Models of (future) society: Bringing social theories back in backcasting

Futures

Volumn 51, Issue , 2013, Pages 19-30

  Király, Gábor ^a   Pataki, György ^a,b   Köves, Alexandra ^a   Balázs, Bálint ^b  

^a Institute of Entrepreneurship and Innovation   (Hungary)

^b SZENT ISTVÁN UNIVERSITY   (Hungary)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

LABOR POLICY; MODELING; SOCIAL CHANGE; SOCIAL THEORY;

EID: 84882846929     PISSN: 00163287     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2013.05.001     Document Type: Article

References (78)

1. Ogilvy J. Futures Studies and the Human Sciences: The Case for Normative Scenarios, New Thinking for a New Millennium 1996, 26-83. Routledge, London.
2. Höjer M., Mattsson L.-G. Determinism and backcasting in future studies. Futures 2000, 32:613-634.
3. Dreborg K.H. Essence of backcasting. Futures 1996, 28:813-828.
4. Quist J., Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: the shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological framework. Futures 2006, 38:1027-1045.
5. Wangel J. Exploring social structures and agency in backcasting studies for sustainable development. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2011, 78:872-882.
6. Winner L. Upon opening the black box and finding it empty: social constructivism and the philosophy of technology. Science, Technology, and Human Values 1993, 18:362-378.
7. Wangel J. Making futures: on targets, measures and governance in backcasting and planning. KTH 2012, 101.
8. Raskin P., Banuri T., Gallopin G., Gutman P., Hammond A., Kates R., Swart R. Great Transition: The Promise and Lure of the Times Ahead 2002, Stockholm Environment Institute, Boston.
9. Jackson T. Prosperity Without Growth: Economics for a Finite Planet 2009, Earthscan, London, Sterling, VA.
10. Martínez-Alier J., Pascual U., Vivien F.-D., Zaccai E. Sustainable de-growth: mapping the context, criticisms and future prospects of an emergent paradigm. Ecological Economics 2010, 69:1741-1747.
11. Grin J., Rotmans J., Schot J.W., Geels F.W., Loorbach D. Transitions to Sustainable Development: New Directions in the Study of Long Term Transformative Change 2010, Routledge, New York.
12. Andersen I.-E., Jæger B. Scenario workshops and consensus conferences: towards more democratic decision-making. Science and Public Policy 1999, 26:331-340.
13. Wakeford T. Citizen's juries: a radical alternative for social research. Social Research Update 2002, 37:1-5.
14. Hurley K., Masini E., Boulding E., Eisler R., Premchander S., McCorduck P., Kelly P., Bateman D., Sahtouris E., Smith C., Patindol J., Jarva V., Milojević I., Groff L. Futures studies and feminism. Futures 2008, 40:388-407.
15. Milojević I. Timing feminism, feminising time. Futures 2008, 40:329-345.
16. Gunnarsson-Östling U. Gender in futures: a study of gender and feminist papers published in Futures, 1969-2009. Futures 2011, 43:1029-1039.
17. Inayatullah S. Causal layered analysis: poststructuralism as method. Futures 1998, 30:815-829.
18. List D. Action research cycles for multiple futures perspectives. Futures 2006, 38:673-684.
19. Gunnarsson-Östling U., Svenfelt Å., Höjer M. Participatory methods for creating feminist futures. Futures 2012, 44:914-922.
20. Wangel J. Change by whom? Four ways of adding actors and governance in backcasting studies. Futures 2011, 43:880-889.
21. Heider F. The Psychology of Interpersonal Relations 1958, Wiley, New York.
22. Von Bertalanffy L. The history and status of general systems theory. Academy of Management Journal 1972, 15:407-426.
23. Parsons T. The Social System 1951, Free Press, Glencoe, IL.
24. Easton D. A Systems Analysis of Political Life 1965, Wiley, New York.
25. Almond G.A., Powell G.B., Mundt R.J. Comparative Politics: A Theoretical Framework 1996, HarperCollins College Publishers, New York. 2nd ed.
26. Layder D. Understanding Social Theory 2006, Sage Publications, London, Thousand Oaks, CA. 2nd ed.
