Consequences of extreme events on population persistence and evolution of a quantitative trait

Ecological Informatics

Volumn 8, Issue , 2012, Pages 20-28

  Vincenzi, Simone ^a,b   De Leo, Giulio A ^c,d   Bellingeri, Michele ^c  

^a University of California Santa Cruz   (United States)

^b MRAG Americas   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF PARMA   (Italy)

^d STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Extreme climatic event; Mutational variance; Population dynamics; Quantitative genetics; Selection pressure

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY; EXTINCTION RISK; EXTREME EVENT; FITNESS; GENETIC VARIATION; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; MASS MORTALITY; MUTATION; NATURAL SELECTION; NUMERICAL MODEL; PERSISTENCE; PHENOTYPE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; STOCHASTICITY;

EID: 84857923515     PISSN: 15749541     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2011.12.001     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Bell G., Gonzalez A. Evolutionary rescue can prevent extinction following environmental change. Ecology Letters 2009, 9:942-948.
2. Bena I., Droz M., Szwabinski J., Pekalski A. Complex population dynamics as a competition between multiple time-scale phenomena. Physical Review E 2007, 76:011908.
3. Bigler C., Ulrich Bräker O., Bugmann H., Dobbertin M., Rigling A. Drought as an inciting mortality factor in Scots pine stands of the Valais, Switzerland. Ecosystems 2006, 9:330-343.
4. Bigler C., Gavin D.G., Gunning C., Veblen T.T. Drought induces lagged tree mortality in a subalpine forest in the Rocky Mountains. Oikos 2007, 116:1983-1994.
5. Björklund M., Ranta E., Kaitala V., Bach L.A., Lundberg P., et al. Quantitative trait evolution and environmental change. PLoS One 2009, 4(2).
6. Bulmer M.G. The Mathematical Theory of Quantitative Genetics 1980, Clarendon Press, Oxford, UK.
7. Bürger R. Evolution of genetic variability and the advantage of sex and recombination in changing environments. Genetics 1999, 153:1055-1069.
8. Burger R., Krall C. Quantitative-genetic models and changing environments. Evolutionary Conservation Biology 2004, 171-187. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. R. Ferriere, U. Dieckmann, D. Couvet (Eds.).
9. Bürger R., Lynch M. Evolution and extinction in a changing environment: a quantitative-genetic analysis. Evolution 1995, 49:151-163.
10. Bürger R., Lynch M. Adaptation and extinction in changing environments. Environmental Stress, Adaptation and Evolution 1997, 209-239. Birkhäuser, Basel, Switzerland. R. Bijlsma, V. Loeschcke (Eds.).
11. Burt A. The evolution of fitness. Evolution 1995, 49:1-8.
12. Caughley G. Directions in conservation biology. Journal of Animal Ecology 1994, 63:215-244.
13. Charlesworth B. The evolution of sex and recombination in a varying environment. Journal of Heredity 1993, 84:345-450.
14. Ciais Ph., et al. Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature 2005, 437:529-533.
15. Gitlin A.R., Sthultz C.M., Bowker M.A., Stumpf S., Paxton K.L., Kennedy K., Muñoz A., Bailey J.K., Whitham T.G. Mortality gradients within and among dominant plant populations as barometers of ecosystem change during extreme drought. Conservation Biology 2006, 20:1477-1486.
16. Gomulkiewicz R., Holt R.D. When does evolution by natural selection prevent extinction?. Evolution 1995, 49:201-207.
17. Grimm V., Revilla E., Berger U., Jeltsch F., Mooij W.M., Railsback S.F., Thulke H.-H., et al. Pattern-oriented modeling of agent-based complex systems: lessons from ecology. Science 2005, 310:987-991.
18. Haddad N.M., Tilman D., Knops J.M.H. Long-term oscillations in grassland productivity induced by drought. Ecology Letters 2002, 5:110-120.
19. Haldane J.B.S. The measurement of natural selection. Proc. 9th Int. Congr. Genet 1954, 490-497.
20. Hoffmann A.A., Sgrò C.M. Climate change and evolutionary adaptation. Nature 2011, 470:479-485.
