Developments in large-scale coastal flood hazard mapping

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 16, Issue 8, 2016, Pages 1841-1853

  Vousdoukas, Michalis I ^a,b   Voukouvalas, Evangelos ^a   Mentaschi, Lorenzo ^a   Dottori, Francesco ^a   Giardino, Alessio ^c   Bouziotas, Dimitrios ^a,c   Bianchi, Alessandra ^a   Salamon, Peter ^a   Feyen, Luc ^a  

^a JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF THE AEGEAN   (Greece)

^c DELTARES   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COASTAL ZONE MANAGEMENT; FLOODING; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; MAPPING METHOD; MODELING;

EUROPE;

EID: 84981495374     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-1841-2016     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Bianchi, A., Neal, J., Bates, P., Feyen, L.: Advances in pan-European flood hazard mapping, Hydrol. Process., 28, 4067-4077, 2014.
2. Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Dottori, F., Bianchi, A.: Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios, Global Environ. Chang., 35, 199-212, 2015.
3. Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Salamon, P., Thielen, J., Bianchi, A., Dottori, F., Burek, P.: Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1401-1411, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1401-2016, 2016.
4. Barnard, P. L., Short, A. D., Harley, M. D., Splinter, K. D., Vitousek, S., Turner, I. L., Allan, J., Banno, M., Bryan, K. R., Doria, A., Hansen, J. E., Kato, S., Kuriyama, Y., Randall-Goodwin, E., Ruggiero, P.,Walker, I. J., Heathfield, D. K.: Coastal vulnerability across the Pacific dominated by El Nino/Southern Oscillation, Nat. Geosci., 8, 801-807, 2015.
5. Bates, P. D., De Roo, A. P. J.: A simple raster-based model for flood inundation simulation, J. Hydrol., 236, 54-77, 2000.
6. Bates, P. D., Horritt, M. S., Fewtrell, T. J.: A simple inertial formulation of the shallow water equations for efficient twodimensional flood inundation modelling, J. Hydrol., 387, 33-45, 2010.
7. Batistae Silva, F., Lavalle, C., Koomen, E.: A procedure to obtain a refined European land use/cover map, J. Land Use Sci., 8, 255-283, 2012.
8. Batistae Silva, F., Gallego, J., Lavalle, C.: A high-resolution population grid map for Europe, J. Maps, 9, 16-28, 2013.
9. Bertin, X., Bruneau, N., Breilh, J.-F., Fortunato, A. B., Karpytchev, M.: Importance of wave age and resonance in storm surges: The case Xynthia, Bay of Biscay, Ocean Modell., 42, 16-30, 2012.
10. Bertin, X., Li, K., Roland, A., Zhang, Y. J., Breilh, J. F., Chaumillon, E.: A modeling-based analysis of the flooding associated with Xynthia, central Bay of Biscay, Coast. Eng., 94, 80-89, 2014.
11. Boettle, M., Rybski, D., Kropp, J. P.: Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence-a point process perspective on coastal flood damage, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 559-576, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016, 2016.
12. Breilh, J. F., Chaumillon, E., Bertin, X., Gravelle, M.: Assessment of static flood modeling techniques: application to contrasting marshes flooded during Xynthia (western France), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 1595-1612, doi:10.5194/nhess-13-1595-2013, 2013.
13. Brown, J., Wolf, J., Souza, A.: Past to future extreme events in Liverpool Bay: model projections from 1960-2100, Climate Change, 111, 365-391, 2012.
14. Brown, S., Nicholls, R. J., Lowe, J. A., Hinkel, J.: Spatial variations of sea-level rise and impacts: An application of DIVA, Climate Change, 134, 403-416, 2013.
15. Bruun, J. T., Tawn, J. A.: Comparison of approaches for estimating the probability of coastal flooding, J. Roy. Stat. Soc. C-App., 47, 405-423, 1998.
16. CGEDD: Tempete Xynthia: Retour d'experience, evaluation et propositions d'action, 192 pp., 2010.
17. Cialone, M. A., Amein, M.: DYNLETI: model formulation and user guide, US Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Coastal Engineering Research Center, Vicksburg, MS, 1993.
18. Ciavola, P., Ferreira, O., Haerens, P., Van Koningsveld, M., Armaroli, C.: Storm impacts along European coastlines. Part 2: lessons learned from the MICORE project, Environ. Sci. Policy, 14, 924-933, 2011.
19. Cooper, J. A. G., Pile, J.: The adaptation-resistance spectrum: A classification of contemporary adaptation approaches to climaterelated coastal change, Ocean Coast. Manag., 94, 90-98, 2014.
20. Corbella, S., Stretch, D. D.: Simulating a multivariate sea storm using Archimedean copulas, Coastal Eng., 76, 68-78, 2013.
