Potential distribution of Avena sterilis L. in Europe under climate change

Annals of Applied Biology

Volumn 165, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 53-61

  Castellanos Frias E ^a,b   Garcia De Leon D ^a,b   Pujadas Salva, A ^c   Dorado, J ^d   Gonzalez Andujar, J L ^a,b  

^a INSTITUTO DE AGRICULTURA SOSTENIBLE   (Spain)

^b PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CATÓLICA DE CHILE   (Chile)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CÓRDOBA   (Spain)

^d INSTITUTO DE CIENCIAS AGRARIAS   (Spain)

Author keywords

Biological invasion; CLIMEX; general circulation model; niche model; sterile oat, cereals

Indexed keywords

AGROMETEOROLOGY; BIOLOGICAL INVASION; CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON EMISSION; CLIMATE CHANGE; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GRASS; MODEL VALIDATION; NICHE; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEED DISPERSAL; WEED CONTROL;

EUROPE;

AVENA; AVENA STERILIS;

EID: 84902651231     PISSN: 00034746     EISSN: 17447348     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/aab.12117     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Baker R.H.A., Sansford C.E., Jarvis C.H., Cannon R.J.C., MacLeod A., Walters K.F.A., (2000) The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82, 57-71.
2. Baum B.R., (1977) Oats: Wild and Cultivated. A Monograph of the Genus Avena L. (Poaceae). Ottawa, Canada: Canada Department of Agriculture.
3. Benvenuti S., (2007) Weed movement and dispersal strategies in the agricultural environment. Weed Biology & Management, 7, 141-157.
4. Bradley B.A., Blumenthal D.M., Wilcove D.S., Ziska L.W., (2010) Predicting plant invasion in an era of global change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 25, 310-318.
5. CABI (2012) Centre for Agricultural Bioscience International. URL http://www.cabi.org/ [accessed on 19 March 2013].
6. Chejara V.K., Kriticos D.J., Kristiansen P., Sindel B.M., Whalley R.D.B., Nadolny C., (2010) The current and future potential geographical distribution of Hyparrhenia hirta. Weed Research, 50, 174-184.
7. Christensen J.H., Carter T.R., Rummukainen M., Amanatidis G., (2007) Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project. Climate Change, 81, 1-6.
8. Ciscar J.C., Iglesias A., Feyen L., Goodess G.M., Szabõ L., Christensen O.B., Nicholls, R., Amelung, B., Watkiss, P., Bosello, F., Dankers, R., Garrote, L., Hunt, A., Horrocks, L., Moneo, M., Moreno, A., Pye, S., Quiroga, S., van Regemorter, D., Richards, J., Roson, R., Soria, A., (2009) Climate Change Impacts in Europe: Final Report of the PESETA Research Project. EUR 24093 EN. JRC Scientific and Technical Reports, Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
9. Ciscar J.C., Iglesias A., Feyen L., Szabõ L., Van Regmorter D., Amelung B., Nicholls R., Watkiss P., Christensen O.B., Dankers R., Garrote L., Goodess C.M., Hunt A., Moreno A., Richards J., Soria A., (2011) Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 108, 2678-2683.
10. Clayton W.D., Vorontsova M.S., Harman K.T., Williamson H., (2012) Kew Royal Botanic Gardens. GrassBase-The Online World Grass Flora. URL http://www.kew.org/data/grasses-db.html [accessed on 4 March 2013].
11. Dhima K., Eleftherohorinos I., (2001) Influence of nitrogen on competition between winter cereals and sterile oat. Weed Science, 49, 77-82.
12. rd N.Z. Weed and Pest Control Conference, 12-14 August, Tauranga, New Zealand, pp. 230-236.
13. Elith J., Graham C.H., Anderson R.P., Dudík, M., Ferrier, S., Guisan, A., Hijmans, R.J., Huettmann, F., Leathwick, J.R., Lehmann, A., Li, J., Lohmann, L.G., Loiselle, B.A., Manion, G., Moritz, C., Nakamura, M., Nakazawa, Y., Overton, J.McC.M., Peterson, A.T., Phillips, S.J., Richardson, K., Scachetti-Pereira, R., Schapire, R.E., Soberõn, J., Williams, S., Wisz, M.S., Zimmermann, N.E., (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29, 129-151.
14. Fernandez-Quintanilla C., Navarrete L., Gonzalez-Andujar J.L., Fernandez A., Sanchez M.J., (1986) Seedling recruitment and age-specific survivorship and reproduction in populations of Avena sterilis L. ssp. ludoviciana (Durieu) Nyman. Journal of Applied Ecology, 23, 945-955.
15. Fernandez-Quintanilla C., Navarrete L., Torner C., Andujar J.L., (1987) The influence of herbicide treatments on the population of Avena sterilis ssp. ludoviciana in winter wheat. Weed Research, 27, 375-383.
16. Fernandez-Quintanilla C., Gonzalez-Andujar J.L., Appleby A.P., (1990) Characterization of the germination and emergence response to temperature and soil moisture of Avena fatua and A. sterilis. Weed Research, 30, 289-295.
17. Fernandez-Quintanilla C., Navarrete L., Torner C., Sanchez del Arco M.J., (1997) Avena sterilis L. en cultivos de cereales. In Biología de las malas hierbas de España, pp. 11-23. Eds, F.X. Sans I Serra, and, C. Fernández-Quintanilla,. Valencia, España: Phytoma-España & Sociedad Española de Malherbología.
18. GBIF (2012) Global biodiversity information facility. URL http://www.gbif.org [accessed on 14 March 2013].
