Evaluation of whole atmosphere community climate model simulations of ozone during arctic winter 2004-2005

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 118, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 2673-2688

  Brakebusch, M ^a   Randall, C E ^a   Kinnison, D E ^b   Tilmes, S ^b   Santee, M L ^c   Manney, G L ^c,d,e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^b NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^c CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^d NEW MEXICO INSTITUTE OF MINING AND TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^e North West Research Associates ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; CHLORINE; CLIMATE MODELS; OZONE; OZONE LAYER;

EARTH OBSERVING SYSTEM MICROWAVE LIMB SOUNDERS; HETEROGENEOUS CHEMISTRY; HETEROGENEOUS PROCESSING; LOWERMOST STRATOSPHERE; SENSITIVITY STUDIES; STRATOSPHERIC OZONE; SUPERCOOLED TERNARY SOLUTIONS; WHOLE ATMOSPHERE COMMUNITY CLIMATE MODELS;

COMPUTER SIMULATION;

ARCTIC ENVIRONMENT; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; CLIMATE MODELING; DATA SET; HALOGEN; OZONE; POLAR VORTEX; STRATOSPHERE; SUPERCOOLING; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; WINTER;

ARCTIC;

EID: 84882280418     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21698996     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50226     Document Type: Article

References (67)

1. Akiyoshi, H., Y., Yamashita, K., Sakamoto, L. B., Zhou, and T. Imamura (2010), Recovery of stratospheric ozone in calculations by the Center for Climate System Research/National Institute for Environmental Studies chemi stry-climate model under the CCMVal-REF2 scenario and a no-climate-change run, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D19301, doi:10.1029/ 2009JD012683.
2. Blum, U., F., Khosrawi, G., Baumgarten, K., Stebel, R., Müller, and K. H. Fricke (2006), Simultaneous lidar observations of a polar stratospheric cloud on the east and west sides of the Scandinavian mountains and microphysical box model simulations, Ann. Geophys., 24, 3267-3277, doi:10.5194/angeo-2 4-3267-2006.
3. Brasseur, G. P., D. A., Hauglustaine, S., Walters, P. J., Rasch, J.-F., Muller, C., Granier, and X.-X. Tie (1998), MOZART, a global chemical transport model for ozone and related chemical tracers 1: Model description, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 103, 28265-28289 .
4. Brasseur, G. and S. Solomon (2005), Aeronomy of the Middle Atmosphere- Chemistry and Physics of the Stratosphere and Mesosphere, Springer, Dordrecht, Netherlands.
5. Collins, W. D., et al. (2006), The formulation and atmospheric simulation of the community atmosphere model version 3 (CAM3), J. Climate, 19, 2144-2161, doi:10.1175/JCLI3760.1 .
6. Deniel, C., R. M., Bevilacqua, J. P., Pommereau, and F. Lefèvre (1998), Arctic chemical ozone depletion during the 1994-1995 winter deduced from POAM II satellite observations and the REPROBUS threedimensional model, J. Geophys. Res., D15, 19, 231-19, 244 .
7. Dibb, J. E., E., Scheuer, M., Avery, J., Plant, and G. Sachse (2006), In situ evidence for renitrification in the Arctic lower stratosphere during the polar Aura validation experiment (PAVE), Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L12815, doi:10.1029/2006GL026243 .
8. Douglass, A. R., R. B., Rood, J. A., Kaye, R. S., Stolarski, D. J., Allen, and E. M. Larson (1991), The influence of polar heterogeneous processes on reactive chlorine at middle latitudes: Three dimensional model implications, Geophys. Res. Lett., 18(1), 25-28, doi:10.1029/90GL02601 .
9. Dowdy, S., S., Wearden, and D. Chilko (2004), Statistics for Research-Third Edition, Wiley, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA, doi:10.1002/0471477435.
10. Drdla, K. and R. Müller (2012), Temperature thresholds for chlorine activation and ozone loss in the polar stratosphere, Ann. Geophys., 30, 1055-1073, doi:10.5194/angeo-30-1055-2012.
11. Dunkerton, T. and D. Delisi (1986), Evolution of potential vorticity in the winte r stratosphere of January-February 1979, J. Geophys. Res., 91, 1199-1208.
