Climatic Drivers of Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli Incidence: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Journal of Infectious Diseases

Volumn 214, Issue 1, 2016, Pages 6-15

  Philipsborn, Rebecca ^a   Ahmed, Sharia M ^a   Brosi, Berry J ^b   Levy, Karen ^a  

^a EMORY UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b EMORY UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

Author keywords

climate change; diarrhea; Escherichia coli; Seasonality

Indexed keywords

RAIN;

BACTERIAL TRANSMISSION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONFERENCE PAPER; DIARRHEA; DIARRHEAGENIC ESCHERICHIA COLI; HUMAN; MORBIDITY; NONHUMAN; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEASONAL VARIATION; STATISTICAL MODEL; SYSTEMATIC REVIEW; TEMPERATURE; ESCHERICHIA COLI INFECTIONS; INCIDENCE; META ANALYSIS; SEASON;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DIARRHEA; ESCHERICHIA COLI INFECTIONS; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; SEASONS; TEMPERATURE;

EID: 84979300730     PISSN: 00221899     EISSN: 15376613     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiw081     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (50)

1. Kaper JB, Nataro JP, Mobley HL. Pathogenic Escherichia coli. Nat Rev Microbiol 2004; 2:123-40
2. Kotloff KL, Nataro JP, Blackwelder WC, et al. Burden and aetiology of diarrhoeal disease in infants and young children in developing countries (the Global Enteric Multicenter Study, GEMS): a prospective, case-control study. Lancet 2013; 382:209-22
3. Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 2012; 380:2095-128
4. Murray CJ, Vos T, Lozano R, et al. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet 2012; 380:2197-223
5. Pruss-Ustun A, Bartram J, Clasen T, et al. Burden of disease from inadequate water, sanitation and hygiene in low- and middle-income settings: a retrospective analysis of data from 145 countries. Trop Med Int Health 2014; 19:894-905
6. Wolf J, Pruss-Ustun A, Cumming O, et al. Assessing the impact of drinking water and sanitation on diarrhoeal disease in low- and middle-income settings: systematic review and meta-regression. Trop Med Int Health 2014; 19:928-42
7. IPCC. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis.Working group I contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Summary for policymakers. Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013
8. Kolstad EW, Johansson KA. Uncertainties associated with quantifying climate change impacts on human health: a case study for diarrhea. Environ Health Perspect 2011; 119:299-305
9. Carlton EJ, Eisenberg JN, Goldstick J, CevallosW, Trostle J, Levy K. Heavy Rainfall Events and Diarrhea Incidence: The Role of Social and Environmental Factors. Am J Epidemiol 2014; 179:344-52
10. Curriero FC, Patz JA, Rose JB, Lele S. The association between extreme precipitation and waterborne disease outbreaks in the United States. Am J Public Health 2001; 91:1194-9
11. Hashizume M,Wagatsuma Y, Faruque AS, et al. Factors determining vulnerability to diarrhoea during and after severe floods in Bangladesh. J Water Health 2008; 6:323-32
12. Black R, Lanata CF. Epidemiology of diarrhoeal diseases in developing countries. In: Blaser MJ, Smith PD, Ravdin JI, Greenberg HB, Guerrant RL. Infections of the gastrointestinal tract. New York: Raven Press, 1995:13-36
13. Bray J. Isolation of antigenically homogeneous strains of Bact. coli neopolitanum from summer diarrhoea of infants. J Pathol Bacteriol 1945; 57:239-47
14. Nataro JP, Kaper JB. Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli. Clin Microbiol Rev 1998; 11:142-201
15. Qadri F, Svennerholm AM, Faruque AS, Sack RB. Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli in developing countries: epidemiology, microbiology, clinical features, treatment, and prevention. Clin Microbiol Rev 2005; 18:465-83
16. Okeke IN. Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli in sub-Saharan Africa: status, uncertainties and necessities. J Infect Dev Ctries 2009; 3:817-42
17. Ochoa TJ, Contreras CA. Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli infection in children. Curr Opin Infect Dis 2011; 24:478-83
18. Gupta SK, Keck J, Ram PK, Crump JA, Miller MA, Mintz ED. Part III. Analysis of data gaps pertaining to enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli infections in low and medium human development index countries, 1984-2005. Epidemiol Infect 2008; 136:721-38
19. Huwaldt JA. Plot digitizer. In: SourceForge.net. Boston: Free Software Foundation, 2011
20. Samonis G, Maraki S, Christidou A, Georgiladakis A, Tselentis Y. Bacterial pathogens associated with diarrhoea on the island of Crete. Eur J Epidemiol 1997; 13:831-6
21. Klein EJ, Stapp JR, Clausen CR, et al. Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli in children with diarrhea: a prospective point-of-care study. J Pediatr 2002; 141:172-7
