메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 36, Issue 2, 2016, Pages 191-202

Research Synthesis Methods in an Age of Globalized Risks: Lessons from the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease Expert Elicitation

(18)  Hoffmann, Sandra a,q   Hald, Tine b   Angulo, Fred c   Hamzah, Wan Mansor Bin d   Bellinger, David e   Black, Robert f   de Silva, Nilanthi g   Döpfer, Dörte h   Havelaar, Arie i   Gibb, Herman j   Kasuga, Fumiko k   Lake, Rob l   Rokni, Muhammad B m   Speybroeck, Niko n   Aspinall, Willy o   Cooke, Roger p   Devleesschauwer, Brecht i   Pires, Sara M b  


Author keywords

Disease burden; Expert elicitation; Expert judgment; Exposure estimates; Foodborne illness; Research synthesis; Source attribution; Systematic review; Uncertainty quantification

Indexed keywords

RISK ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84959130476     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: 15396924     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/risa.12385     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (3)

References (50)
  • 2
    • 77952669983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WHO initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne diseases: First formal meeting of the foodborne disease burden epidemiology reference group
    • Geneva (Switzerland) Nov 26-28, 2007
    • World Health Organization. WHO initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne diseases: First formal meeting of the foodborne disease burden epidemiology reference group. Geneva (Switzerland) Nov 26-28, 2007, 2008.
    • (2008)
  • 7
    • 84863821055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Annual cost of illness and quality-adjusted life year losses in the United States due to 14 foodborne pathogens
    • Hoffmann S, Batz M, Morris JG Jr. Annual cost of illness and quality-adjusted life year losses in the United States due to 14 foodborne pathogens. Journal of Food Protection, 2012; 75(7):1291-1302.
    • (2012) Journal of Food Protection , vol.75 , Issue.7 , pp. 1291-1302
    • Hoffmann, S.1    Batz, M.2    Morris, J.G.3
  • 9
    • 77952669983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WHO initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne diseases: A summary document
    • World Health Organization. WHO initiative to estimate the global burden of foodborne diseases: A summary document, 2008.
    • (2008)
  • 10
    • 84959145169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geneva, Switzerland: WHO, WHO Technical Report Series 705
    • Accessed July 25
    • U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization and World Health Organization (FAO/WHO). The role of food safety in health and development. Geneva, Switzerland: WHO, 1984. WHO Technical Report Series 705. Available at: http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/38709/1/WHO_TRS_705.pdf?ua=1, Accessed July 25, 2014.
    • (2014) The role of food safety in health and development
  • 13
    • 0027932348 scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the burden of disease: The technical basis for disability-adjusted life years
    • Murray C. Quantifying the burden of disease: The technical basis for disability-adjusted life years. Bulletin World Health Organization, 1994; 72(3):429-445.
    • (1994) Bulletin World Health Organization , vol.72 , Issue.3 , pp. 429-445
    • Murray, C.1
  • 14
    • 84871070051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Common values in assessing health outcomes from disease and injury: Disability weights measurement study for the global burden of disease study 2010
    • Salomon J, Vos T, Hogan D, et al. Common values in assessing health outcomes from disease and injury: Disability weights measurement study for the global burden of disease study 2010. Lancet, 2012; 380(9859):2129-2143.
    • (2012) Lancet , vol.380 , Issue.9859 , pp. 2129-2143
    • Salomon, J.1    Vos, T.2    Hogan, D.3
  • 16
    • 78149234226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Etiology of diarrhea in older children, adolescents and adults: A systematic review
    • Fischer Walker C, Sack D, Black R. Etiology of diarrhea in older children, adolescents and adults: A systematic review. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2010; 4(8):e768.
    • (2010) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases , vol.4 , Issue.8 , pp. e768
    • Fischer Walker, C.1    Sack, D.2    Black, R.3
  • 17
    • 84857194723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global burden of human food-borne trematodiasis: A systematic review and meta-analysis
    • Fürst, T, Keiser J, Utzinger J. Global burden of human food-borne trematodiasis: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infectious Disease, 2012; 12(3):210-221.
    • (2012) Lancet Infectious Disease , vol.12 , Issue.3 , pp. 210-221
    • Fürst, T.1    Keiser, J.2    Utzinger, J.3
  • 18
    • 78649801404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic review of the frequency of neurocyticercosis with a focus on people with epilepsy
