메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 46, Issue 2, 2015, Pages 371-377

Predicting 30-day mortality following hip fracture surgery: Evaluation of six risk prediction models

Author keywords

Hip fractures; Mortality; Outcome; Risk prediction; Scoring; Surgery

Indexed keywords

HEMOGLOBIN;

EID: 84922978896     PISSN: 00201383     EISSN: 18790267     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2014.11.004     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (134)

References (35)
  • 1
    • 0029890161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hip fracture
    • J.D. Zuckerman Hip fracture N Engl J Med 334 23 1996 1519 1525
    • (1996) N Engl J Med , vol.334 , Issue.23 , pp. 1519-1525
    • Zuckerman, J.D.1
  • 2
    • 80052710299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Societal consequences of falls in the older population: Injuries, healthcare costs, and long-term reduced quality of life
    • K.A. Hartholt, E.F. van Beeck, S. Polinder, N. van der Velde, E.M. van Lieshout, and M.J. Panneman Societal consequences of falls in the older population: injuries, healthcare costs, and long-term reduced quality of life J Trauma 71 3 2011 748 753
    • (2011) J Trauma , vol.71 , Issue.3 , pp. 748-753
    • Hartholt, K.A.1    Van Beeck, E.F.2    Polinder, S.3    Van Der Velde, N.4    Van Lieshout, E.M.5    Panneman, M.J.6
  • 3
    • 33745684552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incidence and costs of injuries in the Netherlands
    • W.J. Meerding, S. Mulder, and E.F. van Beeck Incidence and costs of injuries in the Netherlands Eur J Public Health 16 3 2006 272 278
    • (2006) Eur J Public Health , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 272-278
    • Meerding, W.J.1    Mulder, S.2    Van Beeck, E.F.3
  • 4
    • 84922972569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • [cited 2014 May 27]
    • Statistics Netherlands. Hip fractures 2010-2011 Statline CBS [2014 [cited 2014 May 27]; Available from: URL: http://statline.cbs.nl/StatWeb/publication/default.aspx?DM=SLNL&PA=71859NED&D1=4&D2=0&D3=0&D4=157&D5=26-30&STB=G2%2cG3%2cG4%2cG1%2cT&CHARTTYPE=1&VW=T
    • (2014) Hip Fractures 2010-2011 Statline CBS
    • Statistics Netherlands1
  • 5
    • 84862220599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis
    • F. Hu, C. Jiang, J. Shen, P. Tang, and Y. Wang Preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis Injury 2011
    • (2011) Injury
    • Hu, F.1    Jiang, C.2    Shen, J.3    Tang, P.4    Wang, Y.5
  • 6
    • 84903193364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pre-operative indicators for mortality following hip fracture surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis
    • T. Smith, K. Pelpola, M. Ball, A. Ong, and P.K. Myint Pre-operative indicators for mortality following hip fracture surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis Age Ageing 2014
    • (2014) Age Ageing
    • Smith, T.1    Pelpola, K.2    Ball, M.3    Ong, A.4    Myint, P.K.5
  • 8
    • 0023092594 scopus 로고
    • A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: Development and validation
    • M.E. Charlson, P. Pompei, K.L. Ales, and C.R. MacKenzie A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation J Chronic Dis 40 5 1987 373 383
    • (1987) J Chronic Dis , vol.40 , Issue.5 , pp. 373-383
    • Charlson, M.E.1    Pompei, P.2    Ales, K.L.3    MacKenzie, C.R.4
  • 9
    • 84861872921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing risk prediction models
    • G.S. Collins, and K.G. Moons Comparing risk prediction models BMJ 344 2012 3186
    • (2012) BMJ , vol.344 , pp. 3186
    • Collins, G.S.1    Moons, K.G.2
  • 10
    • 52949100612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation, updating and impact of clinical prediction rules: A review
    • D.B. Toll, K.J. Janssen, Y. Vergouwe, and K.G. Moons Validation, updating and impact of clinical prediction rules: a review J Clin Epidemiol 61 11 2008 1085 1094
    • (2008) J Clin Epidemiol , vol.61 , Issue.11 , pp. 1085-1094
    • Toll, D.B.1    Janssen, K.J.2    Vergouwe, Y.3    Moons, K.G.4
  • 11
    • 0020083498 scopus 로고
    • The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
    • J.A. Hanley, and B.J. McNeil The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve Radiology 143 1 1982 29 36
    • (1982) Radiology , vol.143 , Issue.1 , pp. 29-36
    • Hanley, J.A.1    McNeil, B.J.2
  • 13
    • 0020063002 scopus 로고
    • A review of goodness of fit statistics for use in the development of logistic regression models
    • S. Lemeshow, and D.W. Hosmer Jr. A review of goodness of fit statistics for use in the development of logistic regression models Am J Epidemiol 115 1 1982 92 106
    • (1982) Am J Epidemiol , vol.115 , Issue.1 , pp. 92-106
    • Lemeshow, S.1    Hosmer, D.W.2
  • 14
