-
1
-
-
78649988087
-
The global warming debate
-
Wang S W. The global warming debate. Chinese Sci Bull, 2010, 55: 1961-1962.
-
(2010)
Chinese Sci Bull
, vol.55
, pp. 1961-1962
-
-
Wang, S.W.1
-
2
-
-
84961739860
-
An uncertainty analysis of understanding on climate change (in Chinese)
-
Ge Q S, Wang S W, Fang X Q. An uncertainty analysis of understanding on climate change (in Chinese). Geogr Res, 2010, 29: 191-203.
-
(2010)
Geogr Res
, vol.29
, pp. 191-203
-
-
Ge, Q.S.1
Wang, S.W.2
Fang, X.Q.3
-
3
-
-
0032740217
-
Climate change and world food security: A new assessment
-
Parry M, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, et al. Climate change and world food security: A new assessment. Glob Environ Change, 1999, 9(Suppl 1): S51-S67.
-
(1999)
Glob Environ Change
, vol.9
, Issue.SUPPL. 1
-
-
Parry, M.1
Rosenzweig, C.2
Iglesias, A.3
-
4
-
-
33846570847
-
Assessing the impacts of climate change on rice yields in the main rice areas of China
-
Yao F M, Xu Y L, Lin E D, et al. Assessing the impacts of climate change on rice yields in the main rice areas of China. Clim Change, 2007, 80: 395-409.
-
(2007)
Clim Change
, vol.80
, pp. 395-409
-
-
Yao, F.M.1
Xu, Y.L.2
Lin, E.D.3
-
7
-
-
34547339323
-
Simulation of the climatic effects of natural forcings during the pre-industrial era
-
Yin C H, Yan X D, Shi Z G, et al. Simulation of the climatic effects of natural forcings during the pre-industrial era. Chinese Sci Bull, 2007, 52: 1545-1558.
-
(2007)
Chinese Sci Bull
, vol.52
, pp. 1545-1558
-
-
Yin, C.H.1
Yan, X.D.2
Shi, Z.G.3
-
8
-
-
4043124611
-
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
-
Murphy J M, Sexton D M H, Barnett D N, et al. Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations. Nature, 2004, 430: 768-772.
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.430
, pp. 768-772
-
-
Murphy, J.M.1
Sexton, D.M.H.2
Barnett, D.N.3
-
9
-
-
0033834689
-
Sensitivity of ceres-maize yields to statistical structure of daily weather series
-
Dubrovsky M, Zalud Z, Stastna M. Sensitivity of ceres-maize yields to statistical structure of daily weather series. Clim Change, 2000, 46: 447-472.
-
(2000)
Clim Change
, vol.46
, pp. 447-472
-
-
Dubrovsky, M.1
Zalud, Z.2
Stastna, M.3
-
11
-
-
11344292955
-
Defining uncertainty: A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support
-
Walker W E, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, et al. Defining uncertainty: A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integr Assess, 2004, 4: 5-17.
-
(2004)
Integr Assess
, vol.4
, pp. 5-17
-
-
Walker, W.E.1
Harremoës, P.2
Rotmans, J.3
-
12
-
-
79952788268
-
Discrimination on several key Issues of global climate change (in Chinese)
-
Chen P Q, Cheng B B, Wang F, et al. Discrimination on several key Issues of global climate change (in Chinese). Adv Earth Sci, 2010, 25: 69-75.
-
(2010)
Adv Earth Sci
, vol.25
, pp. 69-75
-
-
Chen, P.Q.1
Cheng, B.B.2
Wang, F.3
-
14
-
-
78649400397
-
Advance in new scenarios of greenhouse gas emission and climate change (in Chinese)
-
Lin E D, Liu Y J. Advance in new scenarios of greenhouse gas emission and climate change (in Chinese). Sci Agr Sin, 2008, 41: 1700-1707.
-
(2008)
Sci Agr Sin
, vol.41
, pp. 1700-1707
-
-
Lin, E.D.1
Liu, Y.J.2
-
15
-
-
77953578050
-
Progress on the projections of future climate change with various emission scenarios (in Chinese)
-
Zhang X Q, Peng L L, Lin Z H. Progress on the projections of future climate change with various emission scenarios (in Chinese). Adv Earth Sci, 2008, 23: 174-185.
