메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 5, Issue 12, 2010, Pages

Projecting global land-use change and its effect on ecosystem service provision and biodiversity with simple models

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CARBON; RAIN;

EID: 78650739455     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0014327     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (227)

References (119)
  • 1
    • 24144450920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press. 155 p.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: Synthesis , pp. 155
  • 4
    • 34347369183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Domesticated nature: Shaping landscapes and ecosystems for human welfare
    • Kareiva P, Watts S, McDonald R, Boucher T (2007) Domesticated nature: Shaping landscapes and ecosystems for human welfare. Science 316: 1866-1869.
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 1866-1869
    • Kareiva, P.1    Watts, S.2    McDonald, R.3    Boucher, T.4
  • 5
    • 0034629324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity - global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100
    • Sala OE, Chapin FS, Armesto JJ, Berlow E, Bloomfield J, et al. (2000) Biodiversity - global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287: 1770-1774.
    • (2000) Science , vol.287 , pp. 1770-1774
    • Sala, O.E.1    Chapin, F.S.2    Armesto, J.J.3    Berlow, E.4    Bloomfield, J.5
  • 6
    • 78650747253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Available, Accessed 2008 Aug 14
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) (2008) FAOSTAT - production database. Available: http://faostat.fao.org/site/339/ default.aspx. Accessed 2008 Aug 14.
    • (2008) FAOSTAT - production database
  • 7
    • 78650719208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development - The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Available, Accessed 2008 Aug 14
    • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development - The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2008) OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 1970-2017. Available: http://www.agri-outlook.org/document/ 32/0,3343,en_36774715_36775671_40444896_1_1_1_1,00.html. Accessed 2008 Aug 14.
    • (2008) OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 1970-2017
  • 8
    • 78650736258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Available, Accessed 2008 May 14
    • United Nations (2009) United Nations common database. Available: http:// unstats.un.org/unsd/cdb_discontinued/cdb_discontinued.asp. Accessed 2008 May 14.
    • (2009) United Nations common database
  • 9
    • 0036557940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • People on the Land: Changes in Global Population and Croplands during the 20th Century
    • Ramankutty N, Foley JA, Olejniczak NJ (2002) People on the Land: Changes in Global Population and Croplands during the 20th Century. Ambio 31: 251-257.
    • (2002) Ambio , vol.31 , pp. 251-257
    • Ramankutty, N.1    Foley, J.A.2    Olejniczak, N.J.3
  • 10
    • 3342984795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land use change modelling: Current practice and research priorities
    • Verburg PH, Schot PP, Dijst MJ, Veldkamp A (2004) Land use change modelling: Current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 61: 309-324.
    • (2004) GeoJournal , vol.61 , pp. 309-324
    • Verburg, P.H.1    Schot, P.P.2    Dijst, M.J.3    Veldkamp, A.4
  • 11
    • 41649115384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating carbon finance through avoided deforestation and its potential to create climatic, conservation and human development benefits
    • Ebeling J, Yasue M (2008) Generating carbon finance through avoided deforestation and its potential to create climatic, conservation and human development benefits. Proc R Soc Lond [Biol] 363: 1917-1924.
    • (2008) Proc R Soc Lond [Biol] , vol.363 , pp. 1917-1924
    • Ebeling, J.1    Yasue, M.2
  • 12
    • 67349110397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Compensated successful efforts for avoided deforestation vs compensated reductions
    • Tacconi L (2009) Compensated successful efforts for avoided deforestation vs compensated reductions. Ecol Econ 68: 2469-2472.
    • (2009) Ecol Econ , vol.68 , pp. 2469-2472
    • Tacconi, L.1
  • 13
    • 65649131560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A response to the commentary on "Compensated successful efforts"
    • Pirard R, Combes J-L, Combes Motel P (2009) A response to the commentary on "Compensated successful efforts". Ecol Econ 68: 2179-2181.
