An optimal cost effectiveness study on Zimbabwe cholera seasonal data from 2008-2011

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 12, 2013, Pages

  Sardar, Tridip ^a   Mukhopadhyay, Soumalya ^b   Bhowmick, Amiya Ranjan ^a   Chattopadhyay, Joydev ^a  

^a INDIAN STATISTICAL INSTITUTE   (India)

^b VISVA BHARATI UNIVERSITY   (India)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CHOLERA; CONTROLLED STUDY; COST EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS; DEVELOPING COUNTRY; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; ENVIRONMENTAL SANITATION; EPIDEMIC; HAND WASHING; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; INTERVENTION STUDY; MORTALITY; SEASONAL VARIATION; VIBRIO CHOLERAE; WATER SUPPLY; ZIMBABWE;

CHOLERA; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; SEASONS; ZIMBABWE;

EID: 84891912242     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0081231     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. World Health Organization (2009) Global Task Force on Cholera Control, Cholera country pro file: Zimbabwe. Available: http://www.who.int/cholera/ countries/en/Zimbabwe/. Accessed 2012 Oct 6.
2. United Nations Department of Humanitarian Affairs (2009) Zimbabwe Monthly Situation Report, January 2009. Available: http://ochaonline.un.org/zimbabwe/. Accessed 2012 Oct 6.
3. Dodge E (2011) Water and Sanitation-Related Diseases and the Environment: Challenges, In terventions, and Preventive Measures. chapter: The Zimbabwe Cholera Epidemic of 2008-2009, Wiley-Blackwell.
4. World Health Organization (2008) Cholera in Zimbabwe: Epidemiological Bulletin: Number 1-117. Available: http://www.who.int/hac/crises/zwe/sitreps/ epi-archive/en/index4.html/. Accessed 2012 Jul 10.
5. World Health Organization (2008) Zimbabwe Daily Cholera updates: December 19, 2008 - July 30, 2009. Available: http://www.who.int/hac/crises/zwe/sitreps/ cholera-daily-updates/en/index.html/. Accessed 2012 Jul 10.
6. Andrews JR, Basu S (2011) Transmission Dynamics and Control of Cholera in Haiti: An Epidemic Model. Lancet 377(9773): 1248-1255.
7. Cyranowski D (2011) Cholera vaccine plan splits experts. Nature 469: 273-74.
8. Farmer P, Almazor CP, Bahnsen ET, Barry D, Bazile J, et al. (2011) Meeting Choleras Challenge to Haiti and the World: A Joint Statement on Cholera Prevention and Care. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5(5): 1-13.
9. Nelson EJ, Nelson DS, Salam MA, Sack DA (2011) Antibiotics for both moderate and severe cholera. N Engl J Med 364: 5-7.
10. World Health Organization (2012) Cholera-fact sheet no 107. Available: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs107/en/index.html/. Accessed 2012 Oct 7.
11. Schaetti C, Weiss MG, Ali SM, Chaignat C-L, Khatib AM, et al. (2012) Costs of Illness Due to Cholera, Costs of Immunization and Cost-Effectiveness of an Oral Cholera Mass Vaccination Campaign in Zanzibar. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6(10): 1-10.
12. Jamison DT, Breman JG, Measham AR, Alleyne G, Claeson M, et al. (2006) Disease Control Pri orities in Developing Countries. Oxford University Press & The World Bank, Madison Avenue (New York).
13. Codeço CT (2001) Endemic and epidemic dynamics of cholera: The role of the aquatic reservoir. BMC Infect Dis 1:1.
14. Mukandavire Z, Liao S, Wang J, Gaff H, Smith DL, et al. (2011) Estimating the reproductive numbers for the 2008-2009 cholera outbreks in Zimbabwe, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A108(21): 8767-8772.
15. Hartley DM, Morris JG Jr, Smith DL (2006) Hyperinfectivity: a critical element in the ability of V. cholerae to cause epidemics?. PLoS Med 3(1): 63-69.
16. Pascual M, Rodo X, Ellner SP, Colwell R, Bouma MJ (2000) Cholera dynamics and El-Nino- Southern Oscillation. Science 289: 1766-1769.
17. Rinaldo A, Bertuzzo E, Mari L, Righetto L, Blokesch M, et al. (2012) Reassessment of the 2010-2011 Haiti cholera outbreak and rainfall-driven multiseason projections. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109(17): 6602-6607.
18. Longini IM, Yunus M, Zaman K, Siddique AK, Sack RB, et al. (2002) Epidemic and Endemi c Cholera Trends over a 33-Year Period in Bangladesh. J Infect Dis 186(2): 246-51.
19. United Nations Department of Humanitarian Affairs (2008) DAILY CHOLERA UPDATE: 24 November, 2008-12 December, 2008. Available: http://ochaonline.un. org/zimbabwe/. Accessed 2012 Jul 10.
20. Anderson RM, May RM (1982) Directly Transmitted Infectious Diseases: Control by Vaccination. Science 215(4526): 1053-1060.
21. Anderson RM, May RM (1991) Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
22. Keeling MJ, Rohani P (2008) Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals: Chapter 2, Princeton & Oxford: Princeton University Press.
23. Roger JH (1977) A significance test for cyclic trends in incidence data. Biometrika 64(1): 152-155.
24. King AA, Ionides EL, Pascual M, Bouma MJ (2008) Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics. Nature 454(7206): 877-880.
25. Merrell DS, Butler SM, Qadri F, Dolganov NA, Alam A (2002) Host induced epidemic spread of the cholera bacterium. Nature 417: 642-645.
