메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 110, Issue 3-4, 2012, Pages 823-844

East African food security as influenced by future climate change and land use change at local to regional scales

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIOPHYSICAL FACTORS; CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT; CLIMATE IMPACTS; CROP YIELD; EAST AFRICA; EAST AFRICANS; FIRST-ORDER; FOOD PRODUCTION; FOOD PRODUCTION SYSTEMS; FOOD SECURITY; FUTURE CLIMATE; KEY PARAMETERS; LAND-COVER/LAND-USE CHANGE; LAND-USE CHANGE; REGIONAL ATMOSPHERIC MODELING SYSTEMS; REGIONAL CLIMATE; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS; REGIONAL SCALE; SEASONAL RAINFALL; SIMULATION MODEL; SOIL TYPES; SPATIAL VARIABILITY; SUB-REGIONS;

EID: 84856229570     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0116-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (64)

References (66)
  • 1
    • 84856211278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Africover-Eastern Africa module. Land cover mapping based on satellite remote sensing
    • Africover Available at
    • Africover (2002) Africover-Eastern Africa module. Land cover mapping based on satellite remote sensing. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Available at http://www. africover. org/download/documents/Short_Project_description_en. pdf.
    • (2002) Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
  • 2
    • 77952960182 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mesoscale associations between midwest land surface properties and convective cloud development in the warm season
    • Allard J, Carleton AM (2010) Mesoscale associations between midwest land surface properties and convective cloud development in the warm season. Phys Geogr 31: 107-136.
    • (2010) Phys Geogr , vol.31 , pp. 107-136
    • Allard, J.1    Carleton, A.M.2
  • 3
    • 33947525475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability of East African rainfall based on multiyearRegCM3 simulations
    • Anyah RO, Semazzi FHM (2007) Variability of East African rainfall based on multiyearRegCM3 simulations. Int J Climatol 27: 357-371.
    • (2007) Int J Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 357-371
    • Anyah, R.O.1    Semazzi, F.H.M.2
  • 4
    • 33846184662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated physical mechanisms associated with climate variability over Lake Victoria basin in East Africa
    • Anyah RO, Semazzi FHM, Xie L (2006) Simulated physical mechanisms associated with climate variability over Lake Victoria basin in East Africa. Mon Weather Rev 134: 3588-3609.
    • (2006) Mon Weather Rev , vol.134 , pp. 3588-3609
    • Anyah, R.O.1    Semazzi, F.H.M.2    Xie, L.3
  • 5
    • 0028561625 scopus 로고
    • Potential emissions of radiatively active trace gases from soil to atmosphere with special reference to methane: development of a global data base (WISE)
    • Batjes NH, Bridges EM (1994) Potential emissions of radiatively active trace gases from soil to atmosphere with special reference to methane: development of a global data base (WISE). J Geophys Res 99(D8)16: 479-489.
    • (1994) J Geophys Res , vol.99 , Issue.D8 , pp. 479-489
    • Batjes, N.H.1    Bridges, E.M.2
  • 6
    • 11244253049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature and East African rainfall
    • Black E (2005) The relationship between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature and East African rainfall. Philos Trans R Soc A 363(1826): 43-47.
    • (2005) Philos Trans R Soc A , vol.363 , Issue.1826 , pp. 43-47
    • Black, E.1
  • 7
    • 0042304146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal east Africa and Indian ocean SST
    • Black E, Slingo J, Sperber KR (2003) An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal east Africa and Indian ocean SST. Mon Weather Rev 131: 74-94.
    • (2003) Mon Weather Rev , vol.131 , pp. 74-94
    • Black, E.1    Slingo, J.2    Sperber, K.R.3
  • 9
    • 33749517214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Crop physiology: significant discoveries and our changing perspective on research
    • Boote KJ, Sinclair TR (2006) Crop physiology: significant discoveries and our changing perspective on research. Crop Sci 46: 2270-2277.
