, D.1
  • 35
    • 84964883380 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US Central Intelligence Agency
    • The World Factbook (US Central Intelligence Agency, 2016); https://www. cia. gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/xx. html
    • (2016) The World Factbook
  • 36
    • 51349141686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating chikungunya prevalence in Reunion Island outbreak by serosurveys: Two methods for two critical times of the epidemic
    • Gerardin, P. et al. Estimating chikungunya prevalence in Reunion Island outbreak by serosurveys: two methods for two critical times of the epidemic. BMC Infect. Dis. 8, 99 (2008).
    • (2008) BMC Infect. Dis. , vol.8 , pp. 99
    • Gerardin, P.1
  • 37
    • 0026277074 scopus 로고
    • Correlations between incidence and abundance are expected by chance
    • Wright, D. Correlations between incidence and abundance are expected by chance. J. Biogeogr. 18, 463-466 (1991).
    • (1991) J. Biogeogr. , vol.18 , pp. 463-466
    • Wright, D.1
  • 38
    • 84894277295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shape constrained additive models
    • Pya, N. & Wood, S. Shape constrained additive models. Statist. Comput. 25, 543-559 (2015).
    • (2015) Statist. Comput. , vol.25 , pp. 543-559
    • Pya, N.1    Wood, S.2
  • 39
    • 84890007905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling adult Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus survival at different temperatures in laboratory and field settings
    • Brady, O. J. et al. Modelling adult Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus survival at different temperatures in laboratory and field settings. Parasites Vector. 6, 351-362 (2013).
    • (2013) Parasites Vector. , vol.6 , pp. 351-362
    • Brady, O.J.1
  • 40
    • 0031899440 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aedes aegypti survival and dispersal estimated by mark-release-recapture in northern Australia
    • Muir, L. & Kay, B. Aedes aegypti survival and dispersal estimated by mark-release-recapture in northern Australia. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 58, 277-282 (1998).
    • (1998) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.58 , pp. 277-282
    • Muir, L.1    Kay, B.2
  • 41
    • 33947388015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural history of dengue virus (DENV)-1 and DENV-4 infections: Reanalysis of classic studies
    • Nishiura, H. & Halstead, S. Natural history of dengue virus (DENV)-1 and DENV-4 infections: reanalysis of classic studies. J. Infect. Dis. 195, 1007-1013 (2007).
    • (2007) J. Infect. Dis. , vol.195 , pp. 1007-1013
    • Nishiura, H.1    Halstead, S.2
  • 42
    • 0001857193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Longitudinal studies of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) in Thailand and Puerto Rico: Blood feeding frequency
    • Scott, T. W. et al. Longitudinal studies of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) in Thailand and Puerto Rico: blood feeding frequency. J. Med. Entomol. 37, 89-101 (2000).
    • (2000) J. Med. Entomol. , vol.37 , pp. 89-101
    • Scott, T.W.1
  • 43
    • 84875746806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquitoborne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010
    • Reiner, R. C. et al. A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquitoborne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010. J. R. Soc. Interface 10, 20120921 (2013).
    • (2013) J. R. Soc. Interface , vol.10 , pp. 20120921
    • Reiner, R.C.1
  • 45
    • 33746581986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease
    • Ma, J. & Earn, D. J. Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease. Bull. Math. Biol. 68, 679-702 (2006).
    • (2006) Bull. Math. Biol. , vol.68 , pp. 679-702
    • Ma, J.1    Earn, D.J.2
  • 46
    • 84945895822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Big city, small world: Density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan
    • Kraemer, M. U. G. et al. Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan. J. R. Soc. Interface 12, 20150468 (2015).
    • (2015) J. R. Soc. Interface , vol.12 , pp. 20150468
    • Kraemer, M.U.G.1
  • 47
    • 84965014990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Core Team R: R Foundation for Statistical Computing
    • R Core Team R: A Language for Statistical Computing (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, 2014); http://www. R-project. org
    • (2014) A Language for Statistical Computing
  • 48
    • 67149088928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zika virus outbreak on Yap Island, Federated States of Micronesia
    • Duffy, M. et al. Zika virus outbreak on Yap Island, Federated States of Micronesia. New Engl. J. Med. 360, 2536-2543 (2009).
    • (2009) New Engl. J. Med. , vol.360 , pp. 2536-2543
    • Duffy, M.1
  • 49
    • 84867843970 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seroprevalence of antibodies against chikungunya, dengue, and Rift Valley fever viruses after febrile illness outbreak, Madagascar
    • Schwarz, N. et al. Seroprevalence of antibodies against chikungunya, dengue, and Rift Valley fever viruses after febrile illness outbreak, Madagascar. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 18, 1780-1786 (2012).
    • (2012) Emerg. Infect. Dis. , vol.18 , pp. 1780-1786
    • Schwarz, N.1
  • 50
    • 46249104982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outbreak of chikungunya fever in Mayotte Comoros archipelago 2005-2006
    • Sissoko, D. et al. Outbreak of chikungunya fever in Mayotte, Comoros archipelago, 2005-2006. Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg. 102, 780-786 (2008).
    • (2008) Trans. R. Soc. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.102 , pp. 780-786
    • Sissoko, D.1
  • 51
    • 79952945185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid spread of chikungunya virus infection in Orissa India
    • Dwibedi, B. et al. Rapid spread of chikungunya virus infection in Orissa, India. Indian J. Med. Res. 133, 316-321 (2011).
    • (2011) Indian J. Med. Res. , vol.133 , pp. 316-321
    • Dwibedi, B.1
  • 52
    • 84957680854 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seroprevalence and asymptomatic rates of Asian lineage chikungunya virus infection on Saint Martin Caribbean
    • Gay, N. et al. Seroprevalence and asymptomatic rates of Asian lineage chikungunya virus infection on Saint Martin, Caribbean. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 94, 393-396 (2015).
    • (2015) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.94 , pp. 393-396
    • Gay, N.1
  • 53
    • 77949830922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chikungunya virus in north-eastern Italy: A seroprevalence study
    • Moro, M. et al. Chikungunya virus in north-eastern Italy: a seroprevalence study. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 82, 508-511 (2010).
    • (2010) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.82 , pp. 508-511
    • Moro, M.1
  • 54
    • 84957670421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clinical attack rate of chikungunya in a cohort of Nicaraguan children
    • Balmaseda, A. et al. Clinical attack rate of chikungunya in a cohort of Nicaraguan children. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 94, 397-399 (2016).
    • (2016) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. , vol.94 , pp. 397-399
    • Balmaseda, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.