12. El Amraoui, L., N., Semane, V.-H., Peuch, and M. L. Santee (2008), Investigation of dynamical processes in the polar stratospheric vortex during the unusually cold winter 2004/2005, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L03803, doi:10.1029/2007GL031251 .
13. Emmons, L. K., et al. (2010), Description and evaluation of the Model for Ozone and Related chemical Tracers, version 4 (MOZART-4), Geosci. Model Dev., 3, 43 -67, 2010.
14. Esler, J. and D. Waugh (2002), A method for estimating the extent of denitrification of Arctic polar vortex air from tracer-tracer scatter plots, J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi:10.1029/2001JD001071.
15. Eyring, V., T. G. Shepherd, and D. W. Waugh (Eds), (2010), SPARC report on the evaluation of Chemistry-Climate Models, SPARC Report No. 5, WCRP-132, WMO/TD-No. 1526.
16. Feng, W., M. P. Chipperfield, S. Davies, P. von der Gathen, E. Kyroe, C. M. Volk, A. Ulanovsky, and G. Belyaev (2007), Large chemical ozone loss in 2004/2005 Arctic winter/spring, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L09803, doi:10.1029/2006GL029098.
17. Feng, W., et al. (2011), Modelling the effect of denitrification on polar ozone depletion for the Arctic winter 2004/2005, Atmos. C hem. Phys., 11, 6559-6573, 2011, doi:10.5194/acp-11-6559-2011.
18. Grooß, J.-U., and R. Müller (2007), Simulation of ozone loss in Arctic winter 2004/2005, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05804, doi:10.1029/2006GL028901.
19. Hauglustaine, D. A., G. P., Brasseur, S., Walters, P. J., Rasch, Müller, J.-F., L. K., Emmons, and M. A. Carroll (1998), MOZART: A global chemical transport model for ozone and related chemical tracers: 2. Model results and evaluation, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 28291-28335 .
20. Hoppel, K., et al. (2002), POAM III observations of arctic ozone loss for the 1999/2000 winter, J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi:10.1029/2001JD000476.
21. Horowitz, L. W., et al. (2003), A global simulation of tropospheric ozone and related trac ers: Description and evaluation of MOZART, version 2, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D24), 4784, doi:10.1029/2002JD002853.
22. Jackson, D. R. and Y. J. Orsolini (2008), Estimation of Arctic ozone loss in winter 2004/05 based on assimilation of EOS MLS and SBUV/2 observations, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 1833-1841, doi:10.1002/qj.316.
23. Jiménez, C., H. C. Pumphrey, I. A. MacKenzie, G. L. Manney, M. L. Santee, M. J. Schwartz, R. S. Harwood, and J. W. Waters (2006), EOS MLS observations of dehydration in the 2004-2005 polar winters, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L16806, doi:10.1029/2006GL025926.
24. Jin, J. J., et al. (2006a ), Denitrification in the Arctic winter 2004/2005: Observations from ACE-FTS, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L19814, doi:10.1029/2006GL027687.
25. Jin, J. J., et al. (2006b), Severe Arctic ozo ne loss in the winter 2004/2005: Observations from ACE-FTS, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L15801, doi:10.1029/2006GL026752.
26. Kinnison, D. E., et al. (2007), Sensitivity of chemical tracers to meteorological para meters in the MOZART-3 chemical transport model, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D20302, doi:10.1029/2006JD007879.
27. Kleinböhl, A., H., Bremer, H., Küllmann, J., Kuttippurath, E. V., Browell, T., Canty, R. J., Salawitch, G. C., Toon, and J. Notholt (2005), Denitrification in the Arctic midwinter 2004/2005 observed by airborne submillimeter radiometry, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L19811, doi:10.1029/ 2005GL023408.
28. Knuth, D. E. (1992), Axioms and Hulls, Springer-Verlag, Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany.
29. Kunz, A., L., Pan, P., Konopka, D., Kinnison, and S. Tilmes (2011), Chemical and dynamical discontinuity at the extratropical tropopause based on START08 and WACCM analysis, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D24302, doi:10.1029/ 2011JD016686.
