메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 77, Issue 5, 2013, Pages 1038-1047

Estimation of deer population dynamics using a bayesian state-space model with multiple abundance indices

Author keywords

Bayes; block count; Cervus nippon; hunters; Japan; large ungulate; pellet group count; population control; SPUE; state space model

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; AGE CLASS; CULLING; DEER; GROWTH RATE; HUNTING; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION MODELING;

EID: 84879600784     PISSN: 0022541X     EISSN: 19372817     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.556     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (69)

References (60)
  • 1
    • 77957882756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating roe deer abundance from pellet group counts in Spain: An assessment of methods suitable for Mediterranean woodlands
    • Acevedo, P., J. Ferreres, R. Jaroso, M. Duran, M. Escudero, J. Marco, and, C. Gortazar,. 2010. Estimating roe deer abundance from pellet group counts in Spain: an assessment of methods suitable for Mediterranean woodlands. Ecological Indicators 10: 1226-1230.
    • (2010) Ecological Indicators , vol.10 , pp. 1226-1230
    • Acevedo, P.1    Ferreres, J.2    Jaroso, R.3    Duran, M.4    Escudero, M.5    Marco, J.6    Gortazar, C.7
  • 2
    • 34248209222 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological function losses caused by monotonous land use induce crop raiding by wildlife on the island of Yakushima, southern Japan
    • Agetsuma, N., 2007. Ecological function losses caused by monotonous land use induce crop raiding by wildlife on the island of Yakushima, southern Japan. Ecological Research 22: 390-402.
    • (2007) Ecological Research , vol.22 , pp. 390-402
    • Agetsuma, N.1
  • 3
    • 0033521590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of bark-stripping by sika deer (Cervus nippon) on population dynamics of a mixed forest in Japan
    • Akashi, N., and, T. Nakashizuka,. 1999. Effects of bark-stripping by sika deer (Cervus nippon) on population dynamics of a mixed forest in Japan. Forest Ecology and Management 113: 75-82.
    • (1999) Forest Ecology and Management , vol.113 , pp. 75-82
    • Akashi, N.1    Nakashizuka, T.2
  • 4
    • 50949130592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population estimation methods and stochastic simulation for sika deer on the Boso Peninsula, Chiba prefecture, Japan
    • [In Japanese]
    • Asada, M., and, K. Ochiai,. 2007. Population estimation methods and stochastic simulation for sika deer on the Boso Peninsula, Chiba prefecture, Japan. Mammalogical Science 47: 45-53 [In Japanese].
    • (2007) Mammalogical Science , vol.47 , pp. 45-53
    • Asada, M.1    Ochiai, K.2
  • 5
    • 79955529929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deer browsing and soil disturbance induce cascading effects on plant communities: A multilevel path analysis
    • Beguin, J., D. Pother, and, S. D. Côté,. 2011. Deer browsing and soil disturbance induce cascading effects on plant communities: a multilevel path analysis. Ecological Applications 21: 439-451.
    • (2011) Ecological Applications , vol.21 , pp. 439-451
    • Beguin, J.1    Pother, D.2    Côté, S.D.3
  • 6
    • 0002858054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of snow cover on the distribution of non-migratory sika deer on the top of Mt. Tanzawa, Japan
    • Borkowski, J., H. Habuto, and, K. Furubayashi,. 1996. Effect of snow cover on the distribution of non-migratory sika deer on the top of Mt. Tanzawa, Japan. Journal of Forest Research 1: 9-11.
    • (1996) Journal of Forest Research , vol.1 , pp. 9-11
    • Borkowski, J.1    Habuto, H.2    Furubayashi, K.3
  • 7
    • 0742323619 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State-space models for the dynamics of wild animal populations
    • Buckland, S., K. Newman, L. Thomas, and, N. Koesters,. 2004. State-space models for the dynamics of wild animal populations. Ecological Modelling 171: 157-175.
