Attribution and prediction of extreme events: Editorial on the special issue

Weather and Climate Extremes

Volumn 9, Issue , 2015, Pages 2-5

  Seneviratne, Sonia I ^a   Zwiers, Francis W ^b  

^a ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

^b Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 85027954031     PISSN: 22120947     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2015.08.003     Document Type: Editorial

References (35)

1. Alexander L.V., et al. Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J. Geophys. Res. 2006, 111:D05109. 10.1029/2005JD006290.
2. Alexander, L.V., Zhang, X., Hegerl, G.C., Seneviratne, S.I., 2015. Implementation plan for the WCRP Grand Challenge on Understanding and Predicting Weather and Climate Extremes. Document available from: . http://www.wcrp-climate.org/gc-extremes-documents.
3. Allen M.R. Liability for climate change. Nature 2003, 421:891-892.
4. Avila F.B., Dong S., Menang K.P., Rajczak J., Renom M., Donat M.G., Alexander L.V. Systematic investigation of gridding-related scaling effects on annual statistics of daily temperature and precipitation maxima: a case study for south-east Australia. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:6-16.
5. Bador M., Naveau P., Gilleland E., Castella M., Arivelo T. Spatial clustering of summer temperature maxima from the CNRM-CM5 climate model ensembles & E-OBS over Europe. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:17-24.
6. Bellprat O., Fraser C.L., Gulizia C., Parker H.R., Pampuch L.A., Pinto I., Ciavarella A., Stott P.A. Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over Southern Africa and South America from a climate perspective. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:36-46.
7. Bindoff N.L., Stott P.A., AchutaRao K.M., Allen M.R., Gillett N., Gutzler D., Hansingo K., Hegerl G., Hu Y., Jain S., Mokhov I.I., Overland J., Perlwitz J., Sebbari R., Zhang X. Detection and attribution of climate change: from global to regional 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, P.M. Midgley (Eds.).
8. Doblas-Reyes F.J., Garcia-Serrano J., Lienert F., Biescas A.P, Rodriguez L.R.L. Seasonal climate variability and forecasting: status and prospects. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. - Clim. Change 2013, 4(4):245-268. 10.1002/wcc.217.
9. Donat M.G., Alexander L.V., Yang H., Durre I., Vose R., Caesar J. Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc 2013, 997-1006.
10. Greve P., Orlowsky B., Mueller B., Sheffield J., Reichstein M., Seneviratne S.I. Global assessment of trends in wetting and drying over land. Nat. Geosci. 2014, 7:716-721. 10.1038/NGEO2247.
11. Hegerl G.C., Zwiers F.W., Braconnot P., Gillett N.P., Luo Y., Marengo Orsini J.A., Nicholls N., Penner J.E., Stott P.A. Understanding and attributing climate change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (Eds.).
12. Herring S.C., Hoerling M.P., Peterson T.C., Stott P.A. Explaining extreme events of 2013 from a climate perspective. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc 2014, 95:S1-S96. 10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1.
13. IPCC, 2012. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. In: Field, C.B., Barros V.,Stocker, T.F., Qin, D. Dokken, D.J., Ebi, K.L., Mastrandrea, M.D., Mach, K.J., Plattner, G.-K., Allen, S.K., Tignor, M., Midgley, P.M. (Eds.). A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, New York, NY, USA, 582 pp.
14. Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., Wehner M.F. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble. Clim. Change 2013, 119:345357. 10.1007/s10584-013-0705-8.
15. Kidston J., Scaife A.A., Hardiman S.C., Mitchell D.M., Butchart N., Baldwin M.P., Gray L.J. Stratospheric influence on tropospheric jet streams, storm tracks and surface weather. Nat. Geosci. 2013, 8(6):433-440. 10.1038/NGEO2424.
16. Martius O., Sodemann H., Joos H., Pfahl S., Winschall A., Croci-Maspoli M., Graf M., Madonna E., Mueller B., Schemm S., Sedláček J., Sprenger M., Wernli H. Upper-level dynamics and surface processes for the Pakistan flood in July 2010. Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc. 2013, 139:1780-1797.