    • Ndimubanzi P, Carabin H, Budke C, Nguyen H, Qian Y-J, et al. A systematic review of the frequency of neurocyticercosis with a focus on people with epilepsy. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2010; 4(11):e870.
    • (2010) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases , vol.4 , Issue.11 , pp. e870
    • Ndimubanzi, P.1    Carabin, H.2    Budke, C.3    Nguyen, H.4    Qian, Y.-J.5
  • 19
    • 85031990718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • FERG strategic planning meeting and kick-off event of the pilot country studies in Durres
    • Albania, Nov 7-10, 2011, 2011. Available at:, Accessed July 25
    • World Health Organization. FERG strategic planning meeting and kick-off event of the pilot country studies in Durres, Albania, Nov 7-10, 2011, 2011. Available at: http://www.who.int/foodsafety/foodborne_disease/ferg_albania/en/, Accessed July 25, 2014.
    • (2014)
  • 20
    • 85078397114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overview of the procedures currently used at EFSA for the assessment of dietary exposure to different chemical substances
    • European Food Safety Agency. Overview of the procedures currently used at EFSA for the assessment of dietary exposure to different chemical substances. EFSA Journal, 2011; 9(12):2490-2523.
    • (2011) EFSA Journal , vol.9 , Issue.12 , pp. 2490-2523
  • 21
    • 84875142505 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the applicability of currently available methods for attributing foodborne disease to sources, including food and food commodities
    • Pires S. Assessing the applicability of currently available methods for attributing foodborne disease to sources, including food and food commodities. Foodborne Pathogens and Disease, 2013; 10(3):206-213.
    • (2013) Foodborne Pathogens and Disease , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 206-213
    • Pires, S.1
  • 22
    • 84947464196 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interagency Food Safety Analytics Collaboration (IFSAC)
    • Accessed July 25, 2014.
    • U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Interagency Food Safety Analytics Collaboration (IFSAC), 2014. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/foodsafety/ifsac/index.html, Accessed July 25, 2014.
    • (2014)
  • 23
    • 75149140917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A route to more tractable expert advice
    • Aspinall W. A route to more tractable expert advice. Nature, 2010; 463:294-295.
    • (2010) Nature , vol.463 , pp. 294-295
    • Aspinall, W.1
  • 24
    • 16344392695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A structured expert judgment study for a model of Campylobacter transmission during broiler-chicken processing
    • Van der Fels-Klerx H, Cooke R, Nauta M, Goossens L, Havelaar A. A structured expert judgment study for a model of Campylobacter transmission during broiler-chicken processing. Risk Analysis, 2005; 25(1):109-124.
    • (2005) Risk Analysis , vol.25 , Issue.1 , pp. 109-124
    • Van der Fels-Klerx, H.1    Cooke, R.2    Nauta, M.3    Goossens, L.4    Havelaar, A.5
  • 26
    • 79960992105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the classical model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique
    • Flandoli F, Giorgi E, Aspinall W, Neri A. Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the classical model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2011; 96(10):1291-1310.
    • (2011) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.96 , Issue.10 , pp. 1291-1310
    • Flandoli, F.1    Giorgi, E.2    Aspinall, W.3    Neri, A.4
  • 30
    • 0037010474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selected major risk factors and global and regional burden of disease
    • Ezzati M, Lopez A, Rodgers A, Vander Hoorn S, Murray C, and the Comparative Risk Assessment Collaborating Group. Selected major risk factors and global and regional burden of disease. Lancet, 2002; 360:1347-1360.
    • (2002) Lancet , vol.360 , pp. 1347-1360
    • Ezzati, M.1    Lopez, A.2    Rodgers, A.3    Vander, H.S.4    Murray, C.5
  • 32
    • 84875700477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets
    • Bamber J, Aspinall W. An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets. Nature Climate Change, 2013; 3:424-427.
    • (2013) Nature Climate Change , vol.3 , pp. 424-427
    • Bamber, J.1    Aspinall, W.2
  • 35
    • 0003928042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Food balance sheets
    • Accessed July 25
    • U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). Food balance sheets. Available at http://faostat.fao.org/site/354/default.aspx, Accessed July 25, 2014.
    • (2014)
  • 36
    • 84959131805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Under-five mortality due to diarrhea
    • Accessed 24 June 14
