메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 5, 2015, Pages 653-660

Estimating HIV Incidence, Time to Diagnosis, and the Undiagnosed HIV Epidemic Using Routine Surveillance Data

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CD4 LYMPHOCYTE COUNT; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; INCIDENCE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MEN WHO HAVE SEX WITH MEN; NETHERLANDS; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SECONDARY ANALYSIS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; HEALTH SURVEY; HIV INFECTIONS; MALE HOMOSEXUALITY; PROCEDURES; THEORETICAL MODEL; TIME FACTOR;

EID: 84940052743     PISSN: 10443983     EISSN: 15315487     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000324     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (78)

References (42)
  • 2
    • 78650921515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National estimate of HIV prevalence in the Netherlands: Comparison and applicability of different estimation tools
    • van Veen MG, Presanis AM, Conti S, et al. National estimate of HIV prevalence in the Netherlands: comparison and applicability of different estimation tools. AIDS. 2011;25:229-237.
    • (2011) AIDS , vol.25 , pp. 229-237
    • Van Veen, M.G.1    Presanis, A.M.2    Conti, S.3
  • 3
    • 84875598043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001-10: A nationwide population study
    • Birrell PJ, Gill ON, Delpech VC, et al. HIV incidence in men who have sex with men in England and Wales 2001-10: a nationwide population study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2013;13:313-318.
    • (2013) Lancet Infect Dis , vol.13 , pp. 313-318
    • Birrell, P.J.1    Gill, O.N.2    Delpech, V.C.3
  • 4
    • 44949262979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnosed and undiagnosed HIV-infected populations in Europe
    • Hamers FF, Phillips AN. Diagnosed and undiagnosed HIV-infected populations in Europe. HIV Med. 2008;9(Suppl 2):6-12.
    • (2008) HIV Med , vol.9 , pp. 6-12
    • Hamers, F.F.1    Phillips, A.N.2
  • 5
    • 44449143366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A resurgent HIV-1 epidemic among men who have sex with men in the era of potent antiretroviral therapy
    • Bezemer D, de Wolf F, Boerlijst MC, et al. A resurgent HIV-1 epidemic among men who have sex with men in the era of potent antiretroviral therapy. AIDS. 2008;22:1071-1077.
    • (2008) AIDS , vol.22 , pp. 1071-1077
    • Bezemer, D.1    De Wolf, F.2    Boerlijst, M.C.3
  • 6
    • 79955636226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HIV in hiding: Methods and data requirements for the estimation of the number of people living with undiagnosed HIV
    • Working Group on Estimation of HIV Prevalence in Europe
    • Working Group on Estimation of HIV Prevalence in Europe. HIV in hiding: methods and data requirements for the estimation of the number of people living with undiagnosed HIV. AIDS. 2011;25:1017-1023.
    • (2011) AIDS , vol.25 , pp. 1017-1023
  • 8
    • 84874029956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased HIV incidence in men who have sex with men despite high levels of ART-induced viral suppression: Analysis of an extensively documented epidemic
    • Phillips AN, Cambiano V, Nakagawa F, et al. Increased HIV incidence in men who have sex with men despite high levels of ART-induced viral suppression: analysis of an extensively documented epidemic. PLoS One. 2013;8:e55312.
    • (2013) PLoS One , vol.8 , pp. e55312
    • Phillips, A.N.1    Cambiano, V.2    Nakagawa, F.3
  • 9
    • 84873052988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Updates to the Spectrum/Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) model to estimate HIV trends for adults and children
    • Stover J, Brown T, Marston M. Updates to the Spectrum/Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) model to estimate HIV trends for adults and children. Sex Transm Infect. 2012;88(Suppl 2):i11-i16.
    • (2012) Sex Transm Infect , vol.88 , pp. i11-i16
    • Stover, J.1    Brown, T.2    Marston, M.3
  • 11
    • 84864435723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HIV treatment as prevention: The utility and limitations of ecological observation
    • Smith MK, Powers KA, Muessig KE, Miller WC, Cohen MS. HIV treatment as prevention: the utility and limitations of ecological observation. PLoS Med. 2012;9:e1001260.
    • (2012) PLoS Med , vol.9 , pp. e1001260
    • Smith, M.K.1    Powers, K.A.2    Muessig, K.E.3    Miller, W.C.4    Cohen, M.S.5
  • 12
    • 77950199800 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Undiagnosed HIV prevalence among adults and adolescents in the United States at the end of 2006
    • Campsmith ML, Rhodes PH, Hall HI, Green TA . Undiagnosed HIV prevalence among adults and adolescents in the United States at the end of 2006. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2010;53:619-624.
