Assessing the distributions and potential risks from climate change for the Sichuan Jay (perisoreus internigrans)

Condor

Volumn 114, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 365-376

  Lu, Nan ^a   Jing, Yu ^b   Lloyd, Huw ^c   Sun, Yue Hua ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (China)

^c MANCHESTER METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate change; Fragmentation; MaxEnt; Perisoreus internigrans; Qinghai Tibet plateau; Sichuan Jay

Indexed keywords

ANIMALIA; AVES; PERISOREUS INTERNIGRANS;

EID: 84862300578     PISSN: 00105422     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1525/cond.2012.110030     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Araújo, M. B., and M. New. 2007. Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 22:42-47 (Pubitemid 44959170)
2. Bangs, O., and J. L. Peters. 1928. Birds collected by Dr. F. J. Rock in western Kansu and eastern Tibet. Bulletin of the Museum of Comparative Zoology 68: 313-381
3. Birdlife International. 2001a. Threatened birds of the world. Lynx Edicions, Barcelona
4. Birdlife International. 2001b. Threatened birds of Asia. The Birdlife International red data book. Birdlife International, Cambridge, UK
5. Blomgren, A. 1964. Lavskrikan. Albert Bonniers Boktryckeri, Stockholm
6. Both, C., C. A. M. van Turnh out, R. G. Bijlsm a, H. Siepel, A. J. van Strien, and R. P. B. Fopp en. 2010. Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 277:1259-1266
7. Chen, I.-C., H.-J. Shiu, S. Benedick, J. D. Holl oway, V. K. Chey, H. S. Barlow, J. K. Hill , and C. D. Thomas. 2009. Elevation increases in moth assemblages over 42 years on a tropical mountain. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 106:1479-1483
8. China Ornithological Society. 2007. China bird report 2006. China Ornithological Society, Beijing
9. Colwell, R. K., G. Brehm , C. L. Cardelús, A. C. Gilm an, and J. T. Longino. 2008. Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Science 322:258-261
10. Crick, H. Q. P. 2004. The impact of climate change on birds. Ibis 146:48-56
11. Dunn ing, J. B., and J. H. Brown. 1982. Summer rainfall and winter sparrow densities: a test of the food limitation hypothesis. Auk 99:123-129 (Pubitemid 13285728)
12. Durmowicz, A. G., S. Hofmeister, T. K. Kadyraliev, A. A. Aldash ev, and K. R. Stenm ark. 1993. Functional and structural adaptation of the yak pulmonary circulation to residence at high altitude. Journal of Applied Physiology 74:2276-2285 (Pubitemid 23157050)
13. Easterling, D. R., B. Horton, P. D. Jones, T. C. Peterson, T. R. Karl, D. E. Parker, M. J. Salinger, V. Razuvayev, N. Plummer, P. Jamason, and C. K. Foll and. 1997. Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science 277: 364-367 (Pubitemid 27450707)
14. Easterling, D. R., G. A. Meehl , C. Parmesan, S. A. Changnon, T. R. Karl, and L. O. Mearns . 2000. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289:2068-2074
15. Ekman, J., B. Sklepkovych , and H. Tegels trom. 1994. Offspring retention in the Siberian Jay (Perisoreus infaustus): the prolonged brood care hypothesis. Behavioral Ecology 5:245-253 (Pubitemid 2113348)
16. Elith, J., C. H. Graham, R. P. Anderson, M. Dudik, S. Ferrier, A. Guisan, R. J. Hijm ans , F. Huettmann , J. R. Leathwick, A. Lehm ann , J. Li, L. G. Lohm ann , B. A. Loisell e, G. Manion, C. Moritz, M. Nakamura, Y. Nakazawa, J. M. Overton, A. T. Peterson, S. J. Phill ips , K. Rich ardson, R. Scach etti-Pereira, R. E. Sch apire, J. Soberon, S. Will iams , M. S. Wisz, and N. E. Zimm ermann . 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129-151
17. Engler, R., A. Guisan, and L. Rechs teiner. 2004. An improved approach for predicting the distribution of rare and endangered species from occurrence and pseudo-absence data. Journal of Applied Ecology 41:263-274 (Pubitemid 38492495)
18. Feeley, K. J., and M. R. Silm an. 2010. Land-use and climate change effects on population size and extinction risk of Andean plants. Global Change Biology 16:3215-3222