    • World Health Observatory Data Repository. Under-five mortality due to diarrhea. Available at http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main, Accessed 24 June 14, 2014.
    • (2014)
  • 37
    • 84959175227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Progress on drinking water and sanitation: Joint Monitoring Programme 2012 update
    • New York: WHO/UNICEF, March 2012. Available at, Accessed October 29
    • WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation. Progress on drinking water and sanitation: Joint Monitoring Programme 2012 update. New York: WHO/UNICEF, March 2012. Available at http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/publications/2012/jmp_report/en/, Accessed October 29, 2014.
    • (2014)
  • 38
    • 84883373512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of the number of seed variables on the performance of Cooketicle
    • ort/en/" d
    • Eggstaff J, Mazzuchi T, Sarkani S. 2014. The effect of the number of seed variables on the performance of Cooketicle/pii/S0951832013002251" ort/en/" d at http://apps.who.int/gh 2014; 121:72-82.
    • (2014) , vol.121 , pp. 72-82
    • Eggstaff, J.1    Mazzuchi, T.2    Sarkani, S.3
  • 40
    • 84894327484 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trimmed opinion pools and the crowd's calibration problem
    • Jose V, Grushka-Cockayne Y, Lichtendahl K Jr. Trimmed opinion pools and the crowd's calibration problem. Management Science, 2013; 60(2):463-475.
    • (2013) Management Science , vol.60 , Issue.2 , pp. 463-475
    • Jose, V.1    Grushka-Cockayne, Y.2    Lichtendahl, K.3
  • 42
    • 84925687318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aggregating probability distributions
    • Edwards W, Miles R Jr., von Winterfeldt D, eds). New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Clemen R, Winkler R. Aggregating probability distributions. Pp. 154-176 in Edwards W, Miles R Jr., von Winterfeldt D, (eds). Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
    • (2007) Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications , pp. 154-176
    • Clemen, R.1    Winkler, R.2
  • 44
    • 84883433076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of overconfidence and dependence on aggregated probability judgments
    • Lin S, Huang S. Effects of overconfidence and dependence on aggregated probability judgments. Journal of Modelling in Management, 2012; 7(1):6-22.
    • (2012) Journal of Modelling in Management , vol.7 , Issue.1 , pp. 6-22
    • Lin, S.1    Huang, S.2
  • 45
    • 62749083897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can Cooke's Model Sift Out Better Experts and Produce Well-Calibrated Aggregated Probabilities?
    • Department of Business Administration, Yuan Ze University, Chung-Li, Taiwan Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE IEEM
    • Lin S-W, Cheng C-H. Can Cooke's Model Sift Out Better Experts and Produce Well-Calibrated Aggregated Probabilities? Department of Business Administration, Yuan Ze University, Chung-Li, Taiwan Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE IEEM, 2008.
    • (2008)
    • Lin, S.-W.1    Cheng, C.-H.2
  • 46
    • 84900012871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pitfalls of ROAT cross validation comment on effects of overconfidence and dependence on aggregated probability judgments
    • Cooke R. Pitfalls of ROAT cross validation comment on effects of overconfidence and dependence on aggregated probability judgments. Journal of Modelling in Management 2012; 7(1):20-22.
    • (2012) Journal of Modelling in Management , vol.7 , Issue.1 , pp. 20-22
    • Cooke, R.1
  • 48
    • 54049144826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response to comments, special issue on expert judgment
    • Cooke R. Response to comments, special issue on expert judgment. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2008a; 93(5):775-777.
    • (2008) Reliability Engineering & System Safety , vol.93 , Issue.5 , pp. 775-777
    • Cooke, R.1
  • 49
    • 85031987997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross Validation for Structured Expert Judgment with the Classical Model with Supplementary Online Material
    • Discussion Paper
    • Cooke R, lson A. Cross Validation for Structured Expert Judgment with the Classical Model with Supplementary Online Material, 2015. Discussion Paper Available at: http://rogermcooke.net.
    • (2015)
    • Cooke, R.1    Lson, A.2
  • 50
    • 85028765483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Facing the Experts: Survey Mode And Expert Elicitation
    • Milan, Italy; Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Note di Lavoro, Jan 2014. Available at:October 27, 2014.
    • Baker E, Bosetti V, Jenni K, Ricci E. Facing the Experts: Survey Mode And Expert Elicitation, Milan, Italy; Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Note di Lavoro, Jan 2014. Available at: http://www.feem.it/getpage.aspx?id=6046&sez=Publications&padre=73 October 27, 2014.
    • Baker, E.1    Bosetti, V.2    Jenni, K.3    Ricci, E.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.