메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 3, 2016, Pages 269-286

Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination

Author keywords

Critical slowing down; Critical transition; Disease elimination; Malaria; Transcritical bifurcation; Vector borne disease; Vector borne disease model

Indexed keywords

DISEASE CONTROL; DISEASE PREVALENCE; DISEASE VECTOR; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; MALARIA; MOSQUITO; NUMERICAL MODEL; VECTOR;

EID: 84951819473     PISSN: 18741738     EISSN: 18741746     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s12080-015-0285-5     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (41)
  • 1
    • 84979552039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Construction of equivalent stochastic differential equation models, Stochastic Analysis Applied
    • Allen EJ, Allen LJS, Arciniega A, Greenwood PE (2008) Construction of equivalent stochastic differential equation models. Stochastic Analysis Applied
    • (2008) Greenwood PE
    • Allen, E.J.1    Allen, L.J.S.2    Arciniega, A.3
  • 3
    • 84866254572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions
    • Boettiger C, Hastings A (2012) Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions. J R Soc Interface 9(75):2527–2539. doi:10.1098/rsif.2012.0125
    • (2012) J R Soc Interface , vol.9 , Issue.75 , pp. 2527-2539
    • Boettiger, C.1    Hastings, A.2
  • 4
    • 79951663753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of research in viral disease eradication and elimination programs: lessons for malaria eradication
    • 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000405
    • Breman JG, De Quadros CA, Dowdle WR, Foege WH, Henderson DA, John TJ, Levine MM (2011) The role of research in viral disease eradication and elimination programs: lessons for malaria eradication. PLoS Med 8(1):e1000,405. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000405
    • (2011) PLoS Med , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. e1000,405
    • Breman, J.G.1    De Quadros, C.A.2    Dowdle, W.R.3    Foege, W.H.4    Henderson, D.A.5    John, T.J.6    Levine, M.M.7
  • 6
    • 77954791405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination
    • PID: 20649972, 10.1186/1475-2875-9-213
    • Cohen JM, Moonen B, Snow RW, Smith DL (2010) How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination. Malar J 9(1):213. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-9-213
    • (2010) Malar J , vol.9 , Issue.1 , pp. 213
    • Cohen, J.M.1    Moonen, B.2    Snow, R.W.3    Smith, D.L.4
  • 7
    • 84859934912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Malaria resurgence: a systematic review and assessment of its causes
    • PID: 22531245, 10.1186/1475-2875-11-122
    • Cohen JM, Smith DL, Cotter C, Ward A, Yamey G, Sabot OJ, Moonen B (2012) Malaria resurgence: a systematic review and assessment of its causes. Malar J 11(1):122. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-11-122
    • (2012) Malar J , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 122
    • Cohen, J.M.1    Smith, D.L.2    Cotter, C.3    Ward, A.4    Yamey, G.5    Sabot, O.J.6    Moonen, B.7
  • 8
    • 55749083715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD1cXht1SgtrjP, 10.1073/pnas.0802430105
    • Dakos V, Scheffer M, Van Nes EH, Brovkin V, Petoukhov V, Held H (2008) Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105(38):14,308–14,312. doi:10.1073/pnas.0802430105
    • (2008) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.105 , Issue.38 , pp. 14,308-14,312
    • Dakos, V.1    Scheffer, M.2    Van Nes, E.H.3    Brovkin, V.4    Petoukhov, V.5    Held, H.6
  • 9
    • 84857308839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down
    • PID: 22624308, 10.1890/11-0889.1
    • Dakos V, van Nes EH, D’Odorico P, Scheffer M (2012) Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down. Ecology 93(2):264–271. doi:10.1890/11-0889.1
    • (2012) Ecology , vol.93 , Issue.2 , pp. 264-271
    • Dakos, V.1    van Nes, E.H.2    D’Odorico, P.3    Scheffer, M.4
  • 10
    • 27644594199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation and inference of R0 of an infectious pathogen by a removal method
    • PID: 16216286, 10.1016/j.mbs.2005.08.002
    • Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Dobson AP (2005) Estimation and inference of R0 of an infectious pathogen by a removal method. Math Biosci 198(1):14–26. doi:10.1016/j.mbs.2005.08.002
    • (2005) Math Biosci , vol.198 , Issue.1 , pp. 14-26
    • Ferrari, M.J.1    Bjørnstad, O.N.2    Dobson, A.P.3
  • 11
    • 84907276865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of vector-control interventions on changes in risk of malaria parasitaemia in sub-Saharan Africa: a spatial and temporal analysis
    • PID: 25304636, 10.1016/S2214-109X(14)70300-6
    • Giardina F, Kasasa S, Sié A, Utzinger J, Tanner M, Vounatsou P (2014) Effects of vector-control interventions on changes in risk of malaria parasitaemia in sub-Saharan Africa: a spatial and temporal analysis. Lancet Glob Health 2(10):e601–15. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(14)70300-6