-
(2008)
Adv Earth Sci
, vol.23
, pp. 174-185
-
-
Zhang, X.Q.1
Peng, L.L.2
Lin, Z.H.3
-
16
-
-
76749096338
-
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
-
Moss R H, Edmonds J A, Hibbard K A, et al. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 2010, 463: 747-756.
-
(2010)
Nature
, vol.463
, pp. 747-756
-
-
Moss, R.H.1
Edmonds, J.A.2
Hibbard, K.A.3
-
17
-
-
79952800447
-
Uncertainty in the science of climate change and futuristic priority research directions (in Chinese)
-
Luo Y. Uncertainty in the science of climate change and futuristic priority research directions (in Chinese). Recent Develop World Seismol, 1997, 17: 2-6.
-
(1997)
Recent Develop World Seismol
, vol.17
, pp. 2-6
-
-
Luo, Y.1
-
18
-
-
50949084142
-
Updated understanding of climate change sciences (in Chinese)
-
Qin D H, Chen Z L, Luo Y, et al. Updated understanding of climate change sciences (in Chinese). Adv Clim Change Res, 2007, 3: 63-73.
-
(2007)
Adv Clim Change Res
, vol.3
, pp. 63-73
-
-
Qin, D.H.1
Chen, Z.L.2
Luo, Y.3
-
19
-
-
37749039323
-
Present situation and prospects of ensemble numerical prediction (in Chinese)
-
Du J. Present situation and prospects of ensemble numerical prediction (in Chinese). Quart J Appl Meteorl, 2002, 13: 16-28.
-
(2002)
Quart J Appl Meteorl
, vol.13
, pp. 16-28
-
-
Du, J.1
-
20
-
-
79952780041
-
Application of crop growth modeling in assessing climate change impact on crop productivity (in Chinese)
-
Sun N. Application of crop growth modeling in assessing climate change impact on crop productivity (in Chinese). Earth Sci Front, 2002, 9: 232.
-
(2002)
Earth Sci Front
, vol.9
, pp. 232
-
-
Sun, N.1
-
23
-
-
33847334806
-
Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply: A comment on "Food for Thought." by Long et al. Science 312:1918-1921, 2006
-
Tubiello F N, Amthor J S, Boote K J, et al. Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply: A comment on "Food for Thought." by Long et al. Science 312: 1918-1921, 2006. Eur J Agron, 2007, 26: 215-223.
-
(2007)
Eur J Agron
, vol.26
, pp. 215-223
-
-
Tubiello, F.N.1
Amthor, J.S.2
Boote, K.J.3
-
24
-
-
67650922378
-
2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations: Six important lessons from FACE
-
2 effects on plant carbon, nitrogen, and water relations: Six important lessons from FACE. J Exp Bot, 2009, 60: 2859-2876.
-
(2009)
J Exp Bot
, vol.60
, pp. 2859-2876
-
-
Leakey, A.D.B.1
Ainsworth, E.A.2
Bernacchi, C.J.3
-
25
-
-
49849096634
-
Non-stationary thermal time accumulation reduces the predictability of climate change effects on agriculture
-
Zhang T, Zhu J, Yang X. Non-stationary thermal time accumulation reduces the predictability of climate change effects on agriculture. Agric For Meteorol, 2008, 148: 1412-1418.
-
(2008)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.148
, pp. 1412-1418
-
-
Zhang, T.1
Zhu, J.2
Yang, X.3
-
26
-
-
67249145549
-
Assessment of AquaCrop, CropSyst, and WOFOST Models in the simulation of sunflower growth under different water regimes
-
Todorovic M, Albrizio R, Zivotic L, et al. Assessment of AquaCrop, CropSyst, and WOFOST Models in the simulation of sunflower growth under different water regimes. Agron J, 2009, 101: 509-521.
-
(2009)
Agron J
, vol.101
, pp. 509-521
-
-
Todorovic, M.1
Albrizio, R.2
Zivotic, L.3
-
27
-
-
0036172572
-
Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment
-
Aggarwal P K, Mall R K. Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment. Clim Change, 2002, 52: 331-343.
-
(2002)
Clim Change
, vol.52
, pp. 331-343
-
-
Aggarwal, P.K.1
Mall, R.K.2
-
28
-
-
0027805280
-
The impacts of climate change on rice yield-comparison of 4 model performances
-
Bachelet D, Gay C A. The impacts of climate change on rice yield-comparison of 4 model performances. Ecol Model, 1993, 65: 71-93.
