Effects of climate warming on Olive and olive fly (Bactrocera oleae (Gmelin)) in California and Italy

Climatic Change

Volumn 95, Issue 1-2, 2009, Pages 195-217

  Gutierrez, Andrew Paul ^a,b,e   Ponti, Luigi ^a,b,c   Cossu, Q A ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b Center for the Analysis of Sustainable Agricultural Systems CASAS   (United States)

^c ENEA   (Italy)

^d Servizio Agrometeorologico Regionale per la Sardegna   (Italy)

^e UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARIZONA; CALIFORNIA; CENTRAL ITALY; CLIMATE WARMING; COASTAL AREA; COLD AREA; COLD WEATHER; DAILY TEMPERATURES; DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS; DESERT AREA; ECOLOGICAL ZONES; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; HIGH TEMPERATURE; OLEA EUROPAEA; PO VALLEY; POTENTIAL EFFECTS; TEMPERATURE RANGE;

COASTAL ZONES; FORESTRY; LANDFORMS; PHYSIOLOGICAL MODELS; POPULATION DYNAMICS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ABUNDANCE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; DECIDUOUS TREE; DESERT; DIEL VARIATION; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; FLY; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; GROWTH RESPONSE; PHENOLOGY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; WARMING; WEATHER;

APENNINES; EURASIA; EUROPE; ITALY; PO VALLEY; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

BACTROCERA OLEAE; OLEA EUROPAEA;

EID: 67651146423     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-008-9528-4     Document Type: Article

References (76)

