메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 34, Issue 3, 2014, Pages 162-176

Diffusion of multi-generational high-technology products

Author keywords

Diffusion models; Forecasting; High technology products; Multi generational

Indexed keywords

DIFFUSION MODEL; DIFFUSION PATTERNS; FORECASTING PERFORMANCE; HIGH TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRIES; HIGH-TECH INDUSTRIES; HIGH-TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS; MARKETING STRATEGY; MULTI-GENERATIONAL;

EID: 84893814454     PISSN: 01664972     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.technovation.2013.11.008     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 47549086948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technology forecasting for wireless communication
    • T.R. Anderson, T.U. Daim, and J. Kim Technology forecasting for wireless communication Technovation 28 2008 602 614
    • (2008) Technovation , vol.28 , pp. 602-614
    • Anderson, T.R.1    Daim, T.U.2    Kim, J.3
  • 2
    • 71949116187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Made to fit: How practices vary as they diffuse
    • S.M. Ansari, P.C. Fiss, and E.J. Zajac Made to fit: how practices vary as they diffuse Acad. Manag. Rev. 35 2010 67 92
    • (2010) Acad. Manag. Rev. , vol.35 , pp. 67-92
    • Ansari, S.M.1    Fiss, P.C.2    Zajac, E.J.3
  • 3
    • 0002886075 scopus 로고
    • Organizational innovation: Individual, organizational, and environmental impacts
    • J.V. Baldridge, and R.A. Burnham Organizational innovation: individual, organizational, and environmental impacts Adm. Sci. Q. 20 1975 165 176
    • (1975) Adm. Sci. Q. , vol.20 , pp. 165-176
    • Baldridge, J.V.1    Burnham, R.A.2
  • 4
    • 0001449665 scopus 로고
    • A new product growth for model consumer durables
    • F.M. Bass A new product growth for model consumer durables Manag. Sci. 15 1969 215 227
    • (1969) Manag. Sci. , vol.15 , pp. 215-227
    • Bass, F.M.1
  • 5
    • 11844295410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comments on "a new product growth for model consumer durables": The bass model
    • F.M. Bass Comments on "A new product growth for model consumer durables": the bass model Manag. Sci. 50 2004 1833 1840
    • (2004) Manag. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 1833-1840
    • Bass, F.M.1
  • 6
    • 21844483656 scopus 로고
    • A high-tech product market share model with customer expectations
    • E. Bridges, C.K. Yim, and R.A. Briesch A high-tech product market share model with customer expectations Manag. Sci. 14 1995 61 81
    • (1995) Manag. Sci. , vol.14 , pp. 61-81
    • Bridges, E.1    Yim, C.K.2    Briesch, R.A.3
  • 7
    • 84888007030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of complementary products on platform adoption: Evidence from the video console market
    • J. Cenamor, B. Usero, and Z. Fernández The role of complementary products on platform adoption: evidence from the video console market Technovation 33 2013 405 416
    • (2013) Technovation , vol.33 , pp. 405-416
    • Cenamor, J.1    Usero, B.2    Fernández, Z.3
  • 8
    • 43049160690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling innovation and imitation sales of products with multiple technological generations
    • U. Chanda, and A.K. Bardhan Modelling innovation and imitation sales of products with multiple technological generations J. High Technol. Manag. Res. 18 2008 173 190
    • (2008) J. High Technol. Manag. Res. , vol.18 , pp. 173-190
    • Chanda, U.1    Bardhan, A.K.2
  • 9
    • 0035646780 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marketing-mix variables and the diffusion of successive generations of a technological innovation
    • P.J. Danaher, B.G.S. Hardie, and W.P. Putsis Jr. Marketing-mix variables and the diffusion of successive generations of a technological innovation J. Mark. Res. 38 2001 501 514
    • (2001) J. Mark. Res. , vol.38 , pp. 501-514
    • Danaher, P.J.1    Hardie, B.G.S.2    Putsis, Jr.W.P.3
  • 10
    • 71949083931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sales forecasting in high-technology markets: A utility-based approach
    • R. Decker, and K. Gnibba-Yukawa Sales forecasting in high-technology markets: a utility-based approach J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 27 2010 115 129
    • (2010) J. Prod. Innov. Manag. , vol.27 , pp. 115-129
    • Decker, R.1    Gnibba-Yukawa, K.2
  • 11
    • 4944256889 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic results for genetic algorithms with applications to nonlinear estimation
    • L. Kallel, B. Naudts, A. Rogers, Springer-Verlag Berlin, Germany
    • P. Del Moral, and L. Miclo Asymptotic results for genetic algorithms with applications to nonlinear estimation L. Kallel, B. Naudts, A. Rogers, Theoretical Aspects of Evolutionary Computation 2001 Springer-Verlag Berlin, Germany 439 494
    • (2001) Theoretical Aspects of Evolutionary Computation , pp. 439-494
    • Del Moral, P.1    Miclo, L.2
  • 12
