Integrated assessment

Principles of Environmental Sciences

Volumn , Issue , 2009, Pages 385-420

  Hettelingh, Jean Paul ^a   De Vries, Bert J M ^b   Hordijk, Leen ^c  

^a PBL NETHERLANDS ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AGENCY   (Netherlands)

^b UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^c INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84865442596     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4020-9158-2_19     Document Type: Chapter

References (107)

1. Adams, J. (1995). Risk. London: UCL Press.
2. Alcamo, J. M. (Ed.). (1994). IMAGE 2.0 Integrated Modeling of Global Climate Change. Dordrecht: Kluwer.
3. Alcamo, J. M., Shaw, R. M., & Hordijk, L. (Eds.). (1990). The RAINS Model of Acidification. Dordrecht: Kluwer.
4. Alcamo, J. M., Bouwman, A., Edmonds, J., Grübler, A., Morita, T., & Sugandhy, A. (1995). An evaluation of the IPCC IS92 emission scenarios (Ch. 6). In J. T. Houghton et al. (Eds.), Climate change 1994 (p. 338). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
5. Alcamo, J. M., Leemans, R., & Kreileman, E. (1998). Global change scenarios of the 21st century - Results from the IMAGE 2.1 model. London: Elsevier.
6. Alcamo, J. M., Mayerhofer, P., Guardans, R., van Harmelen, T., Onigkeit, J., Posch, M., et al. (2002). An integrated assessment of regional air pollution and climate change in Europe: Findings of the AIR-CLIM project. Environmental Science and Policy, 5(4), 257-272.
7. Amann, M. (2003). Linkages and synergies of regional and global emission control. Workshop of the Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling (TFIAM) of the UNECECLRTAP, 27-29 January 2003. Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
8. Amann, M., Hordijk, L., Klaassen, G., Schoepp, W., & Sorensen, L. (1992). Economic restructuring in Eastern Europe and acid rain abatement strategies. Energy Policy, 12, 1186-1197.
9. Amann, M., Johansson, M., Lükewille, A., Schöpp, W., Apsimon, H., Warren, R., et al. (2001). An integrated assessment model for fine particulate matter in Europe. Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 130, 223-228.
10. ApSimon, H. M., Warren, R. F., & Wilson, J. J. N. (1994). The abatement strategies assessment model - ASAM: Applications to reduction of sulphur dioxide emissions across Europe. Atmospheric Environment, 28, 649-663.
11. Barney, G. O. (1981). The global 2000 report to the president. Entering the twenty-first century (Vols. 1 and 2). Charlottesville, VA: Blue Angel.
12. Berk, M., van Minnen, J., Metz, B., & Moomaw, W. (2001). Climate OptiOns for the Long term (COOL) - Final report: Global dialogue. Bilthoven: RIVM.
13. Bossel, H. (1998). Earth at a crossroads - Paths to a sustainable future. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
14. Braat, L. C., & van Lierop, W. F. G. (1987). Integrated economic-ecological modeling. In L. C. Braat & W. F. J. van Lierop (Eds.), Economic-ecological modeling, studies in regional science and urban economics (Vol. 16, pp. 49-68). Amsterdam/New York: North-Holland.
15. Brouwer, F. M. (1987). Integrated environmental modelling: Design and tools. Dordrecht/Boston: Kluwer.
16. Clark, W. C., & Munn, R. E. (Eds.). (1986). Sustainable development of the biosphere. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
17. CPB. (1999). WorldScan, the core version. The Hague: CPB.
18. Cough, C. A., Bailey, P. D., Biewald, B., Kuylenstierna, J. C. I., & Chadwick, M. J. (1994). Environmentally targeted objectives for reducing acidification in Europe. Energy Policy, 22, 1055-1066.
19. de Bruin, J., Vink, P., & van Wijk, J. (1996). M - A visual simulation tool. San Diego: The society for computer simulation Simulation in the Medical Sciences, 181-186.
20. de Vries, H. J. M. (2001a). Perceptions and risks in the search for a sustainable world - A model-based approach. International Journal of Sustainable Development, 4(4), 434-453.
21. de Vries, H. J. M. (2001b). Objective science? The case of climate change models. In P. Goujon & B. Heriard Dubreuil Bertrand (Eds.), Technology and ethics, a European quest for responsible engineering. Leuven: Peeters.
22. de Vries, H. J. M., Bollen, J., Bouwman, L., den Elzen, M., Janssen, M., & Kreileman, E. (2000). Greenhouse-gas emissions in an equity-, environment- and service-oriented world: An IMAGE-based scenario for the next century. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 63(2-3), 137-174.
23. de Vries, H. J. M., van Vuuren D. P., den Elzen M. G. J., & Janssen, M. A. (2001). The Targets Image Energy Regional (TIMER) model - Technical documentation. Bilthoven: RIVM. (Report 461502024)