    • (2004) Ecological Modelling , vol.171 , pp. 157-175
    • Buckland, S.1    Newman, K.2    Thomas, L.3    Koesters, N.4
  • 8
    • 0345570524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models
    • Calder, C., M. Lavine, P. Müller, and, J. Clark,. 2003. Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models. Ecology 84: 1395-1402.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 1395-1402
    • Calder, C.1    Lavine, M.2    Müller, P.3    Clark, J.4
  • 9
    • 63849337489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting population survival under future climate change: Density dependence, drought and extraction in an insular bighorn sheep
    • Colchero, F., R. A. Medellin, J. S. Clark, R. Lee, and, G. G. Katul,. 2009. Predicting population survival under future climate change: density dependence, drought and extraction in an insular bighorn sheep. Journal of Animal Ecology 78: 666-673.
    • (2009) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.78 , pp. 666-673
    • Colchero, F.1    Medellin, R.A.2    Clark, J.S.3    Lee, R.4    Katul, G.G.5
  • 11
    • 33751004691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating red deer Cervus elaphus populations: An analysis of variation and cost-effectiveness of counting methods
    • Daniels, M., 2006. Estimating red deer Cervus elaphus populations: an analysis of variation and cost-effectiveness of counting methods. Mammal Review 36: 235-247.
    • (2006) Mammal Review , vol.36 , pp. 235-247
    • Daniels, M.1
  • 12
    • 1342287624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Better inferences from population-dynamics experiments using Monte Carlo state-space likelihood methods
    • De Valpine, P., 2003. Better inferences from population-dynamics experiments using Monte Carlo state-space likelihood methods. Ecology 84: 3064-3077.
    • (2003) Ecology , vol.84 , pp. 3064-3077
    • De Valpine, P.1
  • 14
  • 15
    • 84875673838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconstruction and prediction of invasive mongoose population dynamics from history of introduction and management: A Bayesian state-space approach
    • Fukasawa, K., T. Hashimoto, M. Tatara, and, S. Abe,. 2013. Reconstruction and prediction of invasive mongoose population dynamics from history of introduction and management: a Bayesian state-space approach. Journal of Applied Ecology 50: 469-478.
    • (2013) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.50 , pp. 469-478
    • Fukasawa, K.1    Hashimoto, T.2    Tatara, M.3    Abe, S.4
  • 16
    • 0034882212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological impacts of increasing numbers of deer in British woodland
    • Fuller, R. J., and, R. M. A. Gill,. 2001. Ecological impacts of increasing numbers of deer in British woodland. Forestry 74: 193-199.
    • (2001) Forestry , vol.74 , pp. 193-199
    • Fuller, R.J.1    Gill, R.M.A.2
  • 17
    • 84867086419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models
    • Gelman, A., 2006. Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models. Bayesian Analysis 1: 515-533.
    • (2006) Bayesian Analysis , vol.1 , pp. 515-533
    • Gelman, A.1
  • 20
    • 0034888180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of deer on woodlands: The effects of browsing and seed dispersal on vegetation structure and composition
    • Gill, R. M. A., and, V. Beardall,. 2001. The impact of deer on woodlands: the effects of browsing and seed dispersal on vegetation structure and composition. Forestry 74: 209-218.
    • (2001) Forestry , vol.74 , pp. 209-218
    • Gill, R.M.A.1    Beardall, V.2
  • 22
    • 79958850090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconciling multiple data sources to improve accuracy of large-scale prediction of forest disease incidence
    • Hanks, E., M. Hooten, and, F. Baker,. 2011. Reconciling multiple data sources to improve accuracy of large-scale prediction of forest disease incidence. Ecological Applications 21: 1173-1188.
    • (2011) Ecological Applications , vol.21 , pp. 1173-1188
    • Hanks, E.1    Hooten, M.2    Baker, F.3
  • 23
    • 18044378409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consequences of increased deer browsing winter on silver fir and spruce regeneration in the Southern Vosges mountains: Implication for forest management
    • Heuze, P., A. Schnitzler, and, F. Klein,. 2005. Consequences of increased deer browsing winter on silver fir and spruce regeneration in the Southern Vosges mountains: implication for forest management. Annals of Forest Science 62: 175-181.
    • (2005) Annals of Forest Science , vol.62 , pp. 175-181
    • Heuze, P.1    Schnitzler, A.2    Klein, F.3
  • 24
    • 77950986413 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental factors affecting the distribution of the wild boar, sika deer, Asiatic black bear and Japanese macaque in central Japan, with implications for human wildlife conflict
    • Honda, T., 2009. Environmental factors affecting the distribution of the wild boar, sika deer, Asiatic black bear and Japanese macaque in central Japan, with implications for human wildlife conflict. Mammal Study 34: 107-116.