    • (2014) Lancet Glob Health , vol.2 , Issue.10 , pp. e601-e615
    • Giardina, F.1    Kasasa, S.2    Sié, A.3    Utzinger, J.4    Tanner, M.5    Vounatsou, P.6
  • 12
    • 0033620791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cost-effectiveness of malaria control in sub-Saharan Africa
    • COI: 1:STN:280:DyaK1MzmsVGkug%3D%3D, PID: 10437867
    • Goodman CA, Coleman PG, Mills AJ (1999) Cost-effectiveness of malaria control in sub-Saharan Africa. Lancet 354(9176):378–85
    • (1999) Lancet , vol.354 , Issue.9176 , pp. 378-385
    • Goodman, C.A.1    Coleman, P.G.2    Mills, A.J.3
  • 13
    • 84928486585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patient adherence to prescribed artemisinin-based combination therapy in Garissa County, Kenya, after three years of health care in a conflict setting
    • PID: 25888895, 10.1186/s12936-015-0645-z
    • Gore-Langton GR, Alenwi N, Mungai J, Erupe NI, Eves K, Kimwana FN, Soti D, Akhwale W, Hassan FA, Juma E, Allan R (2015) Patient adherence to prescribed artemisinin-based combination therapy in Garissa County, Kenya, after three years of health care in a conflict setting. Malar J 14 (1):125. doi:10.1186/s12936-015-0645-z
    • (2015) Malar J , vol.14 , Issue.1 , pp. 125
    • Gore-Langton, G.R.1    Alenwi, N.2    Mungai, J.3    Erupe, N.I.4    Eves, K.5    Kimwana, F.N.6    Soti, D.7    Akhwale, W.8    Hassan, F.A.9    Juma, E.10    Allan, R.11
  • 14
    • 0032975954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emerging and Resurging Vector-Borne Diseases
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DyaK1MXpvFKhsQ%3D%3D
    • Gratz NG (1999) Emerging and Resurging Vector-Borne Diseases. Ann Rev Entomol 44(1):51
    • (1999) Ann Rev Entomol , vol.44 , Issue.1 , pp. 51
    • Gratz, N.G.1
  • 15
    • 0031866131 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resurgent vector-borne diseases as a global health problem
    • Gubler DJ (1998) Resurgent vector-borne diseases as a global health problem. Emerg Infect Dis 4(3):442–50. doi:10.3201/eid0403.980326
    • (1998) Emerg Infect Dis , vol.4 , Issue.3 , pp. 442-450
    • Gubler, D.J.1
  • 16
    • 80755150450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The global threat of emergent/re-emergent vector-borne diseases
    • Ecology and Control
    • Gubler DJ (2010) The global threat of emergent/re-emergent vector-borne diseases. In: Atkinson PW (ed) Vector Biology, Ecology and Control, pp 39–63
    • (2010) Atkinson PW , pp. 39-63
    • Gubler, D.J.1    Biology, V.2
  • 18
    • 84871790738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disease Eradication
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXlvFajtA%3D%3D, PID: 23281976
    • Hopkins DR (2013) Disease Eradication. N Engl J Med 368:54–63
    • (2013) N Engl J Med , vol.368 , pp. 54-63
    • Hopkins, D.R.1
  • 21
    • 84893355765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards the endgame and beyond: complexities and challenges for the elimination of infectious diseases
    • 10.1098/rstb.2012.0137
    • Klepac P, Metcalf CJE, McLean AR, Hampson K (2013) Towards the endgame and beyond: complexities and challenges for the elimination of infectious diseases. Phil Trans R Soc B 368(1623):20120,137. doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0137
    • (2013) Phil Trans R Soc B , vol.368 , Issue.1623 , pp. 20120,137
    • Klepac, P.1    Metcalf, C.J.E.2    McLean, A.R.3    Hampson, K.4
  • 22
    • 79958181387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mathematical framework for critical transitions: bifurcations, fast-slow systems and stochastic dynamics
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXntlGntLY%3D
    • Kuehn C (2011) A mathematical framework for critical transitions: bifurcations, fast-slow systems and stochastic dynamics. Phys D 240:1020–1035
    • (2011) Phys D , vol.240 , pp. 1020-1035
    • Kuehn, C.1
  • 23
    • 68749109654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimally timing primaquine treatment to reduce Plasmodium falciparum transmission in low endemicity Thai-Myanmar border populations
    • PID: 19604346, 10.1186/1475-2875-8-159
    • Lawpoolsri S, Klein EY, Singhasivanon P, Yimsamran S, Thanyavanich N, Maneeboonyang W, Hungerford LL, Maguire JH, Smith DL (2009) Optimally timing primaquine treatment to reduce Plasmodium falciparum transmission in low endemicity Thai-Myanmar border populations. Malar J 8(1):159. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-8-159
    • (2009) Malar J , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 159
    • Lawpoolsri, S.1    Klein, E.Y.2    Singhasivanon, P.3    Yimsamran, S.4    Thanyavanich, N.5    Maneeboonyang, W.6    Hungerford, L.L.7    Maguire, J.H.8    Smith, D.L.9
  • 24
    • 10944252079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emerging flaviviruses: the spread and resurgence of Japanese encephalitis, West Nile and dengue viruses
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2cXhtVeht7fL, PID: 15577938, 10.1038/nm1144