-
(1993)
Ecol Model
, vol.65
, pp. 71-93
-
-
Bachelet, D.1
Gay, C.A.2
-
29
-
-
39749184968
-
Crop yield reduction in the tropics under climate change: Processes and uncertainties
-
Challinor A J, Wheeler T R. Crop yield reduction in the tropics under climate change: Processes and uncertainties. Agric For Meteorol, 2008, 148: 343-356.
-
(2008)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.148
, pp. 343-356
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Wheeler, T.R.2
-
30
-
-
0036888897
-
2 and drought on wheat: Testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions
-
2 and drought on wheat: Testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 2002, 93: 249-266.
-
(2002)
Agric Ecosyst Environ
, vol.93
, pp. 249-266
-
-
Ewert, F.1
Rodriguez, D.2
Jamieson, P.3
-
31
-
-
0041911049
-
Modelling the impacts of climate change and methane emission reductions on rice production: A review
-
Matthews R, Wassmann R. Modelling the impacts of climate change and methane emission reductions on rice production: A review. Eur J Agron, 2003, 19: 573-598.
-
(2003)
Eur J Agron
, vol.19
, pp. 573-598
-
-
Matthews, R.1
Wassmann, R.2
-
32
-
-
0033608661
-
Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios
-
Mearns L O, Mavromatis T, Tsvetsinskaya E, et al. Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios. J Geophys Res Atmos, 1999, 104: 6623-6646.
-
(1999)
J Geophys Res Atmos
, vol.104
, pp. 6623-6646
-
-
Mearns, L.O.1
Mavromatis, T.2
Tsvetsinskaya, E.3
-
33
-
-
0034635389
-
Revealing uncertainties in computer models
-
Cipra B. Revealing uncertainties in computer models. Science, 2000, 287: 960-961.
-
(2000)
Science
, vol.287
, pp. 960-961
-
-
Cipra, B.1
-
34
-
-
0034966039
-
Quantification of grain yield response to soil depth in soybean, maize, sunflower, and wheat
-
Sadras V O, Calviño P A, Quantification of grain yield response to soil depth in soybean, maize, sunflower, and wheat. Agron J, 2001: 577-583.
-
(2001)
Agron J
, pp. 577-583
-
-
Sadras, V.O.1
Calviño, P.A.2
-
35
-
-
76149128669
-
Modelling the sensitivity of wheat growth and water balance to climate change in Southeast Australia
-
Wang J, Wang E L, Luo Q Y, et al. Modelling the sensitivity of wheat growth and water balance to climate change in Southeast Australia. Clim Change, 2009, 96: 79-96.
-
(2009)
Clim Change
, vol.96
, pp. 79-96
-
-
Wang, J.1
Wang, E.L.2
Luo, Q.Y.3
-
36
-
-
0000934681
-
Improving the validation of model-simulated crop yield response to climate change: An application to the EPIC model
-
Easterling W E, Chen X F, Hays C, et al. Improving the validation of model-simulated crop yield response to climate change: An application to the EPIC model. Clim Res, 1996,: 263-273.
-
(1996)
Clim Res
, pp. 263-273
-
-
Easterling, W.E.1
Chen, X.F.2
Hays, C.3
-
37
-
-
0037533813
-
Evaluating CROPGRO-Soybean performance for use in climate impact studies
-
Carbone G J, Mearns L O, Mavromatis T, et al. Evaluating CROPGRO-Soybean performance for use in climate impact studies. Agron J, 2003, 95: 537-544.
-
(2003)
Agron J
, vol.95
, pp. 537-544
-
-
Carbone, G.J.1
Mearns, L.O.2
Mavromatis, T.3
-
38
-
-
70549086943
-
Development and test of a crop growth model for application within a global change decision support system
-
Lenz-Wiedemann V I S, Klar C W, Schneider K. Development and test of a crop growth model for application within a global change decision support system. Ecol Model, 2010, 221: 314-329.
