메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 5, 2016, Pages 664-685

Expert judgements of sea-level rise at the local scale

Author keywords

Expert judgement; Probability; Sea level rise; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; PROBABILITY; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84929500550     PISSN: 13669877     EISSN: 14664461     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2015.1043568     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (6)

References (91)
  • 1
    • 31944445587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eliciting Information from Experts on the Likelihood of Rapid Climate Change
    • N.W.Arnell,, E.L.Tompkins, and W.N.Adger. 2005. “Eliciting Information from Experts on the Likelihood of Rapid Climate Change.” Risk Analysis 25 (6): 1419–1431.10.1111/risk.2005.25.issue-6
    • (2005) Risk Analysis , vol.25 , Issue.6 , pp. 1419-1431
    • Arnell, N.W.1    Tompkins, E.L.2    Adger, W.N.3
  • 2
    • 14244263605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An Introduction to Prior Information Derived from Probabilistic Judgements: Elicitation of Knowledge, Cognitive Bias and Herding
    • M.C.Baddeley,, A.Curtis, and R.Wood. 2004. “An Introduction to Prior Information Derived from Probabilistic Judgements: Elicitation of Knowledge, Cognitive Bias and Herding.” Geological Society, London, Special Publications 239 (1): 15.10.1144/GSL.SP.2004.239.01.02
    • (2004) Geological Society, London, Special Publications , vol.239 , Issue.1 , pp. 15
    • Baddeley, M.C.1    Curtis, A.2    Wood, R.3
  • 3
    • 84875700477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An Expert Judgement Assessment of Future Sea Level Rise from the Ice Sheets
    • J.L.Bamber,, and W.P.Aspinall. 2013. “An Expert Judgement Assessment of Future Sea Level Rise from the Ice Sheets.” Nature Climate Change 3: 424–427.10.1038/nclimate1778
    • (2013) Nature Climate Change , vol.3 , pp. 424-427
    • Bamber, J.L.1    Aspinall, W.P.2
  • 4
    • 84901930364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Energy Technology Expert Elicitations: An Application to Natural Gas Turbine Efficiencies
    • J.E.Bistline, John E. 2014. “Energy Technology Expert Elicitations: An Application to Natural Gas Turbine Efficiencies.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 86: 177–187.10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.003
    • (2014) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.86 , pp. 177-187
    • Bistline, J.E.1
  • 6
    • 0038385936 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Third Wave of Science Studies: Studies of Expertise and Experience
    • H.M.Collins,, and R.Evans. 2002. “The Third Wave of Science Studies: Studies of Expertise and Experience.” Social Studies of Science 32 (2): 235–296.10.1177/0306312702032002003
    • (2002) Social Studies of Science , vol.32 , Issue.2 , pp. 235-296
    • Collins, H.M.1    Evans, R.2
  • 8
    • 3342878524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert Judgement Elicitation for Risk Assessments of Critical Infrastructures
    • R.M.Cooke, Roger M., and L.H.J.GoossensLouis H. J. 2004. “Expert Judgement Elicitation for Risk Assessments of Critical Infrastructures.” Journal of Risk Research 7 (6): 643–656.10.1080/1366987042000192237
    • (2004) Journal of Risk Research , vol.7 , Issue.6 , pp. 643-656
    • Cooke, R.M.1    Goossens, L.H.J.2
  • 9
    • 0001536179 scopus 로고
    • An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts
    • N.Dalkey, Norman, and O.HelmerOlaf. 1963. “An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts.” Management Science 9 (3): 458–467.10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458
    • (1963) Management Science , vol.9 , Issue.3 , pp. 458-467
    • Dalkey, N.1    Helmer, O.2
  • 12
    • 14644438513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does Climate Adaptation Policy Need Probabilities?