    • (2009) Mammal Study , vol.34 , pp. 107-116
    • Honda, T.1
  • 25
    • 0038458305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • White-tailed deer impact on the vegetation dynamics of a northern hardwood forest
    • Horsley, S., S. Stout, and, D. DeCalesta,. 2003. White-tailed deer impact on the vegetation dynamics of a northern hardwood forest. Ecological Applications 13: 98-118.
    • (2003) Ecological Applications , vol.13 , pp. 98-118
    • Horsley, S.1    Stout, S.2    Decalesta, D.3
  • 26
    • 31544461719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Japan Meteorological Agency. Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tokyo, Japan
    • Japan Meteorological Agency. 2002. Mesh climatic data of Japan. Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tokyo, Japan.
    • (2002) Mesh Climatic Data of Japan
  • 27
    • 25444512082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bark stripping by sika deer on veitch fir related to stand age, bark nutrition, and season in northern Mount Fuji district, central Japan
    • Jiang, Z., H. Ueda, M. Kitahara, and, H. Imaki,. 2005. Bark stripping by sika deer on veitch fir related to stand age, bark nutrition, and season in northern Mount Fuji district, central Japan. Journal of Forest Research 10: 359-365.
    • (2005) Journal of Forest Research , vol.10 , pp. 359-365
    • Jiang, Z.1    Ueda, H.2    Kitahara, M.3    Imaki, H.4
  • 29
    • 77954087595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive management of sika deer populations in Hokkaido, Japan: Theory and practice
    • Kaji, K., T. Saitoh, H. Uno, H. Matsuda, and, K. Yamamura,. 2010. Adaptive management of sika deer populations in Hokkaido, Japan: theory and practice. Population Ecology 52: 373-387.
    • (2010) Population Ecology , vol.52 , pp. 373-387
    • Kaji, K.1    Saitoh, T.2    Uno, H.3    Matsuda, H.4    Yamamura, K.5
  • 30
    • 77954203141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal pasture utilization by wild sika deer (Cervus nippon) in a sown grassland
    • Kamei, T., K. Takeda, K. Koh, S. Izumiyama, O. Watanabe, and, K. Ohshima,. 2010. Seasonal pasture utilization by wild sika deer (Cervus nippon) in a sown grassland. Grassland Science 56: 65-70.
    • (2010) Grassland Science , vol.56 , pp. 65-70
    • Kamei, T.1    Takeda, K.2    Koh, K.3    Izumiyama, S.4    Watanabe, O.5    Ohshima, K.6
  • 31
    • 41549102910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability of recent bark stripping damage by red deer (Cervus elaphus) on Norway spruce (Picea abies) in a low mountain range in Germany - A preliminary analysis
    • Kiffner, C., E. Rößiger, O. Trisl, R. Schulz, and, F. Rühe,. 2008. Probability of recent bark stripping damage by red deer (Cervus elaphus) on Norway spruce (Picea abies) in a low mountain range in Germany-a preliminary analysis. Silva Fennica 42: 125-134.
    • (2008) Silva Fennica , vol.42 , pp. 125-134
    • Kiffner, C.1    Rößiger, E.2    Trisl, O.3    Schulz, R.4    Rühe, F.5
  • 33
    • 0012342630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical generalised linear models: A synthesis of generalised linear models, random-effect models and structured dispersions
    • Lee, Y., and, J. A. Nelder,. 2001. Hierarchical generalised linear models: a synthesis of generalised linear models, random-effect models and structured dispersions. Biometrika 88: 987-1006.
    • (2001) Biometrika , vol.88 , pp. 987-1006
    • Lee, Y.1    Nelder, J.A.2
  • 34
    • 0006407254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WinBUGS - A Bayesian modeling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility
    • Lunn, D., A. Thomas, N. Best, and, D. Spiegelhalter,. 2000. WinBUGS-a Bayesian modeling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility. Statistical Computing 10: 325-337.