22. Ahmed SM, Lopman BA, Levy K. A systematic review and meta-analysis of the global seasonality of norovirus. PLoS One 2013; 8:e75922
23. Levy K, Hubbard AE, Eisenberg JN. Seasonality of rotavirus disease in the tropics: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Epidemiol 2009; 38:1487-96
24. Patel MM, Pitzer VE, Alonso WJ, et al. Global seasonality of rotavirus disease. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2013; 32:e134-47
25. Jagai JS, Sarkar R, Castronovo D, et al. Seasonality of rotavirus in South Asia: a meta-analysis approach assessing associations with temperature, precipitation, and vegetation index. PLoS One 2012; 7:e38168
26. Jones PD, Lister DH, Osborn TJ, Harpham C, Salmon M, Morice CP. Hemispheric and large-scale land surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. J Geophys Res 2012; 117(D5):D05127
27. Lawrimore JH, Menne MJ, Gleason BE, et al. An overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network monthly mean temperature data set, version 3. J Geophys Res 2011; 116:D19121
28. Peterson TC, Vose RS. An overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network temperature database. Bull American Meteorological Society 1997; 78:2837-49
29. Weatherbase. http://www.weatherbase.com. Accessed 12 July 2012
30. WHO. The world health report 2003-shaping the future. List of Member States by WHO region and mortality stratum. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2003
31. R Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing, 2013
32. Newey W, West K. A simple, positive, semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 1987; 55:703-8
33. Liang K, Zeger SL. Longitudinal data analysis using generalized linear models. Biometrika 1986; 73:13-22
34. Højsgaard S, Halekoh U, Yan J. The R Package geepack for Generalized Estimating Equations. J Stat Softw 2006; 15:1-11
35. Pan W. Akaike's information criterion in generalized estimating equations. Biometrics 2001; 57:120-5
36. Ekstrom C. MESS: Miscellaneous Esoteric Statistical Scripts. R package version 0.3-2. http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MESS. Accessed 11 February 2016
37. Christensen JH, Kumar KK, Aldrian E, et al. Climate phenomena and their relevance for future regional climate change. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis contribution ofWorking Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge,United Kingdomand New York,NY: Cambridge University Press, 2013
38. Forouzanfar MH. IHME global burden of disease age specific diarrhea prevalence by pathogen for Bangladesh, 2010. 2014. 39-66. These references are available in the Supplementary Appendix
39. Carlton EJ, Woster AP, DeWitt P, Goldstein RS, Levy K. A systematic review and meta-analysis of ambient temperature and diarrhoeal diseases. Int J Epidemiol 2016; 45:117-30
40. van Elsas JD, Semenov AV, Costa R, Trevors JT. Survival of Escherichia coli in the environment: fundamental and public health aspects. ISME J 2011; 5:173-83
41. Semenov AV, van Bruggen AH, van Overbeek L, Termorshuizen AJ, Semenov AM. Influence of temperature fluctuations on Escherichia coli O157:H7 and Salmonella enterica serovar Typhimurium in cow manure. FEMS Microbiol Ecol 2007; 60:419-28
42. Dowell SF. Seasonal variation in host susceptibility and cycles of certain infectious diseases. Emerg Infect Dis 2001; 7:369-74
43. Lal A, Hales S, French N, Baker MG. Seasonality in human zoonotic enteric diseases: a systematic review. PLoS One 2012; 7:e31883
44. Auld H, MacIver D, Klaassen J. Heavy rainfall and waterborne disease outbreaks: the Walkerton example. J Toxicol Environ Health Part A 2004; 67:1879-87
45. Hashizume M, Armstrong B, Hajat S, et al. Association between climate variability and hospital visits for non-cholera diarrhoea in Bangladesh: effects and vulnerable groups. Int J Epidemiol 2007; 36:1030-7
46. Singh RB, Hales S, de Wet N, Raj R, Hearnden M, Weinstein P. The influence of climate variation and change on diarrheal disease in the Pacific Islands. Environ Health Perspect 2001; 109:155-9
47. Mellor JE, Levy K, Zimmerman J, et al. Planning for climate change: The need for mechanistic systems-based approaches to study climate change impacts on diarrheal diseases. Sci Total Environ 2016; 548-549:82-90
48. Wierzba TF, Abdel-Messih IA, Abu-Elyazeed R, et al. Clinic-based surveillance for bacterial- and rotavirus-associated diarrhea in Egyptian children. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2006; 74:148-53
49. Qadri F, Saha A, Ahmed T, Al Tarique A, Begum YA, Svennerholm AM. Disease burden due to enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli in the first 2 years of life in an urban community in Bangladesh. Infect Immun 2007; 75:3961-8
50. Guerrant RL, DeBoer MD, Moore SR, Scharf RJ, Lima AA. The impoverished gut- a triple burden of diarrhoea, stunting and chronic disease. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2013; 10:220-9