-
1
-
-
84959271449
-
Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water
-
Barnhart, K. R., C. R. Miller, I. Overeem, and J. E. Kay (2016), Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 280–285, doi:10.1038/nclimate2848.
-
(2016)
Nat. Clim. Change
, vol.6
, pp. 280-285
-
-
Barnhart, K.R.1
Miller, C.R.2
Overeem, I.3
Kay, J.E.4
-
2
-
-
80053251326
-
Influence of initial conditions and climate forcing on predicting Arctic sea ice
-
Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., C. M. Bitz, and M. M. Holland (2011), Influence of initial conditions and climate forcing on predicting Arctic sea ice, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L18503, doi:10.1029/2011GL048807.
-
(2011)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.38
-
-
Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.1
Bitz, C.M.2
Holland, M.M.3
-
3
-
-
67649205570
-
September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100
-
Boe, J., A. Hall, and X. Qu (2009), September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100, Nat. Geosci., 2, 341–343, doi:10.1038/ngeo467.
-
(2009)
Nat. Geosci.
, vol.2
, pp. 341-343
-
-
Boe, J.1
Hall, A.2
Qu, X.3
-
4
-
-
84856237422
-
Uncertainty in climate change projections: The role of internal variability
-
Deser, C., A. Phillips, V. Bourdette, and H. Teng (2012a), Uncertainty in climate change projections: The role of internal variability, Clim. Dyn., 38(3), 527–546, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x.
-
(2012)
Clim. Dyn.
, vol.38
, Issue.3
, pp. 527-546
-
-
Deser, C.1
Phillips, A.2
Bourdette, V.3
Teng, H.4
-
5
-
-
84865969055
-
Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate
-
Deser, C., R. Knutti, S. Solomon, and A. S. Phillips (2012b), Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate, Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 775–779, doi:10.1038/nclimate1562.
-
(2012)
Nat. Clim. Change
, vol.2
, pp. 775-779
-
-
Deser, C.1
Knutti, R.2
Solomon, S.3
Phillips, A.S.4
-
6
-
-
19744368797
-
-
accessed 01/2016.]
-
Fetterer, F., K. Knowles, W. Meier, and M. Savoie (2002), Sea Ice Index, Natl. Snow and Ice Data Cent., Boulder, Colo. [Available at http://dx.doi.org/10.7265/N5QJ7F7W, accessed 01/2016.]
-
(2002)
Sea Ice Index, Natl. Snow and Ice Data Cent., Boulder, Colo
-
-
Fetterer, F.1
Knowles, K.2
Meier, W.3
Savoie, M.4
-
7
-
-
72049133391
-
Increased variability of the Arctic summer ice extent in a warmer climate
-
Goosse, H., O. Arzel, C. M. Bitz, A. de Montety, and M. Vancoppenolle (2009), Increased variability of the Arctic summer ice extent in a warmer climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L23702, doi:10.1029/2009GL040546.
-
(2009)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.36
-
-
Goosse, H.1
Arzel, O.2
Bitz, C.M.3
de Montety, A.4
Vancoppenolle, M.5
-
8
-
-
84904326210
-
Modeled Arctic sea ice evolution through 2300 in CMIP5 extended RCPs
-
Hezel, P. J., T. Fichefet, and F. Massonnet (2014), Modeled Arctic sea ice evolution through 2300 in CMIP5 extended RCPs, Cryosphere, 8(4), 1195–1204, doi:10.5194/tc-8-1195-2014.
-
(2014)
Cryosphere
, vol.8
, Issue.4
, pp. 1195-1204
-
-
Hezel, P.J.1
Fichefet, T.2
Massonnet, F.3
-
9
-
-
80051774452
-
Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world
-
Kay, J. E., M. M. Holland, and A. Jahn (2011), Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world, Geophys. Res. Let., 38, L15708, doi:10.1029/2011GL048008.
-
(2011)
Geophys. Res. Let.
, vol.38
-
-
Kay, J.E.1
Holland, M.M.2
Jahn, A.3
-
10
-
-
84926330053
-
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: A community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability
-
Kay, J. E., et al. (2015), The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: A community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96, 1333–1349, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1.
-
(2015)
Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.96
, pp. 1333-1349
-
-
Kay, J.E.1
-
11
-
-
84881084909
-
Reducing spread in climate model projections of a September ice-free Arctic
-
Liu, J., M. Song, R. M. Horton, and Y. Hu (2013), Reducing spread in climate model projections of a September ice-free Arctic, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110(31), 12,571–12,576, doi:10.1073/pnas.1219716110.
-
(2013)
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.
, vol.110
, Issue.31
, pp. 12,571-12,576
-
-
Liu, J.1
Song, M.2
Horton, R.M.3
Hu, Y.4
-
12
-
-
1842721072
-
The predictability of hydrodynamic flow
-
Lorenz, E. N. (1963), The predictability of hydrodynamic flow, Trans. N.Y. Acad. Sci. Ser. II, 25(4), 409–432.
-
(1963)
Trans. N.Y. Acad. Sci. Ser. II
, vol.25
, Issue.4
, pp. 409-432
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
13
-
-
0002105825
-
-
in, WMO, GARP Publications Series, Geneva, Switzerland
-
Lorenz, E. N. (1975), in The Physical Basis of Climate Modeling, WMO, GARP Publications Series, 132–136, Geneva, Switzerland.