    • 24944522545 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning about computers: An analysis of information search and technology choice
    • T. Erdem, M.P. Keane, T.S. Öncü, and J. Strebel Learning about computers: an analysis of information search and technology choice Quant. Mark. Econ. 3 2005 207 247
    • (2005) Quant. Mark. Econ. , vol.3 , pp. 207-247
    • Erdem, T.1    Keane, M.P.2    Öncü, T.S.3    Strebel, J.4
  • 13
    • 50849148278 scopus 로고
    • A simple substitution model of technological change
    • J.C. Fisher, and R.H. Pry A simple substitution model of technological change Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 3 1971 75 88
    • (1971) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.3 , pp. 75-88
    • Fisher, J.C.1    Pry, R.H.2
  • 14
    • 0002572983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Models of technology diffusion
    • P.A. Geroski Models of technology diffusion Res. Policy 29 2000 603 625
    • (2000) Res. Policy , vol.29 , pp. 603-625
    • Geroski, P.A.1
  • 15
    • 79959348253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Blazing saddles: The early and mainstream markets in the high-tech product life cycle
    • J. Goldenberg, L. Barak, E. Muller, and R. Peres Blazing saddles: the early and mainstream markets in the high-tech product life cycle Isr. Econ. Rev. 4 2006 85 108
    • (2006) Isr. Econ. Rev. , vol.4 , pp. 85-108
    • Goldenberg, J.1    Barak, L.2    Muller, E.3    Peres, R.4
  • 16
    • 0036004609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Riding the saddle: How cross-market communications can create a major slump in sales
    • J. Goldenberg, B. Libai, and E. Muller Riding the saddle: how cross-market communications can create a major slump in sales J. Mark. 66 2002 1 16
    • (2002) J. Mark. , vol.66 , pp. 1-16
    • Goldenberg, J.1    Libai, B.2    Muller, E.3
  • 17
    • 0000153011 scopus 로고
    • Hybrid corn: An exploration in the economics of technological change
    • Z. Griliches Hybrid corn: an exploration in the economics of technological change Econometrica 25 1957 501 522
    • (1957) Econometrica , vol.25 , pp. 501-522
    • Griliches, Z.1
  • 18
    • 0001876661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The diffusion of successive generations of a technology: A more general model
    • T. Islam, and N. Meade The diffusion of successive generations of a technology: a more general model Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 56 1997 49 60
    • (1997) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.56 , pp. 49-60
    • Islam, T.1    Meade, N.2
  • 20
    • 84867556654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A generalized norton-bass model for multigeneration diffusion
    • Z. Jiang, and D.C. Jain A generalized norton-bass model for multigeneration diffusion Manag. Sci. 58 2012 1887 1897
    • (2012) Manag. Sci. , vol.58 , pp. 1887-1897
    • Jiang, Z.1    Jain, D.C.2
  • 21
    • 0036815923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting telecommunication service subscribers in substitutive and competitive environments
    • D.B. Jun, S.K. Kim, Y.S. Park, M.H. Park, and A.R. Wilson Forecasting telecommunication service subscribers in substitutive and competitive environments Int. J. Forecast. 18 2002 561 581
    • (2002) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.18 , pp. 561-581
    • Jun, D.B.1    Kim, S.K.2    Park, Y.S.3    Park, M.H.4    Wilson, A.R.5
  • 22
    • 0002867523 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A choice-based diffusion model for multiple generations of products
    • D.B. Jun, and Y.S. Park A choice-based diffusion model for multiple generations of products Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 61 1999 45 58
    • (1999) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.61 , pp. 45-58
    • Jun, D.B.1    Park, Y.S.2
  • 23
    • 0033727847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling intercategory and generational dynamics for a growing information technology industry
    • N. Kim, D.R. Chang, and A.D. Shocker Modeling intercategory and generational dynamics for a growing information technology industry Manag. Sci. 46 2000 496 512
    • (2000) Manag. Sci. , vol.46 , pp. 496-512
    • Kim, N.1    Chang, D.R.2    Shocker, A.D.3
  • 25
    • 63049131648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conjoint-hazard model of the timing of buyers' upgrading to improved versions of high-technology products
    • S.H. Kim, and V. Srinivasan A conjoint-hazard model of the timing of buyers' upgrading to improved versions of high-technology products J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 26 2009 278 290
    • (2009) J. Prod. Innov. Manag. , vol.26 , pp. 278-290
    • Kim, S.H.1    Srinivasan, V.2
  • 26
    • 67349144681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Creating a market-oriented product innovation process: A contingency approach
    • R.A.W. Kok, and W.G. Biemans Creating a market-oriented product innovation process: a contingency approach Technovation 29 2009 517 526
