Adaptive management for competing forest goods and services under climate change

Ecological Applications

Volumn 22, Issue 8, 2012, Pages 2065-2077

  Temperli, Christian ^a   Bugmann, Harald ^a   Elkin, Ché ^a  

^a ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Black forest; Climate change; Ecological indices; Ecosystem goods and services; Germany; Landscape model; Multi objective forest planning; Norway spruce monoculture conversion; Scenario analysis

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHT STRESS; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; FOREST MANAGEMENT; FOREST RESOURCE; FORESTRY MODELING; FORESTRY PRODUCTION; HETEROGENEITY; LANDSCAPE; MANAGEMENT PRACTICE; MONOCULTURE; SPECIES DIVERSITY; TRADE-OFF;

ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; FORESTRY; METHODOLOGY; THEORETICAL MODEL; TREE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; FORESTRY; MODELS, THEORETICAL; TREES;

BADEN-WURTTEMBERG; BLACK FOREST; GERMANY;

CONIFEROPHYTA; PICEA ABIES;

EID: 84871215744     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/12-0210.1     Document Type: Article

References (75)

1. Allen, C. D., et al. 2010. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecology and Management 259:660-684.
2. Anekonda, T. S., M. C. Lomas, W. T. Adams, K. L. Kavanagh, and S. N. Aitken. 2002. Genetic variation in drought hardiness of coastal Douglas-fir seedlings from British Columbia. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32:1701-1716.
3. Augusto, L., J. Ranger, D. Binkley, and A. Rothe. 2002. Impact of several common tree species of European temperate forests on soil fertility. Annals of Forest Science 59:233-253.
4. Barbier, S., F. Gosselin, and P. Balandier. 2008. Influence of tree species on understory vegetation diversity and mechanisms involved-a critical review for temperate and boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 254:1-15.
5. Beaudet, M., B. D. Harvey, C. Messier, K. D. Coates, J. Poulin, D. D. Kneeshaw, S. Brais, and Y. Bergeron. 2011. Managing understory light conditions in boreal mixedwoods through variation in the intensity and spatial pattern of harvest: A modelling approach. Forest Ecology and Management 261:84-94.
6. Briceno-Elizondo, E., D. Jager, M. J. Lexer, J. Garcia-Gonzalo, H. Peltola, and S. Kellomaki. 2008. Multi-criteria evaluation of multi-purpose stand treatment programmes for Finnish boreal forests under changing climate. Ecological Indicators 8:26-45.
7. Bugmann, H. 1997. Sensitivity of forests in the European Alps to future climatic change. Climate Research 8:35-44.
8. Bugmann, H. 2001. A review of forest gap models. Climatic Change 51:259-305.
9. Bugmann, H., M. Lindner, P. Lasch, M. Flechsig, B. Ebert, and W. Cramer. 2000. Scaling issues in forest succession modelling. Climatic Change 44:265-289.
10. Bugmann, H. K. M., and A. M. Solomon. 2000. Explaining forest composition and biomass across multiple biogeographical regions. Ecological Applications 10:95-114.
11. Chmura, D. J., P. D. Anderson, G. T. Howe, C. A. Harrington, J. E. Halofsky, D. L. Peterson, D. C. Shaw, and J. Brad St. Clair. 2011. Forest responses to climate change in the northwestern United States: Ecophysiological foundations for adaptive management. Forest Ecology and Management 261:1121-1142.
12. Collins, M., B. B. B. Booth, G. R. Harris, J. M. Murphy, D. M. H. Sexton, and M. J. Webb. 2006. Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change. Climate Dynamics 27:127-147.
13. Colombaroli, D., P. D. Henne, P. Kaltenrieder, E. Gobet, and W. Tinner. 2010. Species responses to fire, climate and human impact at tree line in the Alps as evidenced by palaeoenvironmental records and a dynamic simulation model. Journal of Ecology 98:1346-1357.
14. Connell, J. H. 1978. Diversity in tropical rain forests and Coral Reefs. Science 199:1302-1310.
15. de Groot, R. S., R. Alkemade, L. Braat, L. Hein, and L. Willemen. 2010. Challenges in integrating the concept of ecosystem services and values in landscape planning, management and decision making. Ecological Complexity 7:260-272.
