A synthesis of global urbanization projections

Urbanization, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services: Challenges and Opportunities: A Global Assessment

Volumn , Issue , 2013, Pages 409-435

  Fragkias, Michail ^a   Güneralp, Burak ^b   Seto, Karen C ^c   Goodness, Julie ^d  

^a BOISE STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b TEXAS A AND M UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c Yale University   (United States)

^d STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84903189346     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-7088-1_21     Document Type: Chapter

References (44)

1. Angel, S. Parent, J. Civco, D. L. Blei, A. & Potere, D. (2011). The dimensions of global urban expansion: Estimates and projections for all countries, 2000-2050. Progress in Planning, 75(2), 53-107.
2. Angel, S. Sheppard, S. C. Civco, D. L. Buckley, R. Chabaeva, A. Gitlin, L. Kraley, A. Parent, J. & Perlin, M. (2005). The dynamics of global urban expansion. Washington, DC: Department of Transport and Urban Development, The World Bank.
3. Batty, M. (1976). Urban modelling: Algorithms, calibrations, predictions. London: Cambridge University Press.
4. Batty, M. (2005). Citiesandcomplexity: Understandingcitieswithcellularautomata, agent-based models, and fractals. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.
5. Bloom, D. E. Canning, D. & Fink, G. (2008). Urbanization and the wealth of nations. Science, 319, 772-775.
6. Boarnet, M. & Crane, R. (2001). The influence of land use on travel behavior: Specification and estimation strategies. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 35(9), 823-845.
7. Bocquier, P. (2005). World urbanization prospects: An alternative to the UN model of projection compatible with urban transition theory. Demographic Research, 12(9), 197-236. doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.9. http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol12/9/12-9.pdf.
8. Cohen, B. (2004). Urban growth in developing countries: A review of current trends and a caution regarding existing forecasts. World Development, 32(1), 23-51.
9. Colm, G. (1958). Economic projections: Tools of economic analysis and decision making. American Economic Review, 48(2), 178-187.
10. Coombes, M. & Raybould, S. (2001). Public policy and population distribution: Developing appropriate indicators of settlement patterns. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 19(2), 223-248.
11. Davidson, P. (1994). Post Keynesian macroeconomic theory: Afoundationfor successful economic policies for the twenty-first century. Brookfield: Edward Elgar.
12. Donnay, J. P. Barnsley, M. & Longley, P. (Eds.). (2001). Remote sensing and urban analysis (268pp.). London: Taylor & Francis.
13. Fragkias, M. & Seto, K. C. (2012, March). The rise and rise of urban expansion. Global Change, Issue 78, 16-19.
14. Godfray, H. C. J. Crute, I. R. Haddad, L. Lawrence, D. Muir, J. F. Nisbett, N. Pretty, J. Robinson, S. Toulmin, C. & Whiteley, R. (2010). The future of the global food system. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1554), 2769-2777. doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0180.
15. Henderson, J. V. (2010). Cities and development. Journal of Regional Science, 50(1), 515-540.
16. Hugo, G. Champion, A. & Lattes, A. (2001, August). New conceptualisation of settlement for demography: Beyond the rural/urban dichotomy. Paper presented at the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP) general population conference. Bahia: Mimeographed, Adelaide University.
17. IMF. (2013). World Economic Outlook (WEO), coping with high debt and sluggish growth. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund (IMF).
18. Johnson, M. P. (2001). Environmental impacts of urban sprawl: A survey of the literature and proposed research agenda. Environment and Planning A, 33(4), 717-735.
19. Kaufmann, R. K. Seto, K. C. Schneider, A. Liu, Z. Zhou, L. & Wang, W. (2007). Climate response to rapid urban growth: Evidence of a human-induced precipitation deficit. Journal of Climate, 20(10), 2299-2306.
20. Lutz, W. & Samir, K. C. (2010). Dimensions of global population projections: What do we know about future population trends and structures? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series B, 365(1554), 2779-2791.
