메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 10, 2016, Pages 1246-1257

Identifying the best climatic predictors in ecology and evolution

Author keywords

bias; climate change; climate sensitivity; cross validation; false positive; precision; R package climwin; sample size; sliding window; weather

Indexed keywords


EID: 84979246883     PISSN: None     EISSN: 2041210X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.12590     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (201)

References (35)
  • 3
    • 77956649096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection
    • Arlot, S. & Celisse, A. (2010) A survey of cross-validation procedures for model selection. Statistics Surveys, 4, 40–79.
    • (2010) Statistics Surveys , vol.4 , pp. 40-79
    • Arlot, S.1    Celisse, A.2
  • 5
    • 84946944367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tackling extremes: challenges for ecological and evolutionary research on extreme climatic events
    • Bailey, L. & van de Pol, M. (2016) Tackling extremes: challenges for ecological and evolutionary research on extreme climatic events. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85, 85–96.
    • (2016) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.85 , pp. 85-96
    • Bailey, L.1    van de Pol, M.2
  • 7
    • 73949120858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Small within-day increases in temperature affects boldness and alters personality in coral reef fish
    • Biro, P.A., Beckmann, C. & Stamps, J.A. (2010) Small within-day increases in temperature affects boldness and alters personality in coral reef fish. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 277, 71–77.
    • (2010) Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol.277 , pp. 71-77
    • Biro, P.A.1    Beckmann, C.2    Stamps, J.A.3
  • 9
    • 84932194664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences
    • Cade, B.S. (2015) Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences. Ecology, 99, 2370–2382.
    • (2015) Ecology , vol.99 , pp. 2370-2382
    • Cade, B.S.1
  • 10
    • 44049105303 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive phenotypic plasticity in response to climate change in a Wild Bird population
    • Charmantier, A., McCleery, R.H., Cole, L.R., Perrins, C.M., Kruuk, L.E.B. & Sheldon, B.C. (2008) Adaptive phenotypic plasticity in response to climate change in a Wild Bird population. Science, 320, 800–803.
    • (2008) Science , vol.320 , pp. 800-803
    • Charmantier, A.1    McCleery, R.H.2    Cole, L.R.3    Perrins, C.M.4    Kruuk, L.E.B.5    Sheldon, B.C.6
  • 11
    • 0033519647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change related to egg-laying trends
    • Crick, H.Q.P. & Sparks, T.H. (1999) Climate change related to egg-laying trends. Nature, 399, 423–424.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 423-424
    • Crick, H.Q.P.1    Sparks, T.H.2
  • 12
    • 78650726296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dealing with collinearity in behavioural and ecological data: model averaging and the problems of measurement error
    • Freckleton, R.P. (2011) Dealing with collinearity in behavioural and ecological data: model averaging and the problems of measurement error. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 65, 91–101.
    • (2011) Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology , vol.65 , pp. 91-101
    • Freckleton, R.P.1
  • 13
    • 84892506946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying links between vital rates and environment: a toolbox for the applied ecologist
    • Frederiksen, M., Lebreton, J., Pradel, R., Choquet, R. & Gimenez, O. (2014) Identifying links between vital rates and environment: a toolbox for the applied ecologist. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51, 71–81.
    • (2014) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.51 , pp. 71-81
    • Frederiksen, M.1    Lebreton, J.2    Pradel, R.3    Choquet, R.4    Gimenez, O.5
  • 14
    • 84916213666 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models
    • Gelman, A., Hwang, J. & Vehtari, A. (2014) Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models. Statistics and Computing, 24, 997–1016.
    • (2014) Statistics and Computing , vol.24 , pp. 997-1016
    • Gelman, A.1    Hwang, J.2    Vehtari, A.3
  • 15
    • 17644413574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new statistical tool to predict phenology under climate change scenarios
    • Gienapp, P., Hemerik, L. & Visser, M.E. (2005) A new statistical tool to predict phenology under climate change scenarios. Global Change Biology, 11, 600–606.
    • (2005) Global Change Biology , vol.11 , pp. 600-606
    • Gienapp, P.1    Hemerik, L.2    Visser, M.E.3
  • 17
  • 19
    • 77955233527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contrasting patterns of phenotypic plasticity in reproductive traits in two great tit (Parus major) populations
    • Husby, A., Nussey, D.H., Visser, M.E., Wilson, A.J., Sheldon, B.C. & Kruuk, L.E. (2010) Contrasting patterns of phenotypic plasticity in reproductive traits in two great tit (Parus major) populations. Evolution, 64, 2221–2237.
    • (2010) Evolution , vol.64 , pp. 2221-2237
    • Husby, A.1    Nussey, D.H.2    Visser, M.E.3    Wilson, A.J.4    Sheldon, B.C.5    Kruuk, L.E.6
  • 20