21. Holt R.D., Gomulkiewicz R. Conservation implications of niche conservatism and evolution in heterogeneous environments. Evolutionary Conservation Biology 2004, 244-264. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. R. Ferriere, U. Dieckmann, D. Couvet (Eds.).
22. Huey R.B., Kingsolver J.G. Evolution of resistance to high temperature in ectotherms. The American Naturalist 1993, 142:21-46.
23. IPCC Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007.
24. Jentsch A., Kreyling J., Beierkuhnlein C. A new generation of climate change experiments: events, not trends. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2007, 5:315-324.
25. Johnson T., Barton N. Theoretical models of selection and mutation on quantitative traits. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 2005, 360:1411-1425.
26. Karl T.R., Knight R.W., Plummer N. Trends in high-frequency climate variability in the 20th century. Nature 2005, 377:217-220.
27. Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W. Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Journal of Climate 2000, 13:3760-3788.
28. Kingsolver J.G., Hoekstra H.E., Hoekstra J.M., Berrigan D., Vignieri S.N., Hill C.E., Hoang A., Gibert P., Beerli P. The strength of phenotypic selection in natural populations. The American Naturalist 2001, 157:245-261.
29. Lande R. The maintenance of genetic variability by mutation in a polygenic character with linked loci. Genetics Research 1975, 26:221-235.
30. Lande R. Mutation and conservation. Conservation Biology 1995, 9:782-791.
31. Lande R., Shannon S. The role of genetic variation in adaptation and population persistence in a changing environment. Evolution 1996, 50:434-437.
32. Lynch M., Lande R. Evolution and extinction in response to environmental change. Biotic Interactions and Global Change 1993, 234-250. Sinauer Associates Inc., Sunderland, MA, USA. P.M. Kareiva, J.G. Kingsolver, R.B. Huey (Eds.).
33. Lynch M., Walsh J.B. Genetics and Analysis of Quantitative Traits 1998, Sinauer Associates Inc., Sunderland, MA, USA.
34. Miriti M.N., Rodriguez-Buritica S., Wright S.J., Howe H.F. Episodic death across species of desert shrubs. Ecology 2007, 88:32-36.
35. Mueller R.C., Scudder C.M., Porter M.E., Talbot Trotter R., Gehring C.A., Whitham T.G. Differential tree mortality in response to severe drought: evidence for long-term vegetation shifts. Journal of Ecology 2005, 93:1085-1093.
36. Schär C., Vidale P.L., Luthi D., Frei C., Haberli C., Lininger M.A., Appenzeller C. The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves. Nature 2004, 427:332-336.
37. Siepielski A.M., Di Battista J.D., Carlson S.M. It's about time: the temporal dynamics of phenotypic selection in the wild. Ecology Letters 2009, 12:1261-1276.
38. Smith M. The ecological role of climate extremes: current understanding and future prospects. Journal of Ecology 2011, 3:651-655.
39. Spiller D., Losos J., Schoener T. Impact of a catastrophic hurricane on island populations. Science 1998, 281:695-697.
40. Stockwell C.A., Hendry A.P., Kinnison M.T. Contemporary evolution meets conservation biology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2003, 18:94-101.
41. Thibault K.M., Brown J.H. Impact of an extreme climatic event on community assembly. PNAS 2008, 105:3410-3415.
42. Turelli M. Heritable genetic variation via mutation selection balance: Lurch's zeta meets the abdominal bristle. Theoretical Population Biology 1984, 25:138-193.
43. Wagner A. Risk management in biological evolution. Journal of Theoretical Biology 2003, 225:45-57.
44. White P.S., MacKenzie M.D., Busing R.T. Natural disturbance and gap phase dynamic in southern Appalachian spruce-fir forests. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 1985, 15:233-240.
45. Wingfield J.C., Kelley J.P., Angelier F. What are extreme environmental conditions and how do organisms cope with them?. Current Zoology 2011, 57:363-374.