A Method to Consider Whether Dams Mitigate Climate Change Effects on Stream Temperatures

Journal of the American Water Resources Association

Volumn 49, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 1456-1472

  Null, Sarah E ^a   Ligare, Scott T ^b   Viers, Joshua H ^c  

^a UTAH STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b California State Water Resources Control Board   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Coldwater habitat; Regulated rivers; Reservoirs; Sierra Nevada; Water management; Water temperature

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; DAMS; ECOSYSTEMS; FORESTRY; PETROLEUM RESERVOIRS; RIVERS; TEMPERATURE; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER QUALITY;

COLDWATER HABITAT; HYDROCLIMATIC CONDITIONS; MULTIMODEL APPROACH; REGULATED RIVER; RESERVOIR REGULATIONS; SIERRA NEVADA; WATER TEMPERATURE CHANGE; WATER TEMPERATURES;

RESERVOIRS (WATER);

CLIMATE CHANGE; COLD WATER; DAM; FLOW REGULATION; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; LAND USE CHANGE; LATITUDE; RESERVOIR; SALMONID; STREAM; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER TEMPERATURE;

CALIFORNIA; SIERRA NEVADA [CALIFORNIA]; UNITED STATES;

SALMONIDAE;

EID: 84897096485     PISSN: 1093474X     EISSN: 17521688     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12102     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Aspen Environmental and M.Cubed, 2005. Potential Changes in Hydropower Production from Global Climate Change in California and the Western United States. Prepared for California Energy Commission, Sacramento, California.
2. Barnett, T.P., J.C. Adam, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2005. Potential Impacts of a Warming Climate on Water Availability in Snow-Dominated Regions. Nature 438(7066):303-309, doi: 10.1038/nature04141.
3. Battin, J., M.W. Wiley, M.H. Ruckelshaus, R.N. Palmer, E. Korb, K.K. Bartz, and H. Imaki, 2007. Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Salmon Habitat Restoration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 140 (16):6720-6725, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0701685104.
4. Bogan, T., O. Mohseni, and H.G. Stefan, 2003. Stream Temperature-Equilibrium Temperature Relationship. Water Resources Research 39(9):1245, doi: 10.1029/2003WR002034.
5. Caissie, D.M.G., M.G., Satish, and N. El-Jabi, 2005. Predicting River Water Temperatures Using the Equilibrium Temperature Concept with Application on Miramichi River Catchments (New Brunswick, Canada). Hydrological Processes 19:2137-2153, doi: 10.1002/hyp.5684.
6. Cayan, D.R., M. Tyree, M.D. Dettinger, H. Hidalgo, T. Das, E. Maurer, P. Bromirski, N. Graham, and R. Flick, 2009. Climate Change Scenarios and Sea Level Rise Estimates for the California 2009 Climate Change Scenarios Assessment. Prepared for California Energy Commission, Sacramento, California.
7. CDEC (California Data Exchange Center), 2011. California Data Exchange Center. Operated by CA. Department of Water Resources. http://cdec.water.ca.gov, accessed May 2011.
8. Das, T., M. Dettinger, D. Cayan, and H. Hidalgo, 2011. Potential Increase in Floods in California's Sierra Nevada Under Future Climate Projections. Climatic Change 109(0):71-94.
9. Deas, M.L. and G.T. Orlob, 1999. Klamath River Modeling Project. University of California, Davis, California.
10. Department of Water Resources, 2009. California Water Plan Update. http://www.waterplan.water.ca.gov/cwpu2009/index.cfm, accessed May 2011.
11. Eaton, J.G. and R.M. Scheller, 1996. Effects of Climate Warming on Fish Thermal Habitat in Streams of the United States. Limnology and Oceanography 41(5):1109-1115.
12. Edinger, J.E., D.W. Duttweiler, and J.C. Geyer, 1968. The Response of Water Temperature to Meteorological Conditions. Water Resources Research 4(5):1137-1143.
13. Gonenc, I.E., B.B. Baykal, O. Ince, and O. Asikoglu, 1997. Ecosystem Modelling of Coastal Lagoons for Sustainable Management. A Case Study: Kucukcekmece Lagoon, Turkey. International Journal of Salt Lake Research 6:91-105.
14. Gooseff, M., K. Strzepek, and S. Chapra, 2005. Modeling the Potential Effects of Climate Change on Water Temperature Downstream of a Shallow Reservoir, Lower Madison River, MT. Climatic Change 68(3):331-353.
15. Gu, R., S. Montgomery, and T. Austin, 1998. Quantifying the Effects of Stream Discharge on Summer River Temperature. Hydrological Sciences 43(6):885-904.
