Climate change: Do we know enough for policy action?

Science and Engineering Ethics

Volumn 12, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 607-636

  Schneider, Stephen H ^a  

^a STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

"Dangerous" climate change; Climate change; Climate policy; Risk management

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE; CONFERENCE PAPER; ENVIRONMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HUMAN; MANAGEMENT; METHODOLOGY; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK MANAGEMENT; STATISTICS; THEORETICAL MODEL; UNCERTAINTY;

CLIMATE; ENVIRONMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HUMANS; MODELS, THEORETICAL; POLICY MAKING; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK MANAGEMENT; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 33845259575     PISSN: 13533452     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11948-006-0061-4     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (24)

1. Funtowicz, S.O. & Ravetz, J.R. (1993) Three types of risk assessment and the emergence of post-normal science, in Krimsky, S. & Golden, D. eds. Social Theories of Risk. Greenwood, Westport, CT: 251-273.
2. Kuhn, T. (1962) The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
3. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992) United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change: Convention Text. UNFCCC, Bonn. Available at: http://unfccc.int/essential_background/convention/background/ items/2853.php
4. 2 abatement policies. Resource and Energy Economics 21: 211-252.
5. Kaya, Y. (1990) Impact of carbon dioxide emission control on GNP growth: Interpretation of proposed scenarios. Paper presented to the IPCC Energy and Industry Subgroup, Response Strategies Working Group, Paris, (mimeo).
6. Yang, C. & Schneider, S.H. (1998) Global carbon dioxide emissions scenarios: Sensitivity to social and technological factors in three regions. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 2: 373-404.
7. Ehrlich, P.R. & Holdren, J.P. (1971) Impact of population growth. Science 171: 1212-1217.
8. IPCC (2000) Emissions Scenario: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Nakicenovic, N. & Swart, R. eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
9. IPCC (2001) Synthesis Report 2001 - Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Watson, R.T. & the Core Writing Team eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
10. Schneider, S.H. (2001) What is "dangerous" climate change? Nature 411: 17-19.
11. Schneider, S.H. & Kuntz-Duriseti, K. (2002) Uncertainty and climate change policy, Chapter 2 in Schneider, S.H., Rosencranz, A. & Niles, J.O. eds. Climate Change Policy: A Survey. Island Press, Washington D.C.: 53-88.
12. Morgan, M.G. & Keith, D.W. (1995) Subjective judgments by climate experts. Environmental Science and Technology 29: A468-A476.
13. Jones, R.N. (2000) Managing uncertainties in climate change projections: Issues for impact assessment. Climatic Change 45(3-4): 403-419.
14. Forest, C.E., Stone, P.H., Sokolov, A.P., Allen, M.R. & Webster, M.D. (2002) Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations. Science 295(5552): 113-117.
15. Andronova, N.G. & Schlesinger, M.E. (2001) Objective estimation of the probability density function for climate sensitivity. Journal of Geophysical Research 106: 22605-22612.
16. Schneider, S.H. (2003) Abrupt non-linear climate change, irreversibility and surprise, in Estimating the Benefits of Climate Policies, Washington, D.C.: OECD. Available online at: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/7/14/2483223.pdf
17. Schneider, S.H. & Lane, J. (2006) An overview of dangerous climate change, in Schellnhuber, H. J., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T. and Yohe, G eds. Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
18. Schneider, S.H. & Mastrandrea, M.D. (2005) Probabilistic assessment of "dangerous" climate change and emissions pathways. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102: 15728-15735.
19. Price, J.T. & Root, T.L (2002) No Orioles in Baltimore? Climate change and neotropical migrants. Bird Conservation 17: 12.
20. Thompson, L. Map of total area of ice on Kilimanjaro (1912, 1953, 1976, 1989, 2000). Published online at: http://researchnews.osu.edu/archive/ kilicoresmap.htm.
21. Lane, J., Sagar, A. & Schneider, S. (2005) Equity in climate change. Tiempo 55: 9-14.
22. Schneider, S. H. & Lane, J. (2006) Dangers and thresholds in climate change and the implications for justice, in Adger, N. ed. Politics, Science, and Law in Justice Debates. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
23. Schneider, S.H., Kuntz-Duriseti, K., & Azar, C. (2000) Costing non-linearities, surprises and irreversible events. Pacific and Asian Journal of Energy 10(1): 81-106.
24. Azar, C. & Schneider, S.H. (2002) Are the economic costs of stabilizing the atmosphere prohibitive? Ecological Economics 42: 73-80.