1. M Abdel-Razik 1989 A model of the productivity of olive trees under optional water and nutrient supply in desert conditions Ecol Model 45 179 204 (Pubitemid 20421403)
2. PA Abrams 1994 The fallacies of ratio-dependent predation Ecology 75 1842 1850
3. Andrewartha HG, Birch LC (1954) The distribution and abundance of animals. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago
4. F Bigler 1982 Post-larval mortality of the olive fly, Dacus oleae Gmel. (Dipt., Tephritidae) in oleaster areas of western Crete Z Angew Entomol 93 76 89
5. F Bigler V Delucchi 1981 The main mortality factors during the prepupal development of the olive fly, Dacus oleae Gmel. (Dipt., Tephritidae) on oleasters and cultivated olives in Western Crete, Greece Z Angew Entomol 92 343 363
6. F Bigler V Delucchi 1981 Evaluation of the prepupal mortality of the olive fly, Dacus oleae Gmel. (Dipt., Tephritidae), on oleasters and olive trees in western Crete, Greece Z Angew Entomol 92 189 201
7. G Bongi 2002 Freezing avoidance in olive tree (Olea europaea L Adv Hort Sci 16 117 124
8. JR Carey 1996 The incipient Mediterranean fruit fly population in California: implications for invasion biology Ecology 77 1690 1697 (Pubitemid 126494956)
9. S Coakley H Scherm S Chakraborty 1999 Climate change and plant disease management Annu Rev Phytopathol 37 399 426 (Pubitemid 29523941)
10. A Crovetti G Loi F Quaglia A Belcari 1981 Influence of constant temperature on embryonic development of olive-fruit fly (Dacus oleae Gmel) Frustula Entomol 17 83 91
11. A Crovetti F Quaglia G Loi E Rossi P Malfatti F Chesi B Conti A Belcari A Raspi B Paparatti 1982 Influence of temperature and humidity on the development of the immature stages of Dacus oleae (Gmelin) Frustula Entomol 5 133 166
12. AJ Davis LS Jenkinson JH Lawton B Shorrocks S Wood 1998 Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming Nature 391 783 786 (Pubitemid 28099674)
13. P DeBach RA Sundby 1963 Competitive displacement between ecological homologues Hilgardia 34 105 166
14. JP De Melo-Abreu D Barranco AM Cordeiro J Tous BM Rogado FJ Villalobos 2004 Modelling olive flowering date using chilling for dormancy release and thermal time Agric For Meteorol 125 117 127 (Pubitemid 39081853)
15. de Wit CT, Goudriaan J (1978) Simulation of ecological processes. PUDOC, The Netherlands
16. G Delrio R Prota 1988 Determinants of abundance in a population of the olive fruit-fly Frustula Entomol 11 47 55
17. Denney JO, McEachern GR, Griffiths JF (1985) Modeling the thermal adaptability of the olive (Olea europaea L.) in Texas. Agric For Meteorol 35:309
18. Di Cola G, Gilioli G, Baumgärtner J (1999) Mathematical models for age-structured population dynamics. In: Huffaker CB, Gutierrez AP (eds) Ecological entomology. Wiley, New York
19. VA Drake 1994 The influence of weather and climate on agriculturally important insects: an Australian perspective Aust J Agric Res 45 487 509 (Pubitemid 2069818)
20. WN Ellis JH Donner JH Kuchlein 1997 Recent shifts in phenology of Microlepidoptera, related to climatic change (Lepidoptera) Entomol Berichten (Amsterdam) 57 66 72 (Pubitemid 28094974)
21. Fiorino P (ed) (2003) Olea: Trattato di olivicoltura. Edagricole, Bologna
22. Fitzpatrick EA, Nix HA (1968) The climatic factor in Australian grasslands ecology. In: Moore RM (ed) Australian grasslands. Australian National University Press
23. RA Fleming J-N Candau 1998 Influences of climatic change on some ecological processes of an insect outbreak system in Canada's boreal forests and the implications for biodiversity Environ Monit Assess 49 235 249 (Pubitemid 28046281)
24. Fletcher BS, Kapatos ET (1983) An evaluation of different temperature-development rate models for predicting the phenology of the olive fly Dacus oleae. Fruit flies of economic importance Proceedings of the CEC/IOBC International Symposium, Athens, Greece, 16 19 November 1982. 1983; 321 329, Rotterdam Netherlands: A.A. Balkema
25. BS Fletcher S Pappas E Kapatos 1978 Changes in the ovaries of olive flies (Dacus oleae (Gmelin)) during the summer, and their relationship to temperature, humidity and fruit availability Ecol Entomol 3 99 107