27. Radcliffe-Brown A.R. Structure and Function in Primitive Society, Essays and Addresses 1952, Cohen & West, London.
28. Malinowski B. Argonauts of the Western Pacific 1922, G. Routledge & Sons, London.
29. Dahrendorf R. Out of utopia: toward a reorientation of sociological analysis. American Journal of Sociology 1958, 64:115-127.
30. Merton R.K. Social Theory and Social Structure 1957, Free Press, Glencoe, IL. Rev. and enl. ed.
31. Robèrt K.-H. Tools and concepts for sustainable development, how do they relate to a general framework for sustainable development, and to each other?. Journal of Cleaner Production 2000, 8:243-254.
32. Mander S.L., Bows A., Anderson K.L., Shackley S., Agnolucci P., Ekins P. The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios-Part I: Development of a backcasting methodology with stakeholder participation. Energy Policy 2008, 36:3754-3763.
33. Mulder K.F. Innovation for sustainable development: from environmental design to transition management. Sustainability Science 2007, 2:253-263.
34. MacDonald J.P. Strategic sustainable development using the ISO 14001 Standard. Journal of Cleaner Production 2005, 13:631-643.
35. Marx K., Engels F. The Communist Manifesto 1974, American Opinion, Belmont, MA, [1848].
36. Bourdieu P., Passeron J.C. Reproduction in Education, Society and Culture 1977, Sage Publications, London, Beverly Hills.
37. Foucault M. The History of Sexuality 1978, Pantheon Books, New York. 1st American ed.
38. Smith D.E. The Everyday World as Problematic: A Feminist Sociology 1987, Northeastern University Press, Boston.
39. Mouffe C. Dimensions of Radical Democracy: Pluralism, Citizenship, Community 1992, Verso, London, NY.
40. Foucault M. Discipline and Punish: The Birth of the Prison 1977, Pantheon Books, New York. 1st American ed.
41. Gunnarsson-Östling U. Just Sustainable Futures: Gender and Environmental Justice Considerations in Planning. KTH 2011.
42. Quist J., Thissen W., Vergragt P.J. The impact and spin-off of participatory backcasting: from vision to niche. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2011, 78:883-897.
43. Redecker C., Leis M., Leendertse M., Punie Y., Gijsbers G., Kirschner P., Stoyanov S., Hoogveld B. The Future of Learning: Preparing for Change 2011, 97. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Luxembourg.
44. Pruitt J., Adlin T. The Persona Lifecycle: Keeping People in Mind Throughout Product Design 2006, Elsevier: Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, an imprint of Elsevier, Amsterdam, Boston.
45. Larsen K., Gunnarsson-Östling U., Westholm E. Environmental scenarios and local-global level of community engagement: environmental justice, jams, institutions and innovation. Futures 2011, 43:413-423.
46. Andersson J. Choosing futures: Alva Myrdal and the construction of Swedish Futures Studies, 1967-1972. International Review of Social History 2006, 51:277.
47. Mead G.H., Miller D.L. The Individual and the Social Self 1982, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, unpublished work of George Herbert Mead.
48. Goffman E. The Presentation of Self in Everyday Life 1969, Allen Lane, London.
49. Garfinkel H. Studies in Ethnomethodology 1984, Polity Press, Cambridge, UK.
50. Garfinkel H. Ethnomethodology's program. Social Psychology Quarterly 1996, 59:5-21.
51. Berger P.L., Luckmann T. The Social Construction of Reality: A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge 1980, Irvington Publishers, New York. 1st Irvington ed.
52. Cooley C.H. Human Nature and the Social Order 1964, Schocken Books, New York.
53. Habermas J.r. The Theory of Communicative Action 1984, Beacon Press, Boston.
54. Habermas J.r. Between Facts and Norms: Contributions to a Discourse Theory of Law and Democracy 1996, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
55. Eames M., Egmose J. Community foresight for urban sustainability: insights from the citizens science for sustainability (SuScit) project. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2011, 78:769-784.
56. Höijer B., Lidskog R., Uggla Y. Facing dilemmas: sense-making and decision-making in late modernity. Futures 2006, 38:350-366.
57. Höjer M., Dreborg K.H., Engström R., Gunnarsson-Östling U., Svenfelt Å. Experiences of the development and use of scenarios for evaluating Swedish national environmental objectives. Futures 2011, 43:1-15.
58. Svenfelt Å., Engström R., Svane Ö. Decreasing energy use in buildings by 50% by 2050-a backcasting study using stakeholder groups. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2011, 78:785-796.
59. Höjer M., Gullberg A., Pettersson R. Backcasting images of the future city-time and space for sustainable development in Stockholm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2011, 78:819-834.
60. Callon M. Society in the making: the study of technology as a tool for sociological analysis. The Social Construction of Technological Systems: New Directions in the Sociology and History of Technology 1987, 83-103.
61. Latour B. The Pasteurization of France 1988, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
62. Law J. Notes on the theory of the actor-network: ordering, strategy, and heterogeneity. Systemic Practice and Action Research 1992, 5:379-393.
63. Latour B. We have Never been Modern 1993, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
64. Callon M., Law J. After the individual in society: lessons on collectivity from science, technology and society. Canadian Journal of Sociology/Cahiers Canadiens de Sociologie 1997, 165-182.
65. Latour B. Where are the missing masses? The sociology of a few mundane artifacts. Shaping Technology/Building Society: Studies in Sociotechnical Change 1992, 225-258.
66. McLuhan M., Fiore Q. The Medium is the Massage 1967, Bantam Books, New York.
67. Palackal A., Mbatia P.N., Dzorgbo D.B., Duque R.B., Ynalvez M.A., Shrum W.M. Are mobile phones changing social networks? A longitudinal study of core networks in Kerala. New Media & Society 2011, 13:391-410.
68. Madianou M., Miller D. Mobile phone parenting: reconfiguring relationships between Filipina migrant mothers and their left-behind children. New Media & Society 2011, 13:457-470.
69. Law J. Technology and heterogeneous engineering: the case of Portuguese expansion. The Social Construction of Technological Systems: New Directions in the Sociology and History of Technology 1987, 111-134.
70. Walsham G. Actor-network theory and IS research: current status and future prospects. Information Systems and Qualitative Research 1997, 466:80.
71. Latour B. Politics of Nature: How to Bring the Sciences into Democracy 2004, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
72. Videira N., Antunes P., Santos R., Gamito S. Participatory modelling in environmental decision-making: the ria Formosa natural park case study. Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management 2003, 5:421-447.
73. Akrich M., Latour B. A summary of a convenient vocabulary for the semiotics of human and nonhuman assemblies. Shaping Technology/Building Society Studies in Sociotechnical Change 1992, 259-264. MIT, Cambridge. W. Bijker, J. Law (Eds.).
74. van Vliet M., Kok K., Veldkamp T. Linking stakeholders and modellers in scenario studies: the use of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps as a communication and learning tool. Futures 2010, 42:1-14.
75. Wittgenstein L. Philosophical Investigations 1953, Macmillan, New York.
76. Field A.P., Hole G. How to Design and Report Experiments 2003, Sage Publications Ltd., London, Thousand Oaks, CA.
77. Kertesi G., Köllo J. Wage Inequality in East-Central Europe 2000, Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences.
78. Köllo J. Munkaeropiac: mitol legyünk pesszimisták:. Társadalmi riport 1990, 259-271. TÁRKI, Budapest. R. Andorka, T. Kolosi, G. Vukovich (Eds.).