메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn , Issue , 2008, Pages 1-282

Foresight: The art and science of anticipating the future

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 84918923122     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.4324/9780203894156     Document Type: Book
Times cited : (86)

References (277)
  • 3
    • 0035006447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Austrian foresight programme: Organisation and expert profile
    • Aichholzer, G. 2001. ‘The Austrian foresight programme: organisation and expert profile, ' International Journal of Technology Management, 21, 7-8, 739-55.
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 739-755
    • Aichholzer, G.1
  • 7
    • 85144364951 scopus 로고
    • Private communication
    • Anon. 1976. Private communication.
    • (1976)
  • 8
    • 0003498592 scopus 로고
    • Research Directorate of the National Defense University, jointly with the US Department of Agriculture, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Institute for the Future, Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, DC
    • Anon. 1978. ‘Climate Change to the Year 2000: A Survey of Expert Opinion, ' Research Directorate of the National Defense University, jointly with the US Department of Agriculture, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Institute for the Future, Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, DC.
    • (1978) Climate Change to the Year 2000: A Survey of Expert Opinion
  • 10
    • 70349245010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Global Reporting Initiative, Online, Accessed 6 March 2008
    • Anon. 2002. ‘Sustainability Reporting Guidelines, ' The Global Reporting Initiative, Online: www.globalreporting.org. Accessed 6 March 2008.
    • (2002) Sustainability Reporting Guidelines
  • 11
    • 31944437391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • AccountAbility and The World Economic Forum, January 13
    • Anon. 2005. ‘Mainstreaming Responsible Investment, ' AccountAbility and The World Economic Forum, January 13.
    • (2005) Mainstreaming Responsible Investment
  • 12
    • 70350273904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PREST, Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, March
    • Anon. 2006a. ‘Evaluation of the United Kingdom Foresight Programme, ' PREST, Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, March.
    • (2006) Evaluation of the United Kingdom Foresight Programme
  • 13
    • 33750145837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Economist Intelligence Unit, ‘Foresight 2020: Understanding the Long-term Business Landscape’ New York, March 30
    • Anon. 2006b. ‘Foresight 2020: Economic, Industry and Corporate Trends, ' The Economist Intelligence Unit, ‘Foresight 2020: Understanding the Long-term Business Landscape’ New York, March 30.
    • (2006) Foresight 2020: Economic, Industry and Corporate Trends
  • 14
    • 34247370602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • IPCC Fourth Assessment Report AR$
    • Anon. 2007. ‘Climate Change 2007, ' IPCC Fourth Assessment Report AR4.
    • (2007) Climate Change 2007
  • 15
    • 0000282511 scopus 로고
    • Double loop learning in organizations
    • Argryis, C. 1977. ‘Double loop learning in organizations, ' Harvard Business Review, 55, 5, 115-25.
    • (1977) Harvard Business Review , vol.55 , Issue.5 , pp. 115-125
    • Argryis, C.1
  • 17
    • 0002431077 scopus 로고
    • Industrial metabolism
    • National Academy Press
    • Ayres, R.U. 1989. ‘Industrial metabolism, ' in Technology and Environment, National Academy Press, pp. 23-49.
    • (1989) Technology and Environment , pp. 23-49
    • Ayres, R.U.1
  • 18
    • 0027330732 scopus 로고
    • Cowboys, cornucopians and long-run sustainability
    • Ayres, R. 1993. ‘Cowboys, cornucopians and long-run sustainability, ' Ecological Economics, 8, 3, 189-207.
    • (1993) Ecological Economics , vol.8 , Issue.3 , pp. 189-207
    • Ayres, R.1
  • 23
    • 84918866525 scopus 로고
    • Joint Plenary Session - O.R.S. and T.I.M.S: Questions of metric
    • Special Conference Issue, July
    • Beer, S. 1971. ‘Joint Plenary Session - O.R.S. and T.I.M.S: Questions of metric, ' Operational Research Quarterly, 22, Special Conference Issue, July, 133-44.
    • (1971) Operational Research Quarterly , vol.22 , pp. 133-144
    • Beer, S.1
  • 31
    • 0012214059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population: Ignoring its impact’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth
    • January
    • Bongaarts, J. 2002. ‘Population: ignoring its impact’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth’, Scientific American, January, 65-7.
    • (2002) Scientific American , pp. 65-67
    • Bongaarts, J.1
  • 32
    • 84982737918 scopus 로고
    • Technology foresight using a Delphi approach: A Japanese-German co-operation
    • Breiner, S., Cuhls, K. and Grupp, H. 1994. ‘Technology foresight using a Delphi approach: A Japanese-German co-operation, ' RandD Management, 24, 2, 141-53.
    • (1994) RandD Management , vol.24 , Issue.2 , pp. 141-153
    • Breiner, S.1    Cuhls, K.2    Grupp, H.3
  • 35
    • 0003977822 scopus 로고
    • William Collins edition (first published in 1865). The text reference is to the original
    • Carroll, L. 1954. Alice in Wonderland, William Collins edition (first published in 1865). The text reference is to the original.