    • (2010) J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr , vol.53 , pp. 619-624
    • Campsmith, M.L.1    Rhodes, P.H.2    Hall, H.I.3    Green, T.A.4
  • 13
    • 30944458182 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian back-calculation using a multi-state model with application to HIV
    • Sweeting MJ, De Angelis D, Aalen OO. Bayesian back-calculation using a multi-state model with application to HIV. Stat Med. 2005;24:3991-4007.
    • (2005) Stat Med , vol.24 , pp. 3991-4007
    • Sweeting, M.J.1    De Angelis, D.2    Aalen, O.O.3
  • 14
    • 80052924368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New method for estimating HIV incidence and time from infection to diagnosis using HIV surveillance data: Results for France
    • Ndawinz JD, Costagliola D, Supervie V. New method for estimating HIV incidence and time from infection to diagnosis using HIV surveillance data: results for France. AIDS. 2011;25:1905-1913.
    • (2011) AIDS , vol.25 , pp. 1905-1913
    • Ndawinz, J.D.1    Costagliola, D.2    Supervie, V.3
  • 15
    • 0038388010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Age-specific back-projection of HIV diagnosis data
    • Becker NG, Lewis JJ, Li Z, McDonald A. Age-specific back-projection of HIV diagnosis data. Stat Med. 2003;22:2177-2190.
    • (2003) Stat Med , vol.22 , pp. 2177-2190
    • Becker, N.G.1    Lewis, J.J.2    Li, Z.3    McDonald, A.4
  • 16
    • 0027122957 scopus 로고
    • 1993 revised classification system for HIV infection and expanded surveillance case definition for AIDS among adolescents and adults
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 1993 revised classification system for HIV infection and expanded surveillance case definition for AIDS among adolescents and adults. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1992;41:1-19.
    • (1992) MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep , vol.41 , pp. 1-19
  • 17
    • 80052892986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time from human immunodeficiency virus seroconversion to reaching CD4+ cell count thresholds <200, <350, and <500 Cells/mm: Assessment of need following changes in treatment guidelines
    • Lodi S, Phillips A, Touloumi G, et al.; CASCADE Collaboration in EuroCoord. Time from human immunodeficiency virus seroconversion to reaching CD4+ cell count thresholds <200, <350, and <500 Cells/mm: assessment of need following changes in treatment guidelines. Clin Infect Dis. 2011;53:817-825.
    • (2011) Clin Infect Dis , vol.53 , pp. 817-825
    • Lodi, S.1    Phillips, A.2    Touloumi, G.3
  • 18
    • 84894039576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HPTN 071 (PopART ): A cluster-randomized trial of the population impact of an HIV combination prevention intervention including universal testing and treatment: Mathematical model
    • HPTN 071 PopART Study Team
    • Cori A, Ayles H, Beyers N, et al.; HPTN 071 PopART Study Team. HPTN 071 (PopART ): a cluster-randomized trial of the population impact of an HIV combination prevention intervention including universal testing and treatment: mathematical model. PLoS One. 2014;9:e84511.
    • (2014) PLoS One , vol.9 , pp. e84511
    • Cori, A.1    Ayles, H.2    Beyers, N.3
  • 19
    • 77953613035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 27 years of the HIV epidemic amongst men having sex with men in the Netherlands: An in depth mathematical model-based analysis
    • Bezemer D, de Wolf F, Boerlijst MC, van Sighem A, Hollingsworth TD, Fraser C. 27 years of the HIV epidemic amongst men having sex with men in the Netherlands: an in depth mathematical model-based analysis. Epidemics. 2010;2:66-79.
    • (2010) Epidemics , vol.2 , pp. 66-79
    • Bezemer, D.1    De Wolf, F.2    Boerlijst, M.C.3    Van Sighem, A.4    Hollingsworth, T.D.5    Fraser, C.6
  • 20
    • 0028567685 scopus 로고
    • Sexual behaviour of gay and bisexual men in eight European countries
    • Bochow M, Chiarotti F, Davies P, et al. Sexual behaviour of gay and bisexual men in eight European countries. AIDS Care. 1994;6:533-549.
    • (1994) AIDS Care , vol.6 , pp. 533-549
    • Bochow, M.1    Chiarotti, F.2    Davies, P.3
  • 21
    • 33746789367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasons for not taking an HIV-test among untested men who have sex with men: An Internet study
    • Mikolajczak J, Hospers HJ, Kok G. Reasons for not taking an HIV-test among untested men who have sex with men: an Internet study. AIDS Behav. 2006;10:431-435.
    • (2006) AIDS Behav , vol.10 , pp. 431-435
    • Mikolajczak, J.1    Hospers, H.J.2    Kok, G.3
  • 22
    • 24944462299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multistate approach for estimating the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus by using data from a prevalent cohort study
    • Alioum A, Commenges D, Thiebaut R, Dabis F. A multistate approach for estimating the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus by using data from a prevalent cohort study. Appl Statist. 2005;54:739-752.