-
(2010)
Ecol Model
, vol.221
, pp. 314-329
-
-
Lenz-Wiedemann, V.I.S.1
Klar, C.W.2
Schneider, K.3
-
39
-
-
33845240167
-
The circuitous path to the comparison of simulated values from crop models with field observations
-
Weiss A, Wilhelm W. The circuitous path to the comparison of simulated values from crop models with field observations. J Agric Sci, 2006, 144: 475-488.
-
(2006)
J Agric Sci
, vol.144
, pp. 475-488
-
-
Weiss, A.1
Wilhelm, W.2
-
40
-
-
67650892507
-
Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate
-
Gregory P J, Johnson S N, Newton A C, et al. Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate. J Exp Bot, 2009, 60: 2827-2838.
-
(2009)
J Exp Bot
, vol.60
, pp. 2827-2838
-
-
Gregory, P.J.1
Johnson, S.N.2
Newton, A.C.3
-
41
-
-
34248587059
-
Regression-based evaluation of ecophysiological models
-
White J W, Boote K J, Hoogenboom G, et al. Regression-based evaluation of ecophysiological models. Agron J, 2007, 99: 419-427.
-
(2007)
Agron J
, vol.99
, pp. 419-427
-
-
White, J.W.1
Boote, K.J.2
Hoogenboom, G.3
-
42
-
-
0037436169
-
Climate and management contributions to recent trends in US agricultural yields
-
Lobell D B, Asner G P. Climate and management contributions to recent trends in US agricultural yields. Science, 2003, 299: 1032-1032.
-
(2003)
Science
, vol.299
, pp. 1032-1032
-
-
Lobell, D.B.1
Asner, G.P.2
-
43
-
-
12744255599
-
A method for calculating the climatic yield of grain under climate change (in Chinese)
-
Wang Y, Fang X Q, Xu T. A method for calculating the climatic yield of grain under climate change (in Chinese). J Nat Resour, 2004, 19: 531-536.
-
(2004)
J Nat Resour
, vol.19
, pp. 531-536
-
-
Wang, Y.1
Fang, X.Q.2
Xu, T.3
-
44
-
-
0028993596
-
Uncertainties in crop, soil and weather inputs used in growth-models-Implications for simulated outputs and their applications
-
Aggarwal P K. Uncertainties in crop, soil and weather inputs used in growth-models-Implications for simulated outputs and their applications. Agric Sys, 1995, 48: 361-384.
-
(1995)
Agric Sys
, vol.48
, pp. 361-384
-
-
Aggarwal, P.K.1
-
45
-
-
56449107605
-
Reliability and input-data induced uncertainty of the EPIC model to estimate climate change impact on sorghum yields in the U.S. Great Plains
-
Niu X, Easterling W, Hays C J, et al. Reliability and input-data induced uncertainty of the EPIC model to estimate climate change impact on sorghum yields in the U. S. Great Plains. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 2009, 129: 268-276.
-
(2009)
Agric Ecosyst Environ
, vol.129
, pp. 268-276
-
-
Niu, X.1
Easterling, W.2
Hays, C.J.3
-
46
-
-
33645745650
-
From GCM grid cell to agricultural plot: Scale issues affecting modelling of climate impact
-
Baron C, Sultan B, Balme M, et al. From GCM grid cell to agricultural plot: Scale issues affecting modelling of climate impact. Phil Trans R Soc B, 2005, 360: 2095-2108.
-
(2005)
Phil Trans R Soc B
, vol.360
, pp. 2095-2108
-
-
Baron, C.1
Sultan, B.2
Balme, M.3
-
47
-
-
79952794376
-
Advances in linking crop models with climate models (in Chinese)
-
Xiong W, Yang J. Advances in linking crop models with climate models (in Chinese). Chin J Eco-Agric, 2008, 16: 249-252.
-
(2008)
Chin J Eco-Agric
, vol.16
, pp. 249-252
-
-
Xiong, W.1
Yang, J.2
-
48
-
-
67650928663
-
Crops and climate change: Progress, trends, and challenges in simulating impacts and informing adaptation
-
Challinor A J, Ewert F, Arnold S, et al. Crops and climate change: Progress, trends, and challenges in simulating impacts and informing adaptation. J Exp Bot, 2009, 60: 2775-2789.
-
(2009)
J Exp Bot
, vol.60
, pp. 2775-2789
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Ewert, F.2
Arnold, S.3
-
49
-
-
28744432369
-
Variability in regional wheat yields as a function of climate, soil and economic variables: Assessing the risk of confounding
-
Bakker M M, Govers G, Ewert F, et al. Variability in regional wheat yields as a function of climate, soil and economic variables: Assessing the risk of confounding. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 2005, 110: 195-209.
