Time series analysis of the impact of tobacco control policies on smoking prevalence among Australian adults, 2001-2011;Analyse des séries chronologiques de l'impact des politiques de lutte contre le tabagisme sur la prévalence du tabagisme chez les adultes en Australie, 2001-2011

Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Volumn 92, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 413-422

  Wakefield, Melanie A ^a   Coomber, Kerri ^a   Durkin, Sarah J ^a   Scollo, Michelle ^a   Bayly, Megan ^a   Spittal, Matthew J ^b   Simpson, Julie A ^b   Hill, David ^a  

^a CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTRE   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AMFEBUTAMONE; VARENICLINE;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; ADVERTIZING; ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; FEMALE; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HEALTH SURVEY; HUMAN; INFORMATION PROCESSING; INTERVIEW; MALE; MASS MEDIUM; NICOTINE REPLACEMENT THERAPY; PREVALENCE; SMOKING; SMOKING BAN; SMOKING CESSATION; SMOKING REGULATION; TAX; ECONOMICS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; LEGISLATION AND JURISPRUDENCE; MIDDLE AGED; PREVENTION AND CONTROL; PROCEDURES; TOBACCO; YOUNG ADULT;

NICOTIANA TABACUM;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AUSTRALIA; FEMALE; HEALTH POLICY; HUMANS; INTERVIEWS AS TOPIC; MALE; MASS MEDIA; MIDDLE AGED; PREVALENCE; SMOKING; TAXES; TOBACCO; TOBACCO USE CESSATION; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 84901706524     PISSN: 00429686     EISSN: 15640604     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2471/BLT.13.118448     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Eriksen M, Mackay J, Ross H. The tobacco atlas. 4th ed. Atlanta: American Cancer Society; 2012.
2. Doll R, Peto R, Boreham J, Sutherland I. Mortality in relation to smoking: 50 years' observations on male British doctors. BMJ. 2004;328:1519. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.38142.554479.AE PMID: 15213107
3. Hill D. Why we should tackle adult smoking first. Tob Control. 1999;8:333-5. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.8.3.333 PMID: 10599580
4. WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control [Internet]. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2003. Available from: http://www.who.int/fctc/text_download/en/index.html [cited 2014 Feb 19].
5. Chapman S. Falling prevalence of smoking: how low can we go? Tob Control. 2007;16:145-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.2007.021220 PMID: 17565122
6. Chapman S. Introduction. In: Scollo M, Winstanley M, editors. Tobacco in Australia: facts and Issues. 3rd ed. Melbourne: Cancer Council Victoria; 2008. Available from: http://www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au/introduction [cited 2014 Feb 28].
7. WHO report on the global tobacco epidemic, 2013: enforcing bans on tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2013. Available from: http://www.who.int/tobacco/global_report/2013/en/index.html [cited 2013 Dec 17].
8. Scollo M. Trends in tobacco consumption. In: Scollo M, Winstanley M, editors. Tobacco in Australia: facts and issues. 4th ed. Melbourne: Cancer Council Victoria; 2012. Available from: http://www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au/chapter-2-consumption [cited 2014 Feb 28].
9. Wakefield MA, Durkin S, Spittal MJ, Siahpush M, Scollo M, Simpson JA, et al. Impact of tobacco control policies and mass media campaigns on monthly adult smoking prevalence. Am J Public Health. 2008;98:1443-50. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2007.128991 PMID: 18556601
10. Regional population growth, Australia, 2010-11 [Catalogue no. 3218.0]. Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Commonwealth of Australia; 2012.
11. Szczypka G, Emery S, Wakefield MA, Chaloupka FJ. The adaption and use of Nielsen Media Research commercial ratings data to measure potential exposure to televised smoking-related advertisements. Chicago: University of Illinois; 2003. Available from: http://www.impacteen.org/ab_RPNo29_2003.htm [cited 2013 Dec 17].
12. Scollo M, Owen T, Boulter J. Price discounting of cigarettes during the National Tobacco Campaign. In: Hassard K, editor. Australia's National Tobacco Campaign: evaluation report volume two. Canberra: Commonwealth Department of Health and Aged Care; 2000. p. 155-200.