24. den Elzen, M., Beusen, A. H. W., & Rotmans, J. (1997). An integrated modeling approach to global carbon and nitrogen cycles: Balancing their budgets. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 11(2), 191-215.
25. EC. (1990). Energy for a new century - The European perspective. Brussels: Report DGE.
26. EC. (1996). European energy to 2020 - A scenario approach. Energy in Europe (Spring-Special Issue). Brussels: DG XVII.
27. EC. (1999). European Union Energy Outlook to 2020. Energy in Europe (Special issue, November). Brussels: DG XVII.
28. EEA. (1995). A general strategy for integrated environmental assessment at the European Environmental Agency. Scoping study prepared by the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven and the European Environmental Agency, Copenhagen.
29. EEA. (1999). Environment in the European Union at the turn of the century. Copenhagen: EEA. (Environmental Assessment Report No. 2)
30. EMEP. (1998). Transboundary acidifying air pollution in Europe, Parts 1 and 2. Oslo: Norwegian Meteorological Institute. (EMEP/MSC-W Status Report 1/98)
31. Forrester, J. W. (1961). Industrial dynamics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
32. Forrester, J. W. (1971). World dynamics. Cambridge, MA: Wright-Allen Press.
33. Forrester, J. W. (1980). System dynamics - future opportunities. In A. A. Legastro Jr., J. W. Forrester, & J. M. Lyneis (Eds.), System dynamics, studies in the management science (Vol. 14). Amsterdam/New York: North-Holland.
34. Funtowicz, S. O., & Ravetz, J. R. (1990). Uncertainty and quality in science for policy. Dordrecht: Kluwer.
35. Gallopin, G., Hammond, A., Raskin, P., & Swart, R. (1997). Branch points: Toward global scenarios and human choice. Stockholm: Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI). PoleStar Series Report No. 7.
36. GEA. (2001). Global environmental assessment project. Cambridge, MA: Kennedy School of Government/Harvard University Press. www.ksg.harvard.edu/gea/.
37. Hafkamp, W. A. (1984). Economic-environmental modelling in a national-regional system. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
38. Hettelingh, J.-P. (1990). Uncertainty in modelling regional environmental systems: The generalization of a watershed acidification model for predicting broad scale effects. Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. (Research Report RR-90-3)
39. Hettelingh, J.-P., Posch, M., & de Smet, P. A. M. (2001). Multieffects of critical loads used in multi-pollutant reduction agreements in Europe. Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 130, 1133-1138.
40. Hettelingh, J-P., Posch, M., Slootweg, J., Reinds, G. J., Spranger, T., & Tarrason, L. (2007a). Critical loads and dynamic modelling to assess European areas at risk of acidification and eutrophication. Water, Air and Soil Pollution: Focus, 7, 379-384.
41. Hettelingh, J.-P., Posch, M., Slootweg, J., & van 't Zelfde, M. (2007b). Status of European critical loads with focus on nitrogen. In J. Slootweg, M. Posch, & J.-P. Hettelingh (Eds.), Critical loads of nitrogen and dynamic modelling. Coordination Centre of Effects Progress Report 2007, MNP Report 500090001/2007 (available from www.mnp.nl/cce).
42. Hilderink, H. (2000). World population in transition - An integrated regional modelling framework. Faculteit der Ruimtelijke Wetenschappen. Groningen: Groningen University.
43. Hisschemöller, M., Tol, R. S. J., & Vellinga, P. (2001). The relevance of participatory approaches in integrated environmental assessment. Integrated Assessment, 2, 57-72.
44. Hoekstra, A. Y. (1998). Perspectives on water - An integrated model-based exploration of the future. Delft: Technological University.
45. Holling, C. S. (Ed.). (1978). Adaptive environmental assessment and management. New York/London: Wiley.
46. Hordijk, L. (1995). Integrated assessment models as a basis for air pollution negotiations. Water Air and Soil Pollution, 85, 249-260.
47. Hordijk, L., & Kroeze, C. (1997). Integrated assessment models for acid rain. European Journal of Operational Research, 102, 405-417
48. Huntingdon, S. (1997). The clash of civilizations and the remaking of the world order. New York: Simon & Schuster.
49. IEA (1996). World Energy Outlook. Paris: International Energy Agency.
50. IMAGE-team. (2001). The IMAGE 2.2 implementation of the SRES scenarios: A comprehensive analysis of emissions, climate change and impacts in the 21st century. RIVM CD-ROM Publication 481508018.
51. IPCC. (1991). Climate change: The IPCC response strategies. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)/UNEP/ WMO.
52. IPCC. (2001a). Climate change 2001 - The scientific basis. Summary for Policy Makers and Technical Summary of the Working Group I Report, UNEP/WMO.
