메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 20, Issue 10, 2007, Pages 2251-2272

Circulation regimes: Chaotic variability versus SST-forced predictability

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; FORECASTING; SEA ICE;

EID: 34250645707     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4070.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (110)

References (54)
  • 1
    • 0036478782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cluster analysis of multimodel ensemble data from SAMEX
    • Alhamed, A., S. Lakshmivarahan, and D. J. Stensrud, 2002: Cluster analysis of multimodel ensemble data from SAMEX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 226-255.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.130 , pp. 226-255
    • Alhamed, A.1    Lakshmivarahan, S.2    Stensrud, D.J.3
  • 2
    • 11844285711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterization of extratropical transition using cluster analysis
    • Arnott, J. M., J. L. Evans, and R. Chiaromonte, 2004: Characterization of extratropical transition using cluster analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2916-2937.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.132 , pp. 2916-2937
    • Arnott, J.M.1    Evans, J.L.2    Chiaromonte, R.3
  • 3
    • 0023480259 scopus 로고
    • Classification, seasonality, and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns
    • Barnston, A. G., and R. E. Livezey, 1987: Classification, seasonality, and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1083-1126.
    • (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.115 , pp. 1083-1126
    • Barnston, A.G.1    Livezey, R.E.2
  • 4
    • 1842790787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North Atlantic winter climate regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time and oceanic forcing
    • Cassou, C., L. Terray, J. W. Hurrell, and C. Deser, 2004: North Atlantic winter climate regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time and oceanic forcing. J. Climate, 17, 1055-1068.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1055-1068
    • Cassou, C.1    Terray, L.2    Hurrell, J.W.3    Deser, C.4
  • 5
    • 0030815060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric impact of tropical SST anomalies on atmospheric internal variability over the North Pacific
    • Chen, W. Y., and H. M. van den Dool, 1997: Asymmetric impact of tropical SST anomalies on atmospheric internal variability over the North Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 725-740.
    • (1997) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.54 , pp. 725-740
    • Chen, W.Y.1    van den Dool, H.M.2
  • 6
    • 0027789330 scopus 로고
    • Cluster analysis of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa field: Spatial patterns
    • Cheng, X., and J. M. Wallace, 1993: Cluster analysis of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime 500-hPa field: Spatial patterns. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2674-2696.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.50 , pp. 2674-2696
    • Cheng, X.1    Wallace, J.M.2
  • 7
    • 0347317921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence for nonlinear climate change: Two stratospheric regimes and a regimes shift
    • Christiansen, B., 2003: Evidence for nonlinear climate change: Two stratospheric regimes and a regimes shift. J. Climate, 16, 3681-3690.
    • (2003) J. Climate , vol.16 , pp. 3681-3690
    • Christiansen, B.1
  • 8
    • 33846923918 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric circulation regimes: Can cluster analysis provide the number?
    • Christiansen, B., 2007: Atmospheric circulation regimes: Can cluster analysis provide the number? J. Climate, 20, 2229-2250.
    • (2007) J. Climate , vol.20 , pp. 2229-2250
    • Christiansen, B.1
  • 9
    • 0033614403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes
    • Corti, S., F. Molteni, and T. N. Palmer, 1999: Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes. Nature, 398, 799-802.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.398 , pp. 799-802
    • Corti, S.1    Molteni, F.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 10
    • 0035301795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low dimension problem. Part I: A simplified model
    • D'Andrea, F., and R. Vautard, 2001: Extratropical low-frequency variability as a low dimension problem. Part I: A simplified model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 1357-1374.
    • (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.127 , pp. 1357-1374
    • D'Andrea, F.1    Vautard, R.2
  • 11
    • 0018506597 scopus 로고
    • Lanczos filtering in one and two dimensions
    • Duchon, C., 1979: Lanczos filtering in one and two dimensions. J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 1016-1022.
    • (1979) J. Appl. Meteor , vol.18 , pp. 1016-1022
    • Duchon, C.1
  • 12
    • 0029412219 scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes in the Pacific from a GCM
    • Haines, K., and A. Hannachi, 1995: Weather regimes in the Pacific from a GCM. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2444-2462.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.52 , pp. 2444-2462
    • Haines, K.1    Hannachi, A.2
  • 13
    • 0025583768 scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes in a general circulation model
    • Hansen, A. R., and A. Sutera, 1990: Weather regimes in a general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 380-391.