    • S.Dessai, Suraje, and M.HulmeMike. 2004. “Does Climate Adaptation Policy Need Probabilities?” Climate Policy 4 (2): 107–128.10.1080/14693062.2004.9685515
    • (2004) Climate Policy , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 107-128
    • Dessai, S.1    Hulme, M.2
  • 13
    • 84866489167 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Use of Belief-based Probabilistic Methods in Volcanology: Scientists’ Views and Implications for Risk Assessments
    • A.Donovan, Amy, C.OppenheimerClive, and M.BravoMichael. 2012. “The Use of Belief-based Probabilistic Methods in Volcanology: Scientists’ Views and Implications for Risk Assessments.” Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 247–248: 168–180.10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.08.011
    • (2012) Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research , vol.247-248 , pp. 168-180
    • Donovan, A.1    Oppenheimer, C.2    Bravo, M.3
  • 18
    • 0141733943 scopus 로고
    • Vox Populi
    • F.Galton, Francis. 1907. “Vox Populi.” Nature 75: 450–451.10.1038/075450a0
    • (1907) Nature , vol.75 , pp. 450-451
    • Galton, F.1
  • 24
    • 0030318096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theory and Applications of the Delphi Technique: A Bibliography (1975–1994)
    • U.G.Gupta, Uma G., and R.E.ClarkeRobert E. 1996. “Theory and Applications of the Delphi Technique: A Bibliography (1975–1994).” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 53 (2): 185–211.10.1016/S0040-1625(96)00094-7
    • (1996) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.53 , Issue.2 , pp. 185-211
    • Gupta, U.G.1    Clarke, R.E.2
  • 25
    • 85004771093 scopus 로고
    • Qualitative Research and Psychological Theorizing
    • K.L.Henwood, Karen L., and N.F.PidgeonNick F. 1992. “Qualitative Research and Psychological Theorizing.” British Journal of Psychology 83 (1): 97–111.10.1111/bjop.1992.83.issue-1
    • (1992) British Journal of Psychology , vol.83 , Issue.1 , pp. 97-111
    • Henwood, K.L.1    Pidgeon, N.F.2
  • 28
    • 78951469448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Keeping Prediction in Perspective
    • M.Hulme, Mike, R.PielkeRoger, and S.DessaiSuraje. 2009. “Keeping Prediction in Perspective.” Nature Reports Climate Change 0911: 126–127.10.1038/climate.2009.110
    • (2009) Nature Reports Climate Change , vol.911 , pp. 126-127
    • Hulme, M.1    Pielke, R.2    Dessai, S.3
  • 29
    • 84861910659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Approaches to Data Collection
    • Eggleston S., Buendia L., Miwa K., Ngara T., Tanabe K., (eds), Hayama: IGES
    • IPCC. 2006. “Approaches to Data Collection.” In IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Inventories, edited by S.EgglestonSimon, L.BuendiaLeandro, K.MiwaKyoko, T.NgaraTodd, and K.TanabeKiyoto. Hayama: IGES.
    • (2006) IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Inventories
  • 32
    • 84869499319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Field C.B., Barros V., Stocker T.F., Qin D., Dokken D.J., Ebi K.L., Mastrandrea M.D., Mach K.J., Plattner G.-K., Allen S.K., Tignor M., Midgley P.M., (eds), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • IPCC. 2012. “A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.” In Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation, edited by C.B.Field, V.Barros, T.F.Stocker, D.Qin, D.J.Dokken, K.L.Ebi, M.D.Mastrandrea, K.J.Mach, G.-K.Plattner, S.K.Allen, M.Tignor, and P.M.Midgley. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (2012) Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
  • 40
    • 77149164769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Severn Estuary and Bristol Channel: A 25 Year Critical Review
    • W.J.Langston,, P.J.C.Jonas, and G.E.Millward. 2010. “The Severn Estuary and Bristol Channel: A 25 Year Critical Review.” Marine Pollution Bulletin 61 (1–3): 1–4.10.1016/j.marpolbul.2009.12.009
    • (2010) Marine Pollution Bulletin , vol.61 , Issue.1-3 , pp. 1-4
    • Langston, W.J.1    Jonas, P.J.C.2    Millward, G.E.3
  • 44
    • 54949157526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plausible Responses to the Threat of Rapid Sea-level Rise in the Thames Estuary
    • K.G.Lonsdale, Kate G., T.E.DowningThomas E., R.J.NichollsRobert J., D.ParkerDennis, A.T.VafeidisAthanasios T., R.DawsonRichard, and J.HallJim. 2008. “Plausible Responses to the Threat of Rapid Sea-level Rise in the Thames Estuary.” Climatic Change 91 (1–2): 145–169.10.1007/s10584-008-9483-0
    • (2008) Climatic Change , vol.91 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 145-169
    • Lonsdale, K.G.1    Downing, T.E.2    Nicholls, R.J.3    Parker, D.4    Vafeidis, A.T.5    Dawson, R.6    Hall, J.7
  • 45
    • 33846837133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Danger is All around: Eliciting Expert Perceptions for Managing Climate Change through a Mental Models Approach
    • T.D.Lowe,, and I.Lorenzoni. 2007. “Danger is All around: Eliciting Expert Perceptions for Managing Climate Change through a Mental Models Approach.” Global Environmental Change 17 (1): 131–146.10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.05.001
    • (2007) Global Environmental Change , vol.17 , Issue.1 , pp. 131-146
    • Lowe, T.D.1    Lorenzoni, I.2
  • 46
    • 2142644460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic Integrated Assessment of ‘Dangerous’ Climate Change
    • M.D.Mastrandrea,, and S.H.Schneider. 2004. “Probabilistic Integrated Assessment of ‘Dangerous’ Climate Change.” Science 304 (5670): 571.10.1126/science.1094147
    • (2004) Science , vol.304 , Issue.5670 , pp. 571
    • Mastrandrea, M.D.1    Schneider, S.H.2
  • 47
    • 84977442373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Baxter J.M., Buckley P.J., Wallace C.J., (eds), Lowestoft: Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership
    • MCCIP. 2010. Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership Annual Report Card 2010–2011, edited by J.M.Baxter, P.J.Buckley, and C.J.Wallace. Lowestoft: Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership.
