메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 41, Issue 24, 2014, Pages 8792-8799

Stress-based aftershock forecasts made within 24 h postmain shock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M = 6.0 West Napa earthquake

Author keywords

earthquake interactions; prospective stress based forecasts

Indexed keywords

FAULTING; FORECASTING;

EID: 84921834826     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062379     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (17)

References (22)
  • 2
    • 0028259570 scopus 로고
    • A constitutive law for rate of earthquake production and its application to earthquake clustering
    • Dieterich, J., (1994), A constitutive law for rate of earthquake production and its application to earthquake clustering, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 2601-2618, doi: 10.1029/93JB02581.
    • (1994) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.99 , pp. 2601-2618
    • Dieterich, J.1
  • 3
    • 0030006205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of fault constitutive properties for earthquake prediction
    • Dieterich, J. H., and, B. Kilgore, (1996), Implications of fault constitutive properties for earthquake prediction, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 93, 3787-3794.
    • (1996) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. , vol.93 , pp. 3787-3794
    • Dieterich, J.H.1    Kilgore, B.2
  • 4
    • 84921891401 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time-dependent renewal-model probabilities when date of last earthquake is unknown
    • in press
    • Field, E. H., and, T. H. Jordan, (2014), Time-dependent renewal-model probabilities when date of last earthquake is unknown, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., in press.
    • (2014) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am.
    • Field, E.H.1    Jordan, T.H.2
  • 5
    • 84903736969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 3 (UCERF3) - The time-independent model
    • Field, E. H., et al. (2014), Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)-The time-independent model, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, 1122-1180, doi: 10.1785/0120130164.
    • (2014) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. , vol.104 , pp. 1122-1180
    • Field, E.H.1
  • 6
    • 14344260738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stress orientations at intermediate angles to the San Andreas fault, California
    • Hardebeck, J. L., and, A. J. Michael, (2004), Stress orientations at intermediate angles to the San Andreas fault, California, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B11303, doi: 10.1029/2004JB003239.
    • (2004) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.109 , pp. B11303
    • Hardebeck, J.L.1    Michael, A.J.2
  • 8
    • 0027095145 scopus 로고
    • Internal deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space
    • Okada, Y., (1992), Internal deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 82, 1018-1040.
    • (1992) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. , vol.82 , pp. 1018-1040
    • Okada, Y.1
  • 9
    • 0038587781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system from 3-D finite element analysis
    • Parsons, T., (2002), Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system from 3-D finite element analysis, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (B8), 2162, doi: 10.1029/2001JB001051.
    • (2002) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.107 , Issue.B8 , pp. 2162
    • Parsons, T.1
  • 10
    • 84893739307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stress, distance, magnitude, and clustering influences on the success or failure of an aftershock forecast: The 2013 M = 6.6 Lushan earthquake and other examples
    • Parsons, T., and, M. Segou, (2014), Stress, distance, magnitude, and clustering influences on the success or failure of an aftershock forecast: The 2013 M = 6.6 Lushan earthquake and other examples, Seismol. Res. Lett., 85, 44-51, doi: 10.1785/0220130100.
    • (2014) Seismol. Res. Lett. , vol.85 , pp. 44-51
    • Parsons, T.1    Segou, M.2
  • 11
    • 33646453542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Static stress change from the 8 October, 2005 M = 7.6 Kashmir earthquake
    • Parsons, T., R. S. Yeats, Y. Yagi, and, A. Hussain, (2006), Static stress change from the 8 October, 2005 M = 7.6 Kashmir earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L06304, doi: 10.1029/2005GL025429.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33 , pp. L06304
    • Parsons, T.1    Yeats, R.S.2    Yagi, Y.3    Hussain, A.4
  • 12
    • 47949107370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stress changes from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and increased hazard in the Sichuan basin
    • Parsons, T., C. Ji, and, E. Kirby, (2008), Stress changes from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and increased hazard in the Sichuan basin, Nature, 454, 509-510, doi: 10.1038/nature07177.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.454 , pp. 509-510
    • Parsons, T.1    Ji, C.2    Kirby, E.3
  • 13
    • 84857061669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of static stress change forecasting with prospective and blind tests
    • Parsons, T., Y. Ogata, J. Zhuang, and, E. L. Geist, (2012), Evaluation of static stress change forecasting with prospective and blind tests, Geophys. J. Int., 188, 1425-1440, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.05343.x.
    • (2012) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.188 , pp. 1425-1440
    • Parsons, T.1    Ogata, Y.2    Zhuang, J.3    Geist, E.L.4
  • 15
    • 84892529549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of combined physics based and statistical forecast models
    • Segou, M., T. Parsons, and, W. Ellsworth, (2013), Evaluation of combined physics based and statistical forecast models, J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth, 118, 6219-6240, doi: 10.1002/2013JB010313.
    • (2013) J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth , vol.118 , pp. 6219-6240
    • Segou, M.1    Parsons, T.2    Ellsworth, W.3
  • 16
    • 0033540090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence
    • Stein, R. S., (1999), The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence, Nature, 402, 605-609.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.402 , pp. 605-609
    • Stein, R.S.1
  • 18
    • 22944484727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer
    • Toda, S., R. S. Stein, K. Richards-Dinger, and, S. Bozkurt, (2005), Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B05S16, doi: 10.1029/2004JB003415.
    • (2005) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.110 , pp. B05S16
    • Toda, S.1    Stein, R.S.2    Richards-Dinger, K.3    Bozkurt, S.4
  • 19
    • 0028555013 scopus 로고
    • New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement
    • Wells, D. L., and, K. J. Coppersmith, (1994), New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 84, 974-1002.
    • (1994) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. , vol.84 , pp. 974-1002
    • Wells, D.L.1    Coppersmith, K.J.2
  • 20
    • 79957911663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution long-term and short-term earthquake forecasts for California
    • Werner, M. J., A. Helmstetter, D. D. Jackson, and, Y. Y. Kagan, (2011), High-resolution long-term and short-term earthquake forecasts for California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 101, 1630-1648.
    • (2011) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. , vol.101 , pp. 1630-1648
    • Werner, M.J.1    Helmstetter, A.2    Jackson, D.D.3    Kagan, Y.Y.4
  • 22
    • 1142305132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities U.S. Geol. Surv. Open File Rep., 03-214
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (2003), Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay region: 2002-2031, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open File Rep., 03-214, 235 pp.
    • (2003) Earthquake Probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2002-2031 , pp. 235


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.