    • 84937525751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contrasting effects of climate on juvenile body size in a Southern Hemisphere passerine bird
    • Kruuk, L.E., Osmond, H.L. & Cockburn, A. (2015) Contrasting effects of climate on juvenile body size in a Southern Hemisphere passerine bird. Global Change Biology, 21, 2929–2941.
    • (2015) Global Change Biology , vol.21 , pp. 2929-2941
    • Kruuk, L.E.1    Osmond, H.L.2    Cockburn, A.3
  • 21
    • 84931561318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental variation and population responses to global change
    • Lawson, C.R., Vindenes, Y., Bailey, L. & van de Pol, M. (2015) Environmental variation and population responses to global change. Ecology Letters, 18, 724–736.
    • (2015) Ecology Letters , vol.18 , pp. 724-736
    • Lawson, C.R.1    Vindenes, Y.2    Bailey, L.3    van de Pol, M.4
  • 22
    • 84963903953 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics
    • McLean, N., Lawson, C., Leech, D. & van de Pol, M. (2016) Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics. Ecology Letters, 19, 595–608.
    • (2016) Ecology Letters , vol.19 , pp. 595-608
    • McLean, N.1    Lawson, C.2    Leech, D.3    van de Pol, M.4
  • 23
    • 84978002024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • There is more to climate than the North Atlantic Oscillation: a new perspective from climate dynamics to explain the variability in population growth rates of a long-lived seabird
    • Mesquita, M.D., Erikstad, K.E., Sandvik, H., Reiertsen, T., Barrett, R., Anker-Nilssen, T., Hodges, K.I. & Bader, J. (2015) There is more to climate than the North Atlantic Oscillation: a new perspective from climate dynamics to explain the variability in population growth rates of a long-lived seabird. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 3, 43.
    • (2015) Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution , vol.3 , pp. 43
    • Mesquita, M.D.1    Erikstad, K.E.2    Sandvik, H.3    Reiertsen, T.4    Barrett, R.5    Anker-Nilssen, T.6    Hodges, K.I.7    Bader, J.8
  • 25
    • 79955447221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying the critical climatic time-window for trait expression
    • van de Pol, M. & Cockburn, A. (2011) Identifying the critical climatic time-window for trait expression. American Naturalist, 177, 698–707.
    • (2011) American Naturalist , vol.177 , pp. 698-707
    • van de Pol, M.1    Cockburn, A.2
  • 26
    • 84856961700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fluctuations in population composition dampen the impact of phenotypic plasticity on trait dynamics in superb fairy-wrens
    • van de Pol, M., Osmond, H.L. & Cockburn, A. (2012) Fluctuations in population composition dampen the impact of phenotypic plasticity on trait dynamics in superb fairy-wrens. Journal of Animal Ecology, 81, 411–421.
    • (2012) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.81 , pp. 411-421
    • van de Pol, M.1    Osmond, H.L.2    Cockburn, A.3
  • 27
    • 84875372003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Problems with using large-scale oceanic climate indices to compare climatic sensitivities across populations and species
    • van de Pol, M., Brouwer, L., Brooker, L.C., Brooker, M.G., Colombelli-Négrel, D., Hall, M.L. et al. (2013) Problems with using large-scale oceanic climate indices to compare climatic sensitivities across populations and species. Ecography, 36, 249–255.
    • (2013) Ecography , vol.36 , pp. 249-255
    • van de Pol, M.1    Brouwer, L.2    Brooker, L.C.3    Brooker, M.G.4    Colombelli-Négrel, D.5    Hall, M.L.6
  • 28
    • 0142139924 scopus 로고
    • Springer Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg
    • Remmert, H. (1980) Ecology - A Textbook. Springer Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg.
    • (1980) Ecology - A Textbook
    • Remmert, H.1
  • 29
    • 45849089961 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring relationships between phenological and weather data using smoothing
    • Roberts, A. (2008) Exploring relationships between phenological and weather data using smoothing. International Journal of Biometeorology, 52, 463–470.
    • (2008) International Journal of Biometeorology , vol.52 , pp. 463-470
    • Roberts, A.1
  • 31
    • 77956069051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coefficients
    • Schielzeth, H. (2010) Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coefficients. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 1, 103–113.
    • (2010) Methods in Ecology and Evolution , vol.1 , pp. 103-113
    • Schielzeth, H.1
  • 32
    • 78751611452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • To explain or to predict?
    • Shmueli, G. (2010) To explain or to predict? Statistical Science, 25, 289–310.
    • (2010) Statistical Science , vol.25 , pp. 289-310
    • Shmueli, G.1
  • 33
    • 30844438184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather packages: finding the right scale and composition of climate in ecology
    • Stenseth, N.C. & Mysterud, A. (2005) Weather packages: finding the right scale and composition of climate in ecology. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 1195–1198.
    • (2005) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.74 , pp. 1195-1198
    • Stenseth, N.C.1    Mysterud, A.2
  • 35


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.