    • (1954) Alice in Wonderland
    • Carroll, L.1
  • 37
  • 38
    • 0028172114 scopus 로고
    • Hazard of impacts on Earth by asteroids and comets
    • Chapman, C.R. and Morrison, D. 1994. ‘Hazard of impacts on Earth by asteroids and comets, ' Nature, 367, 33-40.
    • (1994) Nature , vol.367 , pp. 33-40
    • Chapman, C.R.1    Morrison, D.2
  • 40
    • 84993683950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theoretical model of scenario planning
    • Chermack, T.J. 2004. ‘A theoretical model of scenario planning, ' Human Resource Development Review, 3, 4, 301-25.
    • (2004) Human Resource Development Review , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 301-325
    • Chermack, T.J.1
  • 43
    • 0003956783 scopus 로고
    • Howard, M.E., Paret, P. (Trans. 1989), Princeton University Press
    • von Clauswitz, C. 1832. On War, Howard, M.E., Paret, P. (Trans. 1989), Princeton University Press.
    • (1832) On War
    • von Clauswitz, C.1
  • 44
    • 0032839653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis
    • Clemen, R.T. and Winkler, R.L. 1999. ‘Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis, ' Risk Analysis, 19, 2, 187-203.
    • (1999) Risk Analysis , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 187-203
    • Clemen, R.T.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 47
    • 84918867482 scopus 로고
    • De revolutionibus orbium coelestium libri VI
    • On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres]. (Rosen, Edward 1992, Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, (Foundations of Natural History) (originally published Warsaw, 1978).) 0-8018-4515-7
    • Copernicus, N. 1543. ‘De revolutionibus orbium coelestium libri VI, ' [On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres]. (Rosen, Edward 1992 On the Revolutions; Translation and Commentary, Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, ISBN 0-8018-4515-7 (Foundations of Natural History) (originally published Warsaw, 1978).).
    • (1543) On the Revolutions; Translation and Commentary
    • Copernicus, N.1
  • 49
    • 0005234804 scopus 로고
    • Toward an ecological economics
    • Costanza, R. and Daly, H.E. 1987. ‘Toward an ecological economics, ' Ecological Modelling, 38, 11, 1-7.
    • (1987) Ecological Modelling , vol.38 , Issue.11 , pp. 1-7
    • Costanza, R.1    Daly, H.E.2
  • 50
    • 0001476582 scopus 로고
    • Modeling complex ecological economic systems
    • Sept
    • Costanza, R., Wainger, L., Folke, C. and Mäler, K.-G. 1993. ‘Modeling complex ecological economic systems, ' BioScience, 43, 8 (Sept.), 545-55.
    • (1993) BioScience , vol.43 , Issue.8 , pp. 545-555
    • Costanza, R.1    Wainger, L.2    Folke, C.3    Mäler, K.-G.4
  • 52
    • 0037345347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From forecasting to foresight processes - new participative foresight activities in Germany
    • Cuhls, K. 2003. ‘From forecasting to foresight processes - new participative foresight activities in Germany, ' Journal of Forecasting, 22, 2-3, 93-111.
    • (2003) Journal of Forecasting , vol.22 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 93-111
    • Cuhls, K.1
  • 53
    • 22944447400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating a participative foresight process: “Futur - the German research dialogue”
    • Cuhls, K. and Georghiou, L. 2004. ‘Evaluating a participative foresight process: “Futur - the German research dialogue”, ' Research Evaluation, 13, 3, 143-53.
    • (2004) Research Evaluation , vol.13 , Issue.3 , pp. 143-153
    • Cuhls, K.1    Georghiou, L.2
  • 55
    • 0000248999 scopus 로고
    • On economics as a life science
    • Daly, H.E. 1968. ‘On economics as a life science, ' The Journal of Political Economy, 76, 3, 392-406.
    • (1968) The Journal of Political Economy , vol.76 , Issue.3 , pp. 392-406
    • Daly, H.E.1
  • 56
    • 84955417966 scopus 로고
    • In defense of a steady-state economy
    • Proceedings Issue
    • Daly, H.E. 1972. ‘In defense of a steady-state economy, ' American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 54, 5, Proceedings Issue, 945-54.
    • (1972) American Journal of Agricultural Economics , vol.54 , Issue.5 , pp. 945-954
    • Daly, H.E.1
  • 58
    • 0002793908 scopus 로고
    • The economics of the steady state
    • Daly, H.E. 1974. ‘The economics of the steady state, ' American Economic Review, 64, 2, 15-21.
    • (1974) American Economic Review , vol.64 , Issue.2 , pp. 15-21
    • Daly, H.E.1
  • 60
    • 12244295915 scopus 로고
    • Toward some operational principles of sustainable development
    • Daly, H.E. 1990. ‘Toward some operational principles of sustainable development, ' Ecological Economics, 2, 1, 1-6.