16. DeWalt, S. J., S. K. Maliakal, and J. S. Denslow. 2003. Changes in vegetation structure and composition along a tropical forest chronosequence: Implications for wildlife. Forest Ecology and Management 182:139-151.
17. Duncker, P. H., H. Spiecker, and K. Tojic. 2007. EFORWOOD D 2.1.3: Definition of forest management alternatives. Albert-Ludwigs-Universitat, Freiburg, Germany.
18. Elmqvist, T., C. Folke, M. Nystrom, G. Peterson, J. Bengtsson, B. Walker, and J. Norberg. 2003. Response diversity, ecosystem change, and resilience. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1:488-494.
19. Farrell, E., E. Fuhrer, D. Ryan, F. Andersson, R. Huttl, and P. Piussi. 2000. European forest ecosystems: Building the future on the legacy of the past. Forest Ecology and Management 132:5-20.
20. Fischer, J., D. B. Lindenmayer, and A. D. Manning. 2006. Biodiversity, ecosystem function, and resilience: Ten guiding principles for commodity production landscapes. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 4:80-86.
21. Furstenau, C., F. W. Badeck, P. Lasch, M. J. Lexer, M. Lindner, P. Mohr, and F. Suckow. 2006. Multiple-use forest management in consideration of climate change and the interests of stakeholder groups. European Journal of Forest Research 126:225-239.
22. Fyllas, N. M., and A. Y. Troumbis. 2009. Simulating vegetation shifts in north-eastern Mediterranean mountain forests under climatic change scenarios. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18:64-77.
23. Gossner, M., and H. Utschick. 2004. Douglas fir stands deprive wintering bird species of food resource. Neobiota 3:105-122.
24. Gustafson, E. J., and L. V. Rasmussen. 2002. Assessing the spatial implications of interactions among strategic forest management options using a Windows-based harvest simulator. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 33:179-196.
25. Hanewinkel, M., S. Hummel, and D. A. Cullmann. 2010. Modelling and economic evaluation of forest biome shifts under climate change in Southwest Germany. Forest Ecology and Management 259:710-719.
26. Hauer, G., S. Cumming, F. Schmiegelow, W. Adamowicz, M. Weber, and R. Jagodzinski. 2010. Tradeoffs between forestry resource and conservation values under alternate policy regimes: A spatial analysis of the western Canadian boreal plains. Ecological Modelling 221:2590-2603.
27. Heinimann, H. R. 2010. A concept in adaptive ecosystem management-an engineering perspective. Forest Ecology and Management 259:848-856.
28. Heiri, C., A. Wolf, L. Rohrer, and H. Bugmann. 2009. Forty years of natural dynamics in Swiss beech forests: Structure, composition, and the influence of former management. Ecological Applications 19:1920-1934.
29. Henne, P. D., C. M. Elkin, B. Reineking, H. Bugmann, and W. Tinner. 2011. Did soil development limit spruce (Picea abies) expansion in the Central Alps during the Holocene? Testing a palaeobotanical hypothesis with a dynamic landscape model. Journal of Biogeography 38:933-949.
30. Hollweg, H.-D., et al. 2008. Ensemble simulations over Europe with the regional climate model CLM forced with IPCC AR4 Global Scenarios. Technical Report number 3. Model and Data group, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany. www.mad.zmaw.de/fileadmin/extern/ documents/reports/MaD- TechRep3-CLM-1-.pdf
31. Kint, V., P. Lasch, M. Lindner, and B. Muys. 2009. Multipurpose conversion management of Scots pine towards mixed oak-birch stands-a long-term simulation approach. Forest Ecology and Management 257:199-214.
32. Kjellstrom, E., G. Nikulin, U. Hansson, G. Strandberg, and A. Ullerstig. 2011. 21st century changes in the European climate: Uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Tellus A 63:24-40.
33. Klimo, E. 2000. Spruce moncultures in Central Europe. European Forest Institute, Joensuu, Finland.
34. Knoke, T., C. Ammer, B. Stimm, and R. Mosandl. 2008. Admixing broadleaved to coniferous tree species: A review on yield, ecological stability and economics. European Journal of Forest Research 127:89-101.
35. Kolling, C. 2007. Klimahullen fur 27 Baumarten. AFZ Der Wald, Allgemeine Forst Zeitschrift fur Waldwirtschaft und Umweltvorsorge 62:1242-1245.
36. Lasch, P., F. Badeck, F. Suckow, M. Lindner, and P. Mohr. 2005. Model-based analysis of management alternatives at stand and regional level in Brandenburg (Germany). Forest Ecology and Management 207:59-74.