    • (2009) Ecol Econ , vol.68 , pp. 2179-2181
    • Pirard, R.1    Combes, J.-L.2    Combes Motel, P.3
  • 14
    • 77954332031 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in ecosystem goods and services and their drivers across the scenarios
    • In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Alcamo J, Vuuren DV, Cramer W, Alder J, Bennett E, et al. (2005) Changes in ecosystem goods and services and their drivers across the scenarios. In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Washington, DC: Island Press. pp 297-373.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , vol.2 , pp. 297-373
    • Alcamo, J.1    Vuuren, D.V.2    Cramer, W.3    Alder, J.4    Bennett, E.5
  • 15
    • 33748467423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Methodology for developing the MA scenarios
    • In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Alcamo J, Vuuren DV, Ringler C, Alder J, Bennett E, et al. (2005) Methodology for developing the MA scenarios. In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Washington, DC: Island Press. pp 145-172.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , vol.2 , pp. 145-172
    • Alcamo, J.1    Vuuren, D.V.2    Ringler, C.3    Alder, J.4    Bennett, E.5
  • 16
    • 31544464119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in nature's balance sheet: Model-based estimates of future worldwide ecosystem services
    • Available, Accessed 2008 Sep 26
    • Alcamo J, van Vuuren D, Ringler C, Cramer W, Masui T, et al. (2005) Changes in nature's balance sheet: Model-based estimates of future worldwide ecosystem services. Ecol Soc 10. Available: http://www.ecologyandsociety. org/vol10/iss2/art19/. Accessed 2008 Sep 26.
    • (2005) Ecol Soc , pp. 10
    • Alcamo, J.1    van Vuuren, D.2    Ringler, C.3    Cramer, W.4    Masui, T.5
  • 18
    • 0038241498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global estimates of water withdrawals and availability under current and future "business-as-usual" conditions
    • Alcamo J, Doll P, Henrichs T, Kaspar F, Lehner B, et al. (2003) Global estimates of water withdrawals and availability under current and future "business-as-usual" conditions. Hydrol Sci J -J Sci Hydrol 48: 339-348.
    • (2003) Hydrol Sci J -J Sci Hydrol , vol.48 , pp. 339-348
    • Alcamo, J.1    Doll, P.2    Henrichs, T.3    Kaspar, F.4    Lehner, B.5
  • 19
    • 0038469997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability
    • Alcamo J, Doll P, Henrichs T, Kaspar F, Lehner B, et al. (2003) Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability. Hydrol Sci J -J Sci Hydrol 48: 317-337.
    • (2003) Hydrol Sci J -J Sci Hydrol , vol.48 , pp. 317-337
    • Alcamo, J.1    Doll, P.2    Henrichs, T.3    Kaspar, F.4    Lehner, B.5
  • 22
    • 26944478315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Washington, DC: Island Press. 515 p.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , vol.2 , pp. 515
  • 23
    • 50149093491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Policy research using agent-based modeling to assess future impacts of urban expansion into farmlands and forests
    • Available, Accessed 2009 May 21
    • Guzy MR, Smith CL, Bolte JP, Hulse DW, Gregory SV (2008) Policy research using agent-based modeling to assess future impacts of urban expansion into farmlands and forests. Ecol Soc 13. Available: http://www.ecologyandsociety. org/vol13/iss1/art37/. Accessed 2009 May 21.
    • (2008) Ecol Soc , pp. 13
    • Guzy, M.R.1    Smith, C.L.2    Bolte, J.P.3    Hulse, D.W.4    Gregory, S.V.5
  • 24
    • 70350143551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anticipating floodplain trajectories: A comparison of two alternative futures approaches
    • Hulse D, Branscomb A, Enright C, Bolte J (2009) Anticipating floodplain trajectories: A comparison of two alternative futures approaches. Landscape Ecol 24: 1067-1090.
    • (2009) Landscape Ecol , vol.24 , pp. 1067-1090
    • Hulse, D.1    Branscomb, A.2    Enright, C.3    Bolte, J.4
  • 25
    • 0036864973 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deforestation and land use change: Sparse data environments
    • Nelson GC, Geoghegan J (2002) Deforestation and land use change: Sparse data environments. Agric Econ 27: 201-216.
    • (2002) Agric Econ , vol.27 , pp. 201-216
    • Nelson, G.C.1    Geoghegan, J.2
  • 26
    • 47749119976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficiency of incentives to jointly increase carbon sequestration and species conservation on a landscape
    • Nelson E, Polasky S, Lewis DJ, Plantinga AJ, Lonsdorf E, et al. (2008) Efficiency of incentives to jointly increase carbon sequestration and species conservation on a landscape. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105: 9471-9476.