    • (1990) Ecological Economics , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-6
    • Daly, H.E.1
  • 61
    • 0027040705 scopus 로고
    • Allocation, distribution and scale: Towards an economics which is efficient, just and sustainable
    • Daly, H.E. 1992. ‘Allocation, distribution and scale: towards an economics which is efficient, just and sustainable, Ecological Economics, 6, 3, 185-93.
    • (1992) Ecological Economics , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 185-193
    • Daly, H.E.1
  • 70
    • 33746896990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frames, biases, and rational decision-making in the human brain
    • De Martino, B., Kumaran, D., Seymour, B. and Dolan, R.J. 2006. ‘Frames, biases, and rational decision-making in the human brain, ' Science, 313, 5787, 684-7.
    • (2006) Science , vol.313 , Issue.5787 , pp. 684-687
    • De Martino, B.1    Kumaran, D.2    Seymour, B.3    Dolan, R.J.4
  • 71
    • 84918048495 scopus 로고
    • The Jones intelligence doctrine for the undeveloped countries
    • Dedijer, S. 1978. ‘The Jones intelligence doctrine for the undeveloped countries, ' Science and Public Policy, 5, 5, 333-45.
    • (1978) Science and Public Policy , vol.5 , Issue.5 , pp. 333-345
    • Dedijer, S.1
  • 74
    • 84909429198 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Boundarylessness: Introducing a systems heuristic for conceptualizing complexity
    • Brown, C.S. and Toadvine, T. (eds), SUNY Press
    • Dempster, B. 2007. ‘Boundarylessness: introducing a systems heuristic for conceptualizing complexity, ' in Brown, C.S. and Toadvine, T. (eds) Nature’s Edge: Boundary Explorations in Ecological Theory and Practice, SUNY Press, pp. 93-108.
    • (2007) Nature’s Edge: Boundary Explorations in Ecological Theory and Practice , pp. 93-108
    • Dempster, B.1
  • 76
    • 84918853813 scopus 로고
    • Oecumenopolis: Vielle mondiale de l’avenir
    • Ecumenopolis: Tomorrow’s City
    • Doxiadis, C. 1969. ‘Oecumenopolis: Vielle mondiale de l’avenir’ [Ecumenopolis: Tomorrow’s City], Impact, 19, 2, 199-215.
    • (1969) Impact , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 199-215
    • Doxiadis, C.1
  • 79
    • 0742317633 scopus 로고
    • There’s plenty of room at the bottom
    • Feynman, R.P. 1999, Penguin Press
    • Feynman, R.P. 1959. ‘There’s plenty of room at the bottom, ' in Feynman, R.P. 1999, The Pleasure of Finding Things Out, Penguin Press.
    • (1959) The Pleasure of Finding Things Out
    • Feynman, R.P.1
  • 83
    • 0003622808 scopus 로고
    • The social responsibility of business is to increase its profits
    • Zimmerli, W.C., Richter, K., Holzinger, M. (eds), Springer
    • Friedman, M. 1970. ‘The social responsibility of business is to increase its profits, ' in Zimmerli, W.C., Richter, K., Holzinger, M. (eds) Corporate Ethics and Corporate Governance, Springer.
    • (1970) Corporate Ethics and Corporate Governance
    • Friedman, M.1
  • 87
    • 0007463189 scopus 로고
    • Post-normal science: A new science for new times
    • Funtowicz, S.O. and Ravetz, J.R. 1990b. ‘Post-normal science: a new science for new times, ' Scientific European, 169, 20-2.
    • (1990) Scientific European , vol.169 , pp. 20-22
    • Funtowicz, S.O.1    Ravetz, J.R.2
  • 88
    • 0033521911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Origin of HIV-1 in the chimpanzee Pan troglodytes troglodytes
    • Gao F., Bailes, E., Robertson, D.L., et al. 1999. ‘Origin of HIV-1 in the chimpanzee Pan troglodytes troglodytes, ' Nature, 397, 436-41.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.397 , pp. 436-441
    • Gao, F.1    Bailes, E.2    Robertson, D.L.3
  • 94
    • 0027088273 scopus 로고
    • Poverty and natural resources: Principles for environmental management and sustainable development
    • Gow, D.D. 1992. ‘Poverty and natural resources: principles for environmental management and sustainable development, ' Environmental Impact Review, 12, 1-2, 49-65.
    • (1992) Environmental Impact Review , vol.12 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 49-65
    • Gow, D.D.1
  • 95
    • 34347193348 scopus 로고
    • Über formal unentscheidbare Sätze der Principia Mathematica und verwandter Systeme [’On formally undecidable propositions of Principia Mathematica and related systems’]
    • Gödel, K. 1931. 'Über formal unentscheidbare Sätze der Principia Mathematica und verwandter Systeme [’On formally undecidable propositions of Principia Mathematica and related systems’], Monatshefte für Mathematik und Physik, 38, 173-98.
