메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 4, 2013, Pages

Modeling seasonality in avian influenza H5N1

Author keywords

Avian Influenza; H5N1; Mathematical Models; Model Selection; Nonautonomous Differential Equations; Reproduction Number; Seasonality

Indexed keywords


EID: 84893425029     PISSN: 02183390     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1142/S0218339013400044     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (40)

References (47)
  • 2
    • 33846690326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Health Organization
    • World Health Organization, Confirmed human cases of Avian Influenza A(H5N1), Available at http://www.who.int/influenza/human animal interface/H5N1 cumulative table archives/en/index.html (2013).
    • (2013) Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A(H5N1
  • 3
    • 84862618108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Airborne transmission of Influenza A/H5N1 virus between ferrets
    • Herfst S et al., Airborne transmission of Influenza A/H5N1 virus between ferrets, Science 336:1534-1541, 2012.
    • (2012) Science , vol.336 , pp. 1534-1541
    • Herfst, S.1
  • 4
    • 34248170234 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Avian influenza virus (H5N1): A threat to human health
    • Peiris JSM, de Jong MD, Guan Y, Avian influenza virus (H5N1): A threat to human health, Clin Microbiol Rev 20(2):243-267, 2007.
    • (2007) Clin Microbiol Rev , vol.20 , Issue.2 , pp. 243-267
    • Jsm, P.1    De Jong, M.D.2    Guan, Y.3
  • 5
    • 78650403055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Animal Production and Health Division
    • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Animal Production and Health Division, Available at http://www.fao.org/avianflu/en/ overview.htm (2013).
    • (2013) Food and Agriculture Organization of the
  • 6
    • 34447544302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic patterns of avian and human influenza in east and southeast Asia
    • Park AW, Glass K, Dynamic patterns of avian and human influenza in east and southeast Asia, Lancet Infect Dis 7(8):543-548, 2007.
    • (2007) Lancet Infect Dis , vol.7 , Issue.8 , pp. 543-548
    • Park, A.W.1    Glass, K.2
  • 7
    • 80052364733 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal oscillation of human infection with influenza A/H5N1 in Egypt and Indonesia
    • Murray EJ, Morse SS, Seasonal oscillation of human infection with influenza A/H5N1 in Egypt and Indonesia, PLoS One 6(9):e24042, 2011.
    • (2011) PLoS One , vol.6 , Issue.9
    • Murray, E.J.1    Morse, S.S.2
  • 9
    • 70049096998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are meteorological parameters associated with acute respiratory tract infections?
    • du Prel JB, Puppe W, Grondahl B, Knuf M, Weigl JA et al., Are meteorological parameters associated with acute respiratory tract infections? Clin Infect Dis 49:861-868, 2009.
    • (2009) Clin Infect Dis , vol.49 , pp. 861-868
    • Du Prel, J.B.1    Puppe, W.2    Grondahl, B.3    Knuf, M.4    Weigl, J.A.5
  • 10
    • 77957374850 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental persistence of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) virus
    • Wood JP, Choi YW, Chappie DI, Rogers JV, Kaye JZ, Environmental persistence of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) virus, Environ Sci Technol 44(19): 7515-7520, 2010.
    • (2010) Environ Sci Technol , vol.44 , Issue.19 , pp. 7515-7520
    • Wood, J.P.1    Choi, Y.W.2    Chappie, D.I.3    Rogers, J.V.4    Kaye, J.Z.5
  • 11
    • 0033618242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological data on influenza in Asian countries
    • Hampson AW, Epidemiological data on influenza in Asian countries, Vaccine 17: S19-S23, 1999.
    • (1999) Vaccine , vol.17
    • Hampson, A.W.1
  • 12
    • 33751061116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • USGS Field manual of wildlife diseases general field procedures and diseases of birds, USGS
    • U.S. Department of the Interior, USGS Field manual of wildlife diseases general field procedures and diseases of birds, USGS (1999).
    • (1999) U.S. Department of the Interior
  • 13
    • 66249141334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of environmental transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics
    • Breban R, Drake JM, Stallknecht DE, Rohani P, The role of environmental transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics, PLoS Computer Biol 5(4):e1000346, 2009.
    • (2009) PLoS Computer Biol , vol.5 , Issue.4
    • Breban, R.1    Drake, J.M.2    Stallknecht, D.E.3    Rohani, P.4
  • 14
    • 3142579867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Genesis of a highly pathogenic and potentially pandemic H5N1 influenza virus in eastern Asia