37. Lasch, P., M. Lindner, M. Erhard, F. Suckow, and A. Wenzel. 2002. Regional impact assessment on forest structure and functions under climate change-the Brandenburg case study. Forest Ecology and Management 162:73-86.
38. Lassauce, A., Y. Paillet, H. Jactel, and C. Bouget. 2011. Deadwood as a surrogate for forest biodiversity: Metaanalysis of correlations between deadwood volume and species richness of saproxylic organisms. Ecological Indicators 11:1027-1039.
39. Lexer, M., and R. Brooks. 2005. Decision support for multiple purpose forestry. Forest Ecology and Management 207:1-3.
40. Lindner, M., M. Maroschek, S. Netherer, A. Kremer, A. Barbati, J. Garcia-Gonzalo, R. Seidl, S. Delzon, P. Corona, M. Kolstrom, M. J. Lexer, and M. Marchetti. 2010. Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems. Forest Ecology and Management 259:698-709.
41. Ludemann, T. 2010. Past fuel wood exploitation and natural forest vegetation in the Black Forest, the Vosges and neighbouring regions in western Central Europe. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 291:154-165.
42. McCarney, G. R., G. W. Armstrong, and W. L. Adamowicz. 2008. Joint production of timber, carbon, and wildlife habitat in the Canadian boreal plains. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38:1478-1492.
43. McElhinny, C., P. Gibbons, C. Brack, and J. Bauhus. 2005. Forest and woodland stand structural complexity: Its definition and measurement. Forest Ecology and Management 218:1-24.
44. Meier, I., and C. Leuschner. 2008. Genotypic variation and phenotypic plasticity in the drought response of fine roots of European beech. Tree Physiology 28:297-309.
45. Michel, A. K., S. Winter, and A. Linde. 2011. The effect of tree dimension on the diversity of bark microhabitat structures and bark use in Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii var. menziesii). Canadian Journal of Forest Research 41:300-308.
46. MLR. 1999. Richtlinie Landesweiter Waldentwicklungstypen. Ministerium fur Landlicher Raum Baden-Wurttemberg, Stuttgart, Germany.
47. Morin, X., D. Viner, and I. Chuine. 2008. Tree species range shifts at a continental scale: New predictive insights from a process-based model. Journal of Ecology 96:784-794.
48. Muller, J., and R. Butler. 2010. A review of habitat thresholds for dead wood: A baseline for management recommendations in European forests. European Journal of Forest Research 129:981-992.
49. Muller, T., E. Oberdorfer, G. Philiippi, and E. Walter. 1992. Potentielle naturliche Vegetation und Naturraumliche Einheiten. Landesanstalt fur Umweltschutz Baden-Wurttemberg, Karlsruhe, Germany.
50. Niinemets, U. 2010. Responses of forest trees to single and multiple environmental stresses from seedlings to mature plants: Past stress history, stress interactions, tolerance and acclimation. Forest Ecology and Management 260:1623-1639.
51. Nilsson, S. G., M. Niklasson, J. Hedin, G. Aronsson, J. M. Gutowski, P. Linder, H. Ljungberg, G. Mikusinski, and T. Ranius. 2002. Densities of large living and dead trees in oldgrowth temperate and boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 161:189-204.
52. Pabst, R., M. Goslin, S. Garman, and T. Spies. 2008. Calibrating and testing a gap model for simulating forest management in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Ecology and Management 256:958-972.
53. Perry, G. L. W., and N. J. Enright. 2006. Spatial modelling of vegetation change in dynamic landscapes: A review of methods and applications. Progress in Physical Geography 30:47-72.
54. Pretzsch, H., R. Grote, B. Reineking, T. Rotzer, and S. Seifert. 2008. Models for forest ecosystem management: A European perspective. Annals of Botany 101:1065-1087.
55. Rasche, L., L. Fahse, A. Zingg, and H. Bugmann. 2011. Getting a virtual forester fit for the challenge of climatic change. Journal of Applied Ecology 48:1174-1186.
56. Remm, J., and A. Lohmus. 2011. Tree cavities in forests-the broad distribution pattern of a keystone structure for biodiversity. Forest Ecology and Management 262:579-585.