    • (1990) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.47 , pp. 380-391
    • Hansen, A.R.1    Sutera, A.2
  • 14
    • 0034772431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change in recurrent regimes and modes of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric variability
    • Hsu, C. J., and F. Zwiers, 2001: Climate change in recurrent regimes and modes of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric variability. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 20 145-20 159.
    • (2001) J. Geophys. Res , vol.106
    • Hsu, C.J.1    Zwiers, F.2
  • 15
    • 0029479274 scopus 로고
    • Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation and relationships to regional temperature and precipitation
    • Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation and relationships to regional temperature and precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
    • (1995) Science , vol.269 , pp. 676-679
    • Hurrell, J.W.1
  • 16
    • 0032763747 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes, low-frequency oscillations, and principal patterns of variability: A perspective of extratropical low-frequency variability
    • Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1999: Weather regimes, low-frequency oscillations, and principal patterns of variability: A perspective of extratropical low-frequency variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2684-2705.
    • (1999) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.56 , pp. 2684-2705
    • Itoh, H.1    Kimoto, M.2
  • 17
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 18
  • 19
    • 0027789332 scopus 로고
    • Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes
    • Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993a: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2625-2643.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.50 , pp. 2625-2643
    • Kimoto, M.1    Ghil, M.2
  • 20
    • 0027789331 scopus 로고
    • Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions
    • Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993b: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2645-2673.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.50 , pp. 2645-2673
    • Kimoto, M.1    Ghil, M.2
  • 21
    • 1942420659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes and preferred transition paths in a three-level quasigeostrophic model
    • Kondroshov, D., K. Ide, and M. Ghil, 2004: Weather regimes and preferred transition paths in a three-level quasigeostrophic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 568-587.
    • (2004) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.61 , pp. 568-587
    • Kondroshov, D.1    Ide, K.2    Ghil, M.3
  • 22
    • 0027829106 scopus 로고
    • Toward a dynamical understanding of planetary-scale flow regimes
    • Marshall, J., and F. Molteni, 1993: Toward a dynamical understanding of planetary-scale flow regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 1792-1818.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.50 , pp. 1792-1818
    • Marshall, J.1    Molteni, F.2
  • 23
    • 0029542803 scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi-stationarity
    • Michelangeli, P.-A., R. Vautard, and B. Legras, 1995: Weather regimes: Recurrence and quasi-stationarity. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1237-1256.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.52 , pp. 1237-1256
    • Michelangeli, P.-A.1    Vautard, R.2    Legras, B.3
  • 24
    • 0031803944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term fluctuations of the statistical properties of low-frequency variability: Dynamical origin and predictability
    • Molteni, F., and S. Corti, 1998: Long-term fluctuations of the statistical properties of low-frequency variability: Dynamical origin and predictability. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 495-526.
    • (1998) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.124 , pp. 495-526
    • Molteni, F.1    Corti, S.2
  • 25
    • 0027849023 scopus 로고
    • A dynamical interpretation of the global response to equatorial Pacific SST anomalies
    • Molteni, F., L. Ferranti, T. N. Palmer, and P. Viterbo, 1993: A dynamical interpretation of the global response to equatorial Pacific SST anomalies. J. Climate, 6, 777-795.
    • (1993) J. Climate , vol.6 , pp. 777-795
    • Molteni, F.1    Ferranti, L.2    Palmer, T.N.3    Viterbo, P.4
  • 26
    • 84927118955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal time-scales
    • T. N. Palmer and R. Hagerdon, Eds, Cambridge University Press
    • Molteni, F., F. Kucharski, and S. Corti, 2006: On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal time-scales. Predictability of Weather and Climate, T. N. Palmer and R. Hagerdon, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 365-390.
    • (2006) Predictability of Weather and Climate , pp. 365-390
    • Molteni, F.1    Kucharski, F.2    Corti, S.3
  • 27
    • 0034352452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A regime view of Northern Hemisphere variability and change under global warming
    • Monahan, A. H., J. C. Fyfe, and G. M. Flato, 2000: A regime view of Northern Hemisphere variability and change under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 1139-1142.
