The impacts of climate change on agricultural production systems in China

Climatic Change

Volumn 120, Issue 1-2, 2013, Pages 313-324

  Ju, Hui ^a,b   van der Velde, Marijn ^c   Lin, Erda ^a   Xiong, Wei ^a,b   Li, Yingchun ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF PLANT PROTECTION   (China)

^b AGRO ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION INSTITUTE   (China)

^c INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL IRRIGATION; AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEM; ARID AND SEMI-ARID AREAS; POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE EFFECT; POTENTIAL EVAPORATION; PRECIPITATION TRENDS; SURFACE TEMPERATURES; WATER SUPPLY AND DEMANDS;

ARID REGIONS; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CROPS; CULTIVATION; ECONOMICS; FOOD SUPPLY; IRRIGATION; SOIL MOISTURE; SURFACE PROPERTIES; WATER SUPPLY;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CROP YIELD; CROPPING PRACTICE; CULTIVATION; DROUGHT; FOOD SECURITY; SOIL DEGRADATION; SOIL MOISTURE; SURFACE AREA; SURFACE TEMPERATURE; WATER SUPPLY;

CHINA; YANGTZE VALLEY; YELLOW RIVER BASIN;

HEXAPODA; TRITICUM AESTIVUM; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84881615872     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0803-7     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Brown I, Poggio L, Gimona A, Castellazzi M (2011) Climate change, drought risk and land capability for agriculture: implications for land use in Scotland. Reg Environ Chang 11: 503-518.
2. Cai C, Liang Y, Li X (2008) Analysis of food security based on AEZ model. Bull Agric Sci Technol 2: 15-17 (In Chinese).
3. Chang Z, Wang Y, Han F, Zhong S (2012) Relationship between frequency of sandstorms and air humidity as well as plant phenology: a case study from the Minqin desert area. Acta Ecol Sin 32(5): 1378-1386 (In Chinese).
4. Chavas DR, César Izaurralde R, Thomson AM, Gao X (2009) Long-term climate change impacts on agricultural productivity in eastern China. Agric For Meteorol 149(6-7): 1118-1128.
5. Cui P, Wang D, Fan J, Wang Y, He X, Zhu B, Wei F, Wang G (2008) Current status and comprehensive control strategies of soil erosion for the upper Yangtze and other rivers in the southwestern China. Sci Soil Water Conserv 6(1): 43-50 (In Chinese).
6. Ding K, Liu J (2011) Spatial distribution dynamic changes of sand storm in northern China in recent 50 years. J Arid Land Resour Environ 25(4): 116-120 (In Chinese).
7. Du J, Guan Z (2007) Climate change impacts on agriculture. J Anhui Agric Sci 35(16): 4898-4899 (In Chinese).
8. 2 fertilization in China. Phil Trans R Soc B 360(2149): 2155.
9. Gao H, Pan X, Fu Y (2009) Influence of climate change on potential climate productivity in grassland of central Inner Mongolia. Chin J Agrometeorology 30(3): 277-282 (In Chinese).
10. Gao X, Shi Y, Giorgi F (2010) A high resolution simulation of climate change over China. Sci China Earth Sci 40(7): 911-922.
11. Gao J, Yang H, Tao S, Lin E (2012a) Simulation analysis of extreme events of climate change in the Northeast China in the future. Chin Agric Sci Bull 28(14): 295-300 (In Chinese).
12. Gao XR, Wang CY, Zhang JQ (2012b) The impacts of global climatic change on chilling damage distributions of maize in Northeast China. Acta Ecol Sin 32(7): 2110-2118 (In Chinese).
13. Han F, Niu J, Liu P, Zhang Y, Narisu, Wang H (2010) Impact of climate change on forage potential climatic productivity in desert steppe in Inner Mongolia. Chin J Grassl 32(5): 57-65 (In Chinese).
14. Hu B, Tang J, Wang S (2012) A numerical simulation for mid-21st century climate change over China under IPCC A1B scenario. J Meteorol Sci 32(2): 127-136 (In Chinese).
15. IPCC (2007) Summary for policymakers of climate change 2007: the policy science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
16. Ji R, Che Y, Zhu Y, Liang T, Feng R, Yu W, Zhang Y (2012) Impacts of drought stress on the growth and development and grain yield of spring maize in Northeast China. Chin J Appl Ecol 23(11): 3021-3026 (In Chinese).
17. Jia J, Guo J (2009) Studies on climatic resources change for maize over last 46 years in Northeast China. Chin J Agrometeorology 30(3): 302-307 (In Chinese).