19. Fielding, A. H., and J. F. Bell . 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation 24:38-49 (Pubitemid 27376840)
20. Fouquet, A., G. F. Ficetola, A. Haigh, and N. Gemm ell . 2010. Using ecological niche modelling to infer past, present and future environmental suitability for Leiopelma hochstetteri, an endangered New Zealand native frog. Biological Conservation 143:1375-1384
21. Gasn er, M. R., J. E. Jankowski, A. L. Ciecka, K. O. Kyl e, and K. N. Rabenold. 2010. Projecting the local impacts of climate change on a Central American montane avian community. Biological Conservation 143:1250-1258
22. Gottsch alk, T. K., K. Ekschm itt, S. Isfendiyaroglu, E. Gem, and V. Wolters. 2007. Assessing the potential distribution of the Caucasian Black Grouse Tetrao mlokosiewiczi in Turkey through spatial modelling. Journal of Ornithology 148:427-434 (Pubitemid 47505692)
23. Gutierrez, A. P., L. Ponti, and Q. A. Coss u. 2009. Effects of climate warming on Olive and olive fly (Bactrocera oleae (Gmelin)) in California and Italy. Climatic Change 95:195-217
24. Hamer, K. C. 2010. The search for winners and losers in a sea of climate change. Ibis 152:3-5
25. Hijm ans , R. J., S. E. Cameron, J. L. Parra, P. G. Jones, and A. Jarvis. 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25:1965-1978 (Pubitemid 43013915)
26. Houghton, J. T., Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, D. Xiaosu, K. Maskell , and C. A. Johns on. 2001. Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
27. Hu, J. H., H. J. Hu, and Z. G. Jiang. 2010. The impacts of climate change on the wintering distribution of an endangered migratory bird. Oecologia 164:555-565
28. IPCC. 2001. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change third assessment report-climate change 2001. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland
29. Jetz, W., D. S. Wilc ove, and A. P. Dobs on. 2007. Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biology 5: e157
30. Jia, C. X., Y. H. Sun, and J. E. Swens on. 2010. Unusual incubation behavior and embryonic tolerance of hypothermia by the Blood Pheasant (Ithaginis cruentus). Auk 127:926-931
31. Jing, Y. 2005. Life history, cooperative breeding, foraging competition, and distribution of the Sichuan Jay (Perisoreus internigrans). Ph.D. thesis, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing
32. Jing, Y., Y. Fang, D. Strickland, N. Lu, and Y. H. Sun. 2009. Alloparenting in the rare Sichuan Jay (Perisoreus internigrans). Condor 111:662-667
33. Klein, J. A., J. Harte, and X. Q. Zhao. 2004. Experimental warming causes large and rapid species loss, dampened by simulated grazing, on the Tibetan Plateau. Ecology Letters 7:1170-1179 (Pubitemid 39588350)
34. Kruess, A., and T. Tsch arntke. 1994. Habitat fragmentation, species loss, and biological control. Science 264:1581-1584
35. Leech , D. I., and H. Q. P. Crick. 2007. In?uence of climate change on the abundance, distribution and phenology of woodland bird species in temperate regions. Ibis 149:128-145 (Pubitemid 350173536)
36. Liu, C. R., P. M. Berry, T. P. Dawson, and R. G. Pearson. 2005. Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography 28:385-393 (Pubitemid 40809906)
37. Marmion, M., M. Parviainen, M. Luoto, R. K. Heikkinen, and W. Thuill er. 2009. Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling. Diversity and Distributions 15:59-69
38. Martens , J., and Y. H. Sun. 2003. Perisoreus internigrans (Thayer et Bangs, 1912) China-Unglückshäer. Atlas der verbreiltung palaearktischer Vögel 20:1-5
39. Ni, J. 2000. A simulation of biomes on the Tibetan Plateau and their responses to global climate change. Mountain Research and Development 20:80-89 (Pubitemid 30306563)
40. Parmesan, C., N. Ryrholm , C. Stefanesc u, J. K. Hill k, C. D. Thomas, H. Desc imon, B. Huntley, L. Kaila, J. Kullb erg, T. Tamm aru, W. J. Tenn ent, J. A. Thomas, and M. Warren. 1999. Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butter?y species associated with regional warming. Nature 399:579-583