26. X Gao F Giorgi 2008 Increased aridity in the Mediterranean region under greenhouse gas forcing estimated from high resolution simulations with a regional climate model Glob Planet Change 62 195 209
27. H Genç JL Nation 2008 Survival and development of Bactrocera oleae Gmelin (Diptera: Tephritidae) immature stages at four temperatures in the laboratory Afr J Biotechnol 7 2495 2500
28. Gilioli G, Cossu A (2002) First validation of an individual-based model for the population dynamics of Bactrocera oleae (Gmelin). Atti XIX Congresso Nazionale di Entomologia, Catania, 10-15 giugno 34-39
29. V Girolami 1979 Studies on the biology and population ecology of Dacus oleae (Gmelin). 1. Influence of environmental abiotic factors on the adult and on the immature stages Redia 62 147 191
30. AP Gutierrez 1992 The physiological basis of ratio dependent theory Ecology 73 1552 1563
31. Gutierrez AP (1996) Applied population ecology: a supply-demand approach. Wiley, New York, USA
32. AP Gutierrez JU Baumgärtner 1984 Multitrophic level models of predator-prey energetics: I. Age-specific energetics models-pea aphid Acyrthosiphon pisum (Homoptera: Aphididae) as an example Can Entomol 116 924 932
33. AP Gutierrez DE Havenstein HA Nix PA Moore 1974 The ecology of Aphis craccivora Koch and Subterranean Clover Stunt Virus in south-east Australia. II. A model of cowpea aphid populations in temperate pastures J Appl Ecol 11 1 20
34. AP Gutierrez LA Falcon W Loew PA Leipzig R van-den Bosch 1975 An analysis of cotton production in California: a model for acala cotton and the effects of defoliators on its yields Environ Entomol 4 125 136
35. AP Gutierrez JU Baumgärtner CG Summers 1984 Multitrophic level models of predator-prey energetics: III. A case study of an alfalfa ecosystem Can Entomol 116 950 963
36. AP Gutierrez MJ Pitcairn CK Ellis N Carruthers R Ghezelbash 2005 Evaluating biological control of yellow starthistle (Centaurea solstitialis) in California: a GIS based supply-demand demographic model Biol Control 34 115
37. AP Gutierrez T d'Oultremont CK Ellis L Ponti 2006 Climatic limits of pink bollworm in Arizona and California: effects of climate warming Acta Oecol 30 353 364
38. AP Gutierrez L Ponti T d'Oultremont CK Ellis 2008 Climate change effects on poikilotherm tritrophic interactions Clim Change 87 S167 S192
39. AP Gutierrez KM Daane L Ponti VM Walton CK Ellis 2008 Prospective evaluation of the biological control of vine mealybug: refuge effects and climate J Appl Ecol 45 524 536
40. JG Hamilton O Dermody M Aldea AR Zangerl A Rogers MR Berenbaum EH Delucia 2005 Anthropogenic changes in tropospheric composition increase susceptibility of soybean to insect herbivory Environ Entomol 34 479-455
41. Hartmann HT, Opitz KW (1980) Olive production in California. Leaflet 2474 University of California Div. Agric. Sci., Davis, USA
42. K Hayhoe D Cayan C Field P Frumhoff E Maurer N Miller S Moser S Schneider K Cahill E Cleland L Dale R Drapek RM Hanemann L Kalkstein J Lenihan C Lunch R Neilson S Sheridan J Verville 2004 Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101 12422 12427 (Pubitemid 39122039)
43. RD Hughes GW Maywald 1990 Forecasting the favorableness of the Australian environment for the Russian wheat aphid, Diuraphis noxia (Homoptera: Aphididae), and its potential impact on Australian wheat yields Bull Entomol Res 80 165 175
44. ET Kapatos BS Fletcher 1984 The phenology of the olive fly, Dacus oleae (Gmel.) (Diptera, Tephritidae), in Corfu Z Angew Entomol 97 360 370
45. ET Kapatos BS Fletcher 1986 Mortality factors and life-budgets for immature stages of the olive fly, Dacus oleae (Gmel.) (Diptera, Tephritidae), in Corfu J Appl Entomol 102 326 342
46. DS Koveos 2001 Rapid cold hardening in the olive fruit fly Bactrocera oleae under laboratory and field conditions Entomol Exp et Appl 101 257 263 (Pubitemid 34294097)
47. DS Koveos ME Tzanakakis 1990 Effect of the presence of olive fruit on ovarian maturation in the olive fruit fly, Dacus oleae, under laboratory conditions Entomol Exp et Appl 55 161
48. S Mancuso G Pasquali P Fiorino 2002 Phenology modelling and forecasting in olive (Olea europaea L.) using artificial neural networks Adv Hort Sci 16 155 164 (Pubitemid 36380329)