    • (2008) Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A , vol.105 , pp. 9471-9476
    • Nelson, E.1    Polasky, S.2    Lewis, D.J.3    Plantinga, A.J.4    Lonsdorf, E.5
  • 27
    • 67649229517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rural sustainability under threat in Zimbabwe - simulation of future land use/cover changes in the Bindura district based on the Markov-cellular automata model
    • Kamusoko C, Aniya M, Adi B, Manjoro M (2009) Rural sustainability under threat in Zimbabwe - simulation of future land use/cover changes in the Bindura district based on the Markov-cellular automata model. Appl Geogr 29: 435-447.
    • (2009) Appl Geogr , vol.29 , pp. 435-447
    • Kamusoko, C.1    Aniya, M.2    Adi, B.3    Manjoro, M.4
  • 29
    • 78650732654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Part 2: Specification and calibration results of the land-use change submodel
    • Part 2: Specification and calibration results of the land-use change submodel. Environ Plann B 25: 795-824.
    • Environ Plann B , vol.25 , pp. 795-824
  • 30
    • 0000750406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay Area
    • Clarke KC, Hoppen S (1997) A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay Area. Environ Plann B 24: 247-261.
    • (1997) Environ Plann B , vol.24 , pp. 247-261
    • Clarke, K.C.1    Hoppen, S.2
  • 31
    • 57849108681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State of the art in describing future changes in ecosystem services: Forecasting changes in land use and land cover
    • In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Manson SM, Geoghegan J, Turner II BL (2006) State of the art in describing future changes in ecosystem services: Forecasting changes in land use and land cover. In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Washington, DC: Island Press. pp 74-76.
    • (2006) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , vol.2 , pp. 74-76
    • Manson, S.M.1    Geoghegan, J.2    Turner II, B.L.3
  • 32
    • 44649160577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The implications of current and future urbanization for global protected areas and biodiversity conservation
    • McDonald RI, Kareiva P, Formana RTT (2008) The implications of current and future urbanization for global protected areas and biodiversity conservation. Biol Conserv 141: 1695-1703.
    • (2008) Biol Conserv , vol.141 , pp. 1695-1703
    • McDonald, R.I.1    Kareiva, P.2    Formana, R.T.T.3
  • 33
    • 0028551032 scopus 로고
    • The California Urban Futures model: A new generation of metropolitan simulation models
    • Landis JD (1994) The California Urban Futures model: a new generation of metropolitan simulation models. Environ Plann B 21: 399-420.
    • (1994) Environ Plann B , vol.21 , pp. 399-420
    • Landis, J.D.1
  • 35
    • 78650523679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping socio-economic scenarios of land cover change: A GIS method to enable ecosystem service modelling
    • In press
    • Swetnam RD, Fisher B, Mbilinyi BP, Munishi PKT, Willcock S, et al. (2010) Mapping socio-economic scenarios of land cover change: A GIS method to enable ecosystem service modelling. J Environ Manage, In press.
    • (2010) J Environ Manage
    • Swetnam, R.D.1    Fisher, B.2    Mbilinyi, B.P.3    Munishi, P.K.T.4    Willcock, S.5
  • 37
    • 1642362413 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UPlan: A versatile urban growth model for transportation planning
    • Johnston RA, Shabazian DR, Gao S (2004) UPlan: a versatile urban growth model for transportation planning. Transport Res Rec 1831: 202-209.
    • (2004) Transport Res Rec , vol.1831 , pp. 202-209
    • Johnston, R.A.1    Shabazian, D.R.2    Gao, S.3
  • 38
    • 0031954857 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dengue fever epidemic potential as projected by general circulation models of global climate change
    • Patz JA, Martens WJM, Focks DA, Jetten TH (1998) Dengue fever epidemic potential as projected by general circulation models of global climate change. Environ Health Perspect 106: 147-153.
    • (1998) Environ Health Perspect , vol.106 , pp. 147-153
    • Patz, J.A.1    Martens, W.J.M.2    Focks, D.A.3    Jetten, T.H.4
  • 39
    • 0035853540 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting agriculturally driven global environmental change
    • Tilman D, Fargione J, Wolff B, D'Antonio C, Dobson A, et al. (2001) Forecasting agriculturally driven global environmental change. Science 292: 281-284.
