메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 1, Issue , 2014, Pages 63-75

Coping with climate change uncertainty for adaptation planning: An improved criterion for decision making under uncertainty using UKCP09

Author keywords

Adaptation; Decision making; Green Z score; UKCP09; Uncertainty; WaSim

Indexed keywords


EID: 84901496137     PISSN: None     EISSN: 22120963     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2013.11.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (23)

References (46)
  • 7
    • 10144249608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recreation demand and economic value: an application of travel cost method for Xiamen Island
    • Chen W., Hong H., Liu Y., Zhang L., Hou X., Raymond M. Recreation demand and economic value: an application of travel cost method for Xiamen Island. China Econ. Rev. 2004, 15:398-406.
    • (2004) China Econ. Rev. , vol.15 , pp. 398-406
    • Chen, W.1    Hong, H.2    Liu, Y.3    Zhang, L.4    Hou, X.5    Raymond, M.6
  • 10
    • 79451473173 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing uncertainty in multiple-criteria decision making related to sustainability assessment
    • Dorini G., Kapelan Z., Azapagic A. Managing uncertainty in multiple-criteria decision making related to sustainability assessment. Clean Technol. Environ. Policy 2011, 13:133-139.
    • (2011) Clean Technol. Environ. Policy , vol.13 , pp. 133-139
    • Dorini, G.1    Kapelan, Z.2    Azapagic, A.3
  • 11
    • 84933493212 scopus 로고
    • Multiple criertia decision making, multiattribute utility theory: the next ten years
    • Dyer J., Fishburn P., Steuer R., Wallenius J., Zionts S. Multiple criertia decision making, multiattribute utility theory: the next ten years. Manag. Sci. 1992, 38:645-654.
    • (1992) Manag. Sci. , vol.38 , pp. 645-654
    • Dyer, J.1    Fishburn, P.2    Steuer, R.3    Wallenius, J.4    Zionts, S.5
  • 12
    • 84901501659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environment Agency (EA), SC090032 - Application of Probabilistic Forecasting in Flood Incident Management. Available from:
    • Environment Agency (EA), 2013. SC090032 - Application of Probabilistic Forecasting in Flood Incident Management. Available from: http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/default.aspx.
    • (2013)
  • 13
  • 15
    • 21344456385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision criteria, scientific uncertainty, and the global warming controversy
    • Froyn C.B. Decision criteria, scientific uncertainty, and the global warming controversy. Mitigat. Adapt. Strateg. Global Change 2005, 10:183-211.
    • (2005) Mitigat. Adapt. Strateg. Global Change , vol.10 , pp. 183-211
    • Froyn, C.B.1
  • 16
    • 84902767575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Irrigation demand modelling using the UKCP09 weather generator: lessons learned
    • Available from:
    • Green M., Weatherhead E.K. Irrigation demand modelling using the UKCP09 weather generator: lessons learned. J. Water Climate 2013, Available from: . 10.2166/wcc.2013.052.
    • (2013) J. Water Climate
    • Green, M.1    Weatherhead, E.K.2
  • 17
    • 84898069341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A critical comparison of using a probabilistic weather generator versus a change factor approach: irrigation reservoir planning under climate change
    • Available from:
    • Green M., Weatherhead E.K. A critical comparison of using a probabilistic weather generator versus a change factor approach: irrigation reservoir planning under climate change. J. Water Climate 2013, Available from: . 10.2166/wcc.2013.073.
    • (2013) J. Water Climate
    • Green, M.1    Weatherhead, E.K.2
  • 18
    • 84901484606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The application of probabilistic climate change projections: A comparison of methods of handling uncertainty applied to UK irrigation reservoir design.
    • J. Water Climate (submitted for publication).
    • Green, M., Weatherhead, E.K., 2013c. The application of probabilistic climate change projections: A comparison of methods of handling uncertainty applied to UK irrigation reservoir design. J. Water Climate (submitted for publication).
    • (2013)
    • Green, M.1    Weatherhead, E.K.2
  • 19
    • 84901504679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated assessment metamodel for developing adaptation pathways for the Rhine Delta in the Netherlands.
    • Seppelt, R., Voinov, A.A., Lange, S., Bankamp, D. (Eds.), International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany.
    • Haasnoot, M., Deursen van, W., Middelkoop, H., Beek van, E., Wijermans, N., 2012. An integrated assessment metamodel for developing adaptation pathways for the Rhine Delta in the Netherlands. In: Seppelt, R., Voinov, A.A., Lange, S., Bankamp, D. (Eds.), International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany.
    • (2012)
    • Haasnoot, M.1    Deursen van, W.2    Middelkoop, H.3    Beek van, E.4    Wijermans, N.5
  • 20
    • 85050171239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking economist's evaluation toolkit in light of sustainable policy
    • Hajkowicz S. Rethinking economist's evaluation toolkit in light of sustainable policy. Sustainability 2008, 4:17-24.
    • (2008) Sustainability , vol.4 , pp. 17-24
    • Hajkowicz, S.1
  • 21
    • 84898795502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of probabilistic weather generator information for climate change adaptation in the UK water sector
    • Harris C.N.P., Quinn A.D., Bridgeman J. The use of probabilistic weather generator information for climate change adaptation in the UK water sector. Meteorol. Appl. 2012, 10.1002/met.1335.
    • (2012) Meteorol. Appl.
    • Harris, C.N.P.1    Quinn, A.D.2    Bridgeman, J.3
  • 22
    • 84875400583 scopus 로고
    • The Generalised Bayes Minimax Principle: A Criterion for Decision Making Under Uncertainty
    • Cowles Commision Discussion Paper Statistics
    • L. Hurwicz, 1951. The Generalised Bayes Minimax Principle: A Criterion for Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Cowles Commision Discussion Paper Statistics, p. 355.
