Does selection intensity increase when populations decrease? Absolute fitness, relative fitness, and the opportunity for selection

Evolutionary Ecology

Volumn 27, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 477-488

  Reiss, John O ^a  

^a HUMBOLDT STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Demography; Fitness variance; Individual fitness; Population growth; Reproductive success

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHY; EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY; FITNESS; NATURAL SELECTION; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION GROWTH; SURVIVAL;

EID: 84875399749     PISSN: 02697653     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10682-012-9618-7     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Anderson JH, Ward EJ, Carlson SM (2011) A model for estimating the minimum number of offspring to sample in studies of reproductive success. J Hered 102: 567-576.
2. Anscombe F (1949) The statistical analysis of insect counts based on the negative binomial distribution. Biometrics 5: 165-173.
3. Arnold SJ (1986) Limits on stabilizing, disruptive, and correlational selection set by the opportunity for selection. Am Nat 128: 143-146.
4. Arnold SJ, Wade MJ (1984a) On the measurement of natural and sexual selection: theory. Evolution 38: 709-719.
5. Arnold SJ, Wade MJ (1984b) On the measurement of natural and sexual selection: applications. Evolution 38: 720-734.
6. Barrowclough GF, Rockwell RF (1993) Variance of lifetime reproductive success: estimation based on demographic data. Am Nat 141: 281-295.
7. Bell G, Collins S (2008) Adaptation, extinction and global change. Evol Appl 1: 3-16.
8. Bell G, Gonzalez A (2009) Evolutionary rescue can prevent extinction following environmental change. Ecol Lett 12: 942-948.
9. Bell G, Gonzalez A (2011) Adaptation and evolutionary rescue in metapopulations experiencing environmental deterioration. Science 332: 1327-1330.
10. Boag PT, Grant PR (1981) Intense natural selection in a population of Darwin's finches (Geospizinae) in the Galápagos. Science 214: 82-85.
11. Brown D (1988) Components of lifetime reproductive success. In: Clutton-Brock TH (ed) Reproductive success. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, pp 439-453.
12. Burt A (1995) The evolution of fitness. Evolution 49: 1-8.
13. 0: demographic models for variability of lifetime reproductive output. PLoS ONE 6: e20809.
14. Consul PC, Jain G (1973) A generalization of the Poisson distribution. Technometrics 15: 791-799.
15. Coulson T, Crawley MJ (2004) How average life tables can mislead. In: Clutton-Brock T, Pemberton JM (eds) Soay sheep. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 328-331.
16. Coulson T, Benton TG, Lundberg P, Dall SRX, Kendall BE, Gaillard J-M (2006) Estimating individual contributions to population growth: evolutionary fitness in ecological time. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 273: 547-555.
17. Coulson T, Tuljapurkar S, Childs DZ (2010) Using evolutionary demography to link life history theory, quantitative genetics and population ecology. J Anim Ecol 79: 1226-1240.
18. Crow JF (1958) Some possibilities for measuring selection intensities in man. Hum Biol 30: 1-13.
19. Crow JF (1962) Population genetics: selection. In: Burdette WJ (ed) Methodology in human genetics. Holden-Day, San Francisco, pp 53-75.
20. Crow JF (1989a) Fitness variation in natural populations. In: Hill WG, Mackay TFC, Robertson A (eds) Evolution and animal breeding: reviews on molecular and quantitative approaches in honour of Alan Robertson. CAB International, Wallingford, Oxon, pp 91-97.
21. Crow JF (1989b) Update to "Some possibilities for measuring selection intensities in Man". Hum Biol 61: 776-780.
22. Downhower JF, Blumer LS, Brown L (1987) Opportunity for selection: an appropriate measure for evaluating variation in the potential for selection? Evolution 41: 1395-1400.
23. Endler JA (1986) Natural selection in the wild. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
24. Fisher RA (1930) The genetical theory of natural selection. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
25. Fisher RA (1939) Stage of development as a factor influencing the variance in the number of offspring, frequency of mutants and related quantities. Ann Eugen 9: 406-408.
26. Gibbs HL, Grant PR (1987) Oscillating selection on Darwin's finches. Nature 327: 511-513.
27. Gillespie JH (1977) Natural selection for variances in offspring numbers: a new evolutionary principle. Am Nat 111: 1010-1014.
28. Gomulkiewicz R, Holt RD (1995) When does evolution by natural selection prevent extinction? Evolution 49: 201-207.
29. Grant BR, Grant PR (1993) Evolution of Darwin's finches caused by a rare climatic event. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 251: 111-117.
30. Grant PR, Grant BR (2000) Non-random fitness variation in two populations of Darwin's finches. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 267: 131-138.