16. Hamlet, A.F. and D.P. Lettenmaier, 1999. Effects of Climate Change on Hydrology and Water Resources in the Columbia River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 35(6):1597-1623, doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1999.tb04240.x.
17. Hanak, E., J. Lund, A. Dinar, R. Gray, R. Howitt, J. Mount, P. Moyle, and B. Thompson, 2011. Managing California's Water: From Conflict to Reconciliation. Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, California.
18. Hari, R.E., D.M. Livingstone, R. Siber, P. Burkhardt-Holm, and H. Guttinger, 2006. Consequences of Climatic Change for Water Temperature and Brown Trout Populations in Alpine Rivers and Streams. Global Change Biology 12:10-26, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.01051.x.
19. Harou, J.J., J. Medellin-Azuara, T. Zhu, S.K. Tanaka, J.R. Lund, S. Stine, M.A. Olivares, and M.W. Jenkins, 2010. Economic Consequences of Optimized Water Management for a Prolonged, Severe Drought in California. Water Resources Research. 46(5):W05522.
20. Isaak, D.J., C.H. Luce, B.E. Rieman, D.E. Nagel, E.E. Peterson, D.L. Horan, S. Parkes, and G.L. Chandler, 2010. Effects of Climate Change and Wildfire on Stream Temperatures and Salmonid Thermal Habitat in a Mountain River Network. Ecological Applications 20(5):1350-1371.
21. Jager, H.I., W. Van Winkle, and B.D. Holcomb, 1999. Would Hydrologic Climate Changes in Sierra Nevada Streams Influence Trout Persistence? Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 128:222-240.
22. Johnson, B.M., L. Saito, M.A. Anderson, P. Weiss, M. Andre, and D.G. Fontane, 2004. Effects of Climate and Dam Operations on Reservoir Thermal Structure. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 130(2):112-122, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496.
23. Karamouz, M., A. Moridi, and H.M. Fayyazi, 2008. Dealing with Conflict over Water Quality and Quantity Allocation: A Case Study. Scientia Iranica 15(1):34-49.
24. Kaushal, S.S., G.E. Likens, N.A. Jaworski, M.L. Pace, A.M. Sides, D. Seekell, K.T. Belt, D.H. Secor, and R.L. Wingate, 2011. Rising Stream and River Temperatures in the United States. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8(9):461-466, doi: 10.1890/090037.
25. Lopes, L.F.G., J.S.A. do Carmo, and R.M.V. Cortes, 2003. Influence of Dam-Reservoirs Exploitation on the Water Quality. River Basin Manage II 7: 221-230.
26. Madani, K. and J. Lund, 2010. Estimated Impacts of Climate Warming on California's High-Elevation Hydropower. Climatic Change 102(3):521-538, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9750-8.
27. Maurer, E., 2007. Uncertainty in Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change in the Sierra Nevada, California, Under Two Emissions Scenarios. Climatic Change 82(3):309-325.
28. Maurer, E.P., H.G. Hidalgo, T. Das, M.D. Dettinger, and D.R. Cayan, 2010. The Utility of Daily Large-Scale Climate Data in the Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Daily Streamflow in California. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14:1125-1138.
29. Medellín-Azuara, J., J. Harou, M. Olivares, K. Madani, J. Lund, R. Howitt, S. Tanaka, X. Marion Jenkins, and T. Zhu, 2008. Adaptability and Adaptations of California's Water Supply System to Dry Climate Warming. Climatic Change 87(0):75-90, doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9355-z.
30. Mehta, V.K., D.E. Rheinheimer, D. Yates, D.R. Purkey, J.H. Viers, C.A. Young, and J.F. Mount, 2011. Potential Impacts on Hydrology and Hydropower Production Under Climate Warming of the Sierra Nevada. Journal of Water and Climate Change 2(1):29-43, doi: 10.2166/wcc.2011.054.
31. Meyer, G.K., G.T. Orlob, and C. Jokiel, 1996. Effects of Climate Change on Water Quality in the Central Valley of California. In: Water Resources Management in the Face of Climatic/Hydrologic Uncertainties, Z. Kaczmarek, K.M. Strzepek, L. Somlyody, V. Priazhinskaya (Editors). Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 274-299.
32. Mohseni, O. and H.G. Stefan, 1999. Stream Temperature/Air Temperature Relationship: A Physical Interpretation. Journal of Hydrology 218(3-4):128-141, doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00034-7.
33. Null, S.E., M.L. Deas, and J.R. Lund, 2010b. Flow and Water Temperature Simulation for Habitat Restoration in the Shasta River, California. River Research and Applications 26(6):663-681, doi: 10.1002/rra.1288.