    • (2006) Crop Sci , vol.46 , pp. 2270-2277
    • Boote, K.J.1    Sinclair, T.R.2
  • 10
    • 0030473596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential uses and limitations of crop models
    • Boote KJ, Jones JW, Pickering NB (1996) Potential uses and limitations of crop models. Agron J 88: 704-716.
    • (1996) Agron J , vol.88 , pp. 704-716
    • Boote, K.J.1    Jones, J.W.2    Pickering, N.B.3
  • 12
    • 0020458787 scopus 로고
    • Plant productivity and environment
    • Boyer JS (1982) Plant productivity and environment. Science 218: 443-448.
    • (1982) Science , vol.218 , pp. 443-448
    • Boyer, J.S.1
  • 13
    • 67650713624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shifts in African crop climates by 2050, and the implications for crop improvement and genetic resources conservation
    • Burke MB, Lobell DB, Guarino L (2009) Shifts in African crop climates by 2050, and the implications for crop improvement and genetic resources conservation. Glob Environ Change 19(3): 317-325.
    • (2009) Glob Environ Change , vol.19 , Issue.3 , pp. 317-325
    • Burke, M.B.1    Lobell, D.B.2    Guarino, L.3
  • 14
    • 0036571974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The East African March-May rainy season: associated atmospheric dynamics and predictability over the 1968-97 period
    • Camberlin P, Philippon N (2002) The East African March-May rainy season: associated atmospheric dynamics and predictability over the 1968-97 period. J Climate 15: 1002-1019.
    • (2002) J Climate , vol.15 , pp. 1002-1019
    • Camberlin, P.1    Philippon, N.2
  • 15
    • 0017538212 scopus 로고
    • A comparative study of the effects of albedo change on drought in semi-arid regions
    • Charney J, Quirk WJ, Chow S, Kornfield J (1977) A comparative study of the effects of albedo change on drought in semi-arid regions. J Atmos Sci 34: 1366-1385.
    • (1977) J Atmos Sci , vol.34 , pp. 1366-1385
    • Charney, J.1    Quirk, W.J.2    Chow, S.3    Kornfield, J.4
  • 17
    • 0038283849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • RAMS 2001: current status and future directions
    • Cotton WR, Coauthors (2003) RAMS 2001: current status and future directions. Meteorol Atmos Phys 82: 5.
    • (2003) Meteorol Atmos Phys , vol.82 , pp. 5
    • Cotton, W.R.1
  • 18
    • 27644485013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change
    • Diffenbaugh N, Pal JS, Trapp RJ, Giorgi F (2005) Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 102(44): 15774-15778.
    • (2005) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.102 , Issue.44 , pp. 15774-15778
    • Diffenbaugh, N.1    Pal, J.S.2    Trapp, R.J.3    Giorgi, F.4
  • 19
    • 0003874125 scopus 로고
    • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) FAO, Rome Italy. World Soil Resources Project 48
    • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) (1978) Report on the agro-ecological zones project-volume 1: methodology and results for Africa. FAO, Rome Italy. World Soil Resources Project 48, p 158.
    • (1978) Report on the agro-ecological zones project-volume 1: Methodology and results for Africa , pp. 158
  • 20
    • 0003948802 scopus 로고
    • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) Land and Water Digital Media Series 1, FAO, Rome
    • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) (1995) Digital soils map of the world and derived soil properties V 3. 5. Land and Water Digital Media Series 1, FAO, Rome.
    • (1995) Digital soils map of the world and derived soil properties V 3. 5
  • 23
    • 49649083622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development
    • doi:10.1073/pnas.0708196105
    • Funk C, Dettinger M, Michaelsen J, Verdin J, Brown M, Barlow M, Hoell A (2008) Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105: 11081. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0708196105.
