A formal statistical approach to representing uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modelling with focus on residual analysis and probabilistic output evaluation - distinguishing simulation and prediction

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 472-473, Issue , 2012, Pages 36-52

  Breinholt, Anders ^a   Møller, Jan Kloppenborg ^a   Madsen, Henrik ^a   Mikkelsen, Peter Steen ^a  

^a TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF DENMARK   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Conceptual urban drainage model; Infiltration inflow; Interval skill score; Maximum likelihood estimation; Output error method; Stochastic differential equations

Indexed keywords

CONFIDENCE BOUNDS; ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING; EVALUATION MEASURES; FORMAL APPROACH; FREQUENTIST; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; MODEL COMPARISON; MODEL OUTPUTS; MODEL STATE; MODEL UNCERTAINTIES; OBSERVATION NOISE; OUTPUT ERROR METHOD; PROBABILISTIC OUTPUT; PROBABILISTIC PERFORMANCE; RAINFALL RUNOFF; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELLING; RESIDUAL ANALYSIS; SCORING CRITERIA; SEWER SYSTEM; SKILL SCORE; STATE SPACE MODEL; STATIONARITY; STATISTICAL APPROACH; STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTION; STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATES; UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION; UNCERTAINTY EVALUATION; URBAN DRAINAGE MODEL;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS; ERRORS; HYDROLOGY; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION; MODEL CHECKING; OPTIMIZATION; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; RAIN; RUNOFF; STATE SPACE METHODS;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

DATA SET; DRAINAGE NETWORK; EVAPORATION; INFILTRATION; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ANALYSIS; PARAMETERIZATION; PREDICTION; PROBABILITY; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; SEWER NETWORK; SIMULATION; STOCHASTICITY; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84868300451     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.09.014     Document Type: Article

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