30. Lamarque, J.-F., et al. (2012), CAM-chem: Description and evaluation of interactive atmospheric chemistry in the Community Earth System Model, Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 369-411, doi:10.5194/gmd-5-369-2012.
31. Lee, A. M., Jones, R. L., Kilbane-Dawe, I., and J. A. Pyle (2002), Diagnosing ozone loss in the extratropical lower stratosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4110, doi:10.1029/2001JD000538.
32. Lin, S.-J. and R. B. Rood (1996), Multidimensional f lux-form semi-Lagrangian transport schemes, Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2046-2070, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1996)1242.0.CO;2.
33. Lin, S.-J. (2004), A "vertically Lagrangian" finite-volume dynamical core for global models, Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2293- 2307, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0493(2004)1322.0.CO;2.
34. Livesey, N. J., et al. (2011), Earth Observing System (EOS Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) Version 3.3 Level 2 data quality and description document, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California.
35. Loewenstein, M., J. R., Podolske, K. R., Chan, and S. E. Strahan (1990), N2O as a dynamical tracer in the Arctic vortex, Geophys. Res. Lett., 17(4), 477-480, doi:10.1029/GL017i004p00477.
36. Lowe, D. and A. R. MacKenzie (2008), Polar stratospheric cloud microphysics and chemistry, J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phy., 70, 13-40, doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2007.09.011.
37. Manney, G. L., et al. (1995), Lagrangian transport calculations using UARS data. Part I: Passive tracers J. Atmos. Sci., 52(17), 3049-3068.
38. Manney, G. L., L., Froidevaux, M. L., Santee, N. J., Livesey, J. L., Sabutis, and J. W. Waters (2003), Variability of ozone loss during Arctic winter (1991- 2000) estimated from UARS Microwave Limb Sounder measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D4), 4149, doi:10.1029/ 2002JD002634.
39. Manney, G. L., M. L., Santee, L., Froidevaux, K., Hoppel, N. J., Livesey, and J. W. Waters (2006), EOS MLS observations of ozone loss in the 2004-2005 Arctic winter, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L04802, doi:10.1029/ 2005GL024494.
40. Michelsen, H. A., et al. (1998), Correlations of stratospheric abundances of NOy, O3, N2O, and CH4 derived from ATMOS measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 28347-28359.
41. Pitts, M. C., L. R., Poole, and L. W. Thomason (2009), CALIPSO polar stratospheric clou d observations: Second-generation detection algorithm and composition discrimination, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 7577-7589, doi:10.5194/acp-9-7577-2009.
42. Portmann, R. W., S., Solomon, R. R., Garcia, L. W., Thomason, L. R., Poole, and M. P. McCormick (1996), Role of aerosol variations in anthropogenic ozone depletion in the polar regions, J. Geophys. Res., 101(D17), 22991-23006, doi:10.1029/96JD02608.
43. Proffitt, M. H., S., Solomon, and M. Loewenstein (1992), Comparison of 2-D model simulations of ozone and nitrous oxide at high latitudes with stratospheric measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 939-944.
44. Reinecker, M. M., et al. 2008), The GEOS-5 data assimilation system- Documentation of versions 5.0.1 and 5.1.0, Tech. Rep. NASA/TM-2007-104606, Vol. 27, NASA GSFC.
45. Rex, M., et al. (1999), Chemical ozone loss in the Arctic winter 1994/95 as determined by the match technique, J. Atmos. Chem., 32, 35-59 .
46. Rex, M., R. J. Salawitch, P. von derGathen, N. R. P. Harris,M. P. Chipperfield, and B. Naujokat (2004), Arctic ozone loss and climate change, G eophys. Res. Lett., 31, doi:10.1029/2003GL018844.
47. Rex, M., et al. (2006), Arctic winter 2005: Implications for stratospheric ozone loss and climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23808, doi:10.1029/2006GL026731.
48. Richter, J. H., F. Sassi, and R. R. Garcia (2010), Toward a physically based gravity wave source parameterization in a general circulation model, J. Atmos. Sci., 67, doi:10.1175/2009JAS3112.1.
49. Roble, R. G., and E. C. Ridley (1987), An auroral model for the NCAR thermospheric general circulation model (TGCM), Ann. Geophys., 87, 369-382.