    • 0031962305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical comparison of two ROC-curve estimates obtained from partially-paired datasets
    • C.E. Metz, B.A. Herman, and C.A. Roe Statistical comparison of two ROC-curve estimates obtained from partially-paired datasets Med Decis Making 18 1 1998 110 121
    • (1998) Med Decis Making , vol.18 , Issue.1 , pp. 110-121
    • Metz, C.E.1    Herman, B.A.2    Roe, C.A.3
  • 15
    • 0026064270 scopus 로고
    • POSSUM: A scoring system for surgical audit
    • G.P. Copeland, D. Jones, and M. Walters POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit Br J Surg 78 3 1991 355 360
    • (1991) Br J Surg , vol.78 , Issue.3 , pp. 355-360
    • Copeland, G.P.1    Jones, D.2    Walters, M.3
  • 16
    • 54449083387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • E-PASS for predicting postoperative risk with hip fracture: A multicenter study
    • J. Hirose, H. Mizuta, J. Ide, E. Nakamura, and K. Takada E-PASS for predicting postoperative risk with hip fracture: a multicenter study Clin Orthop Relat Res 466 11 2008 2833 2841
    • (2008) Clin Orthop Relat Res , vol.466 , Issue.11 , pp. 2833-2841
    • Hirose, J.1    Mizuta, H.2    Ide, J.3    Nakamura, E.4    Takada, K.5
  • 17
    • 55649093135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) to predict the postoperative risk for hip fracture in elder patients
    • J. Hirose, H. Mizuta, J. Ide, and K. Nomura Evaluation of estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) to predict the postoperative risk for hip fracture in elder patients Arch Orthop Trauma Surg 128 12 2008 1447 1452
    • (2008) Arch Orthop Trauma Surg , vol.128 , Issue.12 , pp. 1447-1452
    • Hirose, J.1    Mizuta, H.2    Ide, J.3    Nomura, K.4
  • 18
    • 14544291047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development and initial validation of a risk score for predicting in-hospital and 1-year mortality in patients with hip fractures
    • H.X. Jiang, S.R. Majumdar, D.A. Dick, M. Moreau, J. Raso, and D.D. Otto Development and initial validation of a risk score for predicting in-hospital and 1-year mortality in patients with hip fractures J Bone Miner Res 20 3 2005 494 500
    • (2005) J Bone Miner Res , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 494-500
    • Jiang, H.X.1    Majumdar, S.R.2    Dick, D.A.3    Moreau, M.4    Raso, J.5    Otto, D.D.6
  • 19
    • 51849092245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development and validation of a preoperative scoring system to predict 30 day mortality in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery
    • M.J. Maxwell, C.G. Moran, and I.K. Moppett Development and validation of a preoperative scoring system to predict 30 day mortality in patients undergoing hip fracture surgery Br J Anaesth 101 4 2008 511 517
    • (2008) Br J Anaesth , vol.101 , Issue.4 , pp. 511-517
    • Maxwell, M.J.1    Moran, C.G.2    Moppett, I.K.3
  • 21
    • 53849101009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Early mortality after surgical fixation of hip fractures in the elderly: An analysis of data from the scottish hip fracture audit
    • G. Holt, R. Smith, K. Duncan, D.F. Finlayson, and A. Gregori Early mortality after surgical fixation of hip fractures in the elderly: an analysis of data from the scottish hip fracture audit J Bone Joint Surg Br 90 10 2008 1357 1363
    • (2008) J Bone Joint Surg Br , vol.90 , Issue.10 , pp. 1357-1363
    • Holt, G.1    Smith, R.2    Duncan, K.3    Finlayson, D.F.4    Gregori, A.5
  • 22
    • 79952911444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nottingham Hip Fracture Score as a predictor of one year mortality in patients undergoing surgical repair of fractured neck of femur
    • M.D. Wiles, C.G. Moran, O. Sahota, and I.K. Moppett Nottingham Hip Fracture Score as a predictor of one year mortality in patients undergoing surgical repair of fractured neck of femur Br J Anaesth 106 4 2011 501 504
    • (2011) Br J Anaesth , vol.106 , Issue.4 , pp. 501-504
    • Wiles, M.D.1    Moran, C.G.2    Sahota, O.3    Moppett, I.K.4
  • 23
    • 84860535395 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score as a predictor of early discharge following fractured neck of femur
    • I.K. Moppett, M.D. Wiles, C.G. Moran, and O. Sahota The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score as a predictor of early discharge following fractured neck of femur Age Ageing 41 3 2012 322 326
    • (2012) Age Ageing , vol.41 , Issue.3 , pp. 322-326
    • Moppett, I.K.1    Wiles, M.D.2    Moran, C.G.3    Sahota, O.4
  • 24
    • 0033057671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) as a new prediction scoring system for postoperative morbidity and mortality following elective gastrointestinal surgery
    • Y. Haga, S. Ikei, and M. Ogawa Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) as a new prediction scoring system for postoperative morbidity and mortality following elective gastrointestinal surgery Surg Today 29 3 1999 219 225