26. Haario H, Saksman E, Tamminen J (2001) An adaptive Metropolis algorithm. Bernoulli 7: 223-242.
27. Haario H, Laine M, Mira A, Saksman E (2006) DRAM: Efficient adaptive MCMC. Stat and Comput 16: 339-354.
28. Laine M (2008) Adaptive MCMC methods with applications in environmental and geophysical models. Finnish Meteorological Institute 69: 1-46.
29. Geweke J (1991) Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-bases approaches to calculation of posterior moments. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis: Research Department Staff Report 148.
30. Chowell G, Ammon CE, Hengartner NW, Hyman JM (2007) Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish Flu pandemic Waves in Geneva, Switzerland. Math Biosci Eng 4(3): 457-470.
31. Wang W, Zhao XQ (2008) Threshold dynamics for compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments. J Dyn Diff Equat 20: 699-717.
32. RahamanMM MajidMA, Alam AKMJ, IslamMR (1976) Effects of doxycycline in actively purging cholera patients: a double-blind clinical trial. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 10(4): 610-612.
33. Saha D, Karim MM, Khan WA (2006) Single-dose azithromycin for the threatment of cholera in adults. N Engl J Med 354(23): 2452-2462.
34. Neilan RLM, Schaefer E, Gaff H, Fister KR (2010) Modeling Optimal Intervention Strategies for Cholera. Bull Math Biol 72: 2004-2018.
35. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2012) United States Department of Labor. Available: http://www.bls.gov/Accessed 2012 Jul 10.
36. Pontryagin LS, Boltyanskii VG, Gamkrelize RV, Mishchenko EF (1967) The mathematical theor y of optimal process. New York, Wiley.
37. Kirk DE (2004) Optimal control theory an introduction. Mineola, New York, Dover publications, Inc.
38. World Health Organization (2011) Zimbabwe Weekly Epidemiological Bulletin: Number 135. Available: http://www.who.int/hac/crises/zwe/sitreps/epi- archive/en/index4. html/. Accessed 2012 Jul 10.
39. Ali M, Lopez AL, You YA, Kim YE, Sah B, et al. (2012) The global burden of cholera. Bull World Health Organ 90(3): 209-218A.
40. World Health Organization (2009) Zimbabwe Cholera Control Guidelines: 3rd edi576tion. Available: http://www.unicef.org/cholera/Annexes/Supporting- Resources/Annex-6B/Zimbabwe-Cholera-Control-Guidelines-Third- Edition.pdf. Accessed 2013 Sep 1.
41. Colwell RR (1996) Global climate and infectious disease: the cholera paradigm. Science 274(5295): 2025-2031.
42. Alam M, Hasan NA, Sadique AK, Bhuiyan NA, Ahmed KU, et al. (2006) Seasonal cholera caused by Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the costal aquatic environment of Bangladesh. Appl Environ Microbiol 72(6): 4096-4104.
43. Islam MS, Draser BS, Sack RB (1994) Probable role of Blue-Green algae in maintaing endemicity and seasonality of cholera in Bangladesh-a hypothesis. J Diarrhoeal Dis Res 12(4): 245-256.
44. Lipp EK, Huq A, Colwell RR (2002) Effects of global climate on infectious disease: the cholera model. Clin Microbiol Rev 15(4): 757-770.
45. Sack RB, Sadique AK, Longini IM, Nizam A, Yunus M, et al. (2003) A 4 year study of the epidemiology of Vibrio cholerae in four rural areas of Bangladesh. J Infect Dis 187(1): 96-101.
46. Huq A, Colwell RR (1996) Environemntal factors associated with emergence of disease with special reference to cholera. East Mediter Heath J 2: 37-45.
47. Magny GC, Thiaw W, Kumar V, Manga NM, Diop BM, et al. (2012) Cholera Outbreak in Senegal in 2005: Was Climate a Factor? PLoS One 7(8): 1-9.
48. Epstein PR (1993) Algal blooms in the spread and persistence of cholera. Biosystems 31: 209-221.
49. Bouma MJ, Pascual M (2001) Seasonal and interannual cycles of endemic cholera in Bengal 1891-1940 in relation to climate and geography. Hydrobiologia 460: 147-156.
50. Colwell RR, Huq A (2001) Marine ecosystems and cholera. Hydrobiologia 460: 141-145.
51. Pascual M, Bouma MJ, Dobson AP (2002) Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitave evidence. Microbes Infect 4(2): 237-45.
52. Magombeyi MS, Nyengera R (2012) The impact of municipal landfill on surface and ground water quality in Bulawayo, Zimbabwe. J Envir Sci Water Res 1(10): 251-258.
53. Mudzengerere FH, Chigwenya A (2012) Waste Management in Bulawayo city council in Zimbabwe: in search of Sustainable waste Management in the city. JSDA 14(1): 228-244.
54. World Health Organization (2009) Cholera in Zimbabwe: Epidemiological Bulletin Number 5. Available: http://www.who.int/hac/crises/zwe/sitreps/epi- archive/en/index4.html/. Accessed 2013 May 1.
55. Naficy A, Rao MR, Paquet C, Antona D, Sorkin A, et al. (1998) Treatment and vaccination strategies to control cholera in sub-Saharan refugee settings: a cost-effectiveness analysis. JAMA 279(7): 521-25.
56. Kirigia JM, Sambo LG, Yokouide A, Soumbey-Alley E, Muthuri LK, et al. (2009) Economic burden of cholera in the WHO African region. BMC Int Health Hum Rights 9:8: 1-14.
57. Chaignat C-L, Monti V (2007) Use of Oral Cholera Vaccine in Complex Emergencies: What Next? Summary Report of an Expert Meeting and Recommendations of WHO. J Health Popul Nutr 25(2): 244-261.