    • Mackenzie JS, Gubler DJ, Petersen LR (2004) Emerging flaviviruses: the spread and resurgence of Japanese encephalitis, West Nile and dengue viruses. Nat Med 10(12 Suppl):S98–109. doi:10.1038/nm1144
    • (2004) Nat Med , vol.10 , pp. S98-S109
    • Mackenzie, J.S.1    Gubler, D.J.2    Petersen, L.R.3
  • 26
    • 34548436215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing coverage and decreasing inequity in insecticide-treated bed net use among rural Kenyan children
    • PID: 17713981, 10.1371/ journal.pmed.0040255
    • Noor AM, Amin AA, Akhwale WS, Snow RW (2007) Increasing coverage and decreasing inequity in insecticide-treated bed net use among rural Kenyan children. PLoS Med 4(8):e255. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0040255
    • (2007) PLoS Med , vol.4 , Issue.8 , pp. e255
    • Noor, A.M.1    Amin, A.A.2    Akhwale, W.S.3    Snow, R.W.4
  • 28
    • 84880673760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theory of early warning signals of disease emergence and leading indicators of elimination
    • 10.1007/s12080-013-0185-5
    • O’Regan SM, Drake JM (2013) Theory of early warning signals of disease emergence and leading indicators of elimination. Theor Ecol 6(3):333–357. doi:10.1007/s12080-013-0185-5
    • (2013) Theor Ecol , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 333-357
    • O’Regan, S.M.1    Drake, J.M.2
  • 30
    • 84873188335 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature-dependent pre-bloodmeal period and temperature-driven asynchrony between parasite development and mosquito biting rate reduce malaria transmission intensity
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3sXis1ylurg%3D, 10.1371/journal.pone.0055777
    • Paaijmans KP, Cator LJ, Thomas MB (2013) Temperature-dependent pre-bloodmeal period and temperature-driven asynchrony between parasite development and mosquito biting rate reduce malaria transmission intensity. PloS One 8(1):e55,777. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0055777
    • (2013) PloS One , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. e55,777
    • Paaijmans, K.P.1    Cator, L.J.2    Thomas, M.B.3
  • 31
    • 84892753788 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission
    • 10.1371/journal. pcbi.1003327
    • Perkins TA, Scott TW, Le Menach A, Smith DL (2013) Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission. PLoS Comput Biol 9(12):e1003,327. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003327
    • (2013) PLoS Comput Biol , vol.9 , Issue.12 , pp. e1003,327
    • Perkins, T.A.1    Scott, T.W.2    Le Menach, A.3    Smith, D.L.4
  • 32
    • 65949093943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How to make evolution-proof insecticides for malaria control
    • 10.1371/journal.pbio.1000058
    • Read AF, Lynch PA, Thomas MB (2009) How to make evolution-proof insecticides for malaria control. PLoS Biol 7(4):e1000, 058. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000058
    • (2009) PLoS Biol , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. e1000, 058
    • Read, A.F.1    Lynch, P.A.2    Thomas, M.B.3
  • 34
    • 0037033998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Satellite imagery in the study and forecast of malaria
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD38XhsVCjtLs%3D, PID: 11832960, 10.1038/415710a
    • Rogers DJ, Randolph SE, Snow RW, Hay SI (2002) Satellite imagery in the study and forecast of malaria. Nature 415(6872):710–5. doi:10.1038/415710a
    • (2002) Nature , vol.415 , Issue.6872 , pp. 710-715
    • Rogers, D.J.1    Randolph, S.E.2    Snow, R.W.3    Hay, S.I.4
  • 36
    • 4844221308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statics and dynamics of malaria infection in Anopheles mosquitoes
    • PID: 15180900, 10.1186/1475-2875-3-13
    • Smith DL, McKenzie FE (2004) Statics and dynamics of malaria infection in Anopheles mosquitoes. Malar J 3(1):13. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-3-13
    • (2004) Malar J , vol.3 , Issue.1 , pp. 13
    • Smith, D.L.1    McKenzie, F.E.2
  • 37
    • 84861208630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ross, Macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38Xlsl2qsLk%3D, 10.1371/journal.ppat.1002588
    • Smith DL, Battle KE, Hay SI, Barker CM, Scott TW, McKenzie FE (2012) Ross, Macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens. PLoS Pathog 8(4):e1002,588. doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1002588
    • (2012) PLoS Pathog , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. e1002,588
    • Smith, D.L.1    Battle, K.E.2    Hay, S.I.3    Barker, C.M.4    Scott, T.W.5    McKenzie, F.E.6
  • 40
    • 84886998279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World health report: research for universal health coverage
    • World Health Organization (2013) World health report: research for universal health coverage. Technical Report
    • (2013) Technical Report
  • 41
    • 84902083521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization (2014) Vector-borne diseases. fact sheet No. 387
    • (2014) Vector-borne diseases


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.