-
(1975)
The Physical Basis of Climate Modeling
, pp. 132-136
-
-
Lorenz, E.N.1
-
14
-
-
84859153521
-
September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear near 2°C global warming above present
-
Mahlstein, I., and R. Knutti (2012), September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear near 2°C global warming above present, Geophys. Res. Lett., 117, D06104, doi:10.1029/2011JD016709.
-
(2012)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.117
-
-
Mahlstein, I.1
Knutti, R.2
-
15
-
-
84870214448
-
Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice
-
Massonnet, F., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, C. M. Bitz, G. Philippon-Berthier, M. M. Holland, and P.-Y. Barriat (2012), Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice, Cryosphere, 6(6), 1383–1394, doi:10.5194/tc-6-1383-2012.
-
(2012)
Cryosphere
, vol.6
, Issue.6
, pp. 1383-1394
-
-
Massonnet, F.1
Fichefet, T.2
Goosse, H.3
Bitz, C.M.4
Philippon-Berthier, G.5
Holland, M.M.6
Barriat, P.-Y.7
-
16
-
-
80053904283
-
The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extension from 1765 to 2300
-
Meinshausen, M., et al. (2011), The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extension from 1765 to 2300, Clim. Change, 109(1–2), 213–241, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z.
-
(2011)
Clim. Change
, vol.109
, Issue.1-2
, pp. 213-241
-
-
Meinshausen, M.1
-
17
-
-
84988985169
-
-
UCAR/NCAR/CISL/TDD, Boulder, Colo
-
NCL (2016), The NCAR Command Language (Version 6.3.0), UCAR/NCAR/CISL/TDD, Boulder, Colo., doi:10.5065/D6WD3XH5.
-
(2016)
The NCAR Command Language (Version 6.3.0)
-
-
-
18
-
-
84941253803
-
How well must climate models agree with observations?
-
Notz, D. (2015), How well must climate models agree with observations?, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 373, 20140164, doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0164.
-
(2015)
Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A
, vol.373
, pp. 20140164
-
-
Notz, D.1
-
19
-
-
84879924442
-
When will the summer Arctic be nearly sea ice free?
-
Overland, J. E., and M. Wang (2013), When will the summer Arctic be nearly sea ice free?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 2097–2101, doi:10.1002/grl.50316.
-
(2013)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.40
, pp. 2097-2101
-
-
Overland, J.E.1
Wang, M.2
-
20
-
-
84983670699
-
Detecting failure of climate predictions
-
Runge, M. C., J. C. Stroeve, A. P. Barrett, and E. McDonald-Madden (2016), Detecting failure of climate predictions, Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 861–864 doi:10.1038/nclimate3041.
-
(2016)
Nat. Clim. Change
, vol.6
, pp. 861-864
-
-
Runge, M.C.1
Stroeve, J.C.2
Barrett, A.P.3
McDonald-Madden, E.4
-
21
-
-
84949489572
-
A new ensemble of GCM simulations to assess avoided impacts in a climate mitigation scenario
-
Sanderson, B. M., K. W. Oleson, W. G. Strand, F. Lehner, and B. C. O'Neill (2015), A new ensemble of GCM simulations to assess avoided impacts in a climate mitigation scenario, Clim. Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1567-z.
-
(2015)
Clim. Change
-
-
Sanderson, B.M.1
Oleson, K.W.2
Strand, W.G.3
Lehner, F.4
O'Neill, B.C.5
-
22
-
-
84954089616
-
Insights on past and future sea-ice evolution from combining observations and models
-
Stroeve, J., and D. Notz (2015), Insights on past and future sea-ice evolution from combining observations and models, Global Planet. Change, 135, 119–132, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.10.011.
-
(2015)
Global Planet. Change
, vol.135
, pp. 119-132
-
-
Stroeve, J.1
Notz, D.2
-
23
-
-
84865643896
-
Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations
-
Stroeve, J. C., V. Kattsov, A. Barrett, M. Serreze, T. Pavlova, M. Holland, and W. N. Meier (2012), Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L16502, doi:10.1029/2012GL052676.
-
(2012)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.39
-
-
Stroeve, J.C.1
Kattsov, V.2
Barrett, A.3
Serreze, M.4
Pavlova, T.5
Holland, M.6
Meier, W.N.7
-
24
-
-
84922998567
-
Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
-
Swart, N. C., J. C. Fyfe, E. Hawkins, J. E. Kay, and A. Jahn (2015), Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends, Nat. Clim. Change, 5, 86–89, doi:10.1038/nclimate2483.
-
(2015)
Nat. Clim. Change
, vol.5
, pp. 86-89
-
-
Swart, N.C.1
Fyfe, J.C.2
Hawkins, E.3
Kay, J.E.4
Jahn, A.5
-
25
-
-
84942904818
-
Quantifying the role of internal climate variability in future climate trends
-
Thompson, D. W. J., E. A. Barnes, C. Deser, W. E. Foust, and A. S. Phillips (2015), Quantifying the role of internal climate variability in future climate trends, J. Clim., 28, 6443–6456, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00830.1.
-
(2015)
J. Clim.
, vol.28
, pp. 6443-6456
-
-
Thompson, D.W.J.1
Barnes, E.A.2
Deser, C.3
Foust, W.E.4
Phillips, A.S.5
-
26
-
-
67449126557
-
A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?
-
Wang, M., and J. E. Overland (2009), A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07502, doi:10.1029/2009GL037820.
-
(2009)
Geophys. Res. Lett.
, vol.36
-
-
Wang, M.1
Overland, J.E.2
|