31. Grant PR, Grant BR (2002) Unpredictable evolution in a 30-year study of Darwin's finches. Science 296: 707-711.
32. Hairston NG Jr, Ellner SP, Geber MA, Yoshida T, Fox JA (2005) Rapid evolution and the convergence of ecological and evolutionary time. Ecol Lett 8: 1114-1127.
33. Haldane JBS, Jayakar S (1963) Polymorphism due to selection of varying direction. J Genet 58: 237-242.
34. e/N ratio. Evolution 59: 1596-1599.
35. Hoekstra HE, Hoekstra JM, Berrigan D, Vignieri SN, Hoang A, Hill CE, Beerli P, Kingsolver JG (2001) Strength and tempo of directional selection in the wild. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 98: 9157-9160.
36. Kendall BE, Wittmann ME (2010) A stochastic model for annual reproductive success. Am Nat 175: 461-468.
37. Kendall BE, Fox GA, Fujiwara M, Nogeire TM (2011) Demographic heterogeneity, cohort selection, and population growth. Ecology 92: 1985-1993.
38. Kingsolver JG, Hoekstra HE, Hoekstra JM, Berrigan D, Vignieri SN, Hill CE, Hoang A, Gibert P, Beerli P (2001) The strength of phenotypic selection in natural populations. Am Nat 157: 245-261.
39. Kingsolver JG, Diamond SE, Siepielski AM, Carlson SM (2012) Synthetic analyses of phenotypic selection in natural populations: lessons, limitations and future directions. Evol Ecol 26: 1101-1118.
40. Kinnison MT, Unwin MJ, Quinn TP (2008) Eco-evolutionary vs. habitat contributions to invasion in salmon: experimental evaluation in the wild. Mol Ecol 17: 405-414.
41. Kokko H, López-Sepulcre A (2007) The ecogenetic link between demography and evolution: can we bridge the gap between theory and data? Ecology 10: 773-782.
42. Lande R, Arnold SJ (1983) The measurement of selection on correlated characters. Evolution 37: 1210-1226.
43. Lavergne S, Mouquet N, Thuiller W, Ronce O (2010) Biodiversity and climate change: integrating evolutionary and ecological responses of species and communities. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 41: 321-350.
44. Lynch M, Walsh B (1998) Genetics and analysis of quantitative traits. Sinauer, Sunderland.
45. Matthews B, Narwani A, Hausch S, Nonaka E, Peter H, Yamamichi M, Sullam KE, Bird KC, Thomas MK, Hanley TC (2011) Toward an integration of evolutionary biology and ecosystem science. Ecol Lett 14: 690-701.
46. Melbourne BA, Hastings A (2008) Extinction risk depends strongly on factors contributing to stochasticity. Nature 454: 100-103.
47. Metcalf CJE, Pavard S (2006) Why evolutionary biologists should be demographers. Trends Ecol Evol 22: 205-212.
48. Mooney H, Cleland E (2001) The evolutionary impact of invasive species. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 98: 5446-5451.
49. Orr HA (2009) Fitness and its role in evolutionary genetics. Nat Rev Genet 10: 531-539.
50. Pelletier F, Clutton-Brock T, Pemberton JM, Tuljapurkar S, Coulson T (2007) The evolutionary demography of ecological change: linking trait variation and population growth. Science 315: 1571-1574.
51. Pelletier F, Garant D, Hendry A (2009) Eco-evolutionary dynamics. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 364: 1483-1489.
52. Pigliucci M, Muller G (2010) Evolution, the extended synthesis. MIT Press, Cambridge.
53. Price TD, Grant PR, Gibbs HL, Boag PT (1984) Recurrent patterns of natural selection in a population of Darwin's finches. Nature 309: 787-789.
54. Reiss JO (2009) Not by design: retiring Darwin's watchmaker. University of California Press, Berkeley.
55. Rice SH (2008) A stochastic version of the Price equation reveals the interplay of deterministic and stochastic processes in evolution. BMC Evol Biol 8: 262.
56. Schoener TW (2011) The newest synthesis: understanding the interplay of evolutionary and ecological dynamics. Science 331: 426-429.
57. Siepielski AM, DiBattista JD, Carlson SM (2009) It's about time: the temporal dynamics of phenotypic selection in the wild. Ecol Lett 12: 1261-1276.
58. Stover JP, Kendall BE, Fox GA (2012) Demographic heterogeneity impacts density-dependent population dynamics. Theor Ecol 5: 1-13.
59. Strauss SY, Lau JA, Carroll SP (2006) Evolutionary responses of natives to introduced species: what do introductions tell us about natural communities? Ecol Lett 9: 357-374.
60. Turcotte MM, Reznick DN, Hare JD (2011) The impact of rapid evolution on population dynamics in the wild: experimental test of eco-evolutionary dynamics. Ecol Lett 14: 1084-1092.
61. Visser ME (2008) Keeping up with a warming world; assessing the rate of adaptation to climate change. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 275: 649-659.
62. Wade MJ, Arnold SJ (1980) The intensity of sexual selection in relation to male sexual behavior, female choice, and sperm precedence. Anim Behav 28: 446-461.
63. Wallace AR (1858) On the tendency of varieties to depart indefinitely from the original type. Proc Linn Soc Lond Zool 3: 53-62.