50. Rösevall, J., D., Murtagh, J., Urban, W., Feng, P., Eriksson, and S. Brohede, (2008), A study of ozone depletion in the 2004/2005 Arctic winter based on data from Odin/SMR and Aura/MLS, J. Geophys. Res., 113, 20, doi:10.1029/2007JD009560.
51. Salawitch, R. J., et al. (2010), A new interpretation of total column BrO during Arctic spring, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21805, doi:10.1029/ 2010GL043798.
52. Santee, M. L., I. A., MacKenzie, G. L., Manney, M. P., Chipperfield, P. F., Bernath, K. A., Walker, C. D., Boone, L., Froidevaux, N. J., Livesey, and J. W. Waters (2008), A study of stratospheric chlorine partitioning based on new satellite measurements and modeling, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D12307, doi:10.1029/2007JD009057.
53. Schoeberl, M. R., et al. (2006), Chemical observations of a polar vortex intrusion, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D20306, doi:10.1029/2006JD007134.
54. Schwartz, M. J., et al. (2008), Validation of the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder temperature and geopotential height measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D15S11, doi:10.1029/2007JD008783 .
55. Shepherd, T. G. (2000), The middle atmosphere, J. Atmos. Sol.-Terr. Phy., 62, 1587-1601, doi:10.1016/S1364-6826(00)00114-0 .
56. Shi, Q., J., Jayne, C., Kolb, D., Worsnop, and P. Davidovits (2001), Kinetic model for reaction of ClONO2 with H2O and HCl and HOCl with HCl in sulfuric acid solutions, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 106, 24259-24274.
57. Singleton, C. S., C. E., Randall, M. P., Chipperfield, S., Davies, W., Feng, R. M., Bevilacqua, K. W., Hoppel, M. D., Fromm, G. L., Manney, and V. L. Harvey (2005), 2002-2003 Arctic ozone loss deduced from POAM III satellite observations and the SLIMCAT chemical transport model, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 597-609, doi:10.5194/acp-5-597-2005.
58. Singleton, C. S., et al. (2007), Quantifying Arctic ozone loss during the 2004-2005 winter using satellite observations and a chemical transport model, J. Geophys. Res., 112. doi:10.1029/2006JD007463 .
59. Solomon, S. (1999), Stratospheric ozone depletion: A review of concepts and history, Rev. Geophys., 37, 275-316 .
60. Tilmes, S., R., Müller, J., Grooß, and J. Russell (2004), Ozone loss and chlorine activation in the Arctic winters 1991-2003 derived with the tracer-tracer correlations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 4, 2181-2213.
61. Tilmes, S., D. E., Kinnison, R. R., Garcia, R., Salawitch, T., Canty, J., Lee-Taylor, S., Madronich, and K. Chance (2012), Impact of very short-lived halogens on stratospheric ozone abundance and UV radiation in a geo- engineered atmosphere, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 10945-10955, doi:10.5194/acp-12-10945-2012.
62. Tsvetkova, N. D., V. A., Yushkov, A. N., Luk'yanov, V. M., Dorokhov, and H. Nakane (2007), Record-breaking chemica l destruction of ozone in the Arctic during the winter of 2004/2005, Izvestiya, Atmos. Oceanic Phys., 43, 5, doi: 10.1134/S0001433807050076.
63. von Hobe, M., et al. (2006), Severe ozone depletion in the cold Arcti c winter 2004-05, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L17815, doi:10.1029/ 2006GL026945.
64. Wegner, T., J.-U., Grooß, M., von Hobe, F., Stroh, O., Sumi?ska-Ebersoldt, C. M., Volk, E., Hösen, V., Mitev, G., Shur, and R. Müller (2012), Heterogeneous chlorine activation on stratospheric aerosols and clouds in the Arctic polar vortex, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 11095- 11106, doi:10.5194/acp-12-11095-2012, 2012.
65. Wilcoxon, F. (1945), Individual comparisons by ranking methods, Biometrics Bull., 1, 6, 80-83.
66. Wilks, D. S. (2006), Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences, 2nd ed., International Geophysics Series, Volume 91, Academic Press, San Diego .
67. World Meteorological Organization (2011), Scientific assessment of ozone depletion: 2010. Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project-NO. 52, 516pp, World M eteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland