Backcasting images of the future city-Time and space for sustainable development in Stockholm

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 78, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 819-834

  Höjer, Mattias ^a   Gullberg, Anders ^a   Pettersson, Ronny ^b  

^a ROYAL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Sweden)

^b STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Backcasting; City; Energy; Sustainable urban development

Indexed keywords

BACKCASTING; BEHAVIOURAL CHANGES; CITY; ENERGY; PER CAPITA; SPACE DIMENSIONS; STOCKHOLM; SUSTAINABLE ENERGY; SUSTAINABLE URBAN DEVELOPMENT; TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT; TIME AND SPACE; TIME DIMENSION; URBAN STRUCTURE;

ENERGY CONSERVATION;

BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH;

ENERGY USE; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT; TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT; URBAN AREA; URBAN DEVELOPMENT;

STOCKHOLM [STOCKHOLM (CNT)]; STOCKHOLM [SWEDEN]; SWEDEN;

EID: 79955477535     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.01.009     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Höjer M., Gullberg A., Pettersson R. Images of the future city-time and space for sustainable development 2011, Springer.
2. Swedish Government En sammanhållen klimat- och energipolitik - Klimat. Regeringens proposition 2008/09:162, The Government Offices, Stockholm 2009.
3. Tapio P., Hietanen O. Epistemology and public policy: using a new typology to analyse the paradigm shift in Finnish transport futures studies. Futures 2002, 34:597-620.
4. Börjeson L., Höjer M., Dreborg K.-H., Ekvall T., Finnveden G. Scenario types and techniques-towards a user's guide. Futures 2006, 38:723-739.
5. Dreborg K.H. Essence of backcasting. Futures 1996, 28:813-828.
6. Höjer M. What is the point of IT?-backcasting urban transport and land-use futures. Infrastructure and Planning, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm 2000.
7. Å. Svenfelt, Feedback for sustainable futures-tightened feedback loops and futures studies for managing uncertainty in social-ecological systems, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, 2010.
8. Quist J., Vergragt P. The impacytand spin-off of participatory backcasting: From vision to niche. Int. J. Technol. Forecasting Soc. Change 2011, 78:883-897. (this issue).
9. Quist J. Backcasting for a Sustainable Future-The Impact after 10years 2007, Eburon Academic Publishers, Delft.
10. Larsen K., Gunnarsson-Östling U. Climate change scenarios and citizen-participation: Mitigation and adaptation perspectives in constructing sustainable futures. Habitat International 2009, 33:260-266.
11. Quist J., Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: the shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological framework. Futures 2006, 38:1027-1045.
12. Svenfelt Å., Engström R., Svane Ö. Decreasing energy use in buildings by 50% by 2050-a backcasting study using stakeholder groups. Int. J. Technol. Forecasting Soc. Change 2011, 78:785-796. (this issue).
13. Svenfelt Å. Two strategies for dealing with uncertainty in social-ecological systems, in: Environmental Strategies Research 2010, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm.
14. Robinson J.B. Energy backcasting: a proposed method of policy analysis. Energy Policy 1982, 10:337-344.
15. Holmberg J., Robert K.H. Backcasting-a framework for strategic planning. Int. J. Sustain. Dev. World Ecol. 2000, 7:291-308.
16. Robinson J., Buch S., Talwar S., O'Shea M., Walsh M. Envisioning sustainability: recent progress in the use of participatory backcasting approaches for sustainability research. Int. J. Technol. Forecasting Soc. Change 2011, 78:756-768. (this issue).