41. Parmesan, C., and G. Yohe. 2003. A globally coherent ?ngerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37-42 (Pubitemid 36077078)
42. Pearce, J., and S. Ferrier. 2000. Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression. Ecological Modelling 133:225-245
43. Pearson, R. G., C. J. Raxworthy , M. Nakamura, and A. T. Peterson. 2007. Predicting species' distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. Journal of Biogeography 34:102-117 (Pubitemid 44952533)
44. Peh, K. S-H. 2007. Potential effects of climate change on elevational distributions of tropical birds in southeast Asia. Condor 109:437-441 (Pubitemid 46770462)
45. Phill ips , S. J., R. P. Anderson, and R. E. Sch apire. 2006. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling 190:231-259 (Pubitemid 41680650)
46. Phill ips , S. J., and M. Dudik. 2008. Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31:161-175 (Pubitemid 351457533)
47. Pounds, J. A., M. P. L. Fogden, and J. H. Campb ell . 1999. Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature 398:611-615 (Pubitemid 29183687)
48. Rankin, D. J., and A. López-Sepulc re. 2005. Can adaptation lead to extinction? Oikos 111:616-619 (Pubitemid 41802908)
49. Riitters, K., J. Wickham, R. O'Neill , B. Jones, and E. Smith [onl ine]. 2000. Global-scale patterns of forest fragmentation. Conservation Ecology 4(3). http://www.consecol.org/vol4/iss2/art3
50. Root, T. L., J. T. Price, K. R. Hall , S. H. Schn eider, C. Rosenzweig, and J. A. Pounds. 2003. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421:57-60 (Pubitemid 36077083)
51. Stone, W. 1933. Zoological results of the Dolan west China expedition of 1931. Part 1. Birds. Proceedings of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia 85:165-222
52. Strickland, D., and H. Ouell et. 1993. Gray Jay (Perisoreus canadensis), no. 40. In P. Poole, P. Stettenheim and F. Gill [eds.], The birds of North America. Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia
53. Suárez-Seoane, S., E. L. G. de la Morena, M. B. M. Prieto, P. E. Osb orne, and E. de Juana. 2008. Maximum entropy nichebased modelling of seasonal changes in Little Bustard (Tetrax tetrax) distribution. Ecological Modelling 219:17-29
54. Sun, Y. H., C. X. Jia, and Y. Fang. 2001. The distribution and status of Sichuan Grey Jay (Perisoreus internigrans). Journal für Ornithologie 142:93-98
55. Sun, Y. H., J. E. Swens on, Y. Fang, S. Klaus, and W. Sch erzinger. 2003. Population ecology of the Chinese Grouse, Bonasa sewerzowi, in a fragmented landscape. Biological Conservation 110:177-184 (Pubitemid 36171665)
56. Tang, C. 1996. Avifauna of the Hengduan Mountains. Science Press, Beijing
57. Thayer, J. E., and O. Bangs. 1912. Some Chinese vertebrates. Aves. Memoirs of the Museum of Comparative Zoology 40:137-200
58. Thomas, C. D., and J. J. Lenn on. 1999. Birds extend their ranges northwards. Nature 399:213-213
59. Thomas, C. D., A. Cameron, R. E. Green, M. Bakkenes, L. J. Beaumont, Y. C. Coll ingham, B. F. N. Erasm us, M. F. de Siqueira, A. Grainger, L. Hann ah, L. Hughes, B. Huntley, A. S. van Jaarsveld, G. F. Midgley, L. Miles, M. A. Ortega-Huerta, A. T. Peterson, O. L. Phill ips , and S. E. Will iams . 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145-148 (Pubitemid 38094953)
60. Waite, T. A., and D. Strickland. 2006. Climate change and the demographic demise of a hoarding bird living on the edge. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 273:2809-2813 (Pubitemid 44764364)
61. Walther, G., E. Post, P. Convey, A. Menzel, C. Parmesan, T. J. C. Beebee, J. Fromentin, O. Hoegh-Guldberg, and F. Bairlein. 2002. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389-395 (Pubitemid 34272866)
62. Wisz, M. S., R. J. Hijm ans , A. T. Peterson, C. H. Graham, A. Guisan, and NPSDW Group. 2008. Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions 14: 763-773