    • (2005) Appl Statist , vol.54 , pp. 739-752
    • Alioum, A.1    Commenges, D.2    Thiebaut, R.3    Dabis, F.4
  • 25
    • 0030967097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproductive rate. Tuberculosis as an example
    • Sanchez MA, Blower SM. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproductive rate. Tuberculosis as an example. Am J Epidemiol. 1997;145:1127-1137.
    • (1997) Am J Epidemiol , vol.145 , pp. 1127-1137
    • Sanchez, M.A.1    Blower, S.M.2
  • 26
    • 84866404147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resurgence of HIV infection among men who have sex with men in Switzerland: Mathematical modelling study
    • van Sighem A, Vidondo B, Glass TR, et al.; Swiss HIV Cohort Study. Resurgence of HIV infection among men who have sex with men in Switzerland: mathematical modelling study. PLoS One. 2012;7:e44819.
    • (2012) PLoS One , vol.7 , pp. e44819
    • Swiss HIV Cohort Study1    Van Sighem, A.2    Vidondo, B.3    Glass, T.R.4
  • 27
    • 35448977297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HIV in the UK 1980-2006: Reconstruction using a model of HIV infection and the effect of antiretroviral therapy
    • Phillips AN, Sabin C, Pillay D, Lundgren JD. HIV in the UK 1980-2006: reconstruction using a model of HIV infection and the effect of antiretroviral therapy. HIV Med. 2007;8:536-546.
    • (2007) HIV Med , vol.8 , pp. 536-546
    • Phillips, A.N.1    Sabin, C.2    Pillay, D.3    Lundgren, J.D.4
  • 28
    • 0034176789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time from HIV-1 seroconversion to AIDS and death before widespread use of highly-active antiretroviral therapy: A collaborative re-analysis
    • CA SCADE (Concerted Action on SeroConversion to AIDS and Death in Europe) Collaboration
    • CA SCADE (Concerted Action on SeroConversion to AIDS and Death in Europe) Collaboration. Time from HIV-1 seroconversion to AIDS and death before widespread use of highly-active antiretroviral therapy: a collaborative re-analysis. Lancet 2000; 355:1131-1137.
    • (2000) Lancet , vol.355 , pp. 1131-1137
  • 29
    • 78349262304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CD4 decline in seroconverter and seroprevalent individuals in the precombination of antiretroviral therapy era
    • Lodi S, Phillips A, Touloumi G, et al.; CASCADE Collaboration. CD4 decline in seroconverter and seroprevalent individuals in the precombination of antiretroviral therapy era. AIDS. 2010;24:2697-2704.
    • (2010) AIDS , vol.24 , pp. 2697-2704
    • Lodi, S.1    Phillips, A.2    Touloumi, G.3
  • 30
    • 84918551768 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors associated with short-term changes in HIV viral load and CD4+ cell count in antiretroviral-naive individuals
    • Natural History Project Working Group for the Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe (COHERE) in EuroCoord
    • Natural History Project Working Group for the Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe (COHERE) in EuroCoord. Factors associated with short-term changes in HIV viral load and CD4+ cell count in antiretroviral-naive individuals. AIDS 2014; 28:1351-1356.
    • (2014) AIDS , vol.28 , pp. 1351-1356
  • 31
    • 67249156626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing clinical virulence in two decades of the Italian HIV epidemic
    • Müller V, Maggiolo F, Suter F, et al. Increasing clinical virulence in two decades of the Italian HIV epidemic. PLoS Pathog. 2009;5:e1000454.
    • (2009) PLoS Pathog , vol.5 , pp. e1000454
    • Müller, V.1    Maggiolo, F.2    Suter, F.3
  • 32
    • 84878310916 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Has the rate of CD4 cell count decline before initiation of antiretroviral therapy changed over the course of the Dutch HIV epidemic among MSM?
    • Gras L, Geskus RB, Jurriaans S, et al.; ATHENA National Observational Cohort. Has the rate of CD4 cell count decline before initiation of antiretroviral therapy changed over the course of the Dutch HIV epidemic among MSM? PLoS One. 2013;8:e64437.
    • (2013) PLoS One , vol.8 , pp. e64437
    • ATHENA National Observational Cohort1    Gras, L.2    Geskus, R.B.3    Jurriaans, S.4
  • 33
    • 43949122200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimates of human immunodeficiency virus prevalence and proportion diagnosed based on Bayesian multiparameter synthesis of surveillance data
    • Goubar A, Ades AE, De Angelis D, et al. Estimates of human immunodeficiency virus prevalence and proportion diagnosed based on Bayesian multiparameter synthesis of surveillance data. J R Statist Soc A. 2008;171:541-567.