    • (1931) Monatshefte für Mathematik und Physik , vol.38 , pp. 173-198
    • Gödel, K.1
  • 103
    • 0014413249 scopus 로고
    • The tragedy of the commons
    • Hardin, G. 1968. ‘The tragedy of the commons, ' Science, 162, 1243-8.
    • (1968) Science , vol.162 , pp. 1243-1248
    • Hardin, G.1
  • 104
    • 33746644933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical evidence for a nonlinear effect of galactic cosmic rays on clouds
    • Harrison, R.G. and Stephenson, D.B. 2006. ‘Empirical evidence for a nonlinear effect of galactic cosmic rays on clouds, ' Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 462, 2068, 1221-33.
    • (2006) Proceedings of the Royal Society A , vol.462 , Issue.2068 , pp. 1221-1233
    • Harrison, R.G.1    Stephenson, D.B.2
  • 107
    • 0009448302 scopus 로고
    • The physical principles of the Quantum Theory
    • Heisenberg, W.K. 1927. ‘The physical principles of the Quantum Theory, ' Zeitschrift für Physik, 43, 172.
    • (1927) Zeitschrift für Physik , vol.43 , pp. 172
    • Heisenberg, W.K.1
  • 108
    • 37349077666 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Of stones, angels and humans: Michel Serres and the global city
    • Henaff, M. 1997. ‘Of stones, angels and humans: Michel Serres and the global city, ' Substance, 26, 7, 59-80.
    • (1997) Substance , vol.26 , Issue.7 , pp. 59-80
    • Henaff, M.1
  • 109
    • 0009867668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Energy: Asking the wrong question’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth
    • January
    • Holdren, J.P. 2002. ‘Energy: asking the wrong question’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth’, Scientific American, January, 63-5.
    • (2002) Scientific American , pp. 63-65
    • Holdren, J.P.1
  • 111
    • 84916748582 scopus 로고
    • The curious behaviour of complex systems: Lesson from ecology
    • Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds), Addison-Wesley
    • Holling. C.S. 1977. ‘The curious behaviour of complex systems: lesson from ecology, ' in Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds) Futures Research: New Directions, Addison-Wesley, pp. 114-29.
    • (1977) Futures Research: New Directions , pp. 114-129
    • Holling, C.S.1
  • 113
    • 0000448722 scopus 로고
    • The resilience of ecosystems: Local surprise and global change
    • Clark, W.C. and Munn, R.E. (eds), Cambridge University Press
    • Holling, C.S. 1986. ‘The resilience of ecosystems: local surprise and global change, ' in Clark, W.C. and Munn, R.E. (eds) Sustainable Development of the Biosphere, Cambridge University Press, pp. 292-317.
    • (1986) Sustainable Development of the Biosphere , pp. 292-317
    • Holling, C.S.1
  • 114
    • 0034842250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding the complexity of economic, ecological, and social systems
    • Holling, C.S. 2001. ‘Understanding the complexity of economic, ecological, and social systems, ' Ecosystems, 4, 390-405.
    • (2001) Ecosystems , vol.4 , pp. 390-405
    • Holling, C.S.1
  • 115
    • 79958368999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Horace, Odes, 1, 19, 13.
    • Odes , vol.1 , Issue.19 , pp. 13
    • Horace1
  • 116
    • 0346658312 scopus 로고
    • Committee on Resources and Man, Division of Earth Sciences, National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council
    • Hubbert, M.K. 1969. ‘Resources and Man: A Study and Recommendations, ' Committee on Resources and Man, Division of Earth Sciences, National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council.
    • (1969) Resources and Man: A Study and Recommendations
    • Hubbert, M.K.1
  • 132
    • 84925898856 scopus 로고
    • Report to the Commission of the European Communities, Cambridge University Press
    • Kennet, Lord W. 1976. ‘The Futures of Europe, ' Report to the Commission of the European Communities, Cambridge University Press.
    • (1976) The Futures of Europe
    • Kennet, L.W.1
  • 134
    • 0000078340 scopus 로고
    • The long waves of economic life
    • Russian
    • Kondratieff, N.D. 1935 [1923, in Russian]. ‘The long waves of economic life, ' Review of Economic Statistics, 17, 6, 105-115.
    • (1923) Review of Economic Statistics , vol.17 , Issue.6 , pp. 105-115
    • Kondratieff, N.D.1
  • 138
    • 84918867478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • presentation at The Quest for the Futures Seminar, Turku, Finland, June 12-15
    • Kuusi, O. 2000. ‘On the Theoretical Grounds of Futures Studies, ' presentation at The Quest for the Futures Seminar, Turku, Finland, June 12-15.
    • (2000) On the Theoretical Grounds of Futures Studies
    • Kuusi, O.1
  • 141
    • 0001859044 scopus 로고
    • A technique for the measurement of attitudes
    • Likert, R. 1932. ‘A technique for the measurement of attitudes, ' Archives of Psychology, 140, 22, 1-55.
