Observed magnified runoff response to rainfall intensification under global warming

Environmental Research Letters

Volumn 9, Issue 3, 2014, Pages

  Huang, Jr Chuan ^a   Lee, Tsung Yu ^a   Lee, Jun Yi ^a  

^a NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

global warming; rainfall intensification; runoff amplification; water resource management

Indexed keywords

AMPLIFICATION; CATCHMENTS; GLOBAL WARMING; RUNOFF; WATER MANAGEMENT;

CROSS TEMPERATURE; LIMITED DATA; RAINFALL AND RUNOFFS; RAINFALL EXTREMES; RUNOFF RESPONSE; STORAGE CAPACITY; TREND ANALYSIS; WATERRESOURCE MANAGEMENT;

RAIN;

CATCHMENT; CLIMATE MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL RISK; EXTREME EVENT; GLOBAL WARMING; HYDROLOGICAL HAZARD; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RUNOFF; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TREND ANALYSIS; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCE; WATER STORAGE;

TAIWAN;

EID: 84897535988     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034008     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Alkama R, Decharme B, Douville H and Ribes A 2011 Trends in global and basin-scale runoff over the late twentieth century: methodological issues and sources of uncertainty J. Clim. 24 3000-14
2. Allan R P and Soden B J 2008 Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes Science 321 1481-4
3. Bengtsson L 2007 Tropical cyclones in a warmer climate WMO Bull. 56 196-203
4. Chien F C and Kuo H C 2011 On the extreme rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009) J. Geophys. Res. 116 D050104
5. Chou C, Chiang J C H, Lan C W, Chung C H, Liao Y C and Lee C J 2013 Increase in the range between wet and dry season precipitation Nature Geosci. 6 263-7
6. Del Genio A D, Yao M S and Jonas J 2007 Will moist convection be stronger in a warmer climate? Geophys. Res. Lett. 34 L16703 (Pubitemid 350065348)
7. Fujibe F, Yamazaki N, Katsuyama M and Kobayashi K 2005 The increasing trends of intense precipitation in Japan based on four-hourly data for a hundred years SOLA 1 41-4
8. Gerten D, Rost S, von Bloh W and Lucht W 2008 Causes of change in 20th century global river discharge Geophys. Res. Lett. 35 L20405
9. Goswami B N, Venugopal V, Sengupta D, Madhusoodanan M S and Xavier P K 2006 Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment Science 314 1442-5 (Pubitemid 44871948)
10. Hilton R G, Galy A, Hovius N, Chen M C, Horng M J and Chen H 2008 Tropical-cyclone-driven erosion of terrestrial biosphere from mountains Nature Geosci. 1 759-62
11. Huang J C, Kao S J, Hsu M L and Lin J C 2006 Stochastic procedure to extract and to integrate landslide susceptibility maps: an example of mountainous watershed in Taiwan Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 6 803-15
12. Huang J C, Yu C K, Lee J Y, Cheng L W, Lee T Y and Kao S J 2012 Linking typhoon tracks and spatial rainfall patterns for improving flood lead-time predictions in mountainous watershed Water Resources Res. 48 W09540
13. IPCC Secretariat 2008 Climate Change and Water (IPCC Technical Paper VI) ed B C Bates, Z W Kundzewicz, S Wu and J P Palutikof (Geneva: IPCC Secretariat) 210
14. IPCC 2013 Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ed T F Stocker, D Qin, G-K Plattner, M Tignor, S K Allen, J Boschung, A Nauels, Y Xia, V Bex and P M Midgley (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) 1535pp
15. Kao S J, Huang J C, Lee T Y, Liu C C and Walling D E 2011 The changing rainfall-runoff dynamics and sediment response of small mountainous rivers in Taiwan under a warming climate Sediment Problems and Sediment Management in Asian River Basins (IAHS Publ 349) ed D E Walling
16. Kundzewicz Z W, Radziejewski M and Pinskwar I 2005 Precipitation extremes in the changing climate of Europe Clim. Res. 31 51-8
17. Lammers R B, Shillomanov A I, Vörösmarty C J, Fekete B M and Peterson B J 2001 Assessment of contemporary Arctic river runoff based on observational discharge records J. Geophys. Res. 106 3321-34