19. IPCC (2007) Summary for policymakers. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Eds, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller,. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
20. Kriticos D.J., Yonow T., McFayden R.E., (2005) The potential distribution of Chromolaena odorata (Siam weed) in relation to climate. Weed Research, 45, 246-254.
21. Leguizamon E.S., Fernandez-Quintanilla C., Barroso J., Gonzalez-Andujar J.L., (2005) Using thermal and hydrothermal time to model seedling emergence of Avena sterilis subsp. ludoviciana in Spain. Weed Research, 45, 149-156.
22. McConnachie A.J., Strathie L.W., Mersie W., Gebrehiwot L., Zewdie K., Abdurehim A., Abrha, B., Araya, T., Asaregew, F., Assefa, F., Gebre-Tsadik, R., Nigatu, L., Tadesse, B., Tana, T., (2010) Current and potential geographical distribution of the invasive plant Parthenium hysterophorus (Asteraceae) in eastern and southern Africa. Weed Research, 51, 71-84.
23. McDonald A., Riba S., DiTommaso A., DaGaetano A., (2009) Climate change and the geography of weed damage: Analysis of U.S. maize system suggest potential for significant range transformation. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 130, 131-140.
24. Newton P.C.D., Carran R.A., Edwards G.R., Niklaus P.A., (2007) Agroecosystems in a Changing Climate, pp. 364. Boca Raton, FL, USA: CRC Press.
25. Pearson R.G., Thuiller W., Araujo M.B., Martinez-Meyer E., Brotons L., McClean C., Miles, L., Segurado, P., Dawson, T.P., Lees, D.C., (2006) Model-based uncertainty in species range prediction. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 1704-1711.
26. PlantNET (2012). The Plant Information Network System of The Royal Botanic Gardens and Domain Trust. URL http://plantnet.rbgsyd.nsw.gov.au [accessed on 26 March 2013].
27. Recasens J., Taberner A., Izquierdo J., (1997) Lolium rigidum Gaud. en cultivos de cereales. In Biología de las malas hierbas de España, pp. 49-64. Eds, F.X. Sans I Serra, and, C. Fernández-Quintanilla,. Valencia, Spain: Phytoma-España.
28. Sanchez del Arco M.J., Torner C., Fernandez-Quintanilla C., (1995) Seed dynamics in populations of Avena sterilis subsp. ludoviciana. Weed Research, 35, 477-487.
29. Schiffer M., Umina P., Carew A., Hoffmann A., Rodoni B., Miller A., (2009) The distribution of wheat curl mite (Aceria tosichella) lineages in Australia and their potential to transmit wheat streak mosaic virus. Annals of Applied Biology, 155, 371-379.
30. Shirtliffe S.J., Kenkel N.C., Entz M.H., (2002) Fractal analysis of seed dispersal and spatial pattern in wild oats. Community Ecology, 3, 101-107.
31. Shirtliffe S.J., Entz M.H., (2005) Chaff collection reduces seed dispersal of wild oat (Avena fatua) by a combine harvester. Weed Science, 53, 465-470.
32. Stratonovitch P., Storkey J., Semenov M.A., (2012) A process-based approach to modelling impacts of climate change on the damage niche of an agricultural weed. Global Change Biology, 18, 2071-2080.
33. Sutherst R.W., Maywald G., (2005) A climate model of the red imported fire ant, Solenopsis invicta Buren (Hymenoptera: Formicidae): implications for invasion of new regions, particularly Oceania. Environmental Entomology, 34, 317-335.
34. Sutherst R.W., Maywald G., Kriticos D.J., (2007) CLIMEX Version 3: User's Guide. Hearne Scientific Software. URL http://www.hearne.com.au [accessed on 10 January 2013].
35. Taylor S., Kumar L., Reid N., (2012) Impacts of climate change and land-use on the potential distribution of an invasive weed: a case study of Lantana camara in Australia. Weed Research, 52, 391-401.
36. Thurston J.M., Phillipson A., (1976) Distribution. In Wild Oats in World Agriculture, pp. 19-64. Ed, D.P. Jones,. London, UK: Agricultural Research Council.
37. Torner C., Gonzalez Andujar J.L., Fernandez-Quintanilla C., (1991) Wild oat (Avena sterilis L.) competition with winter barley: plant density effects. Weed Research, 31, 301-307.
38. Tutin T.G., Heywood V.H., Burges N.A., Moore D.M., Valentine D.H., Walters S.M., Webb, D.A., (1980) Flora Europaea. Alismataceae to Orchidaceae (Monocotyledones). Volume 5. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
39. USDA (2012) The PLANTS Database. Natural Resources Conservation Service. URL http://plants.usda.gov [accessed on 6 March 2013].
40. Walck J.L., Hidayati S.N., Dixon K.W., Thompson K., Poschlod P., (2011) Climate change and plant regeneration from seed. Global Change Biology, 17, 2145-2161.
41. Western Australian Herbarium (2012) FloraBase-Information on the Western Australian Flora. Department of Environment and Conservation, Kesington, Australia URL http://florabase.dec.wa.gov.au [accessed on 20 February 2013].
42. Zhang X.H., Oberhuber J.M., Bacher A., Roeckneer E., (1998) Interpretation of interbasin exchange in an isopycnal ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 14, 725-740.
43. Ziska L.H., Dukes J.S., (2010) Weed Biology and Climate Change. Oxford, UK: Wiley-Blackwell.