Understanding the sources of Caribbean precipitation biases in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 42, Issue 11-12, 2014, Pages 3233-3252

  Ryu, Jung Hee ^a   Hayhoe, Katharine ^a  

^a TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Caribbean low level jet; Caribbean precipitation; Global climate models; Large scale dynamics; North Atlantic subtropical high

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELING; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONVERGENCE; GLOBAL CLIMATE; JET STREAM; MOISTURE; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; REGIONAL PATTERN; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SEASONAL VARIATION; SUBTROPICAL REGION;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); CARIBBEAN SEA; CENTRAL AMERICA; GULF OF MEXICO;

EID: 84901978366     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1801-1     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Adler RF, Huffman GJ, Chang A, Ferraro R, Xie P, Janowiak J, Rudolf B, Schnerider U, Curtis S, Bolvin D, Gruber A, Susskind J, Arkin P (2003) The version 2 global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979-present). J Hydrometeorol 4: 1147-1167.
2. Amador J (1998) A climatic feature of the tropical Americas: the trade wind easterly jet. Top Meteor Oceanogr 5: 1-13.
3. Barnes SL (1964) A technique for maximizing details in numerical weather map analysis. J Appl Meteorol 3: 396-409.
4. Cook KH, Vizy EK (2010) Hydrodynamics of the Caribbean low-level jet and its relationship to precipitation. J Clim 23: 1477-1494.
5. Covey C, AchutaRao KM, Cubasch U, Jones P, Lambert S, Mann M, Phillips T and Taylor K (2003) An overview of results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Glob Planet Chang 103-133.
6. Curtis S, Gamble DW (2007) Regional variations of the Caribbean mid-summer drought. Theor Appl Climatol. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-007-0342-0.
7. Cressman GP (1959) An operational objective analysis system. Mon Weather Rev 87: 367-374.
8. Davis RE, Hayden BP, Gay DA, Phillips WL, Jones GV (1997) The North Atlantic subtropical anticyclone. J Clim 10: 728-744.
9. Diem JE (2013) Comments on "Changes to the North Atlantic subtropical high and its role in the intensification of summer rainfall variability in the southeastern United States". J Clim 26: 679-682.
10. Enfield DB, Alfaro EJ (1999) The dependence of Caribbean rainfall on the interaction of the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. J. Clim 12: 2093-2103.
11. Gamble DW, Curtis S (2008) Caribbean precipitation: review, model, and prospect. Prog Phys Geogr 32(3): 265-276.
12. Gamble DW, Parnell DB, Curtis S (2008) Spatial variability of the Caribbean mid-summer drought and relation to north Atlantic high circulation. Int J Climatol 28: 343-350.
13. Giannini A, Kushnir Y, Cane MA (2000) Interannual variability of Caribbean Rainfall, ENSO, and the Atlantic Ocean. J Clim 13: 297-311.
14. Hawkins E, Sutton R (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Clim Dyn 37: 407-418.
15. Houghton RW (1991) The relationship of sea surface temperature to thermocline depth at annual and interannual time scales in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. J Geophys Res 96: 15, 173-15185.
16. Inoue M, Handoh IC, Bigg GR (2002) Bimodal distribution of tropical cyclogenesis in the Caribbean: characteristics and environmental factors. J Clim 15: 2897-2905.
17. Jury MR (2009a) A quasi-decadal cycle in Caribbean climate. J Geophys Res 114: D13102. doi: 10. 1029/2009JD011741.
18. Jury MR (2009b) An intercomparison of observational, reanalysis, satellite, and coupled model data on mean rainfall in the Caribbean. J. Hydrometeol 10: 413-430.
19. Jury MR, Malmgren BA, Winter A (2007) Subregional precipitation climate of the Caribbean and relationships with ENSO and NAO. J Geophys Res 112: D16107. doi: 10. 1029/2006JD007541.