    • (2008) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.105 , pp. 11081
    • Funk, C.1    Dettinger, M.2    Michaelsen, J.3    Verdin, J.4    Brown, M.5    Barlow, M.6    Hoell, A.7
  • 24
    • 33947215978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using WISE database to parameterize soil inputs for crop simulation models
    • Gijsman AJ, Thornton PK, Hoogenboom G (2007) Using WISE database to parameterize soil inputs for crop simulation models. Comput Electron Agric 56: 85-100.
    • (2007) Comput Electron Agric , vol.56 , pp. 85-100
    • Gijsman, A.J.1    Thornton, P.K.2    Hoogenboom, G.3
  • 26
  • 29
    • 0034041891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MarkSim: software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa
    • Jones PG, Thornton PK (2000) MarkSim: software to generate daily weather data for Latin America and Africa. Agron J 92(2000): 445-453.
    • (2000) Agron J , vol.92 , Issue.2000 , pp. 445-453
    • Jones, P.G.1    Thornton, P.K.2
  • 30
    • 0038025698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055
    • Jones PG, Thornton PK (2003) The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055. Glob Environ Change 13: 51-59.
    • (2003) Glob Environ Change , vol.13 , pp. 51-59
    • Jones, P.G.1    Thornton, P.K.2
  • 32
    • 0001014123 scopus 로고
    • Convective parameterization for mesoscale. models: the Kain-Fritsch scheme
    • Kain JS, Fritsch JM (1993) Convective parameterization for mesoscale. models: the Kain-Fritsch scheme. Meteorol Monogr 24: 165.
    • (1993) Meteorol Monogr , vol.24 , pp. 165
    • Kain, J.S.1    Fritsch, J.M.2
  • 33
    • 57849164517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 and changing regional land-cover on evaporation, precipitation, and runoff at global and regional scales
    • 2 and changing regional land-cover on evaporation, precipitation, and runoff at global and regional scales. Int J Climatol 28: 1653-1679.
    • (2008) Int J Climatol , vol.28 , pp. 1653-1679
    • Li, Z.1    Mölders, N.2
  • 34
    • 85030891749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global food security and the IPCC SRES: assessing the threat from climate change in several equi-plausible worlds
    • Livermore MTJ, Parry ML, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Fisher G (2003) Global food security and the IPCC SRES: assessing the threat from climate change in several equi-plausible worlds. Glob Environ Change 14: 3-20.
    • (2003) Glob Environ Change , vol.14 , pp. 3-20
    • Livermore, M.T.J.1    Parry, M.L.2    Rosenzweig, C.3    Iglesias, A.4    Fisher, G.5
  • 35
    • 34047173047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming
    • Lobell D, Field C (2007) Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environ Res Lett 2: 014002.
    • (2007) Environ Res Lett , vol.2 , pp. 014002
    • Lobell, D.1    Field, C.2
  • 36
  • 37
    • 0029479517 scopus 로고
    • Surface albedo-climate feedback simulated using two-way coupling
    • Lofgren BM (1995) Surface albedo-climate feedback simulated using two-way coupling. J Clim 8: 2543-2562.
    • (1995) J Clim , vol.8 , pp. 2543-2562
    • Lofgren, B.M.1
  • 38
    • 2342417732 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of "realistic" land-cover change on a greenhouse-warmed African climate
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-003-0371-z
    • Maynard K, Royer J-F (2004) Effects of "realistic" land-cover change on a greenhouse-warmed African climate. Clim Dyn 22: 343-358. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-003-0371-z.
    • (2004) Clim Dyn , vol.22 , pp. 343-358
    • Maynard, K.1    Royer, J.-F.2
  • 40
    • 22744452779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of land use changes and urban expansion of Nairobi City using remote sensing and geographical information systems
    • Mundia CN, Aniya M (2005) Analysis of land use changes and urban expansion of Nairobi City using remote sensing and geographical information systems. Int J Remote Sens 26(13): 2831-2849.