-
(2005)
Agric Ecosyst Environ
, vol.110
, pp. 195-209
-
-
Bakker, M.M.1
Govers, G.2
Ewert, F.3
-
50
-
-
67650972345
-
Methods and resources for climate impacts research: Achieving synergy
-
Challinor A J, Osborne T, Morse A, et al. Methods and resources for climate impacts research: Achieving synergy. Bull Am Meteorol Soc, 2009, 90: 836-848.
-
(2009)
Bull Am Meteorol Soc
, vol.90
, pp. 836-848
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Osborne, T.2
Morse, A.3
-
51
-
-
2942746674
-
Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops
-
Challinor A J, Wheeler T R, Craufurd P Q, et al. Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops. Agric For Meteorol, 2004, 124: 99-120.
-
(2004)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.124
, pp. 99-120
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Wheeler, T.R.2
Craufurd, P.Q.3
-
52
-
-
33846233088
-
Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model
-
Osborne T M, Lawrence D M, Challinor A J, et al. Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Glob Change Biol, 2007, 13: 169-183.
-
(2007)
Glob Change Biol
, vol.13
, pp. 169-183
-
-
Osborne, T.M.1
Lawrence, D.M.2
Challinor, A.J.3
-
53
-
-
59349100515
-
Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis
-
Tao F, Yokozawa M, Zhang Z. Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis. Agric For Meteorol, 2009, 149: 831-850.
-
(2009)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.149
, pp. 831-850
-
-
Tao, F.1
Yokozawa, M.2
Zhang, Z.3
-
54
-
-
57849099153
-
Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis of a large-scale crop model for paddy rice: Application of a Bayesian approach
-
Iizumi T, Yokozawa M, Nishimori M. Parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis of a large-scale crop model for paddy rice: Application of a Bayesian approach. Agric For Meteorol, 2009, 149: 333-348.
-
(2009)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.149
, pp. 333-348
-
-
Iizumi, T.1
Yokozawa, M.2
Nishimori, M.3
-
55
-
-
63049088658
-
Impact assessment of climate change on rice production in Asia in comprehensive consideration of process/parameter uncertainty in general circulation models
-
Masutomi Y, Takahashi K, Harasawa H, et al. Impact assessment of climate change on rice production in Asia in comprehensive consideration of process/parameter uncertainty in general circulation models. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 2009, 131: 281-291.
-
(2009)
Agric Ecosyst Environ
, vol.131
, pp. 281-291
-
-
Masutomi, Y.1
Takahashi, K.2
Harasawa, H.3
-
56
-
-
63549083785
-
Regional crop modelling in Europe: The impact of climatic conditions and farm characteristics on maize yields
-
Reidsma P, Ewert F, Boogaard H, et al. Regional crop modelling in Europe: The impact of climatic conditions and farm characteristics on maize yields. Agric Sys, 2009, 100: 51-60.
-
(2009)
Agric Sys
, vol.100
, pp. 51-60
-
-
Reidsma, P.1
Ewert, F.2
Boogaard, H.3
-
57
-
-
43949123545
-
2 stimulation of water-stressed and well-watered crops
-
2 stimulation of water-stressed and well-watered crops. Agric For Meteorol, 2008, 148: 1062-1077.
-
(2008)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.148
, pp. 1062-1077
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Wheeler, T.R.2
-
58
-
-
0028988092
-
Integrated risk analysis of global climate change
-
Shlyakhter A, James L, Valverde A, et al. Integrated risk analysis of global climate change. Chemosphere, 1995, 30: 1585-1618.
-
(1995)
Chemosphere
, vol.30
, pp. 1585-1618
-
-
Shlyakhter, A.1
James, L.2
Valverde, A.3
-
59
-
-
0001020829
-
Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: A Monte-carlo approach
-
New M, Hulme M. Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: A Monte-carlo approach. Integr Assess, 2000, 1: 203-213.
-
(2000)
Integr Assess
, vol.1
, pp. 203-213
-
-
New, M.1
Hulme, M.2
-
60
-
-
48249094306
-
Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields
-
Tebaldi C, Lobell D B. Towards probabilistic projections of climate change impacts on global crop yields. Geophys Res Lett, 2008, 35: L08705.
