An instrument for scenario-based technology roadmapping: How to assess the impacts of future changes on organisational plans

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 90, Issue PA, 2015, Pages 285-301

  Lee, Changyong ^a   Song, Bomi ^b   Park, Yongtae ^b  

^a Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology   (South Korea)

^b Seoul National University   (South Korea)

Author keywords

Bayesian network; Future changes; Ripple impacts; Scenario based technology roadmapping; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; COMPLEX NETWORKS; PHOTOELECTROCHEMICAL CELLS; PHOTOVOLTAIC CELLS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS; FUTURE CHANGES; GRAPHICAL MAPPINGS; RIPPLE IMPACTS; TECHNOLOGY PLANNING; TECHNOLOGY ROADMAPPING; UNCERTAINTY; VOLATILE ENVIRONMENTS;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; MODELING; PLANNING PROCESS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84916928077     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.020     Document Type: Article

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