18. Lins H F and Slack J R 1999 Streamflow trends in the United States Geophys. Res. Lett. 26 227-30 (Pubitemid 29285665)
19. Liu S C, Fu C, Shiu C J, Chen J P and Wu F 2009 Temperature dependence of global precipitation extremes Geophys. Res. Lett. 36 L17702
20. Liu S C, Wang C H, Shiu C J, Chang H W, Hsiao C K and Liaw S H 2002 Reduction in Sunshine Duration over Taiwan: Causes and Implications Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. 13 523-45 (Pubitemid 36230289)
21. Liu B, Xu M, Henderson M and Qi Y 2005 Observed trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in China, 1960-2000 J. Geophys. Res. 110 D08103 (Pubitemid 40899634)
22. Miller J R and Russell G L 1992 The impact of global warming on river runoff J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos. 97 2757-64
23. Milliman J D, Farnsworth K L, Jones P D, Xu K H and Smith L C 2008 Climatic and anthropogenic factors affecting river discharge to the global ocean, 1950-2000 Glob. Planet. Change 62 187-94
24. Milliman J D and Syvitski J P M 1992 Geomorphic/tectonic control of sediment discharge to the ocean: the importance, of small mountainous rivers J. Geol. 100 525-44 (Pubitemid 23374791)
25. Milly P C D, Dunne K A and Vecchia A V 2005 Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate Nature 438 347-50 (Pubitemid 41643949)
26. Min S K, Zhang X, Zwiers F W and Hegerl G C 2011 Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes Nature 470 378-81
27. Mudelsee M, Börngen M, Tetzlaff G and Grünewald U 2003 No upward trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe Nature 425 166-9 (Pubitemid 37150891)
28. Nearing M A, Pruski F F and O'Neal M R 2004 Expected climate change impacts on soil erosion rates: a review J. Soil Water Conserv. 59 43-50 (Pubitemid 38154369)
29. Oki T and Kanae S 2006 Global hydrological cycles and world water resources Science 313 1068-72 (Pubitemid 44300224)
30. Pall P, Aina T, Stone D A, Scott P A, Nozawa T, Hilberts A G J, Lohmann D and Allen M R 2011 Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000 Nature 470 382-5
31. Peel M C and McMahon T A 2006 Continental runoff - a quality-controlled global runoff data set Nature 444 E14 (Pubitemid 44949556)
32. Peterson B J, Holmes R M, McClelland J W, Vörösmarty C J, Lammers R B, Shiklomanov A I, Shiklomanov I A and Rahmstorf S 2002 Increasing river discharge to the Arctic ocean Science 298 2171-3 (Pubitemid 35471237)
33. Qian W, Fu J and Yan Z 2007 Decrease of light rain events in summer associated with a warming environment in China during 1961-2005 Geophys. Res. Lett. 34 L11705 (Pubitemid 47272411)
34. Shiklomanov A I, Yakovleva T I, Lammers R B, Karasev I P, Vörösmarty C J and Linder E 2006 Cold region river discharge uncertainty - estimates from large Russian rivers J. Hydrol. 326 231-56 (Pubitemid 44183737)
35. Shiu C J, Liu S C and Chen J P 2009 Diurnally asymmetric trends of temperature; humidity and precipitation in Taiwan J. Clim. 22 5635-49
36. Trenberth K E 1998 Atmospheric moisture residence times and cycling: implications for rainfall rates and climate change Clim. Change 39 667-94 (Pubitemid 28434155)
37. Tu J Y and Chou C 2013 Changes in precipitation frequency and intensity in the vicinity of Taiwan: typhoon versus non-typhoon events Environ. Res. Lett. 8 014023
38. Tu J Y, Chou C and Chu P S 2009 The abrupt shift of typhoon activity in the vicinity of Taiwan and its association with western North Pacific-East Asian climate change J. Clim. 22 3617-28
39. Vörösmarty C J, Green P, Salisbury J and Lammers R B 2000 Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth Science 289 284-8 (Pubitemid 30469903)
40. Wilby R L 2006 When and where might climate change be detectable in UK river flows? Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 L19407 (Pubitemid 46535066)
41. Zhang X C and Nearing M A 2005 Impact of climate change on soil erosion, runoff and wheat productivity in central Oklahoma Catena 61 185-95 (Pubitemid 40816854)