    • (2010) Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership Annual Report Card 2010–2011
  • 48
    • 84977456267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lowestoft: Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership
    • MCCIP. 2014. Marine Climate Change Research Priorities 2014. Lowestoft: Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership.
    • (2014) Marine Climate Change Research Priorities 2014
  • 49
    • 85004870430 scopus 로고
    • It Won’t Happen to Me: Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control?
    • F.P.McKenna, 1993. “It Won’t Happen to Me: Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control?” British Journal of Psychology 84 (1): 39–50.10.1111/bjop.1993.84.issue-1
    • (1993) British Journal of Psychology , vol.84 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-50
    • McKenna, F.P.1
  • 51
  • 52
    • 0035032782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Elicitation of Expert Judgments of Climate Change Impacts on Forest Ecosystems
    • M.G.Morgan,, L.F.Pitelka, and E.Shevliakova. 2001. “Elicitation of Expert Judgments of Climate Change Impacts on Forest Ecosystems.” Climatic Change 49 (3): 279–307.10.1023/A:1010651300697
    • (2001) Climatic Change , vol.49 , Issue.3 , pp. 279-307
    • Morgan, M.G.1    Pitelka, L.F.2    Shevliakova, E.3
  • 53
    • 84855334277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Crucial Role of Nomothetic and Idiographic Conceptions of Time: Interdisciplinary Collaboration in Nuclear Waste Management
    • C.Moser,, M.Stauffacher, P.Krütli, and R.W.Scholz. 2011. “The Crucial Role of Nomothetic and Idiographic Conceptions of Time: Interdisciplinary Collaboration in Nuclear Waste Management.” Risk Analysis 32 (1): 138–154.
    • (2011) Risk Analysis , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 138-154
    • Moser, C.1    Stauffacher, M.2    Krütli, P.3    Scholz, R.W.4
  • 54
    • 0344654895 scopus 로고
    • Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results
    • A.H.Murphy,, and R.L.Winkler. 1974. “Credible Interval Temperature Forecasting: Some Experimental Results.” Monthly Weather Review 102: 784–794.10.1175/1520-0493(1974)102<0784:CITFSE>2.0.CO;2
    • (1974) Monthly Weather Review , vol.102 , pp. 784-794
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 57
    • 0028003405 scopus 로고
    • Expert Opinion on Climatic Change
    • W.D.Nordhaus, 1994. “Expert Opinion on Climatic Change.” American Scientist 82: 45–45.
    • (1994) American Scientist , vol.82 , pp. 45
    • Nordhaus, W.D.1
  • 58
    • 54349091171 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using Expert Knowledge to Assess Uncertainties in Future Polar Bear Populations under Climate Change
    • S.J.O’Neill, Saffron J., T.J.OsbornTim J., M.HulmeMike, I.LorenzoniIrene, and A.R.WatkinsonAndrew R. 2008. “Using Expert Knowledge to Assess Uncertainties in Future Polar Bear Populations under Climate Change.” Journal of Applied Ecology 45 (6): 1649–1659.10.1111/jpe.2008.45.issue-6
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.45 , Issue.6 , pp. 1649-1659
    • O’Neill, S.J.1    Osborn, T.J.2    Hulme, M.3    Lorenzoni, I.4    Watkinson, A.R.5
  • 61
    • 77956264844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea Level Trends and NAO Influences: The Bristol Channel/Severn Estuary
    • M.R.Phillips,, and S.Crisp. 2010. “Sea Level Trends and NAO Influences: The Bristol Channel/Severn Estuary.” Global and Planetary Change 73 (3–4): 211–218.10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.06.005
    • (2010) Global and Planetary Change , vol.73 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 211-218
    • Phillips, M.R.1    Crisp, S.2
  • 63
    • 84952677336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S.Rhamstorf, Stefan. 2013. “Sea Level in the 5th IPCC Report.” Accessed July 5, 2014. http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2013/10/sea-level-in-the-5th-ipcc-report/
    • (2013) Sea Level in the 5th IPCC Report
    • Rhamstorf, S.1
  • 64
    • 74949107170 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reflections on Interviewing Elites
    • G.Rice, 2010. “Reflections on Interviewing Elites.” Area 42 (1): 70–75.10.1111/area.2010.42.issue-1
    • (2010) Area , vol.42 , Issue.1 , pp. 70-75
    • Rice, G.1
  • 66
    • 84977453213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Main Report
    • Cardiff: Severn Estuary Partnership
    • Severn Estuary Coastal Group and ATKINS. 2010. “Main Report.” In Severn Estuary Shoreline Management Plan Review (SMP2). Cardiff: Severn Estuary Partnership.
