Climate change and the geography of weed damage: Analysis of U.S. maize systems suggests the potential for significant range transformations

Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment

Volumn 130, Issue 3-4, 2009, Pages 131-140

  McDonald, Andrew ^a   Riha, Susan ^a   DiTommaso, Antonio ^b   DeGaetano, Arthur ^a  

^a Institute for the Study of the Continents   (United States)

^b Department of Obstetrics Gynecology   (United States)

Author keywords

Biogeography; Global warming; Pests

Indexed keywords

BIOGEOGRAPHY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CROP DAMAGE; MAIZE; WARMING; WEED;

CORN BELT; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES;

ABUTILON THEOPHRASTI; SORGHUM HALEPENSE; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 60249090664     PISSN: 01678809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2008.12.007     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. In: Bridges D.C. (Ed). Crop Losses due to Weeds in the United States-1992 (1992), Weed Science Society of America, Champaign, IL
2. Bunce J.A. Weeds in a changing climate. In: Riches C.R. (Ed). Weed Management Constraints under Climate Change (2001), British Crop Protection Council, Farnham, UK
3. Carreiro M.M., and Tripler C.E. Forest remnants along urban-rural gradients: examining their potential for global change research. Ecosystems 8 (2005) 568-582
4. Clements D.R., Benoit D.L., Murphy S.D., and Swanton C.J. Tillage effects on weed seed return and seedbank composition. Weed Science 44 (1996) 314-322
5. Clements D.R., DiTommaso A., Jordan N., Booth B.D., Cardina J., Doohan D., Mohler C.L., Murphy S.D., and Swanton C. Adaptability of plants invading North American cropland. Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Environment 104 (2004) 379-398
6. Cousens R., and Mortimer M. Dynamics of Weed Populations (1995), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
7. Davis A.J., Jenkinson L.S., Lawton J.L., Shorrocks B., and Wood S. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature 391 (1998) 783-786
8. Davis A.J., Lawton J.L., Shorrocks, and Jenkinson L.S. Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change. Journal of Animal Ecology 67 (1998) 600-612
9. Delworth T.L., Broccoli A.J., Rosati A., Stouffer R.J., Balaji V., Beesley J.A., Cooke W.F., Dixon K.W., Dunne J., Dunne K.A., Durachta J.W., Findell K.L., Ginoux P., Gnanadesikan A., Gordon C.T., Griffies S.M., Gudgel R., Harrison M.J., Held I.M., Hemler R.S., Horowitz L.W., Klein S.A., Knutson T.R., Kushner P.J., Langenhorst A.R., Lee H.C., Lin S.J., Lu J., Malyshev S.L., Milly P.C.D., Ramaswamy V., Russell J., Schwarzkopf M.D., Shevliakova E., Sirutis J.J., Spelman M.J., Stern W.F., Winton M., Wittenberg A.T., Wyman B., Zeng F., and Zhang R. GFDL's CM2 global coupled climate models. Part 1. Formulation and simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate 19 (2006) 643-674
10. Froud-Williams R.J., Chancellor R.J., and Drennan D.S.H. The effects of seed burial and soil disturbance on emergence and survival of arable weeds in relation to minimal cultivation. Journal of Applied Ecology 21 (1984) 629-641
11. 2, ozone, and global climate change. Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment 97 (2003) 1-20
12. Glemnitz M., Czimber G., Radics L., and Hoffmann J. Weed flora composition along a north-south climate gradient in Europe. Acta Agronomica Ovariensis 42 (2000) 155-169
13. Guisan A., and Thuiller W. Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8 (2005) 993-1009
14. Hayhoe K., Wake C.P., Anderson B., Liang X.Z., Maurer E., Zhu J., Bradbury J., DeGaetano A., Stoner A.M., and Wubbles D. Regional climate change projections for the Northeast USA. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13 (2008) 425-436
15. Harker K.N., Clayton G.W., Blackshaw R.E., O'Donovan J.T., Newton Z.L., Johnson E.N., Gan Y., Zentner R.P., Lafond G.P., and Irvine R.B. Glyphosate-resistant spring wheat production system effects on weed communities. Weed Science 53 (2005) 451-464
16. Harris D., and Hossell J.E. Weed management constraints under climate change. In: Riches C.R. (Ed). Weed Management Constraints under Climate Change (2001), British Crop Protection Council, Farnham, UK
17. Hirzel A.H., Hausser J., Chessel D., and Perrin N. Ecological-niche factor analysis: how to compute habitat-suitability maps without absence data?. Ecology 83 (2002) 2027-2036
18. Hobbs R.J., and Huenneke L.F. Disturbance, diversity, and invasion: implications for conservation. Conservation Biology 6 (1992) 324-337
19. Howden S.M., Soussana J.F., Tubiello F.N., Chhetri N., Dunlop M., and Meinke H. Adapting agriculture to climate change. PNAS 104 (2007) 19691-19696
20. Lawton J.L. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K.B., Tignor M., and Miller H.L. (Eds). Contribution of I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom/New York, NY
21. Lawton J.L. Concluding remarks: a review of some open questions. In: Hutchings, et al. (Ed). Ecological Consequences of Heterogeneity (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
22. Mack R.N. Predicting the identity and fate of plant invaders: emergent and emerging approaches. Biological Conservation 78 (1996) 107-121
23. Mac Nally R.C. The relationship between habitat breadth, habitat position, and abundance in forest and woodland birds along a continental gradient. Oikos 54 (1989) 44-54