    • (2009) Technovation , vol.29 , pp. 517-526
    • Kok, R.A.W.1    Biemans, W.G.2
  • 27
    • 84868204945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An innovation diffusion of successive generations by system dynamics - An empirical study of Nike Golf Company
    • V.B. Kreng, and B.J. Wang An innovation diffusion of successive generations by system dynamics - An empirical study of Nike Golf Company Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 80 2013 77 87
    • (2013) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.80 , pp. 77-87
    • Kreng, V.B.1    Wang, B.J.2
  • 28
    • 67651155811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A technology replacement model with variable market potential - An empirical study of CRT and LCD TV
    • V.B. Kreng, and H.T. Wang A technology replacement model with variable market potential - An empirical study of CRT and LCD TV Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 76 2009 942 951
    • (2009) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.76 , pp. 942-951
    • Kreng, V.B.1    Wang, H.T.2
  • 30
    • 0030083034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Timing, diffusion, and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: The IBM mainframe case
    • V. Mahajan, and E. Muller Timing, diffusion, and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: the IBM mainframe case Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 51 1996 109 132
    • (1996) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.51 , pp. 109-132
    • Mahajan, V.1    Muller, E.2
  • 31
    • 0003162605 scopus 로고
    • New product diffusion models in marketing: A review and directions for research
    • V. Mahajan, E. Muller, and F.M. Bass New product diffusion models in marketing: a review and directions for research J. Mark. 54 1990 1 26
    • (1990) J. Mark. , vol.54 , pp. 1-26
    • Mahajan, V.1    Muller, E.2    Bass, F.M.3
  • 33
    • 79851474030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Platform strategy of video game software in Japan, 1984-1994: Theory and evidence
    • M. Maruyama, and K. Ohkita Platform strategy of video game software in Japan, 1984-1994: theory and evidence Manag. Decis. Econ. 32 2011 105 118
    • (2011) Manag. Decis. Econ. , vol.32 , pp. 105-118
    • Maruyama, M.1    Ohkita, K.2
  • 34
    • 0032140393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technological forecasting - Model selection, model stability, and combining models
    • N. Meade, and T. Islam Technological forecasting - model selection, model stability, and combining models Manag. Sci. 44 1998 1115 1130
    • (1998) Manag. Sci. , vol.44 , pp. 1115-1130
    • Meade, N.1    Islam, T.2
  • 35
    • 33745933045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation - A 25-year review
    • N. Meade, and T. Islam Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation - a 25-year review Int. J. Forecast. 22 2006 519 545
    • (2006) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.22 , pp. 519-545
    • Meade, N.1    Islam, T.2
  • 37
    • 33845204553 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When does the majority become a majority? Empirical analysis of the time at which main market adopters purchase the bulk of our sales
    • E. Muller, and G. Yogev When does the majority become a majority? Empirical analysis of the time at which main market adopters purchase the bulk of our sales Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 73 2006 1107 1120
    • (2006) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.73 , pp. 1107-1120
    • Muller, E.1    Yogev, G.2
  • 38
    • 0036475275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A dynamic IT adoption model for the SOHO market: PC generational decisions with technological expectations
    • K. Namwoon, J.K. Han, and R.K. Srivastava A dynamic IT adoption model for the SOHO market: PC generational decisions with technological expectations Manag. Sci. 48 2002 222 240
    • (2002) Manag. Sci. , vol.48 , pp. 222-240
    • Namwoon, K.1    Han, J.K.2    Srivastava, R.K.3
  • 39
    • 84928459877 scopus 로고
    • A diffusion theory model of adoption and substitution for successive generations of high-technology products
    • J.A. Norton, and F.M. Bass A diffusion theory model of adoption and substitution for successive generations of high-technology products Manag. Sci. 33 1987 1069 1086
    • (1987) Manag. Sci. , vol.33 , pp. 1069-1086
    • Norton, J.A.1    Bass, F.M.2
  • 40
    • 77953613535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Innovation diffusion and new product growth models: A critical review and research directions
    • R. Peres, E. Muller, and V. Mahajan Innovation diffusion and new product growth models: a critical review and research directions Int. J. Res. Mark. 27 2010 91 106
    • (2010) Int. J. Res. Mark. , vol.27 , pp. 91-106
    • Peres, R.1    Muller, E.2    Mahajan, V.3
  • 41
    • 84876968956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Listen to the market: Do its complexity and signals make companies more innovative?
