The southern annular mode seen through weather regimes

Journal of Climate

Volumn 25, Issue 9, 2012, Pages 3336-3354

  Pohl, Benjamin ^a   Fauchereau, Nicolas ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITÉ DE BOURGOGNE   (France)

^b DSI CSIR Nanotechnology Innovation Centre   (South Africa)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Anomalies; Antarctic Oscillation; Climate variability; Interannual variability; Intraseasonal variability; Trends

Indexed keywords

ANOMALIES; ANTARCTIC OSCILLATION; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY; TRENDS;

CLUSTER ANALYSIS; METEOROLOGY; SEA LEVEL;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; ALGORITHM; ANNUAL VARIATION; ANTARCTIC OSCILLATION; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; SEASONAL VARIATION; SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE; SYMMETRY; TREND ANALYSIS; TROPOSPHERE; WEATHER;

EID: 84862074201     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00160.1     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Allan, R., and T. Ansell, 2006: A new globally complete monthly historical gridded mean sea level pressure dataset (HadSLP2): 1850-2004. J. Climate, 19, 5816-5842.
2. Arblaster, J. M., and G. A. Meehl, 2006: Contributions of external forcings to southern annular mode trends. J. Climate, 19, 2896-2905.
3. Arblaster, J. M., G. A. Meehl, and D. J. Karoly, 2011: Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02701, doi:10.1029/2010GL045384.
4. Boé, J., and L. Terray, 2008: Weather regimes and downscaling. Houille Blanche, 2, 45-51.
5. Carvalho, L. M. V., C. Jones, and T. Ambrizzi, 2005: Opposite phases of the Antarctic Oscillation and relationships with intraseasonal to interannual activity in the tropics during the austral summer. J. Climate, 18, 702-718.
6. Cash, B. A., P. J. Kushner, and G. K. Vallis, 2002: The structure and composition of the annular modes in an aquaplanet general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 3399-3414.
7. Cassou, C., 2008: Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden-Julian oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Nature, 455, 523-527, doi:10.1038/nature07286.
8. Cassou, C., L. Terray, and A. D. Phillips, 2005: Tropical Atlantic influence on European heat waves. J. Climate, 18, 2805-2811.
9. Cheng, X., and J. M. Wallace, 1993: Regime analysis of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa height field: Spatial patterns. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2674-2696.
10. Christiansen, B., 2007: Atmospheric circulation regimes: Can cluster analysis provide the number? J. Climate, 20, 2229-2250.
11. Compo, G. P., and Coauthors, 2011: The Twentieth Century Reanalysis project. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 1-28.
12. Gille, S. T., 2002: Warming of the Southern Ocean since the 1950s. Science, 295, 1275.
13. Gille, S. T., 2008: Decadal-scale temperature trends in the Southern Hemisphere ocean. J. Climate, 21, 4749-4765.
14. Gillett, N. P., T. D. Kell, and P. D. Jones, 2006: Regional climate impacts of the southern annular mode. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23704, doi:10.1029/2006GL027721.
15. Gillett, N. P., D. A. Stone, P. A. Stott, T. Nozawa, A. Y. Karpechko, G. C. Hegeri, M. F. Wehner, and P. D. Jones, 2008: Attribution of polar warming to human influence. Nat. Geosci., 1, 750-754.
16. Gong, D., and S. Wang, 1999: Definition of Antarctic Oscillation index. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 459-462.
17. Hendon, H. H., D. W. Thompson, and M. C. Wheeler, 2007: Australian rainfall and surface temperature variations associated with the Southern Hemisphere annular mode. J. Climate, 20, 2452-2467.
18. Hines, K. M., D. H. Bromwich, and G. J. Marshall, 2000: Artificial surface pressure trends in the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. J. Climate, 13, 3940-3952.
19. Huth, R., 1996: An intercomparison of computer-assisted circulation classification methods. Int. J. Climatol., 16, 893-922.
20. Kageyama, M., F. D'Andrea, G. Ramstein, P. J. Valdes, and R. Vautard, 1999: Weather regimes in past climate atmospheric general circulation model simulations. Climate Dyn., 15, 773-793.
21. Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalyses Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
22. Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S.-K. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEP-DOE AMIP II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631-1643.
23. Kushner, P. J., and G. Lee, 2007: Resolving the regional signature of the annular modes. J. Climate, 20, 2840-2852.
24. L'Heureux, M. L., and D. W. J. Thompson, 2006: Observed relationships between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the extratropical zonal-mean circulation. J. Climate, 19, 276-287.
25. Marshall, G. J., 2003: Trends in the southern annular mode from observations and reanalyses. J. Climate, 16, 4134-4143.