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 281-284
    • Tilman, D.1    Fargione, J.2    Wolff, B.3    D'Antonio, C.4    Dobson, A.5
  • 40
    • 1242299098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios
    • Arnell NW (2004) Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Change-Human Policy Dimens 14: 31-52.
    • (2004) Glob Environ Change-Human Policy Dimens , vol.14 , pp. 31-52
    • Arnell, N.W.1
  • 43
    • 34547239228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated modelling of global environmental change
    • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (2006) Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. 228 p.
    • (2006) An overview of IMAGE 24 , pp. 228
  • 44
    • 23644442536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of land use change for ecosystem services: A future unlike the past
    • DeFries R, Bounoua L (2004) Consequences of land use change for ecosystem services: A future unlike the past. GeoJournal 61: 345-351.
    • (2004) GeoJournal , vol.61 , pp. 345-351
    • DeFries, R.1    Bounoua, L.2
  • 45
    • 23744516691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The landuse projections and resulting emissions in the IPCC SRES scenarios scenarios as simulated by the IMAGE 2.2 model
    • Strengers B, Leemans R, Eickhout B, de Vries B, Bouwman L (2004) The landuse projections and resulting emissions in the IPCC SRES scenarios scenarios as simulated by the IMAGE 2.2 model. GeoJournal 61: 381-393.
    • (2004) GeoJournal , vol.61 , pp. 381-393
    • Strengers, B.1    Leemans, R.2    Eickhout, B.3    de Vries, B.4    Bouwman, L.5
  • 46
    • 43049086981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating carbon exchange between the terrestrial biosphere and the atmosphere
    • In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds, Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    • Van Minnen JG, Strengers B, Eickhout B (2006) Simulating carbon exchange between the terrestrial biosphere and the atmosphere. In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds. Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. pp 113-130.
    • (2006) Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4 , pp. 113-130
    • Van Minnen, J.G.1    Strengers, B.2    Eickhout, B.3
  • 47
    • 34548308653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of changes in CO2, climate, and land use on the carbon balance of the land biosphere during the 21st century
    • Mueller C, Eickhout B, Zaehle S, Bondeau A, Cramer W, et al. (2007) Effects of changes in CO2, climate, and land use on the carbon balance of the land biosphere during the 21st century. J Geophys Res 112: G02032.
    • (2007) J Geophys Res , vol.112
    • Mueller, C.1    Eickhout, B.2    Zaehle, S.3    Bondeau, A.4    Cramer, W.5
  • 48
    • 28844439303 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of land-cover change in simulating future climates
    • Feddema JJ, Oleson KW, Bonan GB, Mearns LO, Buja LE, et al. (2005) The importance of land-cover change in simulating future climates. Science 310: 1674-1678.
    • (2005) Science , vol.310 , pp. 1674-1678
    • Feddema, J.J.1    Oleson, K.W.2    Bonan, G.B.3    Mearns, L.O.4    Buja, L.E.5
  • 49
    • 33747051092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity across scenarios
    • In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds, Washington, DC: Island Press
    • Sala OE, van Vuuren D, Pereira HM, Lodge D, Alder J, et al. (2005) Biodiversity across scenarios. In: Carpenter S, Pingali P, Bennett E, Zurek M, eds. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Volume 2. Washington, DC: Island Press. pp 375-408.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , vol.2 , pp. 375-408
    • Sala, O.E.1    van Vuuren, D.2    Pereira, H.M.3    Lodge, D.4    Alder, J.5
  • 50
    • 34547106430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GLOBIO 3: Framework for the assessment of global terrestrial biodiversity
    • In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds, Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    • Alkemade R, Bakkenes M, Bobbink R, Miles L, Nellemann C, et al. (2006) GLOBIO 3: Framework for the assessment of global terrestrial biodiversity. In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds. Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. pp 171-186.
    • (2006) Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4 , pp. 171-186
    • Alkemade, R.1    Bakkenes, M.2    Bobbink, R.3    Miles, L.4    Nellemann, C.5
  • 51
    • 78650729129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling livestockcrop-land use interactions in global agricultural production systems
    • In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds, Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    • Bouwman AF, Van Der Hoek KW, Van Drecht G (2006) Modelling livestockcrop- land use interactions in global agricultural production systems. In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds. Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. pp 77-92.