    • (2000) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.27 , pp. 1139-1142
    • Monahan, A.H.1    Fyfe, J.C.2    Flato, G.M.3
  • 28
    • 0027065988 scopus 로고
    • Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models
    • Moorthi, S., and M. J. Suarez, 1992: Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert: A parameterization of moist convection for general circulation models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 978-1002.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.120 , pp. 978-1002
    • Moorthi, S.1    Suarez, M.J.2
  • 29
    • 0001603106 scopus 로고
    • Seasonal persistence and recurrence of European blocking during 1958-1960
    • Namias, J., 1964: Seasonal persistence and recurrence of European blocking during 1958-1960. Tellus, 16, 3-22.
    • (1964) Tellus , vol.16 , pp. 3-22
    • Namias, J.1
  • 30
    • 0027789670 scopus 로고
    • Extended-range atmospheric prediction and the Lorenz model
    • Palmer, T. N., 1993: Extended-range atmospheric prediction and the Lorenz model. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 49-66.
    • (1993) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.74 , pp. 49-66
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 31
    • 0033080118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction
    • Palmer, T. N., 1999: A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction. J. Climate, 12, 575-591.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 575-591
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 32
    • 0027811308 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting Northern Hemisphere 700-mb geopotential height anomalies using empirical normal modes
    • Penland, C., and M. Ghil, 1993: Forecasting Northern Hemisphere 700-mb geopotential height anomalies using empirical normal modes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2355-2372.
    • (1993) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.121 , pp. 2355-2372
    • Penland, C.1    Ghil, M.2
  • 33
    • 0020343853 scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of weather regimes: Quasi-stationary waves and blocking
    • Reinhold, B., and R. T. Pierrehumbert, 1982: Dynamics of weather regimes: Quasi-stationary waves and blocking. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1105-1145.
    • (1982) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.110 , pp. 1105-1145
    • Reinhold, B.1    Pierrehumbert, R.T.2
  • 34
    • 0000496686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between North Pacific wintertime blocking, El Niño, and the PNA
    • Renwick, J. A., and J. M. Wallace, 1996: Relationships between North Pacific wintertime blocking, El Niño, and the PNA. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2071-2076.
    • (1996) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.124 , pp. 2071-2076
    • Renwick, J.A.1    Wallace, J.M.2
  • 35
    • 0001630571 scopus 로고
    • Blocking action in the middle troposphere and its effects upon region climate. II: The climatology of blocking actions
    • Rex, D. R., 1950: Blocking action in the middle troposphere and its effects upon region climate. II: The climatology of blocking actions. Tellus, 2, 275-302.
    • (1950) Tellus , vol.2 , pp. 275-302
    • Rex, D.R.1
  • 36
    • 0028581380 scopus 로고
    • Improved global sea surface temperature analyses using optimal interpolation
    • Reynolds, R. W., and T. M. Smith, 1994: Improved global sea surface temperature analyses using optimal interpolation. J. Climate, 7, 929-948.
    • (1994) J. Climate , vol.7 , pp. 929-948
    • Reynolds, R.W.1    Smith, T.M.2
  • 37
    • 0141571552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Circulation regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the South Pacific sector
    • Robertson, A. W., and C. R. Mechoso, 2003: Circulation regimes and low-frequency oscillations in the South Pacific sector. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1566-1580.
    • (2003) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.131 , pp. 1566-1580
    • Robertson, A.W.1    Mechoso, C.R.2
  • 38
    • 0036501538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding differences between the equatorial Pacific as simulated by two coupled GCMs
    • Schneider, E. K., 2002: Understanding differences between the equatorial Pacific as simulated by two coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 15, 449-469.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 449-469
    • Schneider, E.K.1
  • 39
    • 0033519653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing
    • Shindell, D. T., R. L. Miller, G. A. Schmidt, and L. Pandolfo, 1999: Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing. Nature, 399, 452-455.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 452-455
    • Shindell, D.T.1    Miller, R.L.2    Schmidt, G.A.3    Pandolfo, L.4
  • 40
    • 0033226736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple regimes in Northern Hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering
    • Smyth, P., K. Ide, and M. Ghil, 1999: Multiple regimes in Northern Hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 3704-3723.