    • (1932) Archives of Psychology , vol.140 , Issue.22 , pp. 1-55
    • Likert, R.1
  • 144
    • 21544464197 scopus 로고
    • How we forecast: The Institute for the Future’s study of the UK: 1978-95
    • Lipinski, A.J. and Loveridge, D.J. 1982. ‘How we forecast: the Institute for the Future’s study of the UK: 1978-95, ' Futures, 14, 3, 205-39.
    • (1982) Futures , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 205-239
    • Lipinski, A.J.1    Loveridge, D.J.2
  • 146
    • 36148942466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature
    • Lockwood, M. and Fröhlich, C. 2007. ‘Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature, ' Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 463, 2086, 2447-60.
    • (2007) Proceedings of the Royal Society A , vol.463 , Issue.2086 , pp. 2447-2460
    • Lockwood, M.1    Fröhlich, C.2
  • 148
  • 149
    • 0009816840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity: Dismissing scientific process’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth
    • January
    • Lovejoy, T. 2002 ‘Biodiversity: dismissing scientific process’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth’, Scientific American, January, 67-9.
    • (2002) Scientific American , pp. 67-69
    • Lovejoy, T.1
  • 150
    • 0000836536 scopus 로고
    • Gaia as seen through the atmosphere
    • Lovelock, J.E. 1972. ‘Gaia as seen through the atmosphere, ' Atmospheric Environment, 6, 8, 579-80.
    • (1972) Atmospheric Environment , vol.6 , Issue.8 , pp. 579-580
    • Lovelock, J.E.1
  • 155
    • 0002645536 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric homeostasis by and for the btmosphere: The Gaia hypothesis
    • Lovelock, J.E. and Margulis, L. 1974. ‘Atmospheric homeostasis by and for the btmosphere: the Gaia hypothesis, ' Tellus, 26, 1, 2-10.
    • (1974) Tellus , vol.26 , Issue.1 , pp. 2-10
    • Lovelock, J.E.1    Margulis, L.2
  • 156
    • 84865990231 scopus 로고
    • Values and futures
    • Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds), Addison Wesley
    • Loveridge, D. 1977. ‘Values and futures, ' in Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds) Futures Research: New Directions, Addison Wesley, pp. 53-64.
    • (1977) Futures Research: New Directions , pp. 53-64
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 157
    • 49249141866 scopus 로고
    • Decisions, judgement and style
    • Loveridge, D. 1979. ‘Decisions, judgement and style, ' Long Range Planning, 12, 1, 22-7.
    • (1979) Long Range Planning , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 22-27
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 159
    • 21544438670 scopus 로고
    • Computers and you: An essay on the future
    • Loveridge, D. 1983. ‘Computers and you: an essay on the future, ' Futures, 15, 6, 498-503.
    • (1983) Futures , vol.15 , Issue.6 , pp. 498-503
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 160
    • 0344923352 scopus 로고
    • Through a glass darkly: The future and business
    • Loveridge, D. 1988. ‘Through a glass darkly: the future and business, ' Futures, 20, 6, 679-91.
    • (1988) Futures , vol.20 , Issue.6 , pp. 679-691
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 162
    • 0344061087 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology and environmental impact assessment: Methods and synthesis
    • Loveridge, D. 1996. ‘Technology and environmental impact assessment: methods and synthesis, ' International Journal of Technology Management, 11, 5-6, 539-53.
    • (1996) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.11 , Issue.5-6 , pp. 539-553
    • Loveridge, D.1
  • 165
    • 21544482859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inclusive foresight
    • Loveridge, D. and Street, P. 2005. ‘Inclusive foresight, ' Foresight, 7, 3, 31-47.
    • (2005) Foresight , vol.7 , Issue.3 , pp. 31-47
    • Loveridge, D.1    Street, P.2
  • 166
    • 0010329421 scopus 로고
    • A report to the Office of Science and Technology, by Policy Research in Science, Engineering and Technology (PREST), The University of Manchester, September, 10
    • Loveridge, D., Georghiou, L. and Nedeva, M. 1995. ‘United Kingdom Technology Foresight Programme Delphi Survey’ A report to the Office of Science and Technology, by Policy Research in Science, Engineering and Technology (PREST), The University of Manchester, September, 10.
    • (1995) United Kingdom Technology Foresight Programme Delphi Survey
    • Loveridge, D.1    Georghiou, L.2    Nedeva, M.3
  • 168
    • 0016072541 scopus 로고
    • A perspective on systems science and systems philosophy
    • M’Pherson, P.K. 1974. ‘A perspective on systems science and systems philosophy, ' Futures, 6, 215-39.
    • (1974) Futures , vol.6 , pp. 215-239
    • M’Pherson, P.K.1
  • 169
    • 84916803587 scopus 로고
    • Corporate crash diet out of date
    • 4 May
    • MacDonald, M. 1986. ‘Corporate crash diet out of date, ' Sunday Times, 4 May.