-
(2008)
Geophys Res Lett
, vol.35
-
-
Tebaldi, C.1
Lobell, D.B.2
-
61
-
-
54749144203
-
Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation
-
Lobell D B, Burke M B. Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation. Environ Res Lett, 2008, 3: 1-8.
-
(2008)
Environ Res Lett
, vol.3
, pp. 1-8
-
-
Lobell, D.B.1
Burke, M.B.2
-
62
-
-
36048985703
-
Lastest advances in global climate projections (in Chinese)
-
Zhao Z C. Lastest advances in global climate projections (in Chinese). Adv Clim Change Res, 2006, 2: 68-70, 97.
-
(2006)
Adv Clim Change Res
, vol.2
, Issue.97
, pp. 68-70
-
-
Zhao, Z.C.1
-
63
-
-
79952784011
-
Review of sensitivity research on the context of global change (in Chinese)
-
Cui S H, Li F Y, Huang J, et al. Review of sensitivity research on the context of global change (in Chinese). Adv Earth Sci, 2009, 24: 1033-1041.
-
(2009)
Adv Earth Sci
, vol.24
, pp. 1033-1041
-
-
Cui, S.H.1
Li, F.Y.2
Huang, J.3
-
64
-
-
0034688850
-
Analysing the risk of climate change using an irrigation demand model
-
Jones R N. Analysing the risk of climate change using an irrigation demand model. Clim Res, 2000, 14: 89-100.
-
(2000)
Clim Res
, vol.14
, pp. 89-100
-
-
Jones, R.N.1
-
65
-
-
33846847540
-
Assessing the robustness of adaptation decisions to climate change uncertainties: A case study on water resources management in the East of England
-
Dessai S, Hulme M. Assessing the robustness of adaptation decisions to climate change uncertainties: A case study on water resources management in the East of England. Glob Environ Change, 2007, 17: 59-72.
-
(2007)
Glob Environ Change
, vol.17
, pp. 59-72
-
-
Dessai, S.1
Hulme, M.2
-
66
-
-
0036321570
-
Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies
-
Katz R W. Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies. Clim Res, 2002, 20: 167-185.
-
(2002)
Clim Res
, vol.20
, pp. 167-185
-
-
Katz, R.W.1
-
67
-
-
33745947003
-
Global sensitivity analysis for calculating the contribution of genetic parameters to the variance of crop model prediction
-
Makowski D, Naud C, Jeuffroy M H, et al. Global sensitivity analysis for calculating the contribution of genetic parameters to the variance of crop model prediction. Reliab Eng Syst Safe, 2006, 91: 1142-1147.
-
(2006)
Reliab Eng Syst Safe
, vol.91
, pp. 1142-1147
-
-
Makowski, D.1
Naud, C.2
Jeuffroy, M.H.3
-
68
-
-
69249212573
-
Global sensitivity analysis of growth simulation parameters of winter wheat based on EPIC model(in Chinese)
-
Wu J, Yu F S, Chen Z X, et al. Global sensitivity analysis of growth simulation parameters of winter wheat based on EPIC model(in Chinese). Trans Chin Soc Agric Eng, 2008, 25: 136-142.
-
(2008)
Trans Chin Soc Agric Eng
, vol.25
, pp. 136-142
-
-
Wu, J.1
Yu, F.S.2
Chen, Z.X.3
-
69
-
-
67651163400
-
Multivariate global sensitivity analysis for dynamic crop models
-
Lamboni M, Makowski D, Lehuger S, et al. Multivariate global sensitivity analysis for dynamic crop models. Field Crops Res, 2009, 113: 312-320.
-
(2009)
Field Crops Res
, vol.113
, pp. 312-320
-
-
Lamboni, M.1
Makowski, D.2
Lehuger, S.3
-
70
-
-
33748416660
-
A framework for dealing with uncertainty due to model structure error
-
Refsgaard J C, van der Sluijs J P, Brown J, et al. A framework for dealing with uncertainty due to model structure error. Adv Water Res, 2006, 29: 1586-1597.