21. DDTM-17: Éléments de mémoire sur la tempête Xynthia du 27 et 28 février 2010, 2011.
22. Debernard, J. B., Røed, L. P.: Future wind, wave and storm surge climate in the Northern Seas: a revisit, Tellus A, 60, 427-438, 2008.
23. DeConto, R. M., Pollard, D.: Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise, Nature, 531, 591-597, 2016.
24. Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S.,rae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J. J., Park, B. K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J. N., Vitart, F.: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553-597, 2011.
25. Deltares: Delft3D-FLOW: Simulation of multi-dimensional hydrodynamic flows and transport phenomena, including sediments, User Manual, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands, 2014.
26. Dottori, F., Martina, M. L. V., Figueiredo, R.: A methodology for flood susceptibility and vulnerability analysis in complex flood scenarios, J. Flood Risk Management, doi:10.1111/jfr3.12234, 2016.
27. Egbert, G. D., Erofeeva, S. Y.: Efficient Inverse Modeling of Barotropic Ocean Tides, J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 19, 183-204, 2002.
28. Ferreira, Ó., Garcia, T., Matias, A., Taborda, R., Dias, J. A.: An integrated method for the determination of set-back lines for coastal erosion hazards on sandy shores, Cont. Shelf Res., 26, 1030-1044, 2006.
29. Gallien, T. W.: Validated coastal flood modeling at Imperial Beach, California: Comparing total water level, empirical and numerical overtopping methodologies, Coast. Eng., 111, 95-104, 2016.
30. Gaslikova, L., Grabemann, I., Groll, N.: Changes in North Sea storm surge conditions for four transient future climate realizations, Nat. Hazards, 66, 1501-1518, 2013.
31. Gouldby, B., Méndez, F. J., Guanche, Y., Rueda, A., Mínguez, R.: A methodology for deriving extreme nearshore sea conditions for structural design and flood risk analysis, Coast. Eng., 88, 15-26, 2014.
32. Hawkes, P. J., Gouldby, B. P., Tawn, J. A., Owen, M. W.: The joint probability of waves and water levels in coastal engineering design, J. Hydraul. Res., 40, 241-251, 2002.
33. Hinkel, J., Nicholls, R., Vafeidis, A., Tol, R. J., Avagianou, T.: Assessing risk of and adaptation to sea-level rise in the European Union: an application of DIVA, Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Glob. Change, 15, 703-719, 2010.
34. Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A. T., Perrette, M., Nicholls, R. J., Tol, R. S. J., Marzeion, B., Fettweis, X., Ionescu, C., Levermann, A.: Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 111, 3292-3297, 2014.
35. IPCC: Coastal Systems and Low-Lying Areas, in: IPCC WGII AR5, Intergovermental Panel on CLimate Change, 2014.
36. Lesser, G. R., Roelvink, J. A., van Kester, J. A. T. M., Stelling, G. S.: Development and validation of a three-dimensional morphological model, Coast. Eng., 51, 883-915, 2004.
37. Lloyd, S. J., Kovats, R. S., Chalabi, Z., Brown, S., Nicholls, R. J.: Modelling the influences of climate change-associated sealevel rise and socioeconomic development on future storm surge mortality, Climate Change, 134, 441-455, 2015.
38. Losada, I. J., Reguero, B. G., Méndez, F. J., Castanedo, S., Abascal, A. J., Mínguez, R.: Long-term changes in sea-level components in Latin America and the Caribbean, Global Planet. Change, 104, 34-50, 2013.
39. Lowe, J. A., Howard, T. P., Pardaens, A., Tinker, J., Holt, J., Wakelin, S., Milne, G., Leake, J., Wolf, J., Horsburgh, K., Reeder, T., Jenkins, G., Ridley, J., Dye, S., Bradley, S.: UK Climate Projections science report: Marine and coastal projections, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, 2009.
40. Matias, A., Ferreira, Ó., Vila-Concejo, A., Garcia, T., Dias, J. A.: Classification of washover dynamics in barrier islands, Geomorphology, 97, 655-674, 2008.
41. McCall, R. T., Van Thiel de Vries, J. S. M., Plant, N. G., Van Dongeren, A. R., Roelvink, J. A., Thompson, D. M., Reniers, A. J. H. M.: Two-dimensional time dependent hurricane overwash and erosion modeling at Santa Rosa Island, Coast. Eng., 57, 668-683, 2010.
42. Mentaschi, L., Vousdoukas, M., Voukouvalas, E., Sartini, L., Feyen, L., Besio, G., Alfieri, L.: Non-stationary Extreme Value Analysis: a simplified approach for Earth science applications, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/hess-2016-65, in review, 2016.