18. Jiang D, Wang HJ, Lang XM (2004) Multi-model ensemble prediction for climate change trend of China under SRES A2 scenario. Chin J Geophys 47(5): 776-784 (In Chinese).
19. Ju H, Xiong W, Xu Y, Lin E (2007) Climate change and its impacts in Northeast China. Chin Agric Sci Bull 23(4): 345-349 (In Chinese).
20. Li P, An J, Zhao S (2001) The impact of climate warming on apple tree in Liaoning Province and its countermeasures. Liaoning Meteorol 1(16): 18 (In Chinese).
21. Li K, Yang X, Liu Z, Wang W, Chen F (2010) Analysis of the potential influence of global climate change on cropping systems in China III. The change characteristics of climatic resources in Northern China and its potential influence on cropping systems. Sci Agric Sin 43(10): 2088-2097 (In Chinese).
22. Liu Y, Liu Y, Guo L (2010a) Impact of climatic change on agricultural production and response strategies in China. Chin J Eco-Agric 18(4): 905-910 (In Chinese).
23. Liu Z, Yang X, Wang W, Zhao J, Zhang H, Chen F (2010b) The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China IV. The possible impact of future climatic warming on the northern limits of spring maize in three provinces of Northeast China. Sci Agric Sin 43(11): 2280-2291 (In Chinese).
24. Lobell DB, Gourdji SM (2012) The influence of climate change on global crop productivity. Plant Physiol 2012. doi: 10. 1104/. 112. 208298.
25. Long SP, Ainsworth EA, Leakey ADB, Morgan PB (2005) Global food insecurity: treatment of major food crops with elevated carbon dioxide or ozone under large-scale fully open-air conditions suggests recent models may have over-estimate future yields. Phil Trans R Soc B 360(1463): 2011-2020.
26. Ma Z, Huang G, Gan WQ, Chen ML (2005) Multi-scale temporal characteristics of the dryness/wetness over Northern China during the last century. Chin J Atmos Sci 29(5): 671-681.
27. 2, temperature and nitrogen on photosynthesis of wheat grown under temperature gradient tunnels. Environ Exp Bot 54(49): 59.
28. Muhuddin RA, Leary GO, McNeil D, Hossain H, Nelson R (2007) Climate change impact on rain-fed wheat in south-eastern Australia. Field Crops Res 104(1-3): 139-147.
29. Müller C, Wolfgang C, Hare WL, Lotze-Campen H (2011) Climate change risks for African agriculture. PNAS 108(11): 4313-4315.
30. NARCC (2007) China's national assessment report on climate change. Science Press, Beijing. ISBN 978-7-03-016883-2 (In Chinese).
31. Pan G, Gao M, Hu G, Wei Q, Yang X, Zhang W, Zhou G, Zou J (2011) Issues and challenges on mitigation of climate change impacts on China's future agriculture. J Agro-Environ Sci 30(9): 1707-1712 (in Chinese).
32. Piao S, Ciais P, Huang Y, Shen Z, Peng S et al (2010) The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China. Nature 467(43): 51.
33. Qin D, Chen Y, Li X (2005) Climate and environment change in China. Beijing, Science Publishing House. ISBN 7-03-015777-X (In Chinese).
34. Qin D, Chen Z, Luo Y et al (2007) Updated understanding of climate change sciences. Adv Clim Chang Res 3(2): 63-73 (In Chinese).
35. Ruiping G, Zhonghui L, Xingguo M, Chunlin Y (2010) Responses of crop yield and water use efficiency to climate change in the North China Plain. Agric Water Manag 97(8): 1185-1194.
36. SNARCC (2011) The second China's national assessment report on climate change. Science Press, Beijing. ISBN 978-7-03-032184-8 (In Chinese).
37. Stöckle CO, Nelson RL, Higgins S, Brunner J, Grove G, Boydston R, Whiting M, Kruger C (2010) Assessment of climate change impact on Eastern Washington agriculture. Clim Chang 102(1): 77-102.
38. Tang G, Ding Y, Wang S, Ren G, Liu H et al (2010) Comparative analysis of China surface air temperature series for the past 100 years. Adv Clim Chang Res 1(1): 11-19.
39. Wang F 2003 Effects of global climate change on agriculture ecosystems. China Meteorological Press, Beijing (In Chinese).
40. Wang Z, Zheng YP (2001) Impacts of global change on China's food security. Geogr Res 20(3): 282-289 (In Chinese).
41. Wang S, Lin E, She Z (2002) The impacts of environmental evolution on development in Western China and its countermeasures. Vol. 3 of 'the assessment of environmental evolution in Western China'. Science Press, Beijing (In Chinese).