    • (2006) Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4 , pp. 77-92
    • Bouwman, A.F.1    van der Hoek, K.W.2    Van Drecht, G.3
  • 52
    • 71649086078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling agricultural trade and food production under different trade policies
    • In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds, Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    • Eickhout B, van Meijl H, Tabeau A (2006) Modelling agricultural trade and food production under different trade policies. In: Bouwman AF, Kram T, Goldewijk KK, eds. Integrated modeling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. pp 61-76.
    • (2006) Integrated modeling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4 , pp. 61-76
    • Eickhout, B.1    van Meijl, H.2    Tabeau, A.3
  • 55
    • 47949105241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Environment Program, Valletta, Malta: Progress Press Ltd
    • United Nations Environment Program (2007) Global environment outlook: Environment for development - 4. Valletta, Malta: Progress Press Ltd. 572 p.
    • (2007) Global environment outlook: Environment for development - 4 , pp. 572
  • 56
    • 77955070135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling ecosystem services in terrestrial systems
    • doi: 10.3410/B2-53
    • Nelson EJ, Daily GC (2010) Modelling ecosystem services in terrestrial systems. F1000 Biology Reports 2: 53. doi: 10.3410/B2-53.
    • (2010) F1000 Biology Reports , vol.2 , pp. 53
    • Nelson, E.J.1    Daily, G.C.2
  • 57
    • 33748454041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shaping global environmental decisions using socio-ecological models
    • Tallis HM, Kareiva P (2006) Shaping global environmental decisions using socio-ecological models. Trends Ecol Evol 21: 562-568.
    • (2006) Trends Ecol Evol , vol.21 , pp. 562-568
    • Tallis, H.M.1    Kareiva, P.2
  • 59
    • 0029480487 scopus 로고
    • Modelling spatial and temporal patterns of tropical land use change
    • Hall CAS, Tian H, Qi Y, Pontius RG, Cornell J (1995) Modelling spatial and temporal patterns of tropical land use change. J Biogeogr 22: 753-757.
    • (1995) J Biogeogr , vol.22 , pp. 753-757
    • Hall, C.A.S.1    Tian, H.2    Qi, Y.3    Pontius, R.G.4    Cornell, J.5
  • 60
    • 0343724636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the spatial pattern of landuse change with GEOMOD2: Application and validation for Costa Rica
    • Pontius RG, Cornell JD, Hall CAS (2001) Modeling the spatial pattern of landuse change with GEOMOD2: Application and validation for Costa Rica. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85: 191-203.
    • (2001) Agric Ecosyst Environ , vol.85 , pp. 191-203
    • Pontius, R.G.1    Cornell, J.D.2    Hall, C.A.S.3
  • 61
    • 34147108957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Center for International Earth Science Information Network-Columbia University, Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical, Available, Accessed 2008 Sep 12
    • Center for International Earth Science Information Network-Columbia University, Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (2005) Gridded population of the world version 3 (GPWv3): Population density grids. Available: http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/gpw/global.jsp. Accessed 2008 Sep 12.
    • (2005) Gridded population of the world version 3 (GPWv3): Population density grids
  • 62
    • 78650720709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earth Resources Observation and Science Center (EROS), Available, Accessed 2008 Oct 23
    • Earth Resources Observation and Science Center (EROS) (1996) GTOPO30. Available: http://eros.usgs.gov/#/Find_Data/Products_and_Data_Available/ gtopo30_info. Accessed 2008 Oct 23.
    • (1996) GTOPO30
  • 63
    • 78650757591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Environment Program-World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Available, Accessed 2008 Aug 10
    • United Nations Environment Program-World Conservation Monitoring Centre (2007) World database on protected areas (WDPA) annual release 2007. Available: http://www.wdpa.org/AnnualRelease.aspx. Accessed 2008 Aug 10.
    • (2007) World database on protected areas (WDPA) annual release 2007
  • 64
    • 0003653936 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations-The Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Available, Accessed 2008 Jul 14
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations-The Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (2000) Global agro-ecological zones. Available: http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/GAEZ/index.htm. Accessed 2008 Jul 14.