    • (2010) Severn Estuary Shoreline Management Plan Review (SMP2)
  • 68
    • 0036662635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene Land- and Sea-level Changes in Great Britain
    • I.Shennan,, and B.Horton. 2002. “Holocene Land- and Sea-level Changes in Great Britain.” Journal of Quaternary Science 17 (5–6): 511–526.
    • (2002) Journal of Quaternary Science , vol.17 , Issue.5-6 , pp. 511-526
    • Shennan, I.1    Horton, B.2
  • 69
    • 0033389271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk Perception by the Public and by Experts: A Dilemma in Risk Management
    • L.Sjöberg, Lennart. 1999. “Risk Perception by the Public and by Experts: A Dilemma in Risk Management.” Human Ecology Review 6 (2): 1–9.
    • (1999) Human Ecology Review , vol.6 , Issue.2 , pp. 1-9
    • Sjöberg, L.1
  • 70
    • 2442472242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality
    • P.Slovic,, M.L.Finucane, E.Peters, and D.G.MacGregor. 2004. “Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality.” Risk Analysis 24 (2): 311–322.10.1111/risk.2004.24.issue-2
    • (2004) Risk Analysis , vol.24 , Issue.2 , pp. 311-322
    • Slovic, P.1    Finucane, M.L.2    Peters, E.3    MacGregor, D.G.4
  • 71
    • 0016570245 scopus 로고
    • Exceptional Paper – Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis
    • C.S.Spetzler,, and C.A.S.Stael Von Holstein. 1975. “Exceptional Paper – Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis.” Management Science 22 (3): 340–358.10.1287/mnsc.22.3.340
    • (1975) Management Science , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 340-358
    • Spetzler, C.S.1    Stael Von Holstein, C.A.S.2
  • 72
    • 78650814083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Keep It Complex
    • A.Stirling, 2010. “Keep It Complex.” Nature 468 (7327): 1029–1031.10.1038/4681029a
    • (2010) Nature , vol.468 , Issue.7327 , pp. 1029-1031
    • Stirling, A.1
  • 73
    • 16544375650 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Over-optimism among Experts in Assessment and Foresight
    • G.Tichy, Gunther. 2004. “The Over-optimism among Experts in Assessment and Foresight.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 71 (4): 341–363.10.1016/j.techfore.2004.01.003
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.4 , pp. 341-363
    • Tichy, G.1
  • 74
    • 84977464451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Harness the Power of the Severn…
    • Tidal Lagoon Cardiff. 2015. “Harness the Power of the Severn…”. Tidal Lagoon (Cardiff) PLC. Accessed March 2. http://www.tidallagooncardiff.com/
    • (2015) Tidal Lagoon (Cardiff) PLC
  • 75
    • 0029764641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Risk of Sea Level Rise
    • J.G.Titus,, and V.Narayanan. 1996. “The Risk of Sea Level Rise.” Climatic Change 33 (2): 151–212.10.1007/BF00140246
    • (1996) Climatic Change , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 151-212
    • Titus, J.G.1    Narayanan, V.2
  • 76
    • 33746529361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cognitive Representations of the Future: Survey Results
    • B.Tonn, Bruce, A.HemrickAngela, and F.ConradFred. 2006. “Cognitive Representations of the Future: Survey Results.” Futures 38 (7): 810–829.10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.005
    • (2006) Futures , vol.38 , Issue.7 , pp. 810-829
    • Tonn, B.1    Hemrick, A.2    Conrad, F.3
  • 77
    • 84867100291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Policy Delphi
    • Linstone H.A., Turoff M., (eds)
    • M.Turoff, 2002. The Policy Delphi. In The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications, edited by H.A.Linstone and M.Turoff, 80–96. http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/.