13. Scollo M, Freeman J, Icasiano F, Wakefield M. Early evidence of the impact of recent reforms to tobacco taxes on tobacco prices and tobacco use in Australia. In: Australia's National Tobacco Campaign: evaluation report volume three. Canberra: Department of Health and Ageing, Commonwealth of Australia; 2004. p. 161.
14. Average weekly earnings, Australia [Catalogue no. 6302.0]. Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Commonwealth of Australia; 2011.
15. White VM, Warne CD, Spittal MJ, Durkin S, Purcell K, Wakefield MA. What impact have tobacco control policies, cigarette price and tobacco control programme funding had on Australian adolescents' smoking? Findings over a 15-year period. Addiction. 2011;106:1493-502. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03429.x PMID: 21401766
16. Trade practices (consumer product information standards) (tobacco) regulations 2004 (F2007C00131). Canberra: Commonwealth of Australia; 2007. Available from: http://www.comlaw.gov.au/Details/F2007C00131 [cited 2013 Dec 17].
17. Graphic health warnings on tobacco product packaging. Canberra: Department of Health and Ageing, Commonwealth of Australia; 2010.
18. Miller CL, Hill DJ, Quester PG, Hiller JE. Response of mass media, tobacco industry and smokers to the introduction of graphic cigarette pack warnings in Australia. Eur J Public Health. 2009;19:644-9. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckp089 PMID: 19589850
19. Box GEP, Jenkins GM, Reinsel GC. Time series analysis: forecasting and control. 3rd ed. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall; 1994.
20. Pankratz A. Forecasting with dynamic regression models. New York: Wiley; 1991.
21. Burnham K, Anderson D. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. 2nd ed. New York: Springer-Verlag; 2002.
22. Federico B, Mackenbach JP, Eikemo TA, Kunst AE. Impact of the 2005 smoke-free policy in Italy on prevalence, cessation and intensity of smoking in the overall population and by educational group. Addiction. 2012;107:1677-86. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2012.03853.x PMID: 22360495
23. Mackay DF, Haw S, Pell JP. Impact of Scottish smoke-free legislation on smoking quit attempts and prevalence. PLoS One. 2011;6:e26188. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0026188 PMID: 22110585
24. Bajoga U, Lewis S, McNeill A, Szatkowski L. Does the introduction of comprehensive smoke-free legislation lead to a decrease in population smoking prevalence? Addiction. 2011;106:1346-54. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03446.x PMID: 21438944
25. Lee JT, Glantz SA, Millett C. Effect of smoke-free legislation on adult smoking behaviour in England in the 18 months following implementation. PLoS One. 2011;6:e20933. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0020933 PMID: 21698295
26. Alamar B, Glantz SA. Effect of increased social unacceptability of cigarette smoking on reduction in cigarette consumption. Am J Public Health. 2006;96:1359-63. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2005.069617 PMID: 16809588
27. Siahpush M, Wakefield MA, Spittal MJ, Durkin SJ, Scollo MM. Taxation reduces social disparities in adult smoking prevalence. Am J Prev Med. 2009;36:285-91. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2008.11.013 PMID: 19201146
28. Chaloupka FJ, Straif K, Leon ME; Working Group, International Agency for Research on Cancer. Effectiveness of tax and rice policies in tobacco control. Tob Control. 2011;20:235-8. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.2010.039982 PMID: 21115556