    • (2000) Global agro-ecological zones
  • 68
    • 0002486638 scopus 로고
    • The determination of evaporation from the land surface
    • Budyko MI, Zubenok LI (1961) The determination of evaporation from the land surface. Izv. Ak. Nauk. SSR Se. Geog 6: 6-17.
    • (1961) Izv. Ak. Nauk. SSR Se. Geog , vol.6 , pp. 6-17
    • Budyko, M.I.1    Zubenok, L.I.2
  • 69
    • 0004114152 scopus 로고
    • San Diego: Academic Press
    • Budyko MI (1974) Climate and life. San Diego: Academic Press. 508 p.
    • (1974) Climate and life , pp. 508
    • Budyko, M.I.1
  • 70
    • 0028667757 scopus 로고
    • Climate, soil water storage, and the average annual water balance
    • Milly PCD (1994) Climate, soil water storage, and the average annual water balance. Water Resour Res 3: 2143-2156.
    • (1994) Water Resour Res , vol.3 , pp. 2143-2156
    • Milly, P.C.D.1
  • 71
    • 0034987502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale
    • Zhang L, Dawes WR, Walker GR (2001) Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale. Water Resour Res 37: 701-708.
    • (2001) Water Resour Res , vol.37 , pp. 701-708
    • Zhang, L.1    Dawes, W.R.2    Walker, G.R.3
  • 72
    • 22444434580 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of rainfall seasonality and soil moisture capacity on mean annual water balance for Australian catchments
    • doi:10.1029/ 2004WR003697
    • Potter NJ, Zhang L, Milly PCD, McMahon TA, Jakeman AJ (2005) Effects of rainfall seasonality and soil moisture capacity on mean annual water balance for Australian catchments. Water Resour Res 41: W06007. doi:10.1029/ 2004WR003697.
    • (2005) Water Resour Res , vol.41
    • Potter, N.J.1    Zhang, L.2    Milly, P.C.D.3    McMahon, T.A.4    Jakeman, A.J.5
  • 73
    • 33947204758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the importance of including vegetation dynamics in Budyko's hydrological model
    • Donohue RJ, Roderick ML, McVicar TR (2007) On the importance of including vegetation dynamics in Budyko's hydrological model. Hydrol Earth Syst Sc 11: 983-995.
    • (2007) Hydrol Earth Syst Sc , vol.11 , pp. 983-995
    • Donohue, R.J.1    Roderick, M.L.2    McVicar, T.R.3
  • 75
    • 39649097674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An interdisciplinary model of soybean yield in the Amazon Basin: The climatic, edaphic, and economic determinants
    • Vera-Diaz MdC, Kaufmann RK, Nepstad DC, Schlesinger P (2008) An interdisciplinary model of soybean yield in the Amazon Basin: The climatic, edaphic, and economic determinants. Ecol Econ 65: 420-431.
    • (2008) Ecol Econ , vol.65 , pp. 420-431
    • Vera-Diaz, M.C.1    Kaufmann, R.K.2    Nepstad, D.C.3    Schlesinger, P.4
  • 77
    • 37349009485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Wildlife Fund, Available, Accessed 2008 Aug 13
    • World Wildlife Fund (2006) WildFinder: Online database of species distributions. Available: http://gis.wwfus.org/wildfinder/. Accessed 2008 Aug 13.
    • (2006) WildFinder: Online database of species distributions
  • 78
    • 28244479652 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome: The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
    • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2009) State of the world's forests 2009. Rome: The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. 168 p.
    • (2009) State of the world's forests 2009 , pp. 168
  • 79
    • 78650738680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human development indices
    • United Nations Development Programme, Available, Accessed 2008 Aug 13
    • United Nations Development Programme (2008) Human development indices. A statistical update 2008. Available: http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/ HDI_2008_EN_Content.pdf. Accessed 2008 Aug 13.
    • (2008) A statistical update 2008
  • 80
    • 33745910223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trade-offs across space, time, and ecosystem services
    • Available, Accessed 2009 May 21
    • Rodriguez JP, Beard TD, Jr., Bennett EM, Cumming GS, Cork SJ, et al. (2006) Trade-offs across space, time, and ecosystem services. Ecol Soc 11. Available: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss1/art28/. Accessed 2009 May 21.