    • (2002) The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications , pp. 80-96
    • Turoff, M.1
  • 78
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
    • A.Tversky,, and D.Kahneman. 1974. “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.” Science 185 (4157): 1124.10.1126/science.185.4157.1124
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , Issue.4157 , pp. 1124
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 79
    • 84977468734 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UK Climate Projections User Interface
    • UK Climate Projections. 2012. “UK Climate Projections User Interface.” UKCIP (UK Climate Impacts Programme). Accessed January 10, 2012. http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/21729
    • (2012) UKCIP (UK Climate Impacts Programme)
  • 80
    • 0036170003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk Estimation of Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
    • D.G.Vaughan,, and J.R.Spouge. 2002. “Risk Estimation of Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.” Climatic Change 52 (1/2): 65–91.10.1023/A:1013038920600
    • (2002) Climatic Change , vol.52 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 65-91
    • Vaughan, D.G.1    Spouge, J.R.2
  • 82
    • 76049127960 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How Prevalent is Wishful Thinking? Misattribution of Arousal Causes Optimism and Pessimism in Subjective Probabilities
    • J.Vosgerau, 2010. “How Prevalent is Wishful Thinking? Misattribution of Arousal Causes Optimism and Pessimism in Subjective Probabilities.” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 139 (1): 32.10.1037/a0018144
    • (2010) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.139 , Issue.1 , pp. 32
    • Vosgerau, J.1
  • 83
    • 0002229735 scopus 로고
    • State of the Art – Encoding Subjective Probabilities: A Psychological and Psychometric Review
    • T.S.Wallsten,, and D.V.Budescu. 1983. “State of the Art – Encoding Subjective Probabilities: A Psychological and Psychometric Review.” Management Science 29 (2): 151–173.10.1287/mnsc.29.2.151
    • (1983) Management Science , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 151-173
    • Wallsten, T.S.1    Budescu, D.V.2
  • 86
    • 84871023829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased Future Ice Discharge from Antarctica Owing to Higher Snowfall
    • R.Winkelmann,, A.Levermann, M.A.Martin, and K.Frieler. 2012. “Increased Future Ice Discharge from Antarctica Owing to Higher Snowfall.” Nature 492 (7428): 239–242.
    • (2012) Nature , vol.492 , Issue.7428 , pp. 239-242
    • Winkelmann, R.1    Levermann, A.2    Martin, M.A.3    Frieler, K.4
  • 88
    • 0002113354 scopus 로고
    • Frameworks of Rationality in Risk Management: Towards the Testing of Naive Sociology
    • Brown J., (ed), London: Belhaven Press
    • B.Wynne, Brian. 1989. “Frameworks of Rationality in Risk Management: Towards the Testing of Naive Sociology.” In Environmental Threats: Perception, Analysis and Management, edited by J.BrownJennifer, 33–47. London: Belhaven Press.
    • (1989) Environmental Threats: Perception, Analysis and Management , pp. 33-47
    • Wynne, B.1
  • 89
    • 49649140423 scopus 로고
    • Group Risk-taking under Various Group Decision Schemes
    • R.B.Zajonc, Robert B., R.J.WolosinRobert J., and M.A.WolosinMyrna A. 1972. “Group Risk-taking under Various Group Decision Schemes.” Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 8 (1): 16–30.10.1016/0022-1031(72)90058-3
    • (1972) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 16-30
    • Zajonc, R.B.1    Wolosin, R.J.2    Wolosin, M.A.3
  • 90
    • 34247195097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert Judgements on the Response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Climate Change
    • K.Zickfeld,, A.Levermann, M.G.Morgan, T.Kuhlbrodt, S.Rahmstorf, and D.W.Keith. 2007. “Expert Judgements on the Response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Climate Change.” Climatic Change 82 (3–4): 235–265.10.1007/s10584-007-9246-3
    • (2007) Climatic Change , vol.82 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 235-265
    • Zickfeld, K.1    Levermann, A.2    Morgan, M.G.3    Kuhlbrodt, T.4    Rahmstorf, S.5    Keith, D.W.6
  • 91
    • 77955465675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert Judgments about Transient Climate Response to Alternative Future Trajectories of Radiative Forcing
    • K.Zickfeld,, M.G.Morgan, D.J.Frame, and D.W.Keith. 2010. “Expert Judgments about Transient Climate Response to Alternative Future Trajectories of Radiative Forcing.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107 (28): 12451.
    • (2010) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , vol.107 , Issue.28 , pp. 12451
    • Zickfeld, K.1    Morgan, M.G.2    Frame, D.J.3    Keith, D.W.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.