17. Mueller B., Seneviratne S.I. Hot days induced by precipitation deficits at the global scale. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2012, 109(31):12398-12403. 10.1073/pnas.1204330109.
18. Mueller B., Hauser M., Iles C., Rimi R.H., Zwiers F.W., Wan H. Lengthening of the growing season in wheat and maize producing regions. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:47-56.
19. O'Gorman P.A., Schneider T. The physical basis for increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st-century climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2009, 106(35):14773-14777.
20. Pall P., Aina T., Stone D.A., Stott P.A., Nozawa T., Hilberts A.G.J., Lohmann D., Allen M.R. Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000. Nature 2011, 470:382-385. 10.1038/nature09762.
21. Pepler A.S., Diaz L.B., Prodhomme C., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Kumar A. The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold, and wet extremes. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:68-77.
22. Pitman A.J., de Noblet-Ducoudré N., Avila F.B., Alexander L.V., Boisier J.P., Brovkin V., Delire C., Cruz F., Donat M.G., Gayler V., van den Hurk B., Reick C., Voldoire A. Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations. Earth Syst. Dyn 2012, 3:213-231.
23. Seneviratne S.I., Lüthi D., Litschi M., Schär C. Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe. Nature 2006, 443:205-209.
24. Seneviratne S.I., Nicholls N., Easterling D., Goodess C.M., Kanae S., Kossin J., Luo Y., Marengo J., McInnes K., Rahimi M., Reichstein M., Sorteberg A., Vera C., Zhang X. Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment 2012, 109-230. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA. C.B. Field, V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, P.M. Midgley (Eds.).
25. Seneviratne S.I, Donat M., Mueller B., Alexander L.V. No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes. Nat. Clim. Change 2014, 4:161-163.
26. Sheffield J., Wood E.F., Roderick M.L. Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature 2012, 491:435-438.
27. Sippel S., Mitchell D., Black M.T., Dittus A.J., Harrington L., Schaller N., Otto F.E.L. Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:25-35.
28. Stott P.A., Stone D.A., Allen M.R. Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature 2004, 432:610-614.
29. van Oldenborgh G.J., van Urk A., Allen M.R. The absence of a role of climate change in the 2011 Thailand floods. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 2012, 93:1047-1049.
30. Weisheimer A., Doblas-Reyes F.J., Jung T., Palmer T.N. On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2011, 38:L05704. 10.1029/2010GL046455.
31. Wilby R.L., Troni J., Biot Y., Tedd L., Hewitson B.C., Smith D.M., Sutton R.T. A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning. Int. J. Climatol. 2009, 29:1193-1215. 10.1002/joc.1839.
32. Whan K., Zscheischler J., Orth R., Shongwe M., Rahimi M., Asare E.O., Seneviratne S.I. Impact of soil moisture on extreme maximum temperatures in Europe. Weather Clim. Extremes 2015, 9:57-67.
33. Zhang X., Hegerl, G.C., Seneviratne, S.I., Stewart, R., Zwiers, F.W., Alexander, L.V., 2013. WCRP Grand Challenge: Understanding and Predicting Weather and Climate Extremes. Document available from: . http://www.wcrp-climate.org/gc-extremes-documents.
34. Zwiers, F.W., Alexander, L.V., Hegerl, G.C., Knutson, T.R., Kossin, J., Naveau, P., Nicholls N., Schär, C., Seneviratne, S.I., Zhang, X., 2013. Challenges in estimating and understanding recent changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme climate and weather events. In: Asrar, G., Hurrell, J.W. (Eds.), Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modelling and Prediction Priorities, pp. 339-389.
35. Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., Feng J. Anthropogenic influence on extreme daily temperatures at regional scales. J. Clim. 2011, 24:881-892. 10.1175/2010JCLI3908.1.