    • (2000) Statistical Computing , vol.10 , pp. 325-337
    • Lunn, D.1    Thomas, A.2    Best, N.3    Spiegelhalter, D.4
  • 36
    • 4043183381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summer forage biomass and the importance of litterfall for a high-density sika deer population
    • Miyaki, M., and, K. Kaji,. 2004. Summer forage biomass and the importance of litterfall for a high-density sika deer population. Ecological Research 19: 405-409.
    • (2004) Ecological Research , vol.19 , pp. 405-409
    • Miyaki, M.1    Kaji, K.2
  • 37
    • 80052813451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian state-space model of fin whale abundance trends from a 1991-2008 time series of line-transect surveys in the California Current
    • Moore, J. E., and, J. Barlow,. 2011. Bayesian state-space model of fin whale abundance trends from a 1991-2008 time series of line-transect surveys in the California Current. Journal of Applied Ecology 48: 1195-1205.
    • (2011) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.48 , pp. 1195-1205
    • Moore, J.E.1    Barlow, J.2
  • 39
    • 35349023864 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monitoring population size of red deer Cervus elaphus: An evaluation of two types of census data from Norway
    • Mysterud, A., E. Meisingset, V. Veiberg, R. Langvatn, E. Solberg, L. Loe, and, N. Stenseth,. 2007. Monitoring population size of red deer Cervus elaphus: an evaluation of two types of census data from Norway. Wildlife Biology 13: 285-298.
    • (2007) Wildlife Biology , vol.13 , pp. 285-298
    • Mysterud, A.1    Meisingset, E.2    Veiberg, V.3    Langvatn, R.4    Solberg, E.5    Loe, L.6    Stenseth, N.7
  • 40
    • 84858795195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of browsing by sika deer (Cervus nippon) on subalpine vegetation at Mt. Kita, central Japan
    • Nagaike, T., 2012. Effects of browsing by sika deer (Cervus nippon) on subalpine vegetation at Mt. Kita, central Japan. Ecological Research 27: 467-473.
    • (2012) Ecological Research , vol.27 , pp. 467-473
    • Nagaike, T.1
  • 41
    • 0037416108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bark-stripping by sika deer (Cervus nippon) in Larix kaempferi plantations in central Japan
    • Nagaike, T., and, A. Hayashi,. 2003. Bark-stripping by sika deer (Cervus nippon) in Larix kaempferi plantations in central Japan. Forest Ecology and Management 175: 563-572.
    • (2003) Forest Ecology and Management , vol.175 , pp. 563-572
    • Nagaike, T.1    Hayashi, A.2
  • 42
    • 35349024453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aerial surveys vs hunting statistics to monitor deer density: The example of Anticosti Island, Québec, Canada
    • Pettorelli, N., S. Côté, A. Gingras, F. Potvin, and, J. Huot,. 2007. Aerial surveys vs hunting statistics to monitor deer density: the example of Anticosti Island, Québec, Canada. Wildlife Biology 13: 321-327.
    • (2007) Wildlife Biology , vol.13 , pp. 321-327
    • Pettorelli, N.1    Côté, S.2    Gingras, A.3    Potvin, F.4    Huot, J.5
  • 43
    • 84355163078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of snow on the functional response of grazing ungulates
    • Robinson, B. G., and, E. H. Merrill,. 2011. The influence of snow on the functional response of grazing ungulates. Oikos 121: 28-34.
    • (2011) Oikos , vol.121 , pp. 28-34
    • Robinson, B.G.1    Merrill, E.H.2
  • 44
    • 54049128917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of four methods used to estimate population density of moose Alces alces
    • Rönnegård, L., H. Sand, H. Andrén, J. Måansson, and, Å. Pehrson,. 2008. Evaluation of four methods used to estimate population density of moose Alces alces. Wildlife Biology 14: 358-371.
    • (2008) Wildlife Biology , vol.14 , pp. 358-371
    • Rönnegård, L.1    Sand, H.2    Andrén, H.3    Måansson, J.4    Pehrson, Å.5
  • 45
    • 0034882155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deer impacts on forest ecosystems: A north American perspective
    • Rooney, T. P., 2001. Deer impacts on forest ecosystems: a north American perspective. Forestry 74: 201-208.
    • (2001) Forestry , vol.74 , pp. 201-208
    • Rooney, T.P.1
  • 47
    • 0032920694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of a harvested moose population in a variable environment
    • Solberg, E., B. Saether, O. Strand, and, A. Loison,. 1999. Dynamics of a harvested moose population in a variable environment. Journal of Animal Ecology 68: 186-204.