43. Neal, J., Schumann, G., Fewtrell, T., Budimir, M., Bates, P., Mason, D.: Evaluating a new LISFLOOD-FP formulation with data from the summer 2007 floods in Tewkesbury, UK, J. Flood Risk Management, 4, 88-95, 2011.
44. Perini, L., Calabrese, L., Salerno, G., Ciavola, P., Armaroli, C.: Evaluation of coastal vulnerability to flooding: comparison of two different methodologies adopted by the Emilia-Romagna region (Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 181-194, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-181-2016, 2016.
45. Prahl, B. F., Rybski, D., Burghoff, O., Kropp, J. P.: Comparison of storm damage functions and their performance, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 769-788, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-769-2015, 2015.
46. Purvis, M. J., Bates, P. D., Hayes, C. M.: A probabilistic methodology to estimate future coastal flood risk due to sea level rise, Coast. Eng., 55, 1062-1073, 2008.
47. Ramirez, J. A., Lichter, M., Coulthard, T. J., Skinner, C.: Hyperresolution mapping of regional storm surge and tide flooding: comparison of static and dynamic models, Nat. Hazards, 82, 571-590, doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2198-z, 2016.
48. Roelvink, D., Reniers, A., Dongeren, A. V., Vries, J. V. T. D., Mc-Call, R., Lescinski, J.: Modelling storm impacts on beaches, dunes and barrier islands, Coast. Eng., 56, 1133-1152, 2009.
49. Sampson, C. C., Smith, A. M., Bates, P. D., Neal, J. C., Alfieri, L., Freer, J. E.: A high-resolution global flood hazard model, Water Resour. Res., 51, 7358-7381, 2015.
50. Scussolini, P., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Jongman, B., Bouwer, L. M., Winsemius, H. C., de Moel, H., Ward, P. J.: FLOPROS: an evolving global database of flood protection standards, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1049-1061, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1049-2016, 2016.
51. Seenath, A., Wilson, M., Miller, K.: Hydrodynamic versus GIS modelling for coastal flood vulnerability assessment: Which is better for guiding coastal management?, Ocean Coast. Manag., 120, 99-109, 2016.
52. Sekovski, I., Armaroli, C., Calabrese, L., Mancini, F., Stecchi, F., Perini, L.: Coupling scenarios of urban growth and flood hazards along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2331-2346, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-2331-2015, 2015.
53. Serafin, K. A., Ruggiero, P.: Simulating extreme total water levels using a time-dependent, extreme value approach, J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 119, 6305-6329, 2014.
54. Smith, R. A. E., Bates, P. D., Hayes, C.: Evaluation of a coastal flood inundation model using hard and soft data, Environ. Model. Softw., 30, 35-46, 2012.
55. Stockdon, H. F., Holman, R. A., Howd, P. A., Sallenger, J. A. H.: Empirical parameterization of setup, swash, and runup, Coast. Eng., 53, 573-588, 2006.
56. US Army Corps of Engineers: Coastal Engineering Manual, US Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC, 2002.
57. Vafeidis, A. T., Nicholls, R. J., McFadden, L., Tol, R. S. J., Hinkel, J., Spencer, T., Grashoff, P. S., Boot, G., Klein, R. J. T.: A New Global Coastal Database for Impact and Vulnerability Analysis to Sea-Level Rise, J. Coast. Res., 24, 917-924, doi:10.2112/06-0725.1, 2008.
58. Vousdoukas, M. I.: Erosion/accretion and multiple beach cusp systems on a meso-tidal, steeply-sloping beach, Geomorphology, 141-142, 34-46, 2012.
59. Vousdoukas, M. I.: Observations of wave run-up and groundwater seepage line motions on a reflective-to-intermediate, meso-tidal beach, Mar. Geol., 350, 52-70, 2014.
60. Vousdoukas, M. I., Almeida, L. P., Ferreira, Ó.: Beach erosion and recovery during consecutive storms at a steep-sloping, mesotidal beach, Earth Surf. Proc. Land., 37, 583-691, 2012a.
61. Vousdoukas, M. I., Ferreira, O., Almeida, L. P., Pacheco, A.: Toward reliable storm-hazard forecasts: XBeach calibration and its potential application in an operational early-warning system, Ocean Dynam., 62, 1001-1015, 2012b.
62. Vousdoukas, M. I., Wziatek, D., Almeida, L. P.: Coastal vulnerability assessment based on video wave run-up observations at a mesotidal, steep-sloped beach, Ocean Dynam., 62, 123-137, 2012c.
63. Vousdoukas, M. I., Voukouvalas, E., Annunziato, A., Giardino, A., Feyen, L.: Projections of extreme storm surge levels along Europe, Clim. Dynam., in press, 2016.
64. Weisse, R., Bellafiore, D., Menéndez, M., Méndez, F., Nicholls, R. J., Umgiesser, G., Willems, P.: Changing extreme sea levels along European coasts, Coast. Eng., 87, 4-14, 2014.