    • (1986) Sunday Times
    • MacDonald, M.1
  • 171
    • 0030664663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in the projections of human-caused climate warming
    • Mahlman, J.D. 1997. ‘Uncertainties in the projections of human-caused climate warming, ' Science, 278, 5342, 1416-17.
    • (1997) Science , vol.278 , Issue.5342 , pp. 1416-1417
    • Mahlman, J.D.1
  • 173
    • 2642667234 scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary criteria in Thallophytes: A radical alternative
    • Margulis, L. 1968. ‘Evolutionary criteria in Thallophytes: a radical alternative, ' Science, 161, 3845, 1020-2.
    • (1968) Science , vol.161 , Issue.3845 , pp. 1020-1022
    • Margulis, L.1
  • 175
    • 0001019099 scopus 로고
    • Biological modulation of the earth’s atmosphere
    • Margulis, L. and Lovelock, J.E. 1974 ‘Biological modulation of the earth’s atmosphere, ' Icarus, 21, 471.
    • (1974) Icarus , vol.21 , pp. 471
    • Margulis, L.1    Lovelock, J.E.2
  • 185
    • 0345905859 scopus 로고
    • With both feet planted firmly in mid-air: Reflections on thinking about the future
    • Michael, D.N. 1985. ‘With both feet planted firmly in mid-air: reflections on thinking about the future, ' Futures, 17, 2, 94-103.
    • (1985) Futures , vol.17 , Issue.2 , pp. 94-103
    • Michael, D.N.1
  • 187
    • 21544476646 scopus 로고
    • Values and lifestyles
    • cited in duBeth, D
    • Mitchell, A.A. 1984. cited in duBeth, D. ‘Values and lifestyles, ' Insight, 1, 15, 2-11.
    • (1984) Insight , vol.1 , Issue.15 , pp. 2-11
    • Mitchell, A.A.1
  • 189
    • 85144474137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Paper presented at the AAAS Annual Conference ‘Sustainability Indicators Symposium’ Seattle, WA, February 16
    • Murcott, S. 1997. ‘Appendix A: Definitions of Sustainable Development, ' Paper presented at the AAAS Annual Conference ‘Sustainability Indicators Symposium’ Seattle, WA, February 16.
    • (1997) Appendix A: Definitions of Sustainable Development
    • Murcott, S.1
  • 190
    • 0030550542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of co-nomination to identify expert participants for Technology Foresight
    • Nedeva, M., Georghiou, L., Loveridge, D. and Cameron, H. 1996. ‘The use of co-nomination to identify expert participants for Technology Foresight, ' RandD Management, 26, 2, 155-68.
    • (1996) RandD Management , vol.26 , Issue.2 , pp. 155-168
    • Nedeva, M.1    Georghiou, L.2    Loveridge, D.3    Cameron, H.4
  • 192
    • 84918867471 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Buzz and fuzz: Half-truths about CSR
    • Copenhagen Centre
    • Nielsen, K.R. 2006. ‘Buzz and fuzz: half-truths about CSR, ' Think Piece, Copenhagen Centre.
    • (2006) Think Piece
    • Nielsen, K.R.1
  • 193
    • 34447542853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Critical assumptions in the Stern Review on climate change
    • Nordhaus, W. 2007. ‘Critical assumptions in the Stern Review on climate change, ' Science, 317, 5835, 201-2.
    • (2007) Science , vol.317 , Issue.5835 , pp. 201-202
    • Nordhaus, W.1
  • 194
    • 84918867470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • presentation at The Quest for the Futures Seminar, Turku, Finland, June 12-15
    • Nováky, E. 2000. ‘On the Methodological Grounds of Futures, ' presentation at The Quest for the Futures Seminar, Turku, Finland, June 12-15.
    • (2000) On the Methodological Grounds of Futures
    • Nováky, E.1
  • 195
    • 48549110804 scopus 로고
    • A decade of business prospecting: 1971-1981 at Pilkington’s
    • Oliver, D., Loveridge, D. and Holroyd, P. 1984. ‘A decade of business prospecting: 1971-1981 at Pilkington’s, ' Futures, 16, 3, 286-301.
    • (1984) Futures , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 286-301
    • Oliver, D.1    Loveridge, D.2    Holroyd, P.3
  • 200
    • 85144409017 scopus 로고
    • Paper to Fifth Canberra Seminar on Administrative Studies, Australian National University, May
    • Phillips, D.C. 1969. ‘Systems Theory - A Discredited Philosophy, ' Paper to Fifth Canberra Seminar on Administrative Studies, Australian National University, May.
    • (1969) Systems Theory - A Discredited Philosophy
    • Phillips, D.C.1
  • 204
    • 14344279417 scopus 로고
    • Politicians and the future
    • Powell, E. 1979. ‘Politicians and the future, ' Futures, 11, 338-41.