    • (2006) Ecol Soc , pp. 11
    • Rodriguez, J.P.1    Beard Jr., T.D.2    Bennett, E.M.3    Cumming, G.S.4    Cork, S.J.5
  • 82
    • 77953743267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emerging threats to human health from global environmental change
    • Myers SS, Patz JA (2009) Emerging threats to human health from global environmental change. Annu Rev Resour Econ 34: 223-252.
    • (2009) Annu Rev Resour Econ , vol.34 , pp. 223-252
    • Myers, S.S.1    Patz, J.A.2
  • 88
    • 51549087127 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do parks work? Impact of protected areas on land cover clearing
    • Nagendra H (2008) Do parks work? Impact of protected areas on land cover clearing. Ambio 37: 330-337.
    • (2008) Ambio , vol.37 , pp. 330-337
    • Nagendra, H.1
  • 92
    • 74249107433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Completion of the national land cover database (NLCD) 1992-2001 land cover change retrofit product
    • Denver: U.S. Geological Survey
    • Fry JA, Coan MJ, Homer CG, Meyer DK, Wickham JD (2009) Completion of the national land cover database (NLCD) 1992-2001 land cover change retrofit product. Open-File Report 2008-1379. Denver: U.S. Geological Survey. 18 p.
    • (2009) Open-File Report 2008-1379 , pp. 18
    • Fry, J.A.1    Coan, M.J.2    Homer, C.G.3    Meyer, D.K.4    Wickham, J.D.5
  • 94
    • 0038197486 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions
    • Lambin EF, Geist HJ, Lepers E (2003) Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions. Annu Rev of Env and Resour 28: 205-241.
    • (2003) Annu Rev of Env and Resour , vol.28 , pp. 205-241
    • Lambin, E.F.1    Geist, H.J.2    Lepers, E.3
  • 95
    • 27744432201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global change and the intensification of agriculture in the tropics
    • Keys E, McConnell WJ (2005) Global change and the intensification of agriculture in the tropics. Global Environ Chang 15: 320-337.
    • (2005) Global Environ Chang , vol.15 , pp. 320-337
    • Keys, E.1    McConnell, W.J.2
  • 96
    • 58549095914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating plausible crop distribution maps for sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach
    • You L, Wood S, Wood-Sichra U (2009) Generating plausible crop distribution maps for sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach. Agricult Sys 99: 126-140.
    • (2009) Agricult Sys , vol.99 , pp. 126-140
    • You, L.1    Wood, S.2    Wood-Sichra, U.3
  • 98
    • 0035020028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theory, data, methods: Developing spatially explicit economic models of land use change
    • Irwin EG, Geoghegan J (2001) Theory, data, methods: Developing spatially explicit economic models of land use change. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85: 7-23.
    • (2001) Agric Ecosyst Environ , vol.85 , pp. 7-23
    • Irwin, E.G.1    Geoghegan, J.2
  • 99
    • 0033673631 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity?
    • Lambin EF, Rounsevell MDA, Geist HJ (2000) Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity? Agric Ecosyst Environ 82: 321-331.
    • (2000) Agric Ecosyst Environ , vol.82 , pp. 321-331
    • Lambin, E.F.1    Rounsevell, M.D.A.2    Geist, H.J.3
  • 100
    • 34948850293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global-scale mapping of economic benefits from agricultural lands: Implications for conservation priorities
    • Naidoo R, Wamura T (2007) Global-scale mapping of economic benefits from agricultural lands: Implications for conservation priorities. Biol Cons 140: 40-49.
    • (2007) Biol Cons , vol.140 , pp. 40-49
    • Naidoo, R.1    Wamura, T.2
  • 101
    • 78650747252 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping farming systems of the world: Towards a detailed description of global agricultural land use
    • Submitted to
    • Monfreda C, Ramankutty N, Foley, JA (2010) Mapping farming systems of the world: towards a detailed description of global agricultural land use. Submitted to Front Ecol Environ.
    • (2010) Front Ecol Environ
    • Monfreda, C.1    Ramankutty, N.2    Foley, J.A.3
  • 103
    • 24344499030 scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of C, N, P and S in grassland soils - a model
    • Parton WJ, Stewart JWB, Cole CV (1988) Dynamics of C, N, P and S in grassland soils - a model. Biogeochemistry 5: 109-131.