24. McDonald A.J., Riha S.J., and Mohler C.L. Mining the record: historical evidence for climatic influences on maize-Abutilon theophrasti competition. Weed Research 44 (2004) 439-445
25. Milchunas D.G., and Lauenroth W.K. Inertia in plant community structure-state changes after cessation of nutrient-enrichment stress. Ecological Applications 5 (1995) 452-458
26. Nakićenović N., Alcamo J., Davis G., de Vries B., Fenhann J., Gaffin S., Gregory K., Grübler A., Jung T.Y., Kram T., La Rovere E.L., Michaelis L., Mori S., Morita T., Pepper W., Pitcher H., Price L., Riahi K., Roehrl A., Rogner H.H., Sankovski A., Schlesinger M., Shukla P., Smith S., Swart R., van Rooijen S., Victor N., and Dadi Z. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (2000), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK/New York, NY
27. NASS, 1992. 1992 Census of Agriculture. (http://www.agcensus.usda.gov/).
28. Nix, H.A., 1986. A biogeogaphic analysis of Australian Elapid snakes. In: R. Longmore (ed.), Atlas of Australian Elapid Snakes. Australian Flora and Fauna Series 8, pp. 4-15.
29. 2 concentration, temperature, and water deficit on the growth and development of wild oat in monoculture. Weed Science 49 (2001) 694-702
30. Patterson D.T. Weeds in a changing climate. Weed Science 43 (1995) 685-700
31. Patterson D.T., and Flint E.P. Effects of chilling on cotton (Gossypium hirsutum), velvetleaf (Abutilon theophrasti), and spurred anoda (Anoda cristata). Weed Science 27 (1979) 473-479
32. 2 concentration on the growth of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum), spurred anoda (Anoda cristata), and velvetleaf (Abutilon theophrasti). Weed Science 36 (1988) 751-757
33. Patterson D.T., Westbrook J.K., Joyce R.J.V., Lingren P.D., and Rogasik J. Weeds, insects, and diseases. Climate Change 43 (1999) 711-727
34. Pearson R.G., and Dawson T.P. Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimatic envelope models useful?. Global Ecology and Biogeography 12 (2003) 361-371
35. Pearson R.G., Dawson T.P., Berry P.M., and Harrison P.A. SPECIES: a spatial evaluation of climate impact on the envelope of species. Ecological Modeling 154 (2002) 289-300
36. Peterson A.T., Papes M., and Kluza D.A. Predicting the potential invasive distributions of four alien plant species in North America. Weed Science 51 (2003) 863-868
37. Pope V.D., Gallani M.L., Rowntree P.R., and Stratton R.A. The impact of new physical parameterizations in the Hadley Centre climate model-HadCM3. Climate Dynamics 16 (2000) 123-146
38. Quinn G.P., and Keough M.J. Experimental Design and Data Analysis for Biologists (2002), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
39. Raimundo R.L.G., Fonseca R.L., Schachetti-Pereira R., Peterson A.T., and Lewinsohn T.M. Native and exotic distributions of siamweed (Chromolaena odorata) modeled using the Genetic Algorithm for Rule-Set Production. Weed Science 55 (2007) 41-48
40. 2 concentration on common weeds in Scandinavian agriculture. Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica 48 (1998) 138-143
41. Salisbury E.J. Weeds and Aliens (1961), Collins Publishers, London
42. Stockwell D.R.B., and Peters D.P. The GARP modeling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. International Journal of Geographic Information Systems 13 (1999) 143-158
43. Stoller E.W. Effect of minimum soil temperature on differential distribution of Cyperus rotundus and C. esculentus in the United States. Weed Research 13 (1973) 209-217
44. Sutherst R.W., and Maywald G.F. A computerized system for matching climates in ecology. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 30 (1985) 805-816
45. Thuiller W. BIOMOD-optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology 9 (2003) 1353-1362
46. Tubiello F.N., Soussana J.F., and Howden S.M. Crop and pasture response to climate change. PNAS 104 (2007) 19686-19690
47. Tungate K.D., Israel D.W., Watson D.M., and Rufty T.W. Potential changes in weed competitiveness in an agroecological system with elevated temperature. Environmental and Experimental Botany 60 (2007) 42-49
48. Washington W.M., Weatherly J.W., Meehl G.A., Semtner Jr. A.J., Bettge T.W., Craig A.P., Strand Jr. W.G., Arblaster J., Wayland V.B., James R., and Zhang Y. Parallel Climate Model (PCM) control and transient simulations. Climate Dynamics 16 (2000) 755-774
49. Woodward F.I. Climate and Plant Distribution (1987), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
50. Woodward F.I. Temperature and the distribution of plant species. Symposia of the Society for Experimental Biology 42 (1988) 59-75
51. Zhu C., Zeng Q., Ziska L.H., Zhu J., Xie Z., and Liu G. Effect of nitrogen supply on carbon dioxide-induced changes in competition between rice and barnyardgrass (Echinocholoa crus-galli). Weed Science 56 (2008) 66-71
52. 4 weed in field-grown soybean. Global Change Biology 6 (2000) 899-905
53. 3 weed with elevated carbon dioxide. Weed Science 49 (2001) 622-627
54. 2 since 1900 on early growth and photosynthetic response of a noxious invasive weed, Canada thistle (Cirsium arvense). Functional Plant Biology 29 (2002) 1387-1392
55. 2. Weed Science 51 (2003) 914-918
56. 2: implications for chemical control by glyphosate. Weed Science 52 (2004) 584-588
57. 3 perennial weed, quackgrass (Elytrigia repens), grown at elevated carbon dioxide. Australian Journal of Plant Physiology 27 (2000) 159-166