Climate change, weather shocks, and violent conflict: A critical look at the evidence

Agricultural Economics (United Kingdom)

Volumn 44, Issue SUPPL1, 2013, Pages 63-78

  Klomp, Jeroen ^a   Bulte, Erwin ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Africa; Climate change; Rainfall; Resource scarcity; Temperature; Violence

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CRITICAL ANALYSIS; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS; INCOME; POLICY MAKING; RAINFALL; RESOURCE SCARCITY; SOCIAL CONFLICT; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; VIOLENCE; WEATHER MODIFICATION;

AFRICA;

EID: 84888205444     PISSN: 01695150     EISSN: 15740862     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/agec.12051     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Adano, W., Dietz, T., Witsenburg, K., Zaal, F., 2012. Climate change, violent conflict and local institutions in Kenya's drylands. J. Peace Res. 49, 65-80.
2. Baechler, G., Boege, V., Kloetzli, S., Libiszewski, S., Spillman, K., 1996. Environmental Degradation as a Cause of War: Ecological Conflicts in the Third World and Peaceful Ways of Resolving Them. Ruegger, Zurich.
3. Beck, N., Katz, J., Tucker, R., 1998. Taking time seriously: time series- cross section analysis with a binary dependent variable. Am. J. Pol. Sc. 42, 1260-1288.
4. Benjaminsen, T., 2008. Does supply-induced scarcity drive violent conflicts in the African Sahel? The case of the Tuareg rebellion in northern Mali. J. Peace Res. 45, 819-836.
5. Benjaminsen, T., Alinon, K., Buhaug, H., Buseth, J., 2012. Does climate change drive land-use conflicts in the Sahel? J. Peace Res. 49, 97-111.
6. Brunnschweiler, C., Bulte, E.H., 2008. Are resource-rich countries cursed? Linking natural resources to slow growth and more conflict. Science 320, 616-617.
7. Brunnschweiler, C., Bulte, E.H., 2009. Natural resources and violent conflict: resource abundance, dependence and the onset of civil wars. Oxf. Econ. Papers 61, 651-674.
8. Buhaug, H., 2010. Climate not to blame for African civil wars. Proc. Nat. Ac. Sciences 107, 16477-16482.
9. Burke, M., Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J., Lobell, D., 2009. Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa. Proc. Nat. Ac. Sciences 106: 20670-20674.
10. Burke, M., Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J., Lobell, D., 2010. Climate robustly linked to African civil war. Proc. Nat. Ac. Sciences 107, E-185.
11. Butler, K., Gates, S., 2012. African range wars: climate, conflict, and property rights. J. Peace Res. 49, 23-34.
12. Ciccone, A., 2011. Economic shocks and civil conflict: a comment. Am. Econ. J.: Appl. Econ. 3, 215-227.
13. Collier, P., Hoeffler, A., 2004. Greed and grievance in civil war. Oxf. Econ. Pap. 56, 563-595.
14. Fearon, J., Laitin, D., 2003. Ethnicity, insurgency, and civil war. Am. Pol. Sc. Rev. 97, 75-90.
15. Foster, P., Nelson, B., 1996. Continuous record asymptotics for rolling sample variance estimators. Econometrica 64, 139-174.
16. Gleditsch, N.P., 2012. Whither the weather? Climate change and conflict. J. Peace Res. 49, 3-9.
17. Homer-Dixon, T.F., 1999. Environment, Scarcity, Violence. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
18. Hsiang, S., Meng, K., Cane, M., 2011. Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate. Nature 476, 438-441.
19. IPCC, 2007. Fourth Assessment Report (AR4): Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report.
20. Koubi, V., Bernauer, T., Kalbhenn, A., Spilker, G., 2012. Climate variability, economic growth, and civil conflict. J. Peace Res. 49, 113-127.
21. Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., 2011. Re-examining economic shocks and civil conflict. Am. Econ. J.: Appl. Econ. 3, 228-232.
22. Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Sergenti, E., 2004. Economic shocks and civil conflict: an instrumental variables approach. J. Pol. Econ. 112, 725-753.
23. Mokuwa, E., Voors, M., Bulte, E., Richards, P., 2011. Peasant grievance and insurgency in Sierra Leone: judicial serfdom as a driver of conflict. Afr. Aff. 110, 339-366.
24. O'Reilly, G., Whelan, K., 2005. Has Euro-area inflation persistence changed over time? Rev. Econ. Stat. 87, 709-720.
25. Raleigh, C., Kniveton, D., 2012. Come rain or shine: an analysis of conflict and climate variability in East Africa. J. Peace Res. 43, 51-64.
26. Theisen, O., 2012. Climate clashes? Weather variability, land pressure, and organized violence in Kenya, 1989-2004. J. Peace Res. 49, 81-96.
27. Tir, J., Stinnett, D., 2012. Weathering climate change: can institutions mitigate international water conflict? J. Peace Res. 49, 211-225.
28. Tol, R., Wagner, W., 2010. Climate change and violent conflict in Europe over the last millennium. Clim. Change 1-2, 65-79.
29. Witsenburg, K., Adano, W., 2009. Of rain and raids: violent livestock raiding in Northern Kenya. Civil Wars 11, 514-538.
30. Zhang, D., Brecke, P., Lee, H., He, Y.Q., Zhang, J., 2007. Global climate change, war, and population decline in recent human history. Proc. Nat. Ac. Sciences 104, 19214-19219.