    • (1988) Biogeochemistry , vol.5 , pp. 109-131
    • Parton, W.J.1    Stewart, J.W.B.2    Cole, C.V.3
  • 105
    • 33747712092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A modeling approach to evaluate the impacts of water quality management plans implemented in a watershed in Texas
    • Santhi C, Srinivasan R, Arnold JG, Williams JR (2006) A modeling approach to evaluate the impacts of water quality management plans implemented in a watershed in Texas. Environ Modell Softw 21: 1141-1157.
    • (2006) Environ Modell Softw , vol.21 , pp. 1141-1157
    • Santhi, C.1    Srinivasan, R.2    Arnold, J.G.3    Williams, J.R.4
  • 106
    • 67749142357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic changes lead to declining winter chill for fruit and nut trees in California during 1950-2099
    • Luedeling E, Zhang M, Girvetz EH (2009) Climatic changes lead to declining winter chill for fruit and nut trees in California during 1950-2099. PLoS One 4: e6166.
    • (2009) PLoS One , vol.4
    • Luedeling, E.1    Zhang, M.2    Girvetz, E.H.3
  • 107
    • 20444371051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will US agriculture really benefit from global warming? Accounting for irrigation in the hedonic approach
    • Schlenker W, Hanemann WM, Fisher AC (2005) Will US agriculture really benefit from global warming? Accounting for irrigation in the hedonic approach. Am Econ Rev 95: 395-406.
    • (2005) Am Econ Rev , vol.95 , pp. 395-406
    • Schlenker, W.1    Hanemann, W.M.2    Fisher, A.C.3
  • 108
    • 78650754527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Urban growth and climate change
    • Kahn ME (2009) Urban growth and climate change. Ann Rev of Resour Econ 1: 333-349.
    • (2009) Ann Rev of Resour Econ , vol.1 , pp. 333-349
    • Kahn, M.E.1
  • 110
    • 8844225221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Available, Accessed 2008 Jul 7
    • European Commission, Joint Research Centre (2003) Global land cover 2000 database. Available: http://ies.jrc.ec.europa.eu/global-land-cover-2000. Accessed 2008 Jul 7.
    • (2003) Global land cover 2000 database
  • 111
    • 12944286383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confronting a biome crisis: Global disparities of habitat loss and protection
    • Hoekstra JM, Boucher TM, Ricketts TH, Roberts C (2005) Confronting a biome crisis: Global disparities of habitat loss and protection. Ecol Lett 8: 23-29.
    • (2005) Ecol Lett , vol.8 , pp. 23-29
    • Hoekstra, J.M.1    Boucher, T.M.2    Ricketts, T.H.3    Roberts, C.4
  • 112
    • 0027795960 scopus 로고
    • Global analysis of the potential for nitrous oxide (N2O) production in natural soils
    • Bouwman AF, Fung I, Matthews E, John J (1993) Global analysis of the potential for nitrous oxide (N2O) production in natural soils. Global Biogeochem Cycles 7: 557-597.
    • (1993) Global Biogeochem Cycles , vol.7 , pp. 557-597
    • Bouwman, A.F.1    Fung, I.2    Matthews, E.3    John, J.4
  • 113
  • 114
    • 0033370057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of potential climatic change on annual runoff in the conterminous United States
    • Wolock DM, McCabe GJ (1999) Effects of potential climatic change on annual runoff in the conterminous United States. J Am Water Resour As 35: 1341-1350.
    • (1999) J Am Water Resour As , vol.35 , pp. 1341-1350
    • Wolock, D.M.1    McCabe, G.J.2
  • 116
    • 0028600234 scopus 로고
    • The Impact of global warming on agriculture: A Ricardian analysis
    • Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus WD, Shaw D (1994) The Impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Amer Econ Rev 84: 753-71.
    • (1994) Amer Econ Rev , vol.84 , pp. 753-771
    • Mendelsohn, R.1    Nordhaus, W.D.2    Shaw, D.3
  • 118
    • 78650746443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development - The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Available, Accessed 2008 Jul 7
    • Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development - The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2009) OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 1970-2018. Available: http://www.agri-outlook.org/pages/ 0,2987,en_36774715_36775671_1_1_1_1_1,00.html. Accessed 2008 Jul 7.
    • (2009) OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 1970-2018


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.