    • (2005) Int J Remote Sens , vol.26 , Issue.13 , pp. 2831-2849
    • Mundia, C.N.1    Aniya, M.2
  • 41
    • 0034484826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • East African rainfall and the tropical circulation/ convection on intraseasonal to interannual timescales
    • Mutai CC, Ward MN (2000) East African rainfall and the tropical circulation/ convection on intraseasonal to interannual timescales. J Clim 13: 3915-3939.
    • (2000) J Clim , vol.13 , pp. 3915-3939
    • Mutai, C.C.1    Ward, M.N.2
  • 42
    • 0031849042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potentially complex biosphere responses to transient global warming
    • Neilson RP, Drapek RJ (1998) Potentially complex biosphere responses to transient global warming. Glob Chang Biol 4: 505-521.
    • (1998) Glob Chang Biol , vol.4 , pp. 505-521
    • Neilson, R.P.1    Drapek, R.J.2
  • 43
    • 79952969370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are regional climate models relevant for crop yield prediction in West Africa?
    • Oettli P, Sultan B, Baron C, Vrac M (2011) Are regional climate models relevant for crop yield prediction in West Africa? Environ Res Lett 6: 014008.
    • (2011) Environ Res Lett , vol.6 , pp. 14008
    • Oettli, P.1    Sultan, B.2    Baron, C.3    Vrac, M.4
  • 44
    • 0024798377 scopus 로고
    • The spatial and temporal pattern of the East African seasonal rainfall derived from principal component analysis
    • Ogallo LA (1989) The spatial and temporal pattern of the East African seasonal rainfall derived from principal component analysis. Int J Climatol 9: 145-167.
    • (1989) Int J Climatol , vol.9 , pp. 145-167
    • Ogallo, L.A.1
  • 47
    • 0025113863 scopus 로고
    • The potential impact on agriculture of the greenhouse effect
    • Parry M (1990) The potential impact on agriculture of the greenhouse effect. Land Use Policy 7: 109-123.
    • (1990) Land Use Policy , vol.7 , pp. 109-123
    • Parry, M.1
  • 49
    • 1242344212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios
    • doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008
    • Parry ML, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Livermore M, Fischer G (2004) Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Change 14: 53-67. doi: 10. 1016/j. gloenvcha. 2003. 10. 008.
    • (2004) Glob Environ Change , vol.14 , pp. 53-67
    • Parry, M.L.1    Rosenzweig, C.2    Iglesias, A.3    Livermore, M.4    Fischer, G.5
  • 50
    • 0037103609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of land-use change and landscape dynamics on the climate system: relevance to climate-change policy beyond the radiative effect of greenhouse gases
    • Pielke RA, Marland G, Betts RA, Chase TN, Eastman JL, Niles JO, Niyogi DDS, Running SW (2002) The influence of land-use change and landscape dynamics on the climate system: relevance to climate-change policy beyond the radiative effect of greenhouse gases. Philos Trans R Soc Lond, Ser A 360: 1705-1719.
    • (2002) Philos Trans R Soc Lond, Ser A , vol.360 , pp. 1705-1719
    • Pielke, R.A.1    Marland, G.2    Betts, R.A.3    Chase, T.N.4    Eastman, J.L.5    Niles, J.O.6    Niyogi, D.D.S.7    Running, S.W.8
  • 52
    • 0036837310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using neural networks and GIS to forecast land use changes: a land transformation model
    • Pijanowski B, Brown D, Shellito B, Manik G (2002) Using neural networks and GIS to forecast land use changes: a land transformation model. Comput Environ Urban Syst 26: 553-575.
    • (2002) Comput Environ Urban Syst , vol.26 , pp. 553-575
    • Pijanowski, B.1    Brown, D.2    Shellito, B.3    Manik, G.4
  • 53
    • 12944258552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibrating a neural network-based urban change model for two metropolitan areas of the Upper Midwest of the USA
    • Pijanowski B, Pithadia S, Shellito B, Alexandridis K (2005) Calibrating a neural network-based urban change model for two metropolitan areas of the Upper Midwest of the USA. Int J Geogr Inf Sci 19: 197-215.
