The battle of perspectives: A multi-agent model with adaptive responses to climate change

Ecological Economics

Volumn 26, Issue 1, 1998, Pages 43-65

  Janssen, Marco ^a   De Vries, Bert ^a  

^a NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Global change; Integrated assessment modelling; Multi agent modelling; Perspectives

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; ENERGY POLICY; MODELLING APPROACH; THEORETICAL STUDY;

EID: 0031871662     PISSN: 09218009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0921-8009(97)00062-1     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. AGGG, 1990. Targets and Indicators of Climate Change. In: Rijsberman and Swart (Eds.), Report of Working Group II of the Advisory Group on Greenhouse Gases (AGGG), Stockholm Environmental Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
2. Bossel, H., Strobel, M., 1978. Experiments with an 'intelligent' world model, Futures, June, 191-210.
3. Bulatao, R.A., Bos, E., Stepens, P.W., Vu, M.T., 1990. World Population Projections 1989-1990 Edition: Short and Long-Term Estimates. The John Hopkins University Press. Baltimore (published for the World Bank).
4. De Vries, H.J.M., Janssen, M.A., 1996. Global energy futures: An integrated perspective with the TIME model, RIVM report 461502018, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
5. Dickinson, R.E., 1986. How will climate change? The climate system and modelling of future climate. In: Bollin, B, Döös, B.R., Jäger, J., Warrick, R.A. (Eds.), The Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change and Ecosystems. SCOPE 13, John Wiley, Chichester, UK, pp. 206-270,.
6. Epstein, L.M., Axtell, R.L., 1996. Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom-up. Brookings Institution, Washington, USA.
7. Goldberg, D., 1989. Genetic Algorithms in Search, Optimization, and Machine Learning. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA.
8. Hammitt J.K., Lempert R.J., Schlesinger M.E. A sequential-decision strategy for abating climate change. Nature. 357:1992;315-318.
9. Holland, J.H., 1975. Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems. MIT University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor.
10. Holland, J.H., Miller, J.H., 1991. Artificial Adaptive Agents in Economic Theory. AEA papers and Proceedings, May, 365-370.
11. Holland, J.H., 1992. Genetic algorithms. Sci. Amer. July, 44-50.
12. Hourcade, J.C. et al., 1995. A review of mitigation cost studies. In: IPCC, Economic and social dimensions of climate change, Cambridge University Press.
13. IPCC, 1990. In: Houghton, J.T., Jenkins, G.J., Ephraums, J.J. (Eds.), Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press.
14. IPCC, 1992. In: Houghton, J.T., Callander, B.A., Varney, S.K. (Eds.), Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press.
15. IPCC, 1996a. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
16. IPCC, 1996b. Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analysis. Cambridge University Press.
17. IPCC, 1996c. Climate Change 1995: Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
18. 2 emission rights quantifying cultural perspectives. Ecol. Econ. 13:1995;65-79.
19. Janssen, M.A., 1996. Meeting Targets: Tools to Support Integrated Assessment Modelling of Global Change. PhD Thesis ISBN 90-9009908-5, University of Maastricht, the Netherlands.
20. Johansson, T., Bodlund, B., Williams R. (Eds.), 1989. Electricity-efficient end-use and new generation technologies, and their planning implications. Lund University Press, Lund.
21. Kumar, K. 1987. Utopia and Anti-Utopia in Modern Times, Blackwell, Oxford.
22. Lempert, R.J., Schlesinger, M.E., Bankes, S.C., 1995. When we don't know the costs or the benefits: Adaptive Strategies for Abating Climate Change. Climatic Change, no. 33, pp. 235-274.
23. Lenssen N., Flavin C. Sustainable energy for tomorrow's world: the case for an optimistic view of the future. Energy Future. 24(9):1996;769-781.
24. Lindzen R.S. Some coolness about global warming. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 71:1990;288-299.
25. Lovins A.B., Lovins H.L. Least-Cost Climate Stabilization. Ann. Rev. Energy Environ. 16:1991;433-531.
26. Maier-Reimer E., Hasselmann K. Transport and storage of carbon dioxide in the ocean - An inorganic ocean-circulation carbon cycle model. Climate Dynamics. 2:1987;63-90.
27. Malthus, T., 1798. Essays on population.
28. 2 Emission Limits. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
29. Manne, A.S., Mendelsohn, R., Richels, R.G., 1994. MERGE: A model for evaluating regional and global effects of GHG reduction policies. In: Nakicenovic, N., Nordhaus, W.D., Richels, R., Toth, F.L. (Eds.), Integrative Assessment of Mitigation, Impacts, and Adaptation to Climate Change. 143-172, CP-94-0, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
30. More, T., 1516. Utopia. Cassel, London (1898).
31. Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., Randers, J., Behrens, W.W., 1972. The Limits to Growth. Universe Books, New York.
32. Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., Randers, J., 1991. Beyond the Limits. Earthscan Publications, London.
33. Nordhaus W.D. A survey of the costs of reduction of greenhouse gases. Energy J. 12(1):1991;37-65.
34. Nordhaus, W.D., 1994. Managing the Global Commons: The Economics of Climate Change. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
35. Peck, S.C., Teisberg, T.J., 1992. CETA: A Model for Carbon Emission Trajectory Assessment. The Energy J., Vol. 13, No. 1.
36. Proops J.L.R. Ecological economics: rationale and problem areas. Ecol. Econ. 1:1989;59-76.
37. Rayner S. A cultural perspective on the structure and implementation of global environmental agreements. Eval. rev. 15(1):1991;75-102.
38. Rotmans, J., de Vries, H.J.M. (Eds.), 1997. Perspectives on global futures: The TARGETS approach, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
39. Schmidheiney, S. et al. 1992. Changing course: a global business perspective on development and the environment, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA.
40. Schwartz, M., Thompson, M., 1990. Divided We Stand: Redefining Politics, Technology, and Social Choice. Harvester Wheatsheaf, New York.
41. Simon J.L. Resources, population, environment: an oversupply of false bad news. Science. 208:1980;1431-1437.
42. Thompson, M., Taylor, P., 1986. The Surprise Game: An Exploration of Constrained Relativism. Warwick Papers in Management, no. 1, Institute for Management Research and Development, University of Warwick: Coventry.
43. Thompson, M., Ellis, R., Wildawsky, A., 1990. Cultural Theory. Westview Press, Boulder, CO.
44. Thompson, M., 1996. Cultural Theory and Integrated Assessment, submitted to Environmental Modeling and Assessment.
45. Trisoglio, A., Swart, R., Thompson, M., Rotmans, J., Dowlatabadi, H., Rahman, A., De Vries, B., 1994. Scenarios of climate change: making the human factor explicit. Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratories, Washington.
46. Van Asselt, M.B.A., Rotmans, J., 1996. Uncertainty in perspective: a cultural perspective based approach. Global Environmental Change, 6(2), 121-158.
47. Waldrop, M., 1992. Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos. Simon and Schuster.