    • (2008) J R Statist Soc A , vol.171 , pp. 541-567
    • Goubar, A.1    Ades, A.E.2    De Angelis, D.3
  • 35
    • 84904200117 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The undiagnosed HIV epidemic in France and its implications for HIV screening strategies
    • Supervie V, Ndawinz JD, Lodi S, Costagliola D. The undiagnosed HIV epidemic in France and its implications for HIV screening strategies. AIDS. 2014;28:1797-1804.
    • (2014) AIDS , vol.28 , pp. 1797-1804
    • Supervie, V.1    Ndawinz, J.D.2    Lodi, S.3    Costagliola, D.4
  • 36
    • 84855616052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents Accessed May 7, 2014
    • Panel on Antiretroviral Guidelines for Adults and Adolescents. Guidelines for the Use of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents. 2014. Available at: http://aidsinfo.nih.gov/contentfiles/lvguidelines/adultandadolescentgl.pdf. Accessed May 7, 2014.
    • (2014) Guidelines for the Use of Antiretroviral Agents in HIV-1-Infected Adults and Adolescents
  • 37
    • 84884627659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk factors and outcomes for late presentation for HIV-positive persons in Europe: Results from the Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe Study (COHERE)
    • Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe (COHERE) study in EuroCoord
    • Mocroft A, Lundgren JD, Sabin ML, et al.; Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe (COHERE) study in EuroCoord. Risk factors and outcomes for late presentation for HIV-positive persons in Europe: results from the Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research Europe Study (COHERE). PLoS Med. 2013;10:e1001510.
    • (2013) PLoS Med , vol.10 , pp. e1001510
    • Mocroft, A.1    Lundgren, J.D.2    Sabin, M.L.3
  • 38
    • 34249889602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CD4 cell counts of 800 cells/mm3 or greater after 7 years of highly active antiretroviral therapy are feasible in most patients starting with 350 cells/mm3 or greater
    • ATHENA , Netherlands National Observational Cohort Study
    • Gras L, Kesselring AM, Griffin JT, et al.; ATHENA , Netherlands National Observational Cohort Study. CD4 cell counts of 800 cells/mm3 or greater after 7 years of highly active antiretroviral therapy are feasible in most patients starting with 350 cells/mm3 or greater. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2007;45:183-192.
    • (2007) J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr , vol.45 , pp. 183-192
    • Gras, L.1    Kesselring, A.M.2    Griffin, J.T.3
  • 39
    • 79951515760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ongoing HIV-1 transmission among men who have sex with men in Amsterdam: A 25-year prospective cohort study
    • Jansen IA, Geskus RB, Davidovich U, et al. Ongoing HIV-1 transmission among men who have sex with men in Amsterdam: a 25-year prospective cohort study. AIDS. 2011;25:493-501.
    • (2011) AIDS , vol.25 , pp. 493-501
    • Jansen, I.A.1    Geskus, R.B.2    Davidovich, U.3
  • 40
    • 84866314964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing sexual risk behaviour among Dutch men who have sex with men: Mathematical models versus prospective cohort data
    • van Sighem A, Jansen I, Bezemer D, et al. Increasing sexual risk behaviour among Dutch men who have sex with men: mathematical models versus prospective cohort data. AIDS. 2012;26:1840-1843.
    • (2012) AIDS , vol.26 , pp. 1840-1843
    • Van Sighem, A.1    Jansen, I.2    Bezemer, D.3
  • 41
    • 22344444456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meta-analysis of high-risk sexual behavior in persons aware and unaware they are infected with HIV in the United States: Implications for HIV prevention programs
    • Marks G, Crepaz N, Senterfitt JW, Janssen RS. Meta-analysis of high-risk sexual behavior in persons aware and unaware they are infected with HIV in the United States: implications for HIV prevention programs. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2005;39:446-453.
    • (2005) J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr , vol.39 , pp. 446-453
    • Marks, G.1    Crepaz, N.2    Senterfitt, J.W.3    Janssen, R.S.4
  • 42
    • 84857060365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Less decrease in risk behaviour from pre-HIV to post-HIV seroconversion among MSM in the combination antiretroviral therapy era compared with the pre-combination antiretroviral therapy era
    • Theijman T, Geskus RB, Davidovich U, Coutinho RA, Prins M, Stolte IG. Less decrease in risk behaviour from pre-HIV to post-HIV seroconversion among MSM in the combination antiretroviral therapy era compared with the pre-combination antiretroviral therapy era. AIDS. 2012;26:489-495.
    • (2012) AIDS , vol.26 , pp. 489-495
    • Theijman, T.1    Geskus, R.B.2    Davidovich, U.3    Coutinho, R.A.4    Prins, M.5    Stolte, I.G.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.