    • (2005) Int J Geogr Inf Sci , vol.19 , pp. 197-215
    • Pijanowski, B.1    Pithadia, S.2    Shellito, B.3    Alexandridis, K.4
  • 54
    • 84856221194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Error propagation in coupled regional land-climate models: 1. Quantifying aggregate spatial errors from a land change model to a regional atmospheric model
    • Pijanowski B, Davis A, Robinson K (2009) Error propagation in coupled regional land-climate models: 1. Quantifying aggregate spatial errors from a land change model to a regional atmospheric model. In Revision at IJGIS.
    • (2009) Revision at IJGIS
    • Pijanowski, B.1    Davis, A.2    Robinson, K.3
  • 57
    • 0035880396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A GCM study of climate change induced by deforestation in Africa
    • Semazzi FHM, Song Y (2001) A GCM study of climate change induced by deforestation in Africa. Clim Res 17: 169-182.
    • (2001) Clim Res , vol.17 , pp. 169-182
    • Semazzi, F.H.M.1    Song, Y.2
  • 58
    • 33748660216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe
    • Seneviratne SI, Lüthi D, Litschi M, Schär C (2006) Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe. Nature 443: 205-209.
    • (2006) Nature , vol.443 , pp. 205-209
    • Seneviratne, S.I.1    Lüthi, D.2    Litschi, M.3    Schär, C.4
  • 59
    • 34548082822 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multilevel analysis of the impact of land use on interannual land-cover change in East Africa
    • Serneels S, Linderman M, Lambin EF (2007) A multilevel analysis of the impact of land use on interannual land-cover change in East Africa. Ecosystems 10: 402-418.
    • (2007) Ecosystems , vol.10 , pp. 402-418
    • Serneels, S.1    Linderman, M.2    Lambin, E.F.3
  • 62
    • 33744909141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is agriculture the engine of growth?
    • Tiffin R, Xavier I (2006) Is agriculture the engine of growth? Agric Econ 35: 79-89.
    • (2006) Agric Econ , vol.35 , pp. 79-89
    • Tiffin, R.1    Xavier, I.2
  • 63
    • 33750078089 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing land use/land cover parameterization for climate and land modelling in East Africa
    • Torbick N, Lusch D, Qi J, Moore N, Olson J, Ge J (2006) Developing land use/land cover parameterization for climate and land modelling in East Africa. Int J Remote Sens 27(19): 4227-4244.
    • (2006) Int J Remote Sens , vol.27 , Issue.19 , pp. 4227-4244
    • Torbick, N.1    Lusch, D.2    Qi, J.3    Moore, N.4    Olson, J.5    Ge, J.6
  • 64
    • 34249883157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division United Nations publications, ST/ESA/ SER. A/266
    • United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2007) World population prospects: the 2006 revision. United Nations publications, ST/ESA/ SER. A/266.
    • (2007) World population prospects: The 2006 revision
  • 65
    • 0033867180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupled atmosphere-biophysics-hydrology models for environmental modeling
    • Coauthors
    • Walko R, Coauthors (2000) Coupled atmosphere-biophysics-hydrology models for environmental modeling. J Appl Meteorol 39: 931.
    • (2000) J Appl Meteorol , vol.39 , pp. 931
    • Walko R1
  • 66
    • 68649127107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient and fast spline-backfitted kernel smoothing of additive models
    • doi: 10. 1007/s10463-007-0157-x
    • Wang J, Yang L (2007) Efficient and fast spline-backfitted kernel smoothing of additive models. Ann Inst Stat Math. doi: 10. 1007/s10463-007-0157-x.
    • (2007) Ann Inst Stat Math.
    • Wang, J.1    Yang, L.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.