    • Li KS, Guan Y, Wang J, Smith GJD, Xu KM, Duan L et al., Genesis of a highly pathogenic and potentially pandemic H5N1 influenza virus in eastern Asia, Nature 430:209-213, 2004.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.430 , pp. 209-213
    • Li, K.S.1    Guan, Y.2    Wang, J.3    Gjd, S.4    Xu, K.M.5    Duan, L.6
  • 15
    • 48249127193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental factors contributing to the spread of H5N1 avian influenza in mainland China
    • Fang LQ, de Vlas SJ, Liang S, Looman CWN, Gong P, Xu B et al., Environmental factors contributing to the spread of H5N1 avian influenza in mainland China, PLoS One 3(5):e2268, 2008.
    • (2008) PLoS One , vol.3 , Issue.5
    • Fang, L.Q.1    De Vlas, S.J.2    Liang, S.3    Cwn, L.4    Gong, P.5    Xu, B.6
  • 16
    • 77956633626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of weather and climate on the seasonality of influenza: What we know and what we need to know
    • Fuhrmann C, The effects of weather and climate on the seasonality of influenza: What we know and what we need to know, Geography Compass 4/7:718-730, 2010.
    • (2010) Geography Compass , vol.4 , Issue.7 , pp. 718-730
    • Fuhrmann, C.1
  • 17
    • 69249120337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus infection of mallards with homo- and heterosubtypic immunity induced by LPAI viruses
    • Fereidouni SR, Starick E, Beer M, Kalthoff D et al., Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus infection of mallards with homo- and heterosubtypic immunity induced by LPAI viruses, PLoS One 4(8):e6705, 2009.
    • (2009) PLoS One , vol.4 , Issue.8
    • Fereidouni, S.R.1    Starick, E.2    Beer, M.3    Kalthoff, D.4
  • 19
    • 79952481627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • First principles modeling of nonlinear incidence rates in seasonal epidemics
    • Ponciano JM, Capistr'an MA, First principles modeling of nonlinear incidence rates in seasonal epidemics, PLoS Comput Biol 7(2):e1001079, 2011.
    • (2011) PLoS Comput Biol , vol.7 , Issue.2
    • Ponciano, J.M.1    Capistr'An, M.A.2
  • 20
    • 44449119026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Migratory birds the H5N1 influenza virus and the scientific method
    • doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-57
    • Weber TP, Stilianakis NI, Migratory birds, the H5N1 influenza virus and the scientific method, Virology J 5(57), 2008, doi:10.1186/1743-422X-5-57.
    • (2008) Virology J , vol.5 , pp. 57
    • Weber, T.P.1    Stilianakis, N.I.2
  • 21
    • 79952467515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wild bird migration across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: A transmission route for Highly Pathogenic H5N1
    • Prosser DJ, Cui P, Takekawa JY, Tan M et al., Wild bird migration across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: A transmission route for Highly Pathogenic H5N1, PLoS One 6(3):e17622, 2011.
    • (2011) PLoS One , vol.6 , Issue.3
    • Prosser, D.J.1    Cui, P.2    Takekawa, J.Y.3    Tan, M.4
  • 25
    • 0025408762 scopus 로고
    • Effects of pH, temperature and salinity on persistence of avian influenza virus in water
    • Stallknecht DE, Kearney MT, Shane SM, Zwank PJ, Effects of pH, temperature and salinity on persistence of avian influenza virus in water, Avian Dis 34:412-418, 1990.
    • (1990) Avian Dis , vol.34 , pp. 412-418
    • Stallknecht, D.E.1    Kearney, M.T.2    Shane, S.M.3    Zwank, P.J.4
  • 26
    • 0017804579 scopus 로고
    • Intestinal influenza; Replication and characterization of influenza viruses in ducks
    • Webster RG, Yakhno M, Hinshaw VS, Bean WR, Murti KG, Intestinal influenza; replication and characterization of influenza viruses in ducks, Virology 84:268-278, 1978.
    • (1978) Virology , vol.84 , pp. 268-278
    • Webster, R.G.1    Yakhno, M.2    Hinshaw, V.S.3    Bean, W.R.4    Murti, K.G.5
  • 28
  • 29
    • 77950211225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term study of avian influenza viruses in water (distilled water, normal saline, and surface water) at different temperatures
    • Nazir J, Haumacher R, Ike A, Stumpf P, B?ohm R, Marschang RE, Long-term study of avian influenza viruses in water (distilled water, normal saline, and surface water) at different temperatures, Avian Dis 54:720-724, 2010.
    • (2010) Avian Dis , vol.54 , pp. 720-724
    • Nazir, J.1    Haumacher, R.2    Ike, A.3    Stumpf, P.4    Bohm, R.5    Marschang, R.E.6
  • 30
    • 77952672950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general multi-strain model with environmental transmission: Invasion conditions for disease-free and endemic states
    • Breban R, Drake JM, Rohani P, A general multi-strain model with environmental transmission: Invasion conditions for disease-free and endemic states, J Theor Biol 264:729-736, 2010.
    • (2010) J Theor Biol , vol.264 , Issue.729-736
    • Breban, R.1    Drake, J.M.2    Rohani, P.3
  • 31
    • 67649840157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental transmission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogen invasion