    • (1979) Futures , vol.11 , pp. 338-341
    • Powell, E.1
  • 205
    • 38249025722 scopus 로고
    • Ecological economics: Rationale and problem areas
    • Proops, J.L.R. 1989. ‘Ecological economics: rationale and problem areas, ' Ecological Economics, 1, 1, 59-76.
    • (1989) Ecological Economics , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 59-76
    • Proops, J.L.R.1
  • 207
    • 0036136716 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Misleading math about the Earth
    • January
    • Rennie, J. 2002. ‘Misleading math about the Earth’, Scientific American, January, 59.
    • (2002) Scientific American , pp. 59
    • Rennie, J.1
  • 210
    • 84918867468 scopus 로고
    • The assessment and perception of risk
    • Royal Society, The. 1981. ‘The assessment and perception of risk, ' Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A, 376, 1764, 3-205.
    • (1981) Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A , vol.376 , Issue.1764 , pp. 3-205
  • 211
    • 0009725635 scopus 로고
    • Report of a Royal Society Study Group
    • Royal Society, The. 1983. ‘Risk Assessment, ' Report of a Royal Society Study Group.
    • (1983) Risk Assessment
  • 212
    • 0003573547 scopus 로고
    • Report prepared by The Royal Society Study Group on Risk Assessment
    • Royal Society, The. 1992. ‘Risk: Analysis, Perception and Management, ' Report prepared by The Royal Society Study Group on Risk Assessment.
    • (1992) Risk: Analysis, Perception and Management
  • 213
    • 0003903050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Discussion Meeting, Royal Society, 18 March
    • Royal Society, The. 1997. ‘Science, Policy and Risk, ' A Discussion Meeting, Royal Society, 18 March.
    • (1997) Science, Policy and Risk
  • 214
    • 41049111862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lecture 1, The Reith Lectures, BBC Radio 4
    • Sachs, J. 2007. ‘Bursting at the seams, ' Lecture 1, The Reith Lectures, BBC Radio 4.
    • (2007) Bursting at the seams
    • Sachs, J.1
  • 215
    • 71849094804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A thesis submitted to the University of Manchester for the degree of PhD in Manchester Business School
    • Saritas, O. 2006. ‘Systems Thinking for Foresight, ' A thesis submitted to the University of Manchester for the degree of PhD in Manchester Business School.
    • (2006) Systems Thinking for Foresight
    • Saritas, O.1
  • 216
    • 0345790329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systemic analysis of UK foresight results - joint application of integrated management model and roadmapping
    • Saritas, O. and Oner, A. 2004. ‘Systemic analysis of UK foresight results - joint application of integrated management model and roadmapping, ' Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71, 1, 27-65.
    • (2004) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.71 , Issue.1 , pp. 27-65
    • Saritas, O.1    Oner, A.2
  • 219
    • 0033618493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • And now, the asteroid forecast
    • Schilling, G. 1999. ‘And now, the asteroid forecast, ' Science, 285, 5428, 655.
    • (1999) Science , vol.285 , Issue.5428 , pp. 655
    • Schilling, G.1
  • 221
    • 0006462421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming: Neglecting the complexities’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth
    • January
    • Schneider, J.P. 2002. ‘Global warming: neglecting the complexities’, in ‘Misleading math about the Earth’, Scientific American, January, 60-3.
    • (2002) Scientific American , pp. 60-63
    • Schneider, J.P.1
  • 227
    • 0008608645 scopus 로고
    • The nature of futures problems
    • Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds), Addison-Wesley
    • Simmonds, W.H.C. 1977. ‘The nature of futures problems, ' in Linstone, H.A. and Simmonds, W.H.C. (eds), Futures Research: New Directions, Addison-Wesley.
    • (1977) Futures Research: New Directions
    • Simmonds, W.H.C.1
  • 229
    • 0001773490 scopus 로고
    • The organisation of complex systems
    • Patee, H.H. (ed.), Brazillier
    • Simon, H.A. 1974. ‘The organisation of complex systems, ' in Patee, H.H. (ed.) Hierarchy Theory: The Challenge of Complex Systems, Brazillier, pp. 3-27.
    • (1974) Hierarchy Theory: The Challenge of Complex Systems , pp. 3-27
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 232
    • 84918867467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eco-accounting: How industrial ecology can pay double dividends for business
    • 1 January
    • Smith, W.G.B. 1999. ‘Eco-accounting: how industrial ecology can pay double dividends for business, ' Journal of Business Administration and Policy Analysis, 337, 1 January.
    • (1999) Journal of Business Administration and Policy Analysis , vol.337
    • Smith, W.G.B.1
  • 236
    • 0242305777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
    • Gilovich, T., Griffin, D.W. and Kahneman, D. (eds), Cambridge University Press
    • Stanovich, K. and West, F. 2002. ‘Individual differences in reasoning: implications for the rationality debate?' in Gilovich, T., Griffin, D.W. and Kahneman, D. (eds) Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment, Cambridge University Press, pp. 421-40.
