메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 4, 2013, Pages 457-473

Multi-species SIR models from a dynamical Bayesian perspective

Author keywords

Disease dynamics; Epidemic model; HSIR; Influenza; Mass balance; MSIR

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; DISEASE SPREAD; INFLUENZA; MASS BALANCE; NUMERICAL MODEL; STOCHASTICITY; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84886778090     PISSN: 18741738     EISSN: 18741746     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s12080-013-0180-x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (9)

References (42)
  • 1
    • 0034701739 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of avian influenza in different bird species
    • Alexander DJ (2000) A review of avian influenza in different bird species. Vet Microbiol 74: 3-13.
    • (2000) Vet Microbiol , vol.74 , pp. 3-13
    • Alexander, D.J.1
  • 3
    • 34249804787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic amplification in epidemics
    • Alonso D, McKane AJ, Pascual M (2007) Stochastic amplification in epidemics. J R Soc Interface 4(14): 575-582.
    • (2007) J R Soc Interface , vol.4 , Issue.14 , pp. 575-582
    • Alonso, D.1    McKane, A.J.2    Pascual, M.3
  • 5
    • 80052035943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diseases in metapopulations
    • Z. Ma, Y. Zhou, and J. Wu (Eds.), Singapore: World Scientific
    • Arino J (2009) Diseases in metapopulations. In: Ma Z, Zhou Y, Wu J (eds) Series in contemporary applied mathematics, vol 11. World Scientific, Singapore, pp 65-123.
    • (2009) Series in Contemporary Applied Mathematics, Vol 11 , pp. 65-123
    • Arino, J.1
  • 7
    • 0036475447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A tutorial on particle filters for on-line non-linear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking
    • Arulampalam S, Maskell S, Gordon N, Clapp T (2001) A tutorial on particle filters for on-line non-linear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking. IEEE Trans Signal Process 50: 174-188.
    • (2001) IEEE Trans Signal Process , vol.50 , pp. 174-188
    • Arulampalam, S.1    Maskell, S.2    Gordon, N.3    Clapp, T.4
  • 8
    • 28344449679 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian image restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics
    • Besag J, York J, Mollié A (1991) Bayesian image restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics. Ann Inst Stat Math 43: 1-59.
    • (1991) Ann Inst Stat Math , vol.43 , pp. 1-59
    • Besag, J.1    York, J.2    Mollié, A.3
  • 9
    • 77955650681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough
    • Black AJ, McKane AJ (2010) Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough. J R Soc Interface 7: 1219-1227.
    • (2010) J R Soc Interface , vol.7 , pp. 1219-1227
    • Black, A.J.1    McKane, A.J.2
  • 11
    • 0043024584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical multivariate CAR models for spatio-temporally correlated survival data (with discussion)
    • J. Bernardo, M. Bayarri, J. Berger, A. Dawid, D. Heckerman, A. F. M. Smith, and M. West (Eds.), Oxford: Clarendon Press
    • Carlin B, Banerjee S (2002) Hierarchical multivariate CAR models for spatio-temporally correlated survival data (with discussion). In: Bernardo J, Bayarri M, Berger J, Dawid A, Heckerman D, Smith AFM, West M (eds) Bayesian statistics, vol 7. Clarendon Press, Oxford, pp 45-63.
    • (2002) Bayesian Statistics, Vol 7 , pp. 45-63
    • Carlin, B.1    Banerjee, S.2
  • 13
    • 8744230965 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population dynamics of pathogens with multiple host species
    • Dobson A (2004) Population dynamics of pathogens with multiple host species. Am Nat 164: S64-S78.
    • (2004) Am Nat , vol.164
    • Dobson, A.1
  • 14
    • 84871963228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tracking epidemics withGoogle flu trends data and a state-space SEIR model
    • Dukić V, V, Lopes HF, Polson NG (2009) Tracking epidemics with Google flu trends data and a state-space SEIR model. J Am Stat Assoc 107: 1410-1426.
    • (2009) J Am StatAssoc , vol.107 , pp. 1410-1426
    • Dukić, V.1    Lopes, H.F.2    Polson, N.G.3
  • 15
    • 0031895048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling
    • Ellner SP, Bailey BA, Bobashev GV, Gallant AR, Grenfell BT, Nychka DW (1998) Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling. Am Nat 151(5): 425-440.
    • (1998) Am Nat , vol.151 , Issue.5 , pp. 425-440
    • Ellner, S.P.1    Bailey, B.A.2    Bobashev, G.V.3    Gallant, A.R.4    Grenfell, B.T.5    Nychka, D.W.6
  • 16
    • 74049096785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study
    • He D, Ionides EL, King AA (2010) Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study. J R Soc Interface 7: 271-283.
    • (2010) J R Soc Interface , vol.7 , pp. 271-283
    • He, D.1    Ionides, E.L.2    King, A.A.3
  • 17
    • 0034486891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The mathematics of infectious diseases
    • Hethcote HW (2000) The mathematics of infectious diseases. SIAM Review 42: 599-653.
    • (2000) SIAM Review , vol.42 , pp. 599-653
    • Hethcote, H.W.1
  • 18
    • 77952577827 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical agent-based models for discrete spatio-temporal systems
    • Hooten MB, Wikle CK (2010) Statistical agent-based models for discrete spatio-temporal systems. J Am Stat Assoc 105: 236-248.
    • (2010) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.105 , pp. 236-248
    • Hooten, M.B.1    Wikle, C.K.2
  • 20
    • 84860491508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical integration of the master equation in some models of stochastic epidemiology