-
(2006)
Adv Water Res
, vol.29
, pp. 1586-1597
-
-
Refsgaard, J.C.1
van der Sluijs, J.P.2
Brown, J.3
-
71
-
-
3042750657
-
Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
-
Peng S B, Huang J L, Sheehy J E, et al. Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 2004, 101: 9971-9975.
-
(2004)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.101
, pp. 9971-9975
-
-
Peng, S.B.1
Huang, J.L.2
Sheehy, J.E.3
-
72
-
-
33646681247
-
Decline in rice grain yields with temperature: Models and correlations can give different estimates
-
Sheehy J E, Mitchell P L, Ferrer A B. Decline in rice grain yields with temperature: Models and correlations can give different estimates. Field Crops Res, 2006, 98: 151-156.
-
(2006)
Field Crops Res
, vol.98
, pp. 151-156
-
-
Sheehy, J.E.1
Mitchell, P.L.2
Ferrer, A.B.3
-
73
-
-
34248572605
-
Impacts of day versus night temperatures on spring wheat yields: A comparison of empirical and CERES model predictions in three locations
-
Lobell D B, Ortiz-Monasterio J I. Impacts of day versus night temperatures on spring wheat yields: A comparison of empirical and CERES model predictions in three locations. Agron J, 2007, 99: 469-477.
-
(2007)
Agron J
, vol.99
, pp. 469-477
-
-
Lobell, D.B.1
Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I.2
-
74
-
-
34547225982
-
Ensembles and probabilities: A new era in the prediction of climate change
-
Collins M. Ensembles and probabilities: A new era in the prediction of climate change. Phil Trans R Soc A, 2007, 365: 1957-1970.
-
(2007)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.365
, pp. 1957-1970
-
-
Collins, M.1
-
75
-
-
38849177523
-
Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030
-
Lobell D B, Burke M B, Tebaldi C, et al. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science, 2008, 319: 607-610.
-
(2008)
Science
, vol.319
, pp. 607-610
-
-
Lobell, D.B.1
Burke, M.B.2
Tebaldi, C.3
-
76
-
-
67349163244
-
Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection
-
Tao F L, Zhang Z, Liu J Y, et al. Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection. Agric For Meteorol, 2009, 149: 1266-1278.
-
(2009)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.149
, pp. 1266-1278
-
-
Tao, F.L.1
Zhang, Z.2
Liu, J.Y.3
-
77
-
-
62249188927
-
Ensemble yield simulations: crop and climate uncertainties, sensitivity to temperature and genotypic adaptation to climate change
-
Challinor A J, Wheeler T, Hemming D, et al. Ensemble yield simulations: crop and climate uncertainties, sensitivity to temperature and genotypic adaptation to climate change. Clim Res, 2009, 38: 117-127.
-
(2009)
Clim Res
, vol.38
, pp. 117-127
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Wheeler, T.2
Hemming, D.3
-
78
-
-
34249949200
-
Assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for Indonesian rice agriculture
-
Naylor R L, Battisti D S, Vimont D J, et al. Assessing risks of climate variability and climate change for Indonesian rice agriculture. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 2007, 104: 7752-7757.
-
(2007)
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
, vol.104
, pp. 7752-7757
-
-
Naylor, R.L.1
Battisti, D.S.2
Vimont, D.J.3
-
79
-
-
34547163331
-
Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: An example from the water sector
-
New M, Lopez A, Dessai S, et al. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: An example from the water sector. Phil Trans R Soc A, 2007, 365: 2117-2131.
-
(2007)
Phil Trans R Soc A
, vol.365
, pp. 2117-2131
-
-
New, M.1
Lopez, A.2
Dessai, S.3
-
80
-
-
0035030556
-
An environmental risk assessment/management framework for climate change impact assessments
-
Jones R N. An environmental risk assessment/management framework for climate change impact assessments. Nat Hazards, 2001, 23: 197-230.
-
(2001)
Nat Hazards
, vol.23
, pp. 197-230
-
-
Jones, R.N.1
-
81
-
-
35148901159
-
Risk analysis of possible impacts of climate change on South Australian wheat production
-
Luo Q Y, Bellotti W, Williams M, et al. Risk analysis of possible impacts of climate change on South Australian wheat production. Clim Change, 2007, 85: 89-101.