21. Martine, G. Mc Granahan, G. Montgomery, M. & Fernandez-Castilla, R. (Eds.). (2008). The new global frontier: Urbanization, poverty and environment in the 21st century. Sterling: Earthscan.
22. Mc Kinney, M. L. (2002). Urbanization, biodiversity, and conservation. BioScience, 52(10), 883-890.
23. Montgomery, M. R. (2008). The urban transformation of the developing world. Science, 319(5864), 761-764.
24. MGI. (2011). Urban world: Mapping the economicpower ofcities. New York: Mc Kinsey Global Institute.
25. MGI. (2012). Urban world: Cities and the rise of the consuming class. New York: Mc Kinsey Global Institute.
26. Nakicenovic, N. et al. (2000). Special report on emissions scenarios: A special report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
27. NRC National Research Council (U.S.). (2000). Beyond six billion: Forecasting the world’s population. Washington, DC: National Research Council.
28. Nelson, E. Sander, H. Hawthorne, P. Conte, M. Ennaanay, D. Wolny, S. Manson, S. & Polasky, S. (2010). Projecting global land-use change and its effect on ecosystem service provision and biodiversity with simple models. PLoS ONE, 5(12), e14327.
29. O’neill, B. C. Balk, D. Brickman, M. & Ezra, M. (2001). A guide to global population projections. Demographic Research, 4(8), 203-288. doi:10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.8 (www. demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol4/8/).
30. Potere, D. Schneider, A. Angel, S. & Civco, D. L. (2009). Mapping urban areas on a global scale: Which of the eight maps now available is more accurate? International Journal of Remote Sensing, 30(24), 6531-6558.
31. Schneider, A. Friedl, M. A. & Potere, D. (2009). A new map of global urban extent from MODIS satellite data. Environmental Research Letters, 4(4), 11.
32. Seitzinger, S. P. Svedin, U. Crumley, C. Steffen, W. Abdullah, S. A. Alfsen, C. Broadgate, W. J. Biermann, F. H. B. Bondre, N. Dealing, J. A. Deutsch, L. Dhakal, S. Elmqvist, T. Farahbakhshazad, N. Gaffney, O. Haberl, H. Lavorel, S. Mbow, C. Mc Michael, A. J. Morais, J. Olsson, P. Pinho, P. Seto, K. C. Sinclair, P. Stafford-Smith, M. & Sugar, L.(2012). Planetary stewardship in an urbanising world: Beyond city limits. Ambio, 41(8), 787-794.
33. Seto, K. C. Fragkias, M. Guneralp, B. & Reilly, M. K. (2011). A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion. PLoS ONE, 6(8), e23777.
34. Seto, K. C. Guneralp, B. & Hutyra, L. (2012a). Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences ofthe UnitedStates of America, 109(40), 16083-16088. doi:10.1073/pnas.1211658109.
35. Seto, K. C. Reenberg, A. Boone, C. G. Fragkias, M. Haase, D. Langanke, T. Marcotullio, P. Munroe, D. K. Olah, B. & Simon, D. (2012b). Urban land teleconnections and sustainability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(20), 7687-7692.
36. Seto, K. C. Sanchez-Rodriguez, R. & Fragkias, M. (2010). The new geography of contemporary urbanization and the environment. Annual Reviews of Environment and Resources, 35, 167-194.
37. Seto, K. C. Woodcock, C. E. & Kaufmann, R. K. (2004). Changes in land cover and land use in the Pearl River Delta, China. In G. Gutman & C. Justice (Eds.), Land change science: Observing, monitoring, and understanding trajectories of change on the earth’s surface (pp. 223-246). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
38. Solecki, W. D. Seto, K. C. & Marcotullio, P. (2013). It’s time for an urbanization science. Environment, 55(1), 12-17.
39. TCB. (2013). Global Economic Outlook (GEO). New York: The Conference Board, Inc. (TCB). http://www.conference-board.org/data/globaloutlook.cfm
40. UN. (2011a). United Nations Statistics Division, National Accounts Main Aggregates Database. http://unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama/
41. UN. (2011b). Worldpopulationprospects: The 2010 revision. New York: Department ofEconomic and Social Affairs, Population Division, United Nations.
42. UN. (2012a). Millennium development goals report 2012. New York: United Nations.
43. UN. (2012b). Worldurbanizationprospects: The2011 revision. New York: UnitedNations.
44. UN-Habitat. (2012). State ofthe world’s cities 2012/2013: Prosperity ofcities. Nairobi: United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat).