Precursors to dyke-fed eruptions at basaltic volcanoes: Insights from patterns of volcano-tectonic seismicity at Kilauea volcano, Hawaii

Bulletin of Volcanology

Volumn 74, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 325-339

  Bell, Andrew F ^a   Kilburn, Christopher R J ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Basaltic volcanism; Dyke intrusion; Eruption forecasting; Volcano flank instability; Volcano tectonic earthquakes

Indexed keywords

BASALT; DIKE; EARTHQUAKE; IGNEOUS INTRUSION; MAGMA; SEISMICITY; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TECTONICS; VOLCANIC ERUPTION; VOLCANISM;

HAWAII [(ISL) HAWAIIAN ISLANDS]; HAWAII [UNITED STATES]; HAWAIIAN ISLANDS; KILAUEA; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84857448200     PISSN: 02588900     EISSN: 14320819     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00445-011-0519-3     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Abdi H, Salkind NJ (2007) Z-scores. Encyclopedia of measurement and statistics. Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA.
2. Bell AF, Greenhough J, Heap MJ, Main IG (2011) Challenges for forecasting based on accelerating rates of earthquakes at volcanoes and laboratory analogues. Geophys J Int. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-246X. 2011. 04982. x.
3. Brooks BA, Foster J, Sandwell D, Wolfe CJ, Okubo P, Poland M, Myer D (2008) Magmatically triggered slow slip at Kilauea volcano, Hawaii. Science 321: 1177. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1159007.
4. Brooks BA, Foster JH, Bevis M, Frazer LN, Wolfe CJ, Behn M (2006) Periodic slow earthquakes on the flank of Kilauea volcano, Hawai'i. Earth Planet Sci Lett 246(3-4): 207-216. doi: 10. 1016/j. epsl. 2006. 03. 035.
5. Burton MR, Neri M, Andronico D, Branca S, Caltabiano T, Calvari S, Corsaro RA, Del Carlo P, Lanzafame G, Lodato L, Miraglia L, Salerno G, Spampinato L (2005) Etna 2004-2005: An archetype for geodynamically-controlled effusive eruptions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32(9) doi: 10. 1029/2005GL022527.
6. Cayol V, Dieterich JH, Okamura AT, Miklius A (2000) High magma storage rates before the 1983 eruption of Kilauea, Hawaii. Science 288(5475): 2343-2346.
7. Chastin SFM, Main IG (2003) Statistical analysis of daily seismic event rate as a precursor to volcanic eruptions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30(13) doi: 10. 1029/2003GL016900.
8. De la Cruz-Reyna S, Reyes-Davila GA (2001) A model to describe precursory material-failure phenomena: applications to short-term forecasting at Colima volcano. Mexico Bull Volcanol 63(5): 297-308.
9. Delaney PT, Denlinger RP, Lisowski M, Miklius A, Okubo PG, Okamura AT, Sako MK (1998) Volcanic spreading at Kilauea, 1976-1996. J Geophys Res- Solid Earth 103(B8): 18003-18023.
10. Dvorak JJ, Okamura AT, English TT, Koyanagi RY, Nakata JS, Sako MK, Tanigawa WT, Yamashita KM (1986) Mechanical response of the south flank of Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii, to intrusive events along the rift systems. Tectonophys 124(3-4): 193-209.
11. Gudmundsson A (2006) How local stresses control magma-chamber ruptures, dyke injections, and eruptions in composite volcanoes. Earth-Sci Rev 79(1-2): 1-31. doi: 10. 1016/j. earscirev. 2006. 06. 006.
12. Gudmundsson A, Philipp SL (2006) How local stress fields prevent volcanic eruptions. J Volc Geotherm Res 158(3-4): 257-268. doi: 10. 1016/j. jvolgeores. 2006. 06. 005.
13. Gutenberg B, Richter CF (1954) Seismicity of the earth and associated phenomena. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
14. Jaeger JC (1969) Elasticity, fracture and flow. CRC Press, Boca Raton.
15. Kagan YY (2004) Short-term properties of earthquake catalogs and models of earthquake source. Bull Seismol Soc Amer 94(4): 1207-1228.
16. Kilburn CRJ (2003) Multiscale fracturing as a key to forecasting volcanic eruptions. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 125(3-4): 271-289.
17. Kilburn CRJ, Voight B (1998) Slow rock fracture as eruption precursor at Soufriere Hills volcano. Montserrat Geophys Res Lett 25(19): 3665-3668.
18. Klein FW (1984) Eruption forecasting at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii. J Geophys Res 89(NB5): 3059-3073.
19. Klein FW, Koyanagi RY, Nakata JS, Tanigawa WR (1987a) The seismicity of Kilauea's magma system. In: Decker RW, Wright TL, Stauffer PH (eds) Volcanism in Hawaii., pp 1019-1185.
20. Klein FW, Koyanagi RY, Nakata JS, Tanigawa WR, Decker RW, Wright TL, Stauffer PH (1987) The seismicity of Kilauea's magma system. In: Volcanism in Hawaii. USGS Professional Paper 1350; pp 1019-1185.
21. Klein FW, Wright T, Nakata J (2006) Aftershock decay, productivity, and stress rates in Hawaii: indicators of temperature and stress from magma sources. J. Geophys. Res-Solid Earth 111(B7).
22. Lengliné O, Marsan D, Got JL, Pinel V, Ferrazzini V, Okubo PG (2008) Seismicity and deformation induced by magma accumulation at three basaltic volcanoes. J. Geophys. Res-Solid Earth 113(B12): 12 doi: 10. 1029/2008JB005937.
23. Main IG (2000) A damage mechanics model for power-law creep and earthquake aftershock and foreshock sequences. Geophys. J. Int. 142(1): 151-161.
24. Main IG, Meredith PG (1991) Stress-corrosion constitutive laws as a possible mechanism of intermediate-term and short-term seismic quiescence. Geophys J Int 107(2): 363-372.
25. Marsan D, Nalbant SS (2005) Methods for measuring seismicity rate changes: a review and a study of how the M-w 7. 3 Landers earthquake affected the aftershock sequence of the M-w 6. 1 Joshua Tree earthquake. Pure Appl Geophys 162(6-7): 1151-1185. doi: 10. 1007/s00024-004-2665-4.
26. McGuire WJ, Kilburn CRJ (1997) Forecasting volcanic events: some contemporary issues. Geol Rundsch 86(2): 439-445.
27. McNutt SR (1996) Seismic monitoring and eruption forecasting of volcanoes: a review and state-of-the-art and case histories. In: Scarpa R, Tilling RI (eds) Monitoring and mitigation of volcano hazards. Springer, Berlin, pp 99-146.
28. Moran SC (2003) Multiple seismogenic processes for high-frequency earthquakes at Katmai National Park, Alaska: evidence from stress tensor inversions of fault-plane solutions. Bull Seismol Soc Amer 93(1): 94-108.
29. Nakata J (2006) Hawaiian volcano observatory seismic data, January to December 2005: U. S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2006-1103: pp 122.
30. Ogata Y (2006) Statistical analysis of seismicity-updated version (SASeis2006). Computer Science Monographs 33.
31. Owen SE, Burgmann R (2006) An increment of volcano collapse: kinematics of the 1975 Kalapana, Hawaii, earthquake. J Volcanol Geotherm Res 150(1-3): 163-185.
32. Reyes-Davila GA, De la Cruz-Reyna S (2002) Experience in the short-term eruption forecasting at Volcan de Colima, Mexico, and public response to forecasts. J Volc Geotherm Res 117(1-2): 121-127.
33. Roman DC, Cashman KV (2006) The origin of volcano-tectonic earthquake swarms. Geology 34(6): 457-460. doi: 10. 1130/g22269. 1.
34. Rubin AM, Gillard D, Got JL (1998) A reinterpretation of seismicity associated with the January 1983 dike intrusion at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii. J Geophys Res-Solid Earth 103(B5): 10003-10015.
35. Ryan MP (1988) The mechanics and 3-dimensional internal structure of active magmatic systems-Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii. J. Geophys. Res-Solid Earth and Planets 93(B5): 4213-4248.
36. Segall P, Desmarais EK, Shelly D, Miklius A, Cervelli P (2006) Earthquakes triggered by silent slip events on Kilauea volcano, Hawaii. Nature 442(7098): 71-74. doi: 10. 1038/nature05297.
37. Smith R, Kilburn CRJ, Sammonds PR (2007) Rock fracture as a precursor to lava dome eruptions at Mount St Helens from June 1980 to October 1986. Bull Volcanol 69(6): 681-693. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-006-0102-5.
38. Soosalu H, Einarsson P, Porbjarnardottir BS (2005) Seismic activity related to the 2000 eruption of the Hekla volcano. Iceland Bull Volcanol 68(1): 21-36. doi: 10. 1007/s00445-005-0417-7.
39. Sparks RSJ (2003) Forecasting volcanic eruptions. Earth Planet Sci Lett 210(1-2): 1-15. doi: 10. 1016/S0012-812X(03)00124-9.
40. Tilling RI, Dvorak JJ (1993) Anatomy of a basaltic volcano. Nature 363(6425): 125-133.
41. Tokarev PI (1971) Forecasting volcanic eruptions from seismic data. Bull Volcanol 35: 243-250.
42. Voight B (1988) A method for prediction of volcanic-eruptions. Nature 332(6160): 125-130.
43. Zobin VM (2003) Introduction to volcanic seismology. Elsevier, Amsterdam.