34. Null, S.E., S.T. Ligare, and J.H. Viers, 2012. Water and Energy Sector Vulnerability to Climate Warming in the Sierra Nevada: A Method to Consider Whether Dams Mitigate Climate Change Effects on Stream Temperatures. Prepared for the California Energy Commission. http://watershed.ucdavis.edu/files/biblio/CWS-2011-001.pdf, accessed January 2013.
35. Null, S.E., J. Viers, M. Deas, S. Tanaka, and J. Mount, 2013. Stream Temperature Sensitivity to Climate Warming in California's Sierra Nevada: Impacts to Coldwater Habitat. Climatic Change 116(1):1-22, doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0459-8.
36. Null, S.E., J.H. Viers, and J.F. Mount, 2010a. Hydrologic Response and Watershed Sensitivity to Climate Warming in California's Sierra Nevada. PLoS ONE 5(4):e9932, doi: 10.1371/journal/pone.0009932.
37. Olden, J.D. and R.J. Naiman, 2010. Incorporating Thermal Regimes into Environmental Flows Assessments: Modifying Dam Operations to Restore Freshwater Ecosystem Integrity. Freshwater Biology 55(1):86-107, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2427.2009.02179.x.
38. PCWA, 2007. 2006 Water Temperature Study Report. Placer County Water Agency. Auburn, California. June 2007.
39. Poff, N.L., 2009. Managing for Variability to Sustain Freshwater Ecosystems. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 135(1):1-4.
40. Poole, G.C. and C.H. Berman, 2001. An Ecological Perspective on In-Stream Temperature: Natural Heat Dynamics and Mechanisms of Human-Caused Thermal Degradation. Environmental Management 27(6):797-802, doi: 10.1007/s002670010188.
41. Rahel, F.J. and J.D. Olden, 2008. Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Aquatic Invasive Species. Conservation Biology 22(3):521-533, doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.00950.x.
42. Sinokrot, B.A., H.G. Stefan, J.H. McCormick, and J.G. Eaton, 1995. Modeling of Climate Change Effects on Stream Teperatures and Fish Habitats Below Dams and Near Groundwater Inputs. Climatic Change 30:181-200.
43. Thorton, P.E., S.W. Running, and M.A. White, 1997. Generating Surfaces of Daily Meteorological Variables over Large Regions of Complex Terrain. Journal of Hydrology 190:214-251.
44. Tung, C., T. Lee, and Y. Yang, 2006. Modelling Climate-Change Impacts on Stream Temperature of Formosan Landlocked Salmon Habitat. Hydrological Processes 20(7):1629-1649, doi: 10.1002/hyp.5959.
45. USACE-HEC (US Army Corps of Engineers-Hydrologic Engineering Center), 1986. WQRRS Water Quality for River-Reservoir Systems User's Manual. Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, California.
46. USGS (U.S. Geological Survey), 2012. Water Resources of the United States. http://water.usgs.gov/, accessed January 2013.
47. Vicuna, S., R. Leonardson, M. Hanemann, L. Dale, and J. Dracup, 2008. Climate Change Impacts on High Elevation Hydropower Generation in California's Sierra Nevada: A Case Study in the Upper American River. Climatic Change 87(0):123-137.
48. Weare, B.C., 2009. How Will Changes in Global Climate Influence California? California Agriculture 63(2):59-66, doi: 10.3733/ca.v063n02p59.
49. Wright, S.A., C.R. Anderson, and N. Voichick, 2009. A Simplified Water Temperature Model for the Colorado River Below Glen Canyon Dam. River Research and Applications 25:675-686, doi: 10.1002/rra.1179.
50. Yates, D., H. Galbraith, D. Purkey, A. Huber-Lee, J. Sieber, J. West, S. Herrod-Julius, and B. Joyce, 2008. Climate Warming, Water Storage, and Chinook Salmon in California's Sacramento Valley. Climatic Change 91(3-4):335-350, doi: 10.1007/s10584-008-9427-8.
51. Yates, D., J. Sieber, D. Purkey, and A. Huber-Lee, 2005. WEAP21-A Demand-, Priority-, and Preference-Driven Water Planning Model. Water International 30(4):487-500, doi: 10.1080/02508060508691893.
52. Yoshiyama, R.M., F.W. Fisher, and P.B. Moyle, 1998. Historical Abundance and Decline of Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley Region of California. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 18, 487-521.
53. Young, C.A., M. Escobar, M. Fernandes, B. Joyce, M. Kiparsky, J.F. Mount, V. Mehta, J.H. Viers, and D. Yates, 2009. Modeling the Hydrology of California's Sierra Nevada for Sub-Watershed Scale Adaptation to Climate Change. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(6):1409-1423, doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00375x.