20. Kelly P and Mapes B (2011) Zonal mean wind, the Indian monsoon, and July drying in the western Atlantic subtropics. J Geophys Res 116: D00Q07. doi: 10. 1029/2010JD015405.
21. Li W, Li L, Fu R, Deng Y, Wang H (2011) Changes to the North subtropical high and its role in the intensification of summer rainfall variability in the southeastern United States. J Clim 24: 1499-1506.
22. Li L, Li W, Kushnir Y (2012) Variation of the North Atlantic subtropical high western ridge and its implication to Southeastern US summer precipitation. Clim Dyn 39: 1401-1412.
23. Li L, Li W, Deng Y (2013a) Summer rainfall variability over the Southeastern United States and its intensification in the 21st century as assessed by CMIP5 models. J Geophys Res 118: 1-15. doi: 10. 1002/jgrd. 50136.
24. Li W, Li L, Fu R, Deng Y, Wang H (2013b) Reply to "comments on changes to the north Atlantic subtropical high and its role in the intensification of summer rainfall variability in the southeastern United States". J Clim 26: 683-688.
25. Lienert F, Fyfe JC, Merryfield WJ (2011) Do climate models capture the tropical influence on north Pacific sea Surface Temperature variability? J Clim 24: 6203-6209.
26. Magaña V, Amador JA, Medina S (1999) The midsummer drought over Mexico and Central America. J Clim 12: 1577-1588.
27. Malmgren BA, Winter A, Chen D (1998) El Niño southern oscillation and North Atlantic oscillation control of climate in Puerto Rico. J Clim 11: 2713-2717.
28. Martin ER, Schumacher C (2011) The Caribbean low-level jet and its relationship with precipitation in IPCC AR4 models. J Clim 24: 5935-5950.
29. Meehl GA, Covey C, McAvaney B, Latif M, Stouffer RJ (2005) Overview of the coupled model intercomparison project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 86: 89-93.
30. Moss RH et al (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463: 747-756.
31. Munoz E, Busalacchi AJ, Nigam S, Ruiz-Barradas A (2008) Winter and summer structure of the Caribbean low-level jet. J Clim 21: 1260-1276.
32. Nakicenovic N, Swart R (eds) (2000) IPCC special report on emissions scenario. Cambridge University Press, UK.
33. Rahmstorf S, Cazenave A, Church J, Hansen J, Keeling R, Parker D, Somerville R (2007) Recent climate observations compared to projections. Science 316(5825): 709. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1136843.
34. Rauscher SA, Giorgi F, Differnbaugh NS, Seth A (2008) Extension and intensification of the Meso-American mid-summer drought in the twenty-first century. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-007-0357-1.
35. Reynolds RW, Rayner NA, Smith TM, Stokes DC, Wang W (2002) An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J Clim 15: 1609-1625.
36. Small RJO, de Szoeke SP, Xie SP (2007) The central American midsummer drought: regional aspects and large-scale forcing. J Clim 20: 4853-4873.
37. Stensrud DJ (1996) Importance of low-level jets to climate: a review. J Clim 9: 1698-1711.
38. Stoner A, Hayhoe K, Wuebbles D (2009) Assessing general circulation model simulations of atmospheric teleconnection patterns. J Clim 22: 4348-4372.
39. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA (2012) An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 93: 485-498.
40. Uppala SM et al (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J R Meteorol Soc 131: 2961-3012.
41. Wang C (2007) Variability of the Caribbean low-level jet and its relations to climate. Clim Dyn 29: 411-422.
42. Wang C, Enfield DB (2003) A further study of the tropical Western Hemisphere warm pool. J Clim 16: 1476-1493.
43. Wang C, Lee SK (2007) Atlantic warm pool, Caribbean low-level jet and their potential impact on atlantic hurricanes. Geophys Res Lett 34: L02703. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL028579.
44. Whyte F, Taylor M, Stephenson T, Campbell J (2008) Features of the Caribbean low level jet. Int J Climatol 28: 119-128.
45. Yu L, Jin X, Weller RA (2006) Role of net surface heat flux in seasonal variations of sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. J Clim 19: 6153-6169.