    • A. Pérez-Luño, and J. Cambra Listen to the market: do its complexity and signals make companies more innovative? Technovation 33 2013 180 192
    • (2013) Technovation , vol.33 , pp. 180-192
    • Pérez-Luño, A.1    Cambra, J.2
  • 42
    • 38749131903 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Repeat Purchase amid rapid quality improvement: Structural estimation of demand for personal computers
    • J.T. Prince Repeat Purchase amid rapid quality improvement: structural estimation of demand for personal computers J. Econ. Manag. Strategy 17 2008 1 33
    • (2008) J. Econ. Manag. Strategy , vol.17 , pp. 1-33
    • Prince, J.T.1
  • 43
    • 14844317461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A micromodel of new product adoption with heterogeneous and forward-looking consumers: Application to the digital camera category
    • I. Song, and P.K. Chintagunta A micromodel of new product adoption with heterogeneous and forward-looking consumers: application to the digital camera category Quant. Mark. Econ. 1 2003 371 407
    • (2003) Quant. Mark. Econ. , vol.1 , pp. 371-407
    • Song, I.1    Chintagunta, P.K.2
  • 44
    • 0029346756 scopus 로고
    • Application of a multi-generation diffusion model to milk container technology
    • M.W. Speece, and D.L. Maclachlan Application of a multi-generation diffusion model to milk container technology Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 49 1995 281 295
    • (1995) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.49 , pp. 281-295
    • Speece, M.W.1    Maclachlan, D.L.2
  • 45
    • 77953325795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does new product growth accelerate across technology generations?
    • S. Stremersch, E. Muller, and R. Peres Does new product growth accelerate across technology generations? Mark. Lett. 21 2010 103 120
    • (2010) Mark. Lett. , vol.21 , pp. 103-120
    • Stremersch, S.1    Muller, E.2    Peres, R.3
  • 46
    • 21344491949 scopus 로고
    • The welfare implications of unauthorized reproduction of intellectual property in the presence of demand network externalities
    • L.N. Takeyama The welfare implications of unauthorized reproduction of intellectual property in the presence of demand network externalities J. Ind. Econ. 42 1994 155 166
    • (1994) J. Ind. Econ. , vol.42 , pp. 155-166
    • Takeyama, L.N.1
  • 47
    • 84885185399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling diffusion of multi-generational LCD TVs while considering generation-specific price effects and consumer behaviors
    • (In Press)
    • B.H. Tsai Modeling diffusion of multi-generational LCD TVs while considering generation-specific price effects and consumer behaviors Technovation 2013 (In Press)
    • (2013) Technovation
    • Tsai, B.H.1
  • 48
    • 84868202277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the diffusion of LCD TVs by incorporating price in the extended Gompertz model
    • B.H. Tsai Predicting the diffusion of LCD TVs by incorporating price in the extended Gompertz model Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 80 2013 106 131
    • (2013) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.80 , pp. 106-131
    • Tsai, B.H.1
  • 49
    • 34548039838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New product diffusion with influentials and imitators
    • C. Van den Bulte, and Y.V. Joshi New product diffusion with influentials and imitators Mark. Sci. 26 2007 400 421
    • (2007) Mark. Sci. , vol.26 , pp. 400-421
    • Van Den Bulte, C.1    Joshi, Y.V.2
  • 50
    • 4944224630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolutionary estimation of macro-level diffusion models using genetic algorithms: An alternative to nonlinear least squares
    • R. Venkatesan, T.V. Krishnan, and V. Kumar Evolutionary estimation of macro-level diffusion models using genetic algorithms: an alternative to nonlinear least squares Mark. Sci. 23 2004 451 464
    • (2004) Mark. Sci. , vol.23 , pp. 451-464
    • Venkatesan, R.1    Krishnan, T.V.2    Kumar, V.3
  • 51
    • 81055156316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Entry into platform-based markets
    • F. Zhu, and M. Iansiti Entry into platform-based markets Strategic Manag. J. 33 2012 88 106
    • (2012) Strategic Manag. J. , vol.33 , pp. 88-106
    • Zhu, F.1    Iansiti, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.