29. Curbing the epidemic: governments and the economics of tobacco control. Washington: World Bank; 1999.
30. Dunlop SM, Cotter TF, Perez DA. Impact of the 2010 tobacco tax increase in Australia on short-term smoking cessation: a continuous tracking survey. Med J Aust. 2011;195:469-72. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.5694/mja11.10074 PMID: 22004399
31. Dunlop SM, Perez D, Cotter T. Australian smokers' and recent quitters' responses to the increasing price of cigarettes in the context of a tobacco tax increase. Addiction. 2011;106:1687-95. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03492.x PMID: 21561498
32. Durkin S, Brennan E, Wakefield M. Mass media campaigns to promote smoking cessation among adults: an integrative review. Tob Control. 2012;21:127-38. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2011-050345 PMID: 22345235
33. Wakefield MA, Loken B, Hornik RC. Use of mass media campaigns to change health behaviour. Lancet. 2010;376:1261-71. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60809-4 PMID: 20933263
34. Emery S, Kim Y, Choi YK, Szczypka G, Wakefield M, Chaloupka FJ. The effects of smoking-related television advertising on smoking and intentions to quit among adults in the United States: 1999-2007. Am J Public Health. 2012;102:751-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2011.300443 PMID: 22397350
35. Borland R, Wilson N, Fong GT, Hammond D, Cummings KM, Yong HH et al. Impact of graphic and text warnings on cigarette packs: findings from four countries over five years. Tob Control. 2009;18:358-64. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.2008.028043 PMID: 19561362
36. Hammond D, Fong GT, McDonald PW, Cameron R, Brown KS. Impact of the graphic Canadian warning labels on adult smoking behaviour. Tob Control. 2003;12:391-5. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.12.4.391 PMID: 14660774
37. Borland R, Yong HH, Wilson N, Fong GT, Hammond D, Cummings KM et al. How reactions to cigarette packet health warnings influence quitting: findings from the ITC Four-Country survey. Addiction. 2009;104:669-75. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2009.02508.x PMID: 19215595
38. Partos TR, Borland R, Yong HH, Thrasher J, Hammond D. Cigarette packet warning labels can prevent relapse: findings from the International Tobacco Control 4-Country policy evaluation cohort study. Tob Control. 2013;22 e1;e43-50. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2011-050254 PMID: 22535363
39. Hammond D. Health warning messages on tobacco products: a review. Tob Control. 2011;20:327-37. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.2010.037630 PMID: 21606180
40. Wakefield M, Germain D, Durkin S, Hammond D, Goldberg M, Borland R. Do larger pictorial health warnings diminish the need for plain packaging of cigarettes? Addiction. 2012;107:1159-67. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2012.03774.x PMID: 22372966
41. Zhu S-H, Lee M, Zhuang Y-L, Gamst A, Wolfson T. Interventions to increase smoking cessation at the population level: how much progress has been made in the last two decades? Tob Control. 2012;21:110-8. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2011-050371 PMID: 22345233
42. The role of the media in promoting and reducing tobacco use (Tobacco control monograph no. 19). Bethesda: US Department of Health and Human Services, National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute; 2008. Available from: http://cancercontrol.cancer.gov/Brp/tcrb/monographs/19/index.html [cited 2014 Jan 28].
43. Li L, Yong HH, Borland R, Fong GT, Thompson ME, Jiang Y et al. Reported awareness of tobacco advertising and promotion in China compared to Thailand, Australia and the USA. Tob Control. 2009;18:222-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.2008.027037 PMID: 19332425
44. Carter SM. New frontier, new power: the retail environment in Australia's dark market. Tob Control. 2003;12 Suppl 3;iii95-101. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tc.12.suppl_3.iii95 PMID: 14645954
45. Scollo M, Freeman B. Section 11.10, packaging as promotion. In: Scollo M, Winstanley M, editors. Tobacco in Australia: facts and issues. Melbourne: Cancer Council Victoria; 2012. Available from: http://www.tobaccoinaustralia.org.au/chapter-11-advertising/11-10-tobacco-display-as-advertising1 [cited 2014 Feb 28].
46. Australian Government ComLaw [Internet]. Tobacco Plain Packaging Act 2011, No. 148. Canberra: Commonwealth of Australia; 2014. Available from: http://www.comlaw.gov.au/Details/C2011A00148 [cited 2014 Feb 28].
47. Biener L, Garrett CA, Gilpin EA, Roman AM, Currivan DB. Consequences of declining survey response rates for smoking prevalence estimates. Am J Prev Med. 2004;27:254-7. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2004.05.006 PMID: 15450639
48. WHO technical manual on tax administration. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2010.
49. Wakefield M, Bayly M, Durkin S, Cotter T, Mullin S, Warne C; International Anti-Tobacco Advertisement Rating Study Team. Smokers' responses to television advertisements about the serious harms of tobacco use: pre-testing results from 10 low-to middle-income countries. Tob Control. 2013;22:24-31. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2011-050171 PMID: 21994276
50. Durkin S, Bayly M, Cotter T, Mullin S, Wakefield M. Potential effectiveness of anti-smoking advertisement types in ten low and middle income countries: Do demographics, smoking characteristics and cultural differences matter? Soc Sci Med. 2013;98:204-13. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.09.022