-
(2007)
Clim Change
, vol.85
, pp. 89-101
-
-
Luo, Q.Y.1
Bellotti, W.2
Williams, M.3
-
82
-
-
0033865059
-
Scaling-up crop models for climate variability application
-
Hanson J W, Jones J W. Scaling-up crop models for climate variability application. Agric Sys, 2000, 65: 43-72.
-
(2000)
Agric Sys
, vol.65
, pp. 43-72
-
-
Hanson, J.W.1
Jones, J.W.2
-
83
-
-
0035128477
-
Developing genetic coefficients from crop simulation models using data from crop performance trials
-
Mavromatis T, Boote K J, Jones J W, et al. Developing genetic coefficients from crop simulation models using data from crop performance trials. Crop Sci, 2001, 41: 40-51.
-
(2001)
Crop Sci
, vol.41
, pp. 40-51
-
-
Mavromatis, T.1
Boote, K.J.2
Jones, J.W.3
-
84
-
-
2942746674
-
Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops
-
Challinor A J, Wheeler T R, Slingo J M, et al. Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops. Agric For Meteorol, 2004, 24: 199-120.
-
(2004)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.24
, pp. 199-120
-
-
Challinor, A.J.1
Wheeler, T.R.2
Slingo, J.M.3
-
85
-
-
34547898030
-
Crop model data assimilation with the Ensemble Kalman filter for improving regional crop yield forecasts
-
de Wit A J W, van Diepen C A. Crop model data assimilation with the Ensemble Kalman filter for improving regional crop yield forecasts. Agric For Meteorol, 2007, 146: 38-56.
-
(2007)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.146
, pp. 38-56
-
-
de Wit, A.J.W.1
van Diepen, C.A.2
-
86
-
-
33746881799
-
Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies
-
Ines A V M, Hansen J W. Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies. Agric For Meteorol, 2006, 138: 44-53.
-
(2006)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.138
, pp. 44-53
-
-
Ines, A.V.M.1
Hansen, J.W.2
-
87
-
-
44749086423
-
Potential predictability of crop yield using an ensemble climate forecast by a regional circulation model
-
Baigorria G A, Jones J W, O'Brien J J. Potential predictability of crop yield using an ensemble climate forecast by a regional circulation model. Agric For Meteorol, 2008, 148: 1353-1361.
-
(2008)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.148
, pp. 1353-1361
-
-
Baigorria, G.A.1
Jones, J.W.2
O'Brien, J.J.3
-
88
-
-
67049137556
-
Towards a coherent philosophy for modelling the environment
-
Beven K. Towards a coherent philosophy for modelling the environment. Proc R Soc A, 2002, 458: 2465-2484.
-
(2002)
Proc R Soc A
, vol.458
, pp. 2465-2484
-
-
Beven, K.1
-
89
-
-
1642365889
-
Multi-objective parameter conditioning of a three-source wheat canopy model
-
Mo X, Beven K. Multi-objective parameter conditioning of a three-source wheat canopy model. Agric For Meteorol, 2004, 122: 39-63.
-
(2004)
Agric For Meteorol
, vol.122
, pp. 39-63
-
-
Mo, X.1
Beven, K.2
-
90
-
-
40849146963
-
Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling
-
Blasone R-S, Vrugt J A, Madsen H, et al. Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. Adv Water Res, 2008, 31: 630-648.
-
(2008)
Adv Water Res
, vol.31
, pp. 630-648
-
-
Blasone, R.-S.1
Vrugt, J.A.2
Madsen, H.3
-
91
-
-
77951105459
-
Influence of likelihood function choice for estimating crop model parameters using the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation method
-
He J Q, Jones J W, Graham W D, et al. Influence of likelihood function choice for estimating crop model parameters using the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation method. Agric Sys, 2010, 103: 256-264.
-
(2010)
Agric Sys
, vol.103
, pp. 256-264
-
-
He, J.Q.1
Jones, J.W.2
Graham, W.D.3
-
92
-
-
39749109341
-
Evaluation of grassland dynamics in the Northern Tibetan Plateau of China using remote sensing and climate data
-
Zhang J H, Yao F M, Zheng L Y, et al. Evaluation of grassland dynamics in the Northern Tibetan Plateau of China using remote sensing and climate data. Sensor, 2007, 7: 3312-3328.
-
(2007)
Sensor
, vol.7
, pp. 3312-3328
-
-
Zhang, J.H.1
Yao, F.M.2
Zheng, L.Y.3
|