26. Meneghini, B., I. Simmonds, and I. N. Smith, 2006: Association between seasonal Australian rainfall and the southern annular mode. Proc. Eighth Int. Conf. on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Foz de Iguaçú, Brazil, INPE, 311-313.
27. Michelangeli, P.-A., R. Vautard, and B. Legras, 1995: Weather regime occurrence and quasi stationarity. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1237-1256.
28. Mo, K. C., and R. W. Higgins, 1998: The Pacific-South American modes and tropical convection during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1581-1596.
29. Mo, K. C., and J. N. Paegle, 2001: The Pacific-South American modes and their downstream effects. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 1211-1229.
30. Monaghan, A., and D. Bromwich, 2008: Climate science: Global warming at the poles. Nat. Geosci., 1, 728-729.
31. Monahan, A. H., J. C. Fyfe, and G. M. Flato, 2000: A regime view of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric variability and change under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 1139-1142.
32. Monahan, A. H., L. Pandolfo, and J. C. Fyfe, 2001: The preferred structure of variability of the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1019-1022.
33. Moron, V., and G. Plaut, 2003: The impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation upon weather regimes over Europe and the North Atlantic during boreal winter. Int. J. Climatol., 23, 363-379.
34. Perlwitz, J., 2011: Atmospheric science: Tug of war on the jet stream. Nat. Climate Change, 1, 29-31, doi:10.1038/nclimate1065.
35. Pohl, B., N. Fauchereau, C. J. C. Reason, and M. Rouault, 2010: Relationships between the Antarctic Oscillation, the Madden-Julian oscillation, and ENSO, and consequences for rainfall analysis. J. Climate, 23, 238-254.
36. Polvani, L. M., D. W. Waugh, G. J. P. Correa, and S.-W. Son, 2011: Stratospheric ozone depletion: The main driver of twentiethcentury atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere. J. Climate, 24, 795-812.
37. Qu, X., A. Hall, and J. Boé, 2012: Why does the Antarctic Peninsula warm in climate simulations? Climate Dyn., 38, 913-927, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1092-3.
38. Reason, C. J. C., andM. Rouault, 2005: Links between theAntarctic Oscillation and winter rainfall over western South Africa. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L07705, doi:10.1029/2005GL022419.
39. Renwick, J. A., 2004: Trends in the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex in NCEP and ECMWF reanalyses. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L07209, doi:10.1029/2003GL019302.
40. Rogers, J. C., and H. van Loon, 1982: Spatial variability of sea level pressure and 500-mb height anomalies over the Southern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1375-1392.
41. Sallé e, J. B., K. G. Speer, and S. R. Rintoul, 2010: Zonally asymmetric response of the Southern Ocean mixed-layer depth to the southern annular mode. Nat. Geosci., 3, 273-279.
42. Schneider, D. P., C. Deser, and Y. Okumura, 2011: An assessment and interpretation of the observed warming ofWestAntarctica in the austral spring. Climate Dyn., 38, 323-347, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0985-x.
43. SenGupta, A., andM.H.England, 2006: Coupled ocean-atmosphere-ice response to variations in the southern annular mode. J. Climate, 19, 4457-4486.
44. Shindell, D. T., and G. A. Schmidt, 2004: Southern Hemisphere climate response to ozone changes and greenhouse gas increases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L18209, doi:10.1029/2004GL020724.
45. Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M.M. B. Tignor, H. L. Miller Jr., and Z. Chen, Eds. 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, 996 pp.
46. Son, S.-W., and Coauthors, 2008: The impact of stratospheric ozone recovery on the Southern Hemisphere westerly jet. Science, 320, 1486-1489, doi:10.1126/science.1155939.
47. Son, S.-W., and Coauthors, 2010: Impact of stratospheric ozone on Southern Hemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D00M07, doi:10.1029/2010JD014271.
48. Steig, E. J., D. P. Schneider, S. D. Rutherford, M. E. Mann, J. C. Comiso, and D. T. Shindell, 2009: Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year. Nature, 457, 459-463.
49. Stephenson, D. B., A. Hannachi, and A. O'Neill, 2004: On the existence of multiple climate regimes. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 583-606.
50. Straus, D., S. Corti, and F. Molteni, 2007: Circulation regimes: Chaotic variability versus SST-forced predictability. J. Climate, 20, 2251-2272.
51. Thompson, D. W., and J. M. Wallace, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability. J. Climate, 13, 1000-1016.
52. Thompson, D. W., and S. Solomon, 2002: Interpretation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change. Science, 296, 895-899.
53. Visbeck, M., 2009: A station-based southern annular mode index from 1884 to 2005. J. Climate, 22, 940-950.
54. Yuan, X., and C. Li, 2008: Climate modes in southern high latitudes and their impacts on Antarctic sea ice. J. Geophys. Res., 113, C06S91, doi:10.1029/2006JC004067.