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Volumn , Issue , 2008, Pages 425-429

Can Cooke's model sift out better experts and produce well-calibrated aggregated probabilities?

Author keywords

Calibration; Cooke's classical model; Expert aggregation; Expert judgment; Scoring rule

Indexed keywords

CALIBRATION; INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY FACTOR;

EID: 62749083897     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/IEEM.2008.4737904     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (9)

References (11)
  • 2
    • 54049103767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comment on cooke's classical method
    • R. T. Clemen, "Comment on cooke's classical method," Reliability and System Safety, vol. 94, pp. 760-765, 2008.
    • (2008) Reliability and System Safety , vol.94 , pp. 760-765
    • Clemen, R.T.1
  • 3
    • 0032143343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic model for the failure frequency of underground gas pipelines
    • R. Cooke and E. Jager, "A probabilistic model for the failure frequency of underground gas pipelines," Risk Analysis, vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 511-527, 1998.
    • (1998) Risk Analysis , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 511-527
    • Cooke, R.1    Jager, E.2
  • 4
    • 0033816594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Procedures guide for structured expert judgment in accident consequence modelling
    • R. M. Cooke and L. Goossens, "Procedures guide for structured expert judgment in accident consequence modelling," Radiation Protection Dosimetry, vol. 90, pp. 303-309, 2000.
    • (2000) Radiation Protection Dosimetry , vol.90 , pp. 303-309
    • Cooke, R.M.1    Goossens, L.2
  • 6
    • 0032839653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis
    • R. T. Clemen and R. L. Winkler, "Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis," Risk Analysis, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 187-203, 1999.
    • (1999) Risk Analysis , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 187-203
    • Clemen, R.T.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 8
    • 2642538435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence
    • V. M. Bier, "Implications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 85, pp. 321-329, 2004.
    • (2004) Reliability Engineering and System Safety , vol.85 , pp. 321-329
    • Bier, V.M.1
  • 10
    • 0016961866 scopus 로고
    • Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions
    • J. E. Matheson and R. L. Winkler, "Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions," Management Science, vol. 22, pp. 1087-1096, 1976.
    • (1976) Management Science , vol.22 , pp. 1087-1096
    • Matheson, J.E.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 11
    • 54049144826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response to discussants
    • R. M. Cooke, "Response to discussants," Reliability and System Safety, vol. 93, pp. 775-777, 2008.
    • (2008) Reliability and System Safety , vol.93 , pp. 775-777
    • Cooke, R.M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.