17. Höjer M., Mattsson L.-G. Determinism and backcasting in future studies. Futures 2000, 32:613-634.
18. Steen P., Dreborg K.-H., Henriksson G., Hunhammar S., Höjer M., Rignér J., Åkerman J. A sustainable transport system for Sweden in 2040. World transport research-selected proceedings from the 8th World conference on transport research, Antwerp, Belgium, 12-17 July 1998 1999, 667-677. Pergamon, Amsterdam. H. Meersman, E. van de Voorde, W. Winkelmans (Eds.).
19. Åkerman J., Höjer M. How much transport can the climate stand?-Sweden on a sustainable path in 2050. Energy Policy 2006, 34:1944-1957.
20. Steen P., Åkerman J. Syntes av studier över omställningen av energi- och transportsystemen i Sverige 1994, Stockholm.
21. Åkerman J., Isaksson K., Johansson J., Hedberg L. Tvågradersmålet i sikte? 2007, Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, Stockholm.
22. Krewitt W., Simon S., Graus W., Teske S., Zervos A., Schaefer O. The 2 degrees C scenario-a sustainable world energy perspective. Energy Policy 2007, 35:4969-4980.
23. Office of Regional Planning and Urban Transportation Regional Development Plan 2010 for the Stockholm Region, consultation version, Stockholm 2008.
24. Office of Regional Planning and Urban Transportation Årsstatistik 2009 för Stockholms län and landsting, Stockholm 2009.
25. Swedish Energy Agency Långsiktsprognos 2008 2009, Eskilstuna.
26. Mårtensson M., Pettersson R. Everyday life contexts and the environment. Individual and Structural Determinants of Environmental Practice, Ashgate, Aldershot 2003, A. Biel, B. Hansson, M. Mårtensson (Eds.).
27. P. Fuehrer, Om tidens värde. En sociologisk studie av senmodernitetens temporala livsvärldar, Stockholm university, Stockholm, 2010.
28. Wallgren C., Höjer M. Eating energy-identifying possibilities for reduced energy use in the future food supply system. Energy Policy 2009, 5803-5813.
29. Henriksson G. Stockholmarnas resvanor - mellan trängselskatt och klimatdeball 2008, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm.
30. Ahlroth S., Höjer M. Sustainable energy prices and growth-comparing macroeconomic and backcasting scenarios. Ecol. Econ. 2007, 722-731.
31. Swedish Environmental Protection Agency The Climate Impact of Swedish Consumption, Report 5992, Stockholm 2010.
32. Green K., Vergragt P. Towards sustainable households: a methodology for developing sustainable technological and social innovations. Futures 2002, 34:381-400.
33. Quist J., Knot M., Young M., Green K., Vergragt P. Strategies towards sustainable households. Int. J. Sustainable Dev. 2001, 4:75-89.
34. Gershuny J. Social Innovation and the Division of Labour, Oxford 1983.
35. Swedish Energy Agency Energy in Sweden 1999, Eskilstuna 1999.
36. Osborn F. Green-Belt Cities, London 1946.
37. Howard E. To-Morrow, London 1898.
38. Howard E. Garden Cities of Tomorrow, London 1970, (1902).
39. Rådberg J. Drömmen om atlantångaren. Utopier & myter i 1900-talets stadsbyggande, Stockholm 1997.
40. Statistics Sweden, Time use study 2000/01, Stockholm, unpublished.
41. Swedish Energy Agency Facts and Figures-Energy in Sweden 2009 2009, Eskilstuna.
42. Kander A. Economic growth, energy consumption and CO2-emissions in Sweden 1800-2000 2002, Lund University, Lund.
43. Steen P., Dreborg K.-H., Henriksson G., Hunhammar S., Höjer M., Rignér J., Åkerman J. Färder i framtiden-transporter i ett bärkraftigt samhälle, KFB-rapport 1997:7 1997, Swedish Transport and Communications Research Board, Stockholm.
44. Hedberg L., Dreborg K.-H., Finnveden G., Gullberg A., Höjer M., Åkerman J. Rum för framtiden, FOI-R-0854-SE 2003, Swedish Defence Research Institute, Stockholm.
45. Naess P. Urban planning and sustainable development. Eur. Plan. Stud. 2001, 9.
46. Swedish Institute for Transport and Communications Analysis Civil Aviation 2008, Sika 2009:9, Stockholm 2009.