53. IPCC. (2001b). Climate change 2001 - Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Summary for Policy Makers and Technical Summary of the Working Group II Report, UNEP-WMO.
54. IPCC. (2001c). Climate Change 2001 - Mitigation. Summary for Policy Makers and Technical Summary of the Working Group III Report. UNEP/WMO.
55. Jäger, J. (1998). Current thinking on using scientific findings in environmental policy making. Environmental Modelling and Assessment, 3(3), 143-153.
56. Janssen, M., & de Vries, B. (1998). The battle of perspectives: A multi-agent model with adaptive responses to climate change. Ecological Economics, 26, 43-65.
57. Johansson, T., Kelly, H., Reddy, A., & Williams, R. (Eds.). (1993). Renewable energy. Washington, DC: Island Press.
58. Kaplan, R. (1996). The ends of the earth. New York: Random House.
59. Kassler, P. (1994). Energy for development. London/The Hague: Shell International Petroleum Company.
60. Klaassen, G., & Sliggers, J. (1993). Cost sharing for the abatement of acidification in Europe: the missing link in the sulphur protocol. Working Paper, Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling.
61. Kram, T., Morita, T., Riahi, K., Roehrl, R. A., van Rooien, S., Sankowski, A., et al. (2000). Global and regional greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 63(2-3), 335-372.
62. Leggett, J., Pepper, W., & Swart, R. (1992). Emissions scenarios for the IPCC: An update. In J. T. Houghton, B. A. Callander, & S. K. Varney (Eds.), Climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
63. Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., & Behrens, W. W. (1972). The limits to growth: A report for the club of Rome's project on the predicament of mankind. New York: Universe Books.
64. Meadows, D. H., Behrens, W., Meadows, D. L., Naill, R., Randers, J., & Zahn, E. (1974). Dynamics of growth in a finite world. Cambridge, MA: Wright-Allen Press.
65. Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., & Randers, J. (1991). Beyond the limits. Global collapse or a sustainable future. London: Earthscan.
66. L., & Matsuoka, Y. (1994). Asian-Pacific integrated model for evaluating policy options to reduce GHG emissions and global warming impact. Report of the National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan.
67. Morita, T., Nakícenovíc, N. & Robinson, J. (2000). Long-term scenarios on socio-economic development and climatic policies [Special issue]. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 3(2,), 65-299.
68. Nakícenovíc, N. (1995). Global energy perspectives to 2050 and beyond. Laxenburg: IIASA/WEC.
69. Nakícenovíc, N., et al. (2000). Special report on emissions scenarios (SRES) for the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
70. NAPAP. (1990). 1990 Integrated Assessment Report (p. 520). Washington, DC: The NAPAP Office of the Director.
71. Niessen, L. (2002). Roads to health - Multi-state modelling of population health and resource use. Groningen: Groningen University.
72. Nilsson, J., & Grennfelt, P. (Eds.). (1988). Critical loads for sulphur and nitrogen. Copenhagen: Nordic Council of Ministers.
73. OECD. (1979). Interfutures - Facing the future: Mastering the probable and managing the unpredictable. Paris: OECD.
74. OECD. (1997). Towards a new global age - Challenges and opportunities (Policy report). Paris: OECD.
75. Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K., & Belitz, K. (1994). Verification, validation and confirmation of numerical models in the earth sciences. Science, 263, 641-646.
76. O'Riordan, T., & Jager, J. (Eds.). (1996). Politics of climate change - A European perspective. London/New York: Global Environmental Change Series/Routledge.
77. Parson, E. A. (1995). Integrated assessment and environmental policymaking. Energy Policy, 23(4/5), 463-475.
78. Posch, M., Hettelingh, J.-P., & de Smet, P. A. M. (2001). Characterization of critical load exceedances in Europe. Water Air Soil Pollution, 130, 1138-1139.
79. Posch, M., Hettelingh, J.-P., Slootweg, J., & Downing, R. J. (2003). Modelling and mapping of critical thresholds in Europe. Bilthoven: RIVM. (CCE Status Report 2003)
80. Raskin, P., Banuri, T., Gallopin, G., Gutman, P., Hammond, A., Kates. R., et al. (2002). Great transition - The promise and lure of the times ahead. Boston: Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI).
81. Rotmans, J. (1990). IMAGE: An integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect. Dordrecht/Boston: Kluwer.
82. Rotmans, J. (1998). Methods for IA: The challenges and opportunities ahead. Environmental Modelling and Assessment, 3(3), 155-179.
83. Rotmans, J., & de Vries, H. J. M. (Eds.). (1997). Perspectives on global futures: The TARGETS approach. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