    • Jenkinson G, Goutsias J (2012) Numerical integration of the master equation in some models of stochastic epidemiology. PLoS ONE 7: e36, 160.
    • (2012) PLoS ONE , vol.7 , pp. 160
    • Jenkinson, G.1    Goutsias, J.2
  • 23
    • 0000998185 scopus 로고
    • Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics
    • Kermack W, McKendrick A (1927) Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proc R Soc Edinb A 115: 700-721.
    • (1927) Proc R Soc Edinb A , vol.115 , pp. 700-721
    • Kermack, W.1    McKendrick, A.2
  • 26
    • 0001225908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combined parameter and state estimation in simulation-based filtering
    • A. Doucet, N. Freitasde, and N. J. Gordon (Eds.), New York: Springer
    • Liu J, West M (2001) Combined parameter and state estimation in simulation-based filtering. In: Doucet A, de Freitas N, Gordon NJ (eds) Sequential Monte Carlo methods in practice. Springer, New York, pp 197-224.
    • (2001) Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice , pp. 197-224
    • Liu, J.1    West, M.2
  • 27
    • 0037200731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical statistical modelling of influenza epidemic dynamics in space and time
    • Mugglin A, Cressie N, Gemmell I (2002) Hierarchical statistical modelling of influenza epidemic dynamics in space and time. Stat Med 21: 2703-2721.
    • (2002) Stat Med , vol.21 , pp. 2703-2721
    • Mugglin, A.1    Cressie, N.2    Gemmell, I.3
  • 29
    • 33847044691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evolution of epidemic influenza
    • Nelson MI, Holmes EC (2007) The evolution of epidemic influenza. Nat Rev Genet 8: 196-205.
    • (2007) Nat Rev Genet , vol.8 , pp. 196-205
    • Nelson, M.I.1    Holmes, E.C.2
  • 30
    • 84865101803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evolution of novel reassortant A/H3N2 influenza viruses in North American swine and humans, 2009-2011
    • Nelson MI, Vincent AL, Kitikoon P, Holmes EC, Gramer MR (2012) Evolution of novel reassortant A/H3N2 influenza viruses in North American swine and humans, 2009-2011. J Virol 86(16): 8872-8878.
    • (2012) J Virol , vol.86 , Issue.16 , pp. 8872-8878
    • Nelson, M.I.1    Vincent, A.L.2    Kitikoon, P.3    Holmes, E.C.4    Gramer, M.R.5
  • 32
    • 2942693951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A two-phase epidemic driven by diffusion
    • Reluga T (2004) A two-phase epidemic driven by diffusion. J Theor Biol 229: 249-261.
    • (2004) J Theor Biol , vol.229 , pp. 249-261
    • Reluga, T.1
  • 33
    • 33846533073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confined animal feeding operations as amplifiers of influenza
    • Saenz RA, Hethcote HW, Gray GC (2006) Confined animal feeding operations as amplifiers of influenza. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 6: 338-346.
    • (2006) Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis , vol.6 , pp. 338-346
    • Saenz, R.A.1    Hethcote, H.W.2    Gray, G.C.3
  • 34
    • 0024987651 scopus 로고
    • Pigs as the 'mixing vessels' for the creation of new pandemic influenza A viruses
    • Scholtissek C (1990) Pigs as the 'mixing vessels' for the creation of new pandemic influenza A viruses. Med Princ Pract 2: 65-71.
    • (1990) Med Princ Pract , vol.2 , pp. 65-71
    • Scholtissek, C.1
  • 35
    • 34548297428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wild birds and the epidemiology of avian influenza
    • Stallknecht DE, Brown JD (2007) Wild birds and the epidemiology of avian influenza. J Wildl Dis 43: S15-S20.
    • (2007) J Wildl Dis , vol.43
    • Stallknecht, D.E.1    Brown, J.D.2
  • 36
    • 57149094662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Swine influenza viruses: a North American perspective
    • Vincent A, Ma W, Lager K, Janke B, Richt J (2008) Swine influenza viruses: a North American perspective. Adv Virus Res 72: 127-154.
    • (2008) Adv Virus Res , vol.72 , pp. 127-154
    • Vincent, A.1    Ma, W.2    Lager, K.3    Janke, B.4    Richt, J.5
  • 37
    • 0031534349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical spatio-temporal mapping of disease rates
    • Waller L, Carlin B, Xia H, Gelfand A (1997) Hierarchical spatio-temporal mapping of disease rates. J Am Stat Assoc 92: 607-617.
    • (1997) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.92 , pp. 607-617
    • Waller, L.1    Carlin, B.2    Xia, H.3    Gelfand, A.4
  • 40
    • 77956231279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical inference for noisy nonlinear ecological dynamic systems
    • Wood SN (2010) Statistical inference for noisy nonlinear ecological dynamic systems. Nature 466: 1102-1104.
    • (2010) Nature , vol.466 , pp. 1102-1104
    • Wood, S.N.1
  • 41
    • 34547691348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic model of an influenza epidemic with drug resistance
    • Xu Y, Allena L, Perelson A (2007) Stochastic model of an influenza epidemic with drug resistance. J Theor Biol 248: 179-193.
    • (2007) J Theor Biol , vol.248 , pp. 179-193
    • Xu, Y.1    Allena, L.2    Perelson, A.3
  • 42
    • 84886778508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PhD thesis, Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University
    • Zhuang L (2011) Bayesian dynamical modeling of count data. PhD thesis, Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University. http://rave. ohiolink. edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1315949027.
    • (2011) Bayesian dynamical modeling of count data
    • Zhuang, L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.