49. EP Maurer 2007 Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California, under two emissions scenarios Clim Change 82 309 325 (Pubitemid 46606967)
50. GA Meehl C Tebaldi 2004 More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century Science 305 5686 994 997 (Pubitemid 39071772)
51. PS Messenger NE Flitters 1954 Bioclimatic studies of three species of fruit flies in Hawaii J Econ Entomol 47 756 765
52. Mita L, Mitasova H (2002) Spatial interpolation. University of Illinois at Urban-Champaign, Urbana, IL
53. F Orlandi M Fornaciari B Romano 2002 The use of phenological data to calculate chilling units in Olea europaea L. in relation to the onset of reproduction Int J Biometeorol 46 2 8 (Pubitemid 135699330)
54. CP Osborne I Chuine D Viner FI Woodward 2000 Olive phenology as a sensitive indicator of future climatic warming in the Mediterranean Plant, Cell & Environ 23 701 710 (Pubitemid 30597769)
55. AM Palese G Celano C Xiloyannis 2000 Le esigenze nutrizionali dell'olivo Frutticoltura 62 50 53
56. J Pelley 2006 Perspective: will global climate change worsen infectious diseases? Environ Sci & Tech 40 2502 2503
57. Petrusewicz K, MacFayden A (1970) Productivity of terrestrial animals: principles and methods. Blackwell, Oxford
58. P Proietti A Tombesi M Boco 1994 Influence of leaf shading and defoliation on oil synthesis and growth of olive fruits Acta Hort 356 272 277
59. C Pucci A Forcina Salmistraro 1981 Effects of temperature on the death rate of larvae, pupation and activities of parasites for Dacus oleae (Gmel.) Frustula Entomol 17 143 155
60. C Ricci G Ambrosi 1981 The oviposition by Dacus oleae (Gmel.) and the size of the olives Frustula Entomol 17 181 195
61. RE Rice PA Phillips J Stewart-Leslie GS Sibbett 2003 Olive fruit fly populations measured in Central and Southern California Calif Agric 57 122 127
62. J Rochat AP Gutierrez 2001 Weather-mediated regulation of olive scale by two parasitoids J Anim Ecol 70 476 490
63. J Roffey G Popov 1968 Environmental and behavioural processes in Desert locust outbreaks Nature 219 446 450
64. MHJ Saier 2007 Climate change, 2007 Water Air Soil Pollut 181 1 2
65. F Sanz-Cortés J Martínez-Calvo ML Badenes H Bleiholder H Hack G Llácer U Meier 2002 Phenological growth stages of olive trees (Olea europaea) Ann Appl Biol 140 151 157 (Pubitemid 34415923)
66. RW Sutherst GF Maywald W Bottomly 1991 From CLIMEX to PESKY, a generic expert system for risk assessment EPPO Bulletin 21 595 608
67. ME Tzanakakis DS Koveos 1986 Inhibition of ovarian maturation in the olive fruit fly, Dacus oleae (Diptera: Tephritidae), under long photophase and an increase of temperature Ann Entomol Soc of Amer 79 15 18
68. J Vansickle 1977 Attrition in distributed delay models IEEE T Syst Man Cyb 7 635 638 (Pubitemid 8171673)
69. RC Venette SE Naranjo WD Hutchison 2000 Implications of larval mortality at low temperatures and high soil moistures for establishment of pink bollworm (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) in Southeastern United States cotton Environ Entomol 29 1018 1026 (Pubitemid 30794567)
70. C Vitagliano L Sebastiani 2002 Physiological and biochemical remarks on environmental stress in olive (Olea europaea L.) Acta Hort 586 435 440 (Pubitemid 36010289)
71. KEF Watt 1959 A mathematical model for the effects of densities of attacked and attacking species on the number attacked Can Entomol 91 129 144
72. DW Williams AM Liebhold 2002 Climate change and the outbreak ranges of two North American bark beetles Agric Forest Entomol 4 87 99 (Pubitemid 34544109)
73. A Zambetaki P Mavragani-Tsipidou ZG Scouras 2000 Heat shock response of Bactrocera oleae (Diptera: Tephritidae): genes and proteins Ann Entomol Soc Amer 93 648 652 (Pubitemid 32065301)
74. Zangheri S, Cavalloro R, Delrio G, Girolami V, Prota R, Ricci C (1976) Observations on Dacus oleae Gmelin in various regions of Italy, within the context of a coordinated programme. Atti XI Congresso Nazionale Italiano di Entomologia, Pauda, Italy, pp 429-436
75. 2 J Exp Bot 54 395 406
76. 2 may increase tolerance to glyphosate Weed Sci 47 608 615