57. Reyer, C., P. Lasch, G. M. J. Mohren, and F. J. Sterck. 2010. Inter-specific competition in mixed forests of Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) and common beech (Fagus sylvatica) under climate change-a model-based analysis. Annals of Forest Science 67:805.
58. Rosenvald, R., A. Lohmus, A. Kraut, and L. Remm. 2011. Bird communities in hemiboreal old-growth forests: The roles of food supply, stand structure, and site type. Forest Ecology and Management 262:1541-1550.
59. Saura, S., P. Vogt, J. Velá zquez, A. Hernando, and R. Tejera. 2011. Key structural forest connectors can be identified by combining landscape spatial pattern and network analyses. Forest Ecology and Management 262:150-160.
60. Schumacher, S., and H. Bugmann. 2006. The relative importance of climatic effects, wildfires and management for future forest landscape dynamics in the Swiss Alps. Global Change Biology 12:1435-1450.
61. Schumacher, S., H. Bugmann, and D. Mladenoff. 2004. Improving the formulation of tree growth and succession in a spatially explicit landscape model. Ecological Modelling 180:175-194.
62. Schumacher, S., B. Reineking, J. Sibold, and H. Bugmann. 2006. Modeling the impact of climate and vegetation on fire regimes in mountain landscapes. Landscape Ecology 21:539-554.
63. Schutz, J.-P., M. Gotz, W. Schmid, and D. Mandallaz. 2006. Vulnerability of spruce (Picea abies) and beech (Fagus sylvatica) forest stands to storms and consequences for silviculture. European Journal of Forest Research 125:291-302.
64. Seidl, R., W. Rammer, D. Jager, W. S. Currie, and M. J. Lexer. 2007. Assessing trade-offs between carbon sequestration and timber production within a framework of multi-purpose forestry in Austria. Forest Ecology and Management 248:64-79.
65. Shanin, V. N., A. S. Komarov, A. V. Mikhailov, and S. S. Bykhovets. 2011. Modelling carbon and nitrogen dynamics in forest ecosystems of Central Russia under different climate change scenarios and forest management regimes. Ecological Modelling 222:2262-2275.
66. Spiecker, H., J. Hansen, and E. Klimo. 2004. Norway spruce conversion: Options and consequences. European Forest Institute Research Report 18. Brill Academic Publishers, Leiden, The Netherlands.
67. Spies, T. A., and J. F. Franklin. 1991. The structure of natural young, mature, and old-growth Douglas-Fir forests in Oregon and Washington. Pages 91-109 in K. B. Aubry, M. H. Brookes, J. K. Agee, R. G. Anthony, and J. F. Franklin, editors. Wildlife and vegetation of unmanaged Douglas-fir forests. USDA Forest Service, Portland, Oregon, USA.
68. Stone, J., L. Coop, and D. Manter. 2008. Predicting effects of climate change on Swiss needle cast disease severity in Pacific Northwest forests. Canadian Journal of Plant Pathology 30:169-176.
69. Sweeney, O. F. M., M. W. Wilson, S. Irwin, T. C. Kelly, and J. O'Halloran. 2010. Are bird density, species richness and community structure similar between native woodlands and non-native plantations in an area with a generalist bird fauna? Biodiversity and Conservation 19:2329-2342.
70. Turner, M. G., W. L. Baker, C. J. Peterson, and R. K. Peet. 1998. Factors influencing succession: Lessons from large, infrequent natural disturbances. Ecosystems 1:511-523.
71. Walters, C. J. 1986. Adaptive management of renewable resources. McGraw Hill, New York, New York, USA.
72. Watt, M. S., J. K. Stone, I. A. Hood, and D. J. Palmer. 2010. Predicting the severity of Swiss needle cast on Douglas-fir under current and future climate in New Zealand. Forest Ecology and Management 260:2232-2240.
73. Wermelinger, B., A. Rigling, D. S. Mathis, and M. Dobbertin. 2008. Assessing the role of bark-and wood-boring insects in the decline of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) in the Swiss Rhone valley. Ecological Entomology 33:239-249.
74. Yousefpour, R., and M. Hanewinkel. 2009. Modelling of forest conversion planning with an adaptive simulation-optimization approach and simultaneous consideration of the values of timber, carbon and biodiversity. Ecological Economics 68:1711-1722.
75. Zweifel, R., K. Steppe, and F. J. Sterck. 2007. Stomatal regulation by microclimate and tree water relations: Interpreting ecophysiological field data with a hydraulic plant model. Journal of Experimental Botany 58:2113-2131.