    • Breban R, Drake JM, Stallknecht DE, Rohani P, Environmental transmission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogen invasion, Proc Natl Acad Sci 106:10365-10369, 2009.
    • (2009) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.106 , pp. 10365-10369
    • Breban, R.1    Drake, J.M.2    Stallknecht, D.E.3    Rohani, P.4
  • 32
    • 67749088027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water-borne transmission drives avian influenza dynamics in wild birds: The case of the 2005-2006 epidemics in the Camargue area
    • Roche B, Lebarbenchon C, Gauthier-Clerc M, Chang CM et al., Water-borne transmission drives avian influenza dynamics in wild birds: The case of the 2005-2006 epidemics in the Camargue area, Inf Gen Evo 9:800-805, 2009.
    • Inf Gen Evo , vol.9 , Issue.800-805 , pp. 2009
    • Roche, B.1    Lebarbenchon, C.2    Gauthier-Clerc, M.3    Chang, C.M.4
  • 33
    • 84871762513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • FAO Statistics CountrySTAT
    • Food and Agriculture Organization, FAO Statistics, CountrySTAT, Available at http://www.fao.org/.
    • Food and Agriculture Organization
  • 34
    • 59649110213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Avian flu pandemic: Can we prevent it?
    • Iwami S, Takeuchi Y, Liu X, Avian flu pandemic: Can we prevent it? J Theor Biol 257:181-190, 2009.
    • (2009) J Theor Biol , vol.257 , pp. 181-190
    • Iwami, S.1    Takeuchi, Y.2    Liu, X.3
  • 35
  • 36
    • 25444432780 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The writing committee of the WHO consultation on human influenza A/H5 Avian influenza A (H5N1) infection in humans
    • The Writing Committee of the WHO Consultation on Human Influenza A/H5, Avian influenza A (H5N1) infection in humans, N Engl J Med 353(13):1374-1385, 2005.
    • (2005) N Engl J Med , vol.353 , Issue.13 , pp. 1374-1385
  • 38
    • 0021690803 scopus 로고
    • Seasonality and period-doubling bifurcations in an epidemic model
    • Aaron JL, Schwartz IB, Seasonality and period-doubling bifurcations in an epidemic model, J Theor Biol 110:665-679, 1984.
    • (1984) J Theor Biol , vol.110 , pp. 665-679
    • Aaron, J.L.1    Schwartz, I.B.2
  • 39
    • 33847608267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonally varying epidemics with and without latent period: A comparative simulation study
    • Moheim IA, Seasonally varying epidemics with and without latent period: A comparative simulation study, Math Med Biol 27:1-15, 2007.
    • (2007) Math Med Biol , vol.27 , pp. 1-15
    • Moheim, I.A.1
  • 40
    • 41149102542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal dynamics and thresholds governing recurrent epidemics
    • Olinky R, Huppert A, Stone L, Seasonal dynamics and thresholds governing recurrent epidemics, J Math Biol 56:827-839, 2008.
    • (2008) J Math Biol , vol.56 , pp. 827-839
    • Olinky, R.1    Huppert, A.2    Stone, L.3
  • 41
    • 65249104813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of seasonality upon the dynamics of a novel pathogen in a seabird colony
    • O'Regan SM, Impact of seasonality upon the dynamics of a novel pathogen in a seabird colony, J Phys Conf Ser 138:012017, 2008.
    • (2008) J Phys Conf ser , vol.138 , pp. 012017
    • O'Regan, S.M.1
  • 42
    • 33748131158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemic threshold conditions for seasonally forced SEIR models
    • Ma J, Ma Z, Epidemic threshold conditions for seasonally forced SEIR models, Math Biosci Eng 3:161-172, 2006.
    • (2006) Math Biosci Eng , vol.3 , pp. 161-172
    • Ma, J.1    Ma, Z.2
  • 43
    • 47149095789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Threshold dynamics for compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments
    • Wang W, Zhao X-Q, Threshold dynamics for compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments, J Dyn Diff Equat 20:699-717, 2008.
    • (2008) J Dyn Diff Equat , vol.20 , pp. 699-717
    • Wang, W.1    Zhao, X.-Q.2
  • 44
    • 83655199733 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A non-autonomous multi-strain SIS epidemic model
    • Marthceva M, A non-autonomous multi-strain SIS epidemic model, J Biol Dyn 3(2&3):235-251, 2009.
    • (2009) J Biol Dyn , vol.3 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 235-251
    • Marthceva, M.1
  • 46
    • 61549112506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of the basic reproductive number (R0) for epidemic, highly pathogenic avian influenza subtype H5N1 spread
    • Ward MP, Maftei D, Apostu C, Suru A, Estimation of the basic reproductive number (R0) for epidemic, highly pathogenic avian influenza subtype H5N1 spread, Epidemiol Infect 137(2):219-226, 2009.
    • (2009) Epidemiol Infect , vol.137 , Issue.2 , pp. 219-226
    • Ward, M.P.1    Maftei, D.2    Apostu, C.3    Suru, A.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.