    • (1999) Surg Today , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 219-225
    • Haga, Y.1    Ikei, S.2    Ogawa, M.3
  • 25
    • 70449527560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New equations for predicting postoperative risk in patients with hip fracture
    • J. Hirose, J. Ide, H. Irie, K. Kikukawa, and H. Mizuta New equations for predicting postoperative risk in patients with hip fracture Clin Orthop Relat Res 467 12 2009 3327 3333
    • (2009) Clin Orthop Relat Res , vol.467 , Issue.12 , pp. 3327-3333
    • Hirose, J.1    Ide, J.2    Irie, H.3    Kikukawa, K.4    Mizuta, H.5
  • 26
    • 80555148835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Charlson Comorbidity Index Score as a predictor of 30 day mortality after hip fracture surgery
    • L.L. Kirkland, D.T. Kashiwagi, M.C. Burton, S. Cha, and P. Varkey The Charlson Comorbidity Index Score as a predictor of 30 day mortality after hip fracture surgery Am J Med Qual 26 6 2011 461 467
    • (2011) Am J Med Qual , vol.26 , Issue.6 , pp. 461-467
    • Kirkland, L.L.1    Kashiwagi, D.T.2    Burton, M.C.3    Cha, S.4    Varkey, P.5
  • 27
    • 79954539502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • POSSUM predicts hospital mortality and long-term survival in patients with hip fractures
    • M.L. van Zeeland, I.P. Genovesi, J.W. Mulder, P.R. Strating, A.S. Glas, and A.F. Engel POSSUM predicts hospital mortality and long-term survival in patients with hip fractures J Trauma 70 4 2011 E67 E72
    • (2011) J Trauma , vol.70 , Issue.4 , pp. E67-E72
    • Van Zeeland, M.L.1    Genovesi, I.P.2    Mulder, J.W.3    Strating, P.R.4    Glas, A.S.5    Engel, A.F.6
  • 28
    • 40649114180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of orthopaedic POSSUM as an audit tool for fractured neck of femur
    • D.M. Wright, S. Blanckley, G.J. Stewart, and G.P. Copeland The use of orthopaedic POSSUM as an audit tool for fractured neck of femur Injury 39 4 2008 430 435
    • (2008) Injury , vol.39 , Issue.4 , pp. 430-435
    • Wright, D.M.1    Blanckley, S.2    Stewart, G.J.3    Copeland, G.P.4
  • 29
    • 33744497276 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Audit of morbidity and mortality following neck of femur fracture using the POSSUM scoring system
    • W. Young, R. Seigne, S. Bright, and M. Gardner Audit of morbidity and mortality following neck of femur fracture using the POSSUM scoring system N Z Med J 119 1234 2006 1986
    • (2006) N Z Med J , vol.119 , Issue.1234 , pp. 1986
    • Young, W.1    Seigne, R.2    Bright, S.3    Gardner, M.4
  • 30
    • 17044439114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • POSSUM scoring for patients with fractured neck of femur
    • T.S. Ramanathan, I.K. Moppett, R. Wenn, and C.G. Moran POSSUM scoring for patients with fractured neck of femur Br J Anaesth 94 4 2005 430 433
    • (2005) Br J Anaesth , vol.94 , Issue.4 , pp. 430-433
    • Ramanathan, T.S.1    Moppett, I.K.2    Wenn, R.3    Moran, C.G.4
  • 31
    • 34548258778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the calibration of mortality benchmarks in critical care: The Hosmer-Lemeshow test revisited
    • A.A. Kramer, and J.E. Zimmerman Assessing the calibration of mortality benchmarks in critical care: the Hosmer-Lemeshow test revisited Crit Care Med 35 9 2007 2052 2056
    • (2007) Crit Care Med , vol.35 , Issue.9 , pp. 2052-2056
    • Kramer, A.A.1    Zimmerman, J.E.2
  • 32
    • 0034567668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • One model, several results: The paradox of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for the logistic regression model
    • G. Bertolini, R. D'Amico, D. Nardi, A. Tinazzi, and G. Apolone One model, several results: the paradox of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for the logistic regression model J Epidemiol Biostat 5 4 2000 251 253
    • (2000) J Epidemiol Biostat , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 251-253
    • Bertolini, G.1    D'Amico, R.2    Nardi, D.3    Tinazzi, A.4    Apolone, G.5
  • 33
    • 34548228471 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Size matters to a model's fit
    • J.P. Marcin, and P.S. Romano Size matters to a model's fit Crit Care Med 35 9 2007 2212 2213
    • (2007) Crit Care Med , vol.35 , Issue.9 , pp. 2212-2213
    • Marcin, J.P.1    Romano, P.S.2
  • 34
    • 84861842176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparisons of established risk prediction models for cardiovascular disease: Systematic review
    • G.C. Siontis, I. Tzoulaki, K.C. Siontis, and J.P. Ioannidis Comparisons of established risk prediction models for cardiovascular disease: systematic review BMJ 344 2012 3318
    • (2012) BMJ , vol.344 , pp. 3318
    • Siontis, G.C.1    Tzoulaki, I.2    Siontis, K.C.3    Ioannidis, J.P.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.