    • (1999) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.68 , pp. 186-204
    • Solberg, E.1    Saether, B.2    Strand, O.3    Loison, A.4
  • 48
    • 0024928071 scopus 로고
    • The impact of white-tailed deer Odocoileus virginianus on regeneration in the coastal forests of Stewart Island, New Zealand
    • Stewart, G. H., and, L. E. Burrows,. 1989. The impact of white-tailed deer Odocoileus virginianus on regeneration in the coastal forests of Stewart Island, New Zealand. Biological Conservation 49: 275-293.
    • (1989) Biological Conservation , vol.49 , pp. 275-293
    • Stewart, G.H.1    Burrows, L.E.2
  • 50
    • 0027075825 scopus 로고
    • Foot morphology and distribution of sika deer in relation to snow depth in Japan
    • Takatsuki, S., 1992. Foot morphology and distribution of sika deer in relation to snow depth in Japan. Ecological Research 7: 19-23.
    • (1992) Ecological Research , vol.7 , pp. 19-23
    • Takatsuki, S.1
  • 51
    • 67949123187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of sika deer on vegetation in Japan: A review
    • Takatsuki, S., 2009. Effects of sika deer on vegetation in Japan: a review. Biological Conservation 142: 1922-1929.
    • (2009) Biological Conservation , vol.142 , pp. 1922-1929
    • Takatsuki, S.1
  • 52
    • 80755168878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Slow responses of ecosystems to reductions in deer (Cervidae) populations and strategies for achieving recovery
    • Tanentzap, A. J., K. J. Kirby, and, E. Goldberg,. 2012. Slow responses of ecosystems to reductions in deer (Cervidae) populations and strategies for achieving recovery. Forest Ecology and Management 264: 159-166.
    • (2012) Forest Ecology and Management , vol.264 , pp. 159-166
    • Tanentzap, A.J.1    Kirby, K.J.2    Goldberg, E.3
  • 54
    • 0006179349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population and harvest management
    • A. Franzmann, and C. Schwartz, editors. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC, USA
    • Timmermann, H., and, M. Buss,. 1998. Population and harvest management. Pages 559-615 in, A. Franzmann, and, C. Schwartz, editors. Ecology and management of the North American moose. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC, USA.
    • (1998) Ecology and Management of the North American Moose , pp. 559-615
    • Timmermann, H.1    Buss, M.2
  • 55
    • 38049031223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the damage of red deer (Cervus elaphus) grazing on grassland production in southeastern Slovenia
    • Trdan, S., and, M. Vidrih,. 2008. Quantifying the damage of red deer (Cervus elaphus) grazing on grassland production in southeastern Slovenia. Eurasian Journal of Wildlife Research 54: 138-141.
    • (2008) Eurasian Journal of Wildlife Research , vol.54 , pp. 138-141
    • Trdan, S.1    Vidrih, M.2
  • 56
    • 1542427534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fitting population dynamics models to count and cull data using sequential importance sampling
    • Trenkel, V., D. Elston, and, S. Buckland,. 2000. Fitting population dynamics models to count and cull data using sequential importance sampling. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95: 363-374.
    • (2000) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.95 , pp. 363-374
    • Trenkel, V.1    Elston, D.2    Buckland, S.3
  • 57
    • 79551506910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution patterns of five mammals in the Jomon period, middle Edo period, and the present, in the Japanese Archipelago
    • Tsujino, R., E. Ishimaru, and, T. Yumoto,. 2010. Distribution patterns of five mammals in the Jomon period, middle Edo period, and the present, in the Japanese Archipelago. Mammal Study 35: 179-189.
    • (2010) Mammal Study , vol.35 , pp. 179-189
    • Tsujino, R.1    Ishimaru, E.2    Yumoto, T.3
  • 58
    • 77954084372 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Culling versus density effects in management of a deer population
    • Ueno, M., K. Kaji, and, T. Saitoh,. 2010. Culling versus density effects in management of a deer population. Journal of Wildlife Management 74: 1472-1483.
    • (2010) Journal of Wildlife Management , vol.74 , pp. 1472-1483
    • Ueno, M.1    Kaji, K.2    Saitoh, T.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.