42. Wang Z, Zhang Q, Chen Y, Zhao S, Zeng H, Zhang Y, Liu Q (2008) Characters of meteorological disasters caused by the extreme synoptic process in early 2008 over China. Adv Clim Chang Res 4(2): 63-67 (In Chinese).
43. Wu X, Yang D, Wang S, Shang K (2011) Temporal and spatial characteristic of rainless days in mainland China in recent 50 years. Arid Land Geogr 34(4): 596-603.
44. Xia J (2008) Outbreaks of major agricultural pests and the control achievements in China. China Plant Protect 28(1): 5-9 (In Chinese).
45. Xiao G, Zhang Q, Li Y, Zhang F, Luo C (2011) Effect of winter warming on soil moisture and salinization. Trans CSAE 27(8): 46-51 (in Chinese).
46. Xingguo M, Suxia L, Zhonghui L, Ruiping G (2009) Regional crop yield, water consumption and water use efficiency and their responses to climate change in the North China Plain. Agric Ecosyst Environ 134(1-2): 67-78.
47. Xiong W, Lin E, Ju H et al (2007) Climate change and critical thresholds in China's food security. Clim Chang 81(205): 221.
48. Xiong W, Conway D, Lin E et al (2009) Future cereal production in China: the interaction of climate change, water availability and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Chang 19(1): 34-44.
49. Yan L, Zhu S (2000) Introduction of agricultural sustainable development. China Enviromental Scince Press, Beijing. ISBN 7801630718 (In Chinese).
50. Yan Y, Liu S, Zhao N et al (2011) Characteristics of air temperature and precipitation in different regions of China from 1951 to 2009. J Meteorol Environ 27(4): 1-11 (In Chinese).
51. Yang X, Liu Z, Chen F (2010) The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China I. The possible effects of climate warming on northern limits of cropping systems and crop yields in China. Sci Agric Sin 43(2): 329-336 (In Chinese).
52. Yang X, Liu Z, Chen F (2011) The possible effects of global warming on cropping systems in China VI. Possible effects of future climate change on northern limits of cropping system in China. Sci Agric Sin 44(8): 1562-1570 (In Chinese).
53. Yao Y (2007) Studies on China's social-economic scenarios in 2005-2050. Annual report of Chinese Academy of Social Science. (In Chinese).
54. Yao FM, Qin PC, Zhang JH et al (2011) Uncertainties in assessing the effect of climate change on agriculture using model simulation and uncertainty processing methods. Chin Sci Bull 56(729): 737.
55. Ye B, Li C, Yang D (2006) Variation trend of precipitation and its impact on water resources in China during last 50 years (I): annual variation. J Glaciol Geocryol 26(5): 587-594 (In Chinese).
56. Yu H, Liu S, Zhao N et al (2011) Characteristics of air temperature and precipitation in different regions of China from 1951 to 2009. J Meteorol Environ 27(4): 1-11 (In Chinese).
57. Yuan B, Guo J, Zhao J, Ye M (2011) Possible impacts of climate change on agricultural production in China and its adaptation countermeasures. Agric Sci Technol 12(3): 420-425.
58. Zhang Z (2010) Report of flood control and drought relief in 2010. The state flood control and drought relief headquarters of China. (In Chinese).
59. Zhang J, Zhao Y, Wang C, He Y (2007) Simulation of the yields change of China' main crops under climate change scenario. 25(5): 209-213 (In Chinese).
60. Zhang L, Du H, Xia J, Xu X (2011) Progress in the study of extreme hydrologic events under climate change. Prog Geogr 30(11): 1370-1379.
61. Zhao X (2010) Influence of climate change on agriculture in northeast China in recent 50 years. J Northeast Agric Univ 41(9): 144-149 (In Chinese).
62. Zhao C, Nan Z, Cheng G, Zou S, Zhang Y (2008) Prediction of the trend of the future climate change in north-western China by statistical downscaling. J Lanzhou Univ Nat Sci 44(5): 12-18 (In Chinese).
63. Zhao C, Wangying Z, Yanxiaoyu (2009) Climate conditions of crop growth season and its effect on agricultural production in the recent 50 years in Liaoning province. J Catastrophology 24(4): 102-106 (In Chinese).
64. Zhao H, Zhao X, Zhang T, Zhang X, Li Y, Liu L (2011) Desertification process and its spatial differentiation in arid areas of Northwest China. J Desert Res 31(1): 1-8 (In Chinese).
65. Zhou Z (2010) Climate change threatens China's food security. China Cooperation Econ 1: 6 (In Chinese).