84. Rotmans, J., Dowlatabadi, H., Filar, J. A., & Parson, E. A. (1996). Integrated assessment of climate change: Evaluation of methods and strategies. In S. Rayner & E. L. Malone (eds.), Human choices and climate change: A state of the art report. Washington, DC: Batelle Pacific Northwest Laboratories.
85. Schmidheiny, S. (1992). Changing course - A global business perspective on development and the environment. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
86. Schöpp, W., Amann, M., Cofala, J., Heyes, C., & Klimont, Z. (1999). Environmental Modelling and Software, 14(1), 1-9.
87. Schwarz, M., & Thompson, M. (1990). Divided we stand - Redefining politics, technology and social choice. New York: Harvester Wheatsheaf.
88. Shell International. (2000). Global energy scenarios. London: Global Business Environment.
89. Shell International. (2002). People and connections - Global scenarios to 2020: Public summary. London: Global Business Environment.
90. Stoddard, J. L., Jeffries, D. S., Lükewille, A., Clair, T. A., Dillon, P. J., Driscoll, C. T., et al. (1999). Regional trends in aquatic recovery from acidification in North America and Europe 1980-95. Nature, 401, 575-578.
91. Swart, R., Berk, M., Janssen, M., Kreileman, E., & Leemans, R. (1998). The safe landing approach: Risks and trade-offs in climate change. In J. M. Alcamo, R. Leemans, & E. Kreileman (Eds.), Global change scenarios of the 21st century - Results from the IMAGE 2.1 model (pp. 193-244). London: Elsevier.
92. Thompson, M., Ellis, R., & Wildawsky, A. (1990). Cultural theory. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
93. Tol, R. S. J., & Vellinga, P. (1997). Approaches to integrated assessment. In A. Sors, A. Libertore, S. Funtowicz, J. C. Hourcade, & J. L. Fellous (Eds.), Prospects for integrated environmental assessment: Lessons learnt from the case of climate change. Proceedings of Conference, Toulouse, October 24-26, 1996. European Commission, DG XII. Report EUR 17639.
94. Tol, R. S. J., & Vellinga, P. (1998). The European forum on integrated environmental assessment. Environmental Modelling and Assessment, 3(3), 181-191.
95. Tuinstra, W., Hordijk L., & Amann, M. (1999). Using computer models in international negotiations; the case of acidification in Europe. Environment, 41(9), 32-42.
96. UNEP. (2002). Global Environmental Outlook 3. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Program (UNEP).
97. van Asselt, M. B. A. (1997). TARGETS for ULYSSES - Work package. Zurich/Bilthoven: EAWAG/RIVM.
98. van Asselt, M. B. A., & Rotmans, J. (1996). Uncertainty in perspective. Global Environmental Change, 6(2), 121-157.
99. van Asselt, M. B. A., & Rotmans, J. (2002). Uncertainty in integrated assessment modelling: From positivism to pluralism. Climate Change, 54(1-2), 75-105.
100. van Asselt, M. B. A., Langendonck, R., van Asten, F., van der Giessen, A., Janssen, P., Heuberger, P., et al. (2001). Uncertainty and RIVM's environmental outlooks - Documenting a learning process. Bilthoven/Maastricht: Report RIVM/ICIS.
101. van Daalen, C., Thissen, W., & Berk, M. (1998). The Delft process: Experiences with a dialogue between policy makers and global modellers. In J. Alcamo, R. Leemans, & E. Kreileman (Eds.), Global change scenarios of the 21st century - Results from the IMAGE 2.1 model (pp. 267-285). Oxford: Pergamon/Elsevier.
102. van der Sluijs, J. P., Potting, J., Risbey, J., van Vuuren, D., de Vries, H. J. M., & Beusen, A. (2001). Uncertainty assessment of the IMAGE/TIMER B1 CO2 emissions scenario using the NUSAP method. Utrecht University, Utrecht. (NOP Report Report no: 410 200 104)
103. Vestreng, V., & Klein, H. (2002). Emission data reported to UNECE/EMEP: Quality assurance and trend analysis and presentation of WebDab. Oslo: Norwegian Meteorological Institute. (EMEP/MSC-W Note 1/2002)
104. van Vuuren, D., & de Vries, H. J. M. (2001). Mitigation scenarios in a world oriented at sustainable development: The role of technology, efficiency and timing. Climate Policy, 1, 189-210.
105. van Vuuren, D., Fengqi, Z., de Vries, H. J. M., Kejun, J., Graveland, C., & Yun, L. (2002). Energy and emission scenarios for China in the 21st century - Exploration of baseline developments and mitigation options. Energy Policy, 31, 369-387.
106. WCED. (1987). Our common future. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
107. Weyant, J., Davidson, O., Dowlatabadi, H., Edmonds, J., Grubb, M., Parson, E.A., et al. (1996). Integrated assessment of climate change: An overview and comparison of approaches and results. In J. P. Bruce, H. Lee, & E. F. Haites (Eds.), Climate change 1995: Economic and social dimensions - Contribution of Working Group III to the Second Assessment, Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.