    • (1999) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.56 , pp. 3704-3723
    • Smyth, P.1    Ide, K.2    Ghil, M.3
  • 42
    • 0020969401 scopus 로고
    • On the role of the seasonal cycle
    • Straus, D. M., 1983: On the role of the seasonal cycle. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 303-313.
    • (1983) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.40 , pp. 303-313
    • Straus, D.M.1
  • 43
    • 0019655591 scopus 로고
    • A stochastic-dynamic approach to the study of the natural variability of the climate
    • Straus, D. M., and M. Halem, 1981: A stochastic-dynamic approach to the study of the natural variability of the climate. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 407-421.
    • (1981) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.109 , pp. 407-421
    • Straus, D.M.1    Halem, M.2
  • 44
    • 0036748286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does ENSO force the PNA?
    • Straus, D. M., and J. Shukla, 2002: Does ENSO force the PNA? J. Climate, 15, 2340-2358.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 2340-2358
    • Straus, D.M.1    Shukla, J.2
  • 45
    • 2342512179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Circulation regimes and SST forcing: Results from large GCM ensembles
    • Straus, D. M., and F. Molteni, 2004: Circulation regimes and SST forcing: Results from large GCM ensembles. J. Climate, 17, 1641-1656.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1641-1656
    • Straus, D.M.1    Molteni, F.2
  • 46
    • 0033876462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability
    • Thompson, D. W. J., and J. M. Wallace, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability. J. Climate, 13, 1000-1016.
    • (2000) J. Climate , vol.13 , pp. 1000-1016
    • Thompson, D.W.J.1    Wallace, J.M.2
  • 47
    • 0026266570 scopus 로고
    • Circulation patterns in phase space: A multinormal distribution?
    • Toth, Z., 1991: Circulation patterns in phase space: A multinormal distribution? Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 1501-1511.
    • (1991) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.119 , pp. 1501-1511
    • Toth, Z.1
  • 48
    • 0002899522 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-stationary and transient periods in the Northern Hemisphere circulation series
    • Toth, Z., 1992: Quasi-stationary and transient periods in the Northern Hemisphere circulation series. J. Climate, 5, 1235-1247.
    • (1992) J. Climate , vol.5 , pp. 1235-1247
    • Toth, Z.1
  • 49
    • 0027789320 scopus 로고
    • Preferred and unpreferred circulation types in the Northern Hemisphere wintertime phase space
    • Toth, Z., 1993: Preferred and unpreferred circulation types in the Northern Hemisphere wintertime phase space. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2868-2888.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.50 , pp. 2868-2888
    • Toth, Z.1
  • 50
    • 0025634804 scopus 로고
    • Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic: Analysis of precursors and successors
    • Vautard, R., 1990: Multiple weather regimes over the North Atlantic: Analysis of precursors and successors. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 2057-2081.
    • (1990) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.118 , pp. 2057-2081
    • Vautard, R.1
  • 51
    • 0024223670 scopus 로고
    • On the source of midlatitude low-frequency variability. Part II: Nonlinear equilibration of weather regimes
    • Vautard, R., and B. Legras, 1988: On the source of midlatitude low-frequency variability. Part II: Nonlinear equilibration of weather regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 2845-2867.
    • (1988) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.45 , pp. 2845-2867
    • Vautard, R.1    Legras, B.2
  • 52
    • 0019704889 scopus 로고
    • Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter
    • Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 784-812.
    • (1981) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.109 , pp. 784-812
    • Wallace, J.M.1    Gutzler, D.S.2
  • 53
    • 0036965761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of ensemble predictions of blocking in the NCEP global spectra model
    • Watson, J. S., and S. J. Colucci, 2002: Evaluation of ensemble predictions of blocking in the NCEP global spectra model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 3008-3021.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.130 , pp. 3008-3021
    • Watson, J.S.1    Colucci, S.J.2
  • 54
    • 85006664222 scopus 로고
    • A simplified biosphere model for global climate studies
    • Xue, Y.-K., P. J. Sellers, J. L. Kinter, and J. Shukla, 1991: A simplified biosphere model for global climate studies. J. Climate, 4, 345-364.
    • (1991) J. Climate , vol.4 , pp. 345-364
    • Xue, Y.-K.1    Sellers, P.J.2    Kinter, J.L.3    Shukla, J.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.