    • (2002) Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment , pp. 421-440
    • Stanovich, K.1    West, F.2
  • 237
    • 84918867466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking risk: A pilot multi-criteria mapping of a genetically modified crop in agricultural systems in the UK
    • August
    • Sterling, A. and Meyer, S. 1999. ‘Rethinking risk: a pilot multi-criteria mapping of a genetically modified crop in agricultural systems in the UK, ' SPRU Reports, Vol. 21, August.
    • (1999) SPRU Reports , vol.21
    • Sterling, A.1    Meyer, S.2
  • 238
    • 34447544405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change: Risk, ethics, and the Stern Review
    • Stern, N. and Taylor, C. 2007. ‘Climate change: risk, ethics, and the Stern Review, ' Science, 317, 5835, 203-4.
    • (2007) Science , vol.317 , Issue.5835 , pp. 203-204
    • Stern, N.1    Taylor, C.2
  • 243
    • 0035017834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - the Austrian experience
    • Tichy, G. 2001. ‘The decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - the Austrian experience, ' International Journal of Technology Management, 21, 7-8, 756-66.
    • (2001) International Journal of Technology Management , vol.21 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 756-766
    • Tichy, G.1
  • 250
    • 85144400888 scopus 로고
    • Rio de Janeiro, 3-14 June
    • United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED). 1992. Rio de Janeiro, 3-14 June.
    • (1992)
  • 251
    • 85144339592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Online, Accessed 6 March 2008
    • United Nations Global Compact. 1999. Online: www.unglobalcompact.org. Accessed 6 March 2008.
    • (1999)
  • 254
    • 34548860810 scopus 로고
    • Autopoiesis: The organization of living systems, its characterization and a model
    • Varela, F.J., Maturana, H.R. and Uribe, R. 1974. ‘Autopoiesis: the organization of living systems, its characterization and a model, ' Currents in Modern Biology, 5, 4, 187-96.
    • (1974) Currents in Modern Biology , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 187-196
    • Varela, F.J.1    Maturana, H.R.2    Uribe, R.3
  • 256
    • 34249738884 scopus 로고
    • Appreciative behaviour
    • Vickers, G. 1963. ‘Appreciative behaviour, ' Acta Psychologica, 21, 274-93.
    • (1963) Acta Psychologica , vol.21 , pp. 274-293
    • Vickers, G.1
  • 257
    • 34250466615 scopus 로고
    • Commonly ignored elements in policy making
    • Vickers, G. 1972. ‘Commonly ignored elements in policy making, ' Policy Sciences, 3, 265-6.
    • (1972) Policy Sciences , vol.3 , pp. 265-266
    • Vickers, G.1
  • 262
    • 46149130121 scopus 로고
    • Social futures: Individualism or social harmony
    • de Vulpian, A. and Corry, C. 1986. ‘Social futures: individualism or social harmony, ' Long Range Planning, 19, 5, 33-9.
    • (1986) Long Range Planning , vol.19 , Issue.5 , pp. 33-39
    • de Vulpian, A.1    Corry, C.2
  • 263
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead
    • Wack, P. 1985a. ‘Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead, ' Harvard Business Review, 63, 5, 73-89.
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , Issue.5 , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 264
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios: Shooting the rapids
    • Wack, P. 1985b. ‘Scenarios: shooting the rapids, ' Harvard Business Review, 63, 6, 139-50.
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , Issue.6 , pp. 139-150
    • Wack, P.1
  • 267
    • 0041187994 scopus 로고
    • Hamish Hamilton Publishers
    • Ward, B. 1966. Spaceship Earth, Hamish Hamilton Publishers.
    • (1966) Spaceship Earth
    • Ward, B.1
  • 269
    • 0020899643 scopus 로고
    • Biological homeostasis of the global environment: The parable of Daisyworld
    • Watson, A. and Lovelock, J.E. 1983. ‘Biological homeostasis of the global environment: the parable of Daisyworld, ' Tellus, 35b, 4, 284-89.
    • (1983) Tellus , vol.35 b , Issue.4 , pp. 284-289
    • Watson, A.1    Lovelock, J.E.2
  • 270
    • 34247624860 scopus 로고
    • Science and trans-science
    • Weinberg, A.M. 1972. ‘Science and trans-science, ' Minerva, 10, 209-22.
    • (1972) Minerva , vol.10 , pp. 209-222
    • Weinberg, A.M.1
  • 271
    • 33746570730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Corporate social responsibility in Europe, North America and Asia: 2004 survey results
    • Welford, R. 2005. ‘Corporate social responsibility in Europe, North America and Asia: 2004 survey results, ' Journal of Corporate Citizenship, 17, 33-52.
    • (2005) Journal of Corporate Citizenship , vol.17 , pp. 33-52
    • Welford, R.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.