    • (1951) , pp. 355
    • Hurwicz, L.1
  • 24
    • 84864047618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the efficacy of adaptive airport strategic planning: results from computational experiments
    • Kwakkel J., Walker W., Marchau V.A.W.J. Assessing the efficacy of adaptive airport strategic planning: results from computational experiments. Environ. Plan. B 2012, 39:533-550.
    • (2012) Environ. Plan. B , vol.39 , pp. 533-550
    • Kwakkel, J.1    Walker, W.2    Marchau, V.A.W.J.3
  • 25
    • 0004219952 scopus 로고
    • (F.W. Truscott & F.L Emory, Trans.), Dover, New York, (Original work published 1814)
    • Laplace P.S. A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities 1951, (F.W. Truscott & F.L Emory, Trans.), Dover, New York, (Original work published 1814).
    • (1951) A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
    • Laplace, P.S.1
  • 26
    • 77953809303 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying and evaluating robust adaptive policy responses to climate change for water agencies in the American West
    • Lempert R.J., Grooves D.G. Identifying and evaluating robust adaptive policy responses to climate change for water agencies in the American West. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 2000, 77:960-974.
    • (2000) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. , vol.77 , pp. 960-974
    • Lempert, R.J.1    Grooves, D.G.2
  • 27
    • 33845475194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconciling the supply of scientific information with user demands: an analysis of the problem and review of the literature
    • McNie E.C. Reconciling the supply of scientific information with user demands: an analysis of the problem and review of the literature. Environ. Sci. Policy 2007, 10:17-38.
    • (2007) Environ. Sci. Policy , vol.10 , pp. 17-38
    • McNie, E.C.1
  • 28
    • 78650637168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation
    • Moser S.C., Ekstrom J.A. A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 2010, 107:22026-22031.
    • (2010) Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. , vol.107 , pp. 22026-22031
    • Moser, S.C.1    Ekstrom, J.A.2
  • 31
    • 84930195838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of Noosa National Park on surrounding property values: an application of the hedonic price method
    • Pearson L., Tisdell C., Lisle A. The impact of Noosa National Park on surrounding property values: an application of the hedonic price method. Econ. Anal. Policy 2002, 32:155-171.
    • (2002) Econ. Anal. Policy , vol.32 , pp. 155-171
    • Pearson, L.1    Tisdell, C.2    Lisle, A.3
  • 32
    • 79960260453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change
    • Polasky S., Carpenter S.R., Folke C., Keeler B. Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2011, 26:398-404.
    • (2011) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.26 , pp. 398-404
    • Polasky, S.1    Carpenter, S.R.2    Folke, C.3    Keeler, B.4
  • 35
    • 33845480424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The neglected heart of science policy: reconciling supply and demand for science
    • Sarewitz D., Pielke R.A. The neglected heart of science policy: reconciling supply and demand for science. Environ. Sci. Policy 2007, 10:5-16.
    • (2007) Environ. Sci. Policy , vol.10 , pp. 5-16
    • Sarewitz, D.1    Pielke, R.A.2
  • 36
    • 0002900835 scopus 로고
    • The theory of statistical decision
    • Savage L.J. The theory of statistical decision. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1951, 46:55-67.
    • (1951) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.46 , pp. 55-67
    • Savage, L.J.1
  • 37
    • 0035799690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is' dangerous' climate change?
    • Schneider S.H. What is' dangerous' climate change?. Nature 2001, 411:17-19.
    • (2001) Nature , vol.411 , pp. 17-19
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 38
    • 33845259575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change: do we know enough for policy action?
    • Schneider S.H. Climate change: do we know enough for policy action?. Sci. Eng. Ethics 2006, 12:607-636.
    • (2006) Sci. Eng. Ethics , vol.12 , pp. 607-636
    • Schneider, S.H.1
  • 41
    • 34547177691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections
    • Tebaldi C., Knutti R. The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A 2007, 365:2053-2075.
    • (2007) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A , vol.365 , pp. 2053-2075
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 43
    • 44149101478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More than information: what coastal managers need to plan for climate change
    • Tribbia J., Moser S.C. More than information: what coastal managers need to plan for climate change. Environ. Sci. Policy 2008, 11:315-328.
    • (2008) Environ. Sci. Policy , vol.11 , pp. 315-328
    • Tribbia, J.1    Moser, S.C.2
  • 44
    • 0001371984 scopus 로고
    • Rational choice and the framing of decisions
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Rational choice and the framing of decisions. J. Bus. 1986, 59:251-278.
    • (1986) J. Bus. , vol.59 , pp. 251-278
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 45
    • 0141628999 scopus 로고
    • Statistical decision functions which minimize the maximum risk
    • Wald A. Statistical decision functions which minimize the maximum risk. Ann. Math. 1945, 46:265-280.
    • (1945) Ann. Math. , vol.46 , pp. 265-280
    • Wald, A.1
  • 46
    • 84879306495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adapt or perish: a review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty
    • Walker W.E., Haasnoot M., Kwakkel J.H. Adapt or perish: a review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty. Sustainability 2013, 5:955-979.
    • (2013) Sustainability , vol.5 , pp. 955-